SUMMARY OF ALL SP500 UPTRENDS AND CONSOLIDATIONS




THANKS TO YOU ALL-MY PAGEVIEWS SKYROCKETED IN JAN2012,ONE MONTH ALONE is EQUAL TO 6MONTHS OF

PAGEVIEWS!!A BIG THANK YOU

SINCE THIS THREAD "SUMMARY OF ALL SP500 UPTRENDS AND CONSOLIDATIONS" THREAD IS SO POPULAR,THE HIGHEST VIEWERSHIP,I PUT IT IN THE FRONT PAGE

SUMMARY OF ALL SP500 uptrends and consolidations

UPTRENDS-

1. Mostly 10weeks,although some may be 9,11,12.how to recognize?--uptrend "mysteriously" maintained by a diagonal uptrendline connecting the lows of that 10weeks uptrend

2. 1st and last(10th) week always end in surges of aorund 3-6%with the least 1st week gain was 2.7%.The humpy uptrend will "mysteriously" start and end with surges up.

3. If the (X-1)th 10+weeks end below a fibo of the 1576-666 range,THEN the next,Xth, 10+weeks will end AT THAT FIBO.

4. If the (X-1)th 10+weeks end ABOVE a fibo of the 1576-666 range,then the NEXT,Xth, 10+weeks will end AT THE NEXT HIGHER FIBO.

5. Every year's end, at the last trading day of the year,sp500 will end near a fibo of 1576-666 range.

6. Every 10+weeks uptrend will start AFTER a double testing of the diagonal uptrend line formed by the humps from july 13th week 2009.

7. The uptrend in the secular bear market,before breakout 1576, will be a "humpy" ride,whereby i forecast a total of 4 humps to test 1576.

8. After the sp500 breaks out of the 1576 resistance,the diagonal uptrendline will be much sharper than the uptrendline of the 4 humps.

9. The peaks of each hump will occur at AROUND 350-360 POINTS ABOVE THE CORRECTION TESTED FIBONACCI.

10. 2009 REPLICATE 2003,2010 REPLICATE 2004,2011 REPLICATE 2005,SO ON--I mean the closing values and their respective fibo,

CONSOLIDATIONS-CORRECTIONS AND RETRACEMENTS

1. Every correction will have one week of huge plunge about 100points in sp500

2. every Long/HUGE weekly plunge of around 5-8% in the sp500 will be met with a return to the start BEFORE the huge plunge(weekly open) of THAT LONG WEEKLY DOWN CANDLEBODY in 23 to 24 weeks

3. After the peak of each hump has been achieved,there will come a plunge BACK to the fibo of 1576-666 range.---------

eg. 1st hump ended at 1219,near 61.8%,then sp500 plunged back to retest the 38.2%,before the NEXT hump will be formed

eg. 2nd hump peaked at 1370,near the 78.6%,then sp500 plunged back to retest the 50%..so on..

1st correction went to the 38.2%,1013, lowest 1010 and built a base around 1065

-took 24 weeks to reach the open of the HUGE weekly plunge of 120points,week of MAY 3RD 2010

-dropped a total of 210points-2nd week from the top of the 4th 10+weeks uptrend pattern 1217,was the huge weekly plunge

-took 8weeks to hit the lowest point 1010

2nd correction went to 1074 lowest,BUT built a base around the 50% fibo,1120.

-took 23 weeks to reach the open pf the 2nd HUGE weekly plunge of 120points,week of August 1, 2011

-dropped a total of 270points from 1344 and 300points from the HEAD peak 1370

-the huge weekly drop also happened in the 2nd week from the 5th 10+weeks uptrend pattern close peak of 1344.,the LEFT SHOULDER OF THE head and shoulders

-took 9weeks to hit the lowest point 1074

THIS IS THE NEW AND IMPROVISED VERSION OF THE MOST POPULAR POST IN MY BLOG


LET US RECALL THE LIES OF MEDIA OR PEOPLE WHO DON'T KNOW HOW TO EXPLAIN

1)DATA GOOD,COMPANIES EARNINGS GOOD,INDEX DROP= "FACTORED IN" OR "LESSEN STIMULUS HOPES"

2)DATA BAD,COMPANIES EARNINGS BAD,INDEX RISE="INCREASED STIMULUS HOPES"

3)WHEN USA CRISIS CAME,FULL OF CDO SHIT PROBLEM,NO1 KNOWS THERE WILL BE A EUROPE CRISIS IN 2009.THEN CAME EUROPE CRISIS.

4)WHEN EUROPE CRISIS BECOME STALE NEWS,FOCUS SHIFT TO LIBYA GADDAFI TO "EXPLAIN" DROP IN USA MARKETS

5)THEN AFTER GADDAFI NEWS BECAME STALE,THEY SHIFT BACK TO EUROPE AND CHANGE TO "AUSTERITY" SHIT

6)THEN AFTER EURO AUSTERITY NEWS BECOME STALE,THEY SHIFT FOCUS BACK TO USA AND INTRODUCED "FISCAL CLIFF" SHIT JUST BECAUSE BERNANKE MENTIONED FISCAL CLIFF

I "LOVE" THEIR SHIT.EVERYTIME THE STORY BECOMES OLD AND STALE,SOMETHING NEW WILL POP OUT AND THE OLD ONE WILL NEVER BE MENTIONED AGAIN-SINK INTO OBLIVION!!

1ST CDO,LIBYA,AUSTERITY,NOW FISCAL CLIFF.NEXT FUCK YOU!!DID CDO SHIT RESURFACE AGAIN NOW?WHO REMEMBER GADDAFI,LIBYA PROBLEMS SUDDENLY SOLVED FOREVER??

GRANDMOTHER STORY SPINNERS FUCKERS.


19th October 2013
NEPTUNE ORIENT LINES ROBOTIC PATTERN
1) BASE
A-
WEEK oF 17 NOVEMBER 2008—0.93
Week of 9 March 2009—0.85
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
3+ MONTHS APART
BETWEEN 1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED +182% IN
1YEAR,1 MONTH, HIT NEAR 2.40 IN APRIL 2010
2) BASE
B-
Week of 22 August 2011—0.98
Week of 21 November 2011---0.995
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
3 MONTHS APART BETWEEN
1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED +53% IN 3
months.HIT 1.515 IN 20 FEBRUARY 2012 WEEK





3) BASE
C-
Week of 23 July 2012—1.05
Week of 19 November 2012---1.05
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
3+ MONTHS APART
BETWEEN 1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED +30% IN 1.5months.HIT
1.36 IN 7 January 2013 WEEK

4) NOW,IT
IS BASE D TIME
Week of 10 June 2013—1.025
Week of 26 August 2013---1.025
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
Near 3 MONTHS APART
BETWEEN 1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED ????% by
??????








N.O.L-NEPTUNE ORIENT LINES-N03.SI (WEEKLY CHARTS) YEAR 2006:6 NOVEMBER TO 1ST JAN2007: 1.77 TO 2.20 (+43c) YEAR 2008:17NOVEMBER TO 5JAN2009: 0.84 TO 1.175 (+33.5c) YEAR 2009:2NOVEMBER TO 11JAN2010: 1.51 TO 1.94 (+43c) YEAR 2010:22NOVEMBER TO 3JAN2011: 2.07 TO 2.40 (+33c) YEAR 2011:21NOVEMBER TO 30JAN2012: 0.995 TO 1.43 (+43.5c) YEAR 2012:19NOVEMBER TO 7JAN2013: 1.055 TO 1.36 (+30.5c)



Friday, July 19, 2013

19th July 2013--OH MY GOD!!OH MY LORD!!

AS OF NOW--

EAGLEBULK +13%
DRYSHIPS +5%
PARAGON +5%
DIANA +7%
FRONTLINE +4%
GENCO +8%
SAFEBULKERS +2%
NAVIOS +3%
TSAKOS +6%
INTERNATIONAL SHIP HOLDINGS +5%
 

Thursday, July 18, 2013

18TH JULY 2013---SHOUT TO THE LORD ,ALL THE EARTH ,LET US SING

LET US SHOUT TO THE LORD:

THIS IS THE DAY
THIS IS THE DAY
THAT THE LORD HAS MADE

WE WILL REJOICE
WE WILL REJOICE
AND BE GLAD IN IT....

SHIPPING STOCKS RESURRECT FROM THE GRAVE IN UNISON!!!CAN U SAY AMEN???

DRYSHIPS +4%
EAGLEBULK +6%
DIANA +2%
PARAGON +8%
FRONTLINE +5%
NAVIOS +3%
GENCO +8%
SAFEBULKERS +2%
TSAKOS +4%
INTERNATIONAL SHIP HOLDING +4%

SING IT...

GOD WILL MAKE A WAY WHERE THERE SEEMS TO BE NO WAY.
HE WORKS IN WAYS WE CANNOT SEE
HE WILL MAKE A WAY FOR ME.

p.s. i am invested in shipping companies at lows ONLY IN DEC2012,not stuck at highs.i am the ONLY ONE who sold mercator lines singapore TO IDIOTS AT 44.5C,THE HIGHEST EVER PRICE,AFTER THE SUBPRIME CRISIS.NOBODY IN THE WHOLE WORLD SOLD MERCATOR LINES LIMITED AT 44.5CENTS OR HIGHER IN SGX AFTER THE MARCH TO JUNE 2009 SUPER DUPER 4X RALLY WHEN MERCATOR ROSE FROM 11.5C TO 44.5C IN 3MONTHS.FROM JUNE 2,2009 TILL TODAY,JULY 18TH 2013 MERCATOR LINES DID NOT EVEN SMELL 44.5C!

NOW MERCATOR SINGAPORE IS AT 10.6c,AND NOBODY I SPOKE TO DARE TO BUY.HAHAHA.THAT IS WHY A FULLTIME INVESTOR HAS TO BE LEFT ALONE AS HE/SHE HAS TO MAKE USE OF IDIOTS IN ORDER TO SURVIVE.I FEEL DAMN TIRED TALKING TO WORKING CLASS.

THE FUCKING HILARIOUS SHIT IS AT 10-11C,THE DAILY VOLUME IS CLOSE TO ZERO,BUT WHEN IT WAS AT 40+C,THE DAILY VOLUME IS 30+MILLION shares traded.

IDIOTS WILL NEVER LEARN

 

Tuesday, July 16, 2013

16th July 2013--REMEMBER MY 11TH JULY 2013 POST???

A RECALL---

11th JULY 2013-STOCKS TODAY SURGE HAS ABSOLUTELY NOTHING TO DO WITH BEN BERNANKE SPEECH OF "HIGHLY ACCOMODATIVE POLICY"

I DID MENTIONED IN THAT DAY'S POST,LOOK OUT FOR 1683.IF CAN CLOSE ABOVE 1683 IN THAT WEEK,THEN IT IS ALL THE WAY UPTREND FROM HERE.IF WE TOUCH 1683 AND UNABLE TO CLOSE ABOVE IT FOR ANY WEEK,THEN IT IS A RETRACEMENT BACK TO 1530-1540.

HOW DID I KNOW??please study carefully the past 2 retracements,TECHNICALLY DEFINED BY ME AS RETRACEMENTS AND NOT CORRECTIONS,AFTER MARCH 12 2012 AND SEPT 10,2012 WEEKS.

what was 15th july 2013 sp500 close?1683.what was 16th july 2013 sp500 highest value so far at 11.51pm singapore time??1683

Sunday, July 14, 2013

14th July 2013--Shanghai going to introduce QFII AGAIN!!!YES!!this time to singapore,london,etc.VERY GOOD NEWS TO BUY LOW SELL HIGH INVESTORS LIKE ME!!REMEMBER CHINA MAIN INDEX MOVES LIKE SHIPPING STOCKS

证监会祭压箱底利好 QFII额度提升至1500亿美元

2013年7月13日09:21 证券日报  我要参与(343)


中国证监会新闻发言人12日表示,将合格境外机构投资者(QFII)投资额度增加到1500亿美元,并将人民币合格境外机构投资者(RQFII)试点在新加坡、伦敦等地进一步拓展。对此,接受记者采访的业内人士纷纷表示,此次QFII总投资额度进一步扩大到1500亿美元,将有利于吸引更多境外长期投资机构进入,增加长期资金来源,促进资本市场改革发展。 “2002年QFII制度试点实施以来,运作情况平稳,对于壮大机构投资者规模、增加长期资金来源、引入长期投资和价值投资理念、扩大资本市场对外开放发挥了积极作用。”该发言人对QFII的作用给予了充分肯定。 数据显示,近期,QFII发展明显加快。去年4月,QFII总投资额度从300亿美元增加到800亿美元,全年新批准QFII机构72家,新批准额度158.03亿美元。今年以来,新批准QFII机构22家,总数达到229家,新批准额度60.2亿美元,累计批准额度434.63亿美元,RQFII资格和额度审批基本同步,今年以来RQFII净汇入资金超过600亿元人民币。 “这是一个重大利好消息,对稳定股市预期有积极意义,未来还应加大救市力度,需要多个部门齐心合力。”英大证券研究所所长李大霄接受《证券日报》记者采访时表示,这次QFII的额度增加至1500亿美元,力度非常大,表明了监管层的态度,将有利于提振市场信心。他还认为,其他部门也应该有所行动,共同稳定市场预期。 “中小投资者是最重要的,在投资者信心低迷之时,监管层的行动非常重要”,国信证券总裁助理、发展研究总部总经理何诚颖接受采访时表示。 2011年底推出的RQFII制度试点,为境外投资者开辟了进入境内资本市场的新渠道。去年11月,RQFII投资额度增加到2700亿元人民币。今年3月,RQFII试点扩大到香港地区金融机构,取消投资比例限制。近期签署的海峡两岸服务贸易协定,允许台资金融机构以RQFII方式投资大陆资本市场。目前,已批准37家机构RQFII资格,今年以来批准11家;批准额度1049亿元人民币,今年以来批准379亿元人民币。 分析人士指出,此次RQFII试点进一步拓展将为推动人民币离岸市场发展、扩大资本市场对外开放注入新的活力。 上述发言人还表示,下一步,中国证监会将进一步加快QFII、RQFII发展,与相关部门加强协商,完善境外投资者的资金汇出入管理、所得税政策等相关制度,吸引更多境外长期资金,促进资本市场改革发展,更好地服务于我国经济结构调整和转型升级。
A股获注强心剂 QFII额度的增加以及RQFII试点的扩容不仅表明了A股市场对外开放的步伐正在加大,也表明管理层正在有意识地培养境外机构在A股市场上的力量。 对于A股市场而言,这一消息是一大利好。目前A股市场正处于底部区域,管理层在此时扩大境外机构投资额度,无疑是希望通过扩大境外机构的投资群体,加大国际上比较成熟的机构投资者的介入力度,对于稳定A股市场有着比较好的示范效应。 从短期来看,这一消息将会成为市场的强心剂,从中长期来看,由于QFII主要构成为境外长期资金,其源源不断地流入将改善我国投资者结构和投资理念,起到稳定市场的作用。扩大投资额度之后,一些PE较低的大盘蓝筹股或许会成为其关注的重点。(证券日报) (责任编辑:张宏君)

14TH JULY 2013-AFTER SUCH A SHOCKING DISCOVERY THAT A POLICEMAN IS ACTUALLY A MURDER SUSPECT,I WILL HAVE TO COME DOWN BACK TO EARTH AGAIN TO ANALYSE STOCKS....OH MY GOD!!LET US SEE THE OUTCOME OF THIS DOUBLE MURDERS CASE

SHIPPING STOCKS SOMEHOW "COORDINATE" VERY WELL WITH SHANGHAI COMPOSITE,SSE BOTTOMING OUT IN THE SAME MONTH.



AS YOU CAN SEE FROM THE ABOVE CHART,THE "COORDINATION" IS VERY CLEAR.WHEN SHANGHAI COMPOSITE,SSE PLUNGES IN DEC2011,DEC2012 TO FORM RESPECTIVE BOTTOMS BEFORE A HUGE SURGE UP,WHY DID DRYSHIPS ONLY FALL BACK TO APPROX THE SAME "DOUBLE BOTTOM"????

THE COORDINATION IS INDEED EYE-CATCHING, AND SHOWS HOW "INTERRELATED" STOCKMARKETS ARE.

14th JULY 2013---NORMALLY I NEVER POST ABOUT SINGAPORE NEWS,AS I CANNOT BE BOTHERED BUT THIS TIME IS VERY VERY SHOCKING!!THIS IS A VERY SHOCKING NEWS AS MOST FOREIGNERS THINK THAT SINGAPORE IS A VERY SAFE COUNTRY.WHO WILL HAVE THOUGHT POLICEMAN WILL ACTUALLY BE A MURDER SUSPECT???I MUST KEEP IN MY BLOG FOR MY FUTURE KIDS TO LEARN


Suspect in Kovan double murder is police officer with 14 years of experience


 

[UPDATE Saturday, 11.30pm: Adding details of neighbours’ impression of suspect.]

When Yahoo! Singapore spoke to Iskandar bin Rahmat's neighbours at his Kim Keat Avenue flat, they painted a picture of a family that was very private. The suspect in the Kovan murders is said to live there in the three-room unit with his aged parents and a woman whose relationship with the suspect is unclear.

Iskandar’s family always had “their doors and windows closed” and not much is known about them, said two neighbours, who did not want to be named.

They said the family moved in at the end of last year. A female neighbour several doors down said she had seen Iskandar a few times. He was always wearing black tops and did not smile at her.
After he was brought into the custody of Singapore police on Saturday, Iskandar was brought back to the alleged crime scene at 14J Hillside Drive.

A resident, Mr Sam Toh, 53, told Yahoo! Singapore, "I saw the suspect arriving with four police officers in a car. They went in to 14J for about 10 minutes.

"The suspect was wearing a black T-shirt and looked quite muscular."

The businessman added that the suspect had both his hands and feet cuffed.

Toh is relieved that an arrest has been made - his 10-year-old daughter hasn't been able to sleep on her own since the murders happened.

"The whole family have been sleeping in one room," he said.

Generally, the neighbourhood is "quite safe", Toh added, "but there were reports of break-ins recently".

Earlier on Saturday, the police announced that the suspect had been identified as Iskandar bin Rahmat.

He is a senior staff sergeant at Bedok Police Division with 14 years of experience in the force.

Police revealed these details at a press conference Saturday morning, which was chaired by Deputy Prime Minister Teo Chee Hean -- who is also the Coordinating Minister for National Security and Minister for Home Affairs -- and Police Commissioner Ng Joo Hee.

"Today is a sad day for the police," said Ng. "Today, we have arrested a murder suspect who is also a policeman."

He acknowledged that there would be public backlash - "Most of it will be an outcry critical of the police, questioning the quality and integrity of the police officers," he said.

"Even as we investigate the murders, the police also look to find out what has led an individual who has sworn to uphold the law to now stand accused of breaking it in the most grievous way," he added.

DPM Teo said, "No one is above the law. Anyone who breaks the law, in particular officers placed in positions of trust or authority will have to face the full weight of the law. We have zero tolerance for officers who break the law."

Police later added that Iskandar was a former Investigation Officer who was removed from his position as he was facing disciplinary proceedings. Prior to the Kovan murders, he was deployed to perform administrative duties, and was barred from carrying arms.

Relationship with victim unclear

The suspect, 34, was arrested at 11.30pm on Friday night, within 56 hours of the alleged crime, by Malaysian police at a restaurant at Danga Bay, Johor.

He had left Singapore at 11pm on Wednesday, the day of the Kovan deaths, and crossed over to Malaysia on a scooter.

Police say that Iskandar had personal debt issues. He was the police officer attending to elder victim Tan Boon Sin when he made a police report in November 2012. The extent of the relationship between the two is not known.
Read the statement by Commissioner of Police Ng Joo Hee here.

Read the statement by Deputy Prime Minister and Home Affairs Minister Teo Chee Hean here.


HOW WERE THE MURDERS ALLEGEDLY CARRIED OUT?

UPDATE: 34-year-old man arrested in connection with Kovan double murder




(UPDATED 13 July, 7.23am: Singapore police arrest 34-year-old suspect late on Friday evening with help from Malaysian police. )

A 34-year-old man has been arrested in connection with the Kovan double murder late on Friday evening.

"The arrest of the suspect was possible through the close collaboration between the Singapore Police and the Royal Malaysian Police," according to a statement.

The arrest comes after a frantic three-day manhunt after two dead bodies, a father and a son, were found less than a kilometre apart around the Kovan area on Wednesday afternoon.

The body of the younger Tan Chee Heong, 42, was dragged by a car for almost a kilometre. The getaway car, a silver Toyota Camry with the licence plate SGM 14J was found at Block 1084, Eunos Avenue 7, on Thursday.

The elder man has been identified as 67-year-old car business owner Tan Boon Sin. He was found dead in a private home on Hillside Drive. The latter was suspected to have been murdered at the house.
Police followed a blood trail to a private home at Hillside Drive, where they discovered the body of the man's …

According to a neighbour of the older victim, the vehicle belonged to him. They also suspect a connection between the younger victim and driver of the Toyota Camry.

An eyewitness on Wednesdat afternoon said that he saw a body being dragged from a car's rear. He saw the car “dragging it for 10 to 20m” before it was “pushed” from the car near Kovan MRT station.

He added that the man was “barely conscious” and his head was “full of blood”.

The eyewitness also said that there were many motorists honking and one went to check on the victim. Later, he covered the victim's head with a white cloth.

The incident caused a huge traffic jam in Kovan as the three lanes on the left were subsequently blocked by the police, who were also directing traffic.

Neighbours were gathering at Hillside Drive to find out more about the case.

At Hillside Drive, one of the neighbours, a 73-year-old man who wanted to be known as Mr Liang, told Yahoo! Singapore that the deceased older man and his wife "were a nice couple". He added that they had lived in the house for 10 years.

If you have information on the driver or the case, call 1800-255-0000.

 

Thursday, July 11, 2013

11th JULY 2013-STOCKS TODAY SURGE HAS ABSOLUTELY NOTHING TO DO WITH BEN BERNANKE SPEECH OF "HIGHLY ACCOMODATIVE POLICY"



Bernanke: Highly Accommodative Policy Needed for 'Foreseeable Future'

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Published: Wednesday, 10 Jul 2013 | 5:26 PM ET

By: Reuters With CNBC.com


TONIGHT  OR LATEST BY TOMORROW NIGHT,SP500 MUST BREAK 1683.IF NOT,U MUST BE MENTALLY PREPARED OF A 5-6WEEKS OF DOWNTREND TO 1530-1540.

LOOK AT THE PREVIOUS 2 REPITITIVE UPTRENDS AND THEIR CORRESPONDING RETRACEMENTS(NOT MY DEFINITION FOR CORRECTIONS,ALTHOUGH I KNOW THE TEXTBOOK DEFINITION IS ANYTHING 10% OR MORE DROP FROM THE TOP)FOR CLUES.

1)UPTREND ENDED IN 12MAR,2012

2)UPTREND ENDED IN 10SEPT,2012

3)NOW,UPTREND ENDED IN 13MAY 2013

IF SP500 CLOSES HIGHER THAN 1683 BY FRIDAY NIGHT,THEN IT WILL BE UPTREND ALL THE WAY WITHOUT DROPPING TO 1530-1540 1ST.


NEWS AND THEIR LIES,INDEED!!




 

11th JULY 2013-MERCATOR LINES BOMBAY SURGE UP 30% FROM LOWEST 10.59,HIT IN 20TH JUNE 2013!!

20TH JUNE  2013 LOWEST--10.59

JULY 9TH CLOSING-13.92!!!

UP A WHOPPING 30+% IN 2WEEKS!!!

 

Tuesday, July 9, 2013

9th July 201300EXACTLY WHAT I SAID IN THE PREVIOUS POST RIGHT BELOW TODAY'S

Dow Will Hit 60,000 in 20 Years, Ron Baron Says

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Published: Monday, 8 Jul 2013 | 8:45 AM ET

By: | CNBC Senior Talent Producer

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Chip East | Bloomberg | Getty Images
Ron Baron
On June 20, a day when investors were heading for the hills and the market was down sharply, Ron Baron's Baron Capital saw its strongest inflows of the year.
The markets plunged that day after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke indicated the central bank was getting ready to exit its extreme monetary easing program.
When asked about the recent equity market sell-off that accompanied Fed fears, the renowned buy-and-hold investor stressed buying and selling on news is not a good strategy.
(Read More: One Eye on Earnings, the Other on Bonds)
"Money is running from bonds and gold. I think people investing in bonds can have significant capital depreciation over the next several years," he said in an interview.
Baron's Long-Term Theme Picks
Ron Baron, Baron Capital chairman & CEO, shares where he is his seeing long-term investment opportunities in technology and brick &mortar plays.
"Everyone thinks they are advantaged by trading on news. They are not. This is why the average investor in mutual funds makes 3 percent per year while the average mutual fund earns 7 percent per year." Baron added.
"Investors who base their buy and sell decisions on current news generally sell and buy at exactly the wrong times. It's crazy," he continued.
(Read More: Get Ready for Earnings—It's Prove-It Time)
The biggest market mover this summer has been worries the Fed will pull back on its $85 billion a month bond-buying as part of quantitative easing.
"Investors are selling aggressively reacting to news the Fed's announcement that they might slow their open market bond purchases because the economy is steadily improving."
The economic recovery, he said, is the reason why now is a "great time to buy."
(Read More: Job Growth Posts Large Gain in June; Rate Holds)
"Companies have almost doubled their earnings in the past 13 years while stock prices have increased only about 25 percent," he said.
Expecting stock market returns for the next 20 years to approximate the 7 percent annual returns earned by U.S. stocks for generations, Baron quoted Albert Einstein that "the most powerful force in the universe is compound interest."
He said in his opinion based on the compounding effect, "the Dow Jones will be 30,000 in 10 years, 60,000 in 20 years."
Baron is putting his money behind his words.
Some stocks Baron Capital has recently purchased include Concho Resources, Edwards Lifesciences, Hyatt, Caesarstone, Manchester United, Dick's Sporting Goods and Under Armour.
Emphasizing these purchases are not for the short-term, Baron stressed the average length of time his firm holds their stocks is seven years.
"This is the beginning, not the end for stocks." said Baron. "You should not be afraid to invest now."
_By CNBC's Lori Ann LaRocco. Follow her on Twitter

ONLY IDIOTS,MORONS LISTEN TO CURRENT NEWS AND THEIR FUCKING GRANDMOTHER STORIES.TODAY STCKMARKET UP,DATA BAD-NEWS WILL SAY "DIMINISHED HOPES OF FED TAPERING BOOST STOCKS"

THE VERY NEXT DAY,STOCKS SURGE AGAIN ON VERY GOOD DATA,ABOVE EXPECTATIONS-THEN YOU WILL SEE A BUNCH OF SPIN TALL TALES SHITS SAYING"MAYBE THE INVESTORS SHRUG OFF FED TAPERING FEARS AND THE ECONOMY IS REALLY VERY STRONG TO STAND ON ITS OWN FEET"

INVESTORS SUDDENLY HAVE DUAL PERSONALITY,SUDDENLY SO AFRAID OF FED TAPERING,SUDDENLY SO NONCHALANT ABOUT FED TAPERING.

I,AS USUAL,SAY "FUCK YOU,NEWS".MY BLOG HAS ABSOLUTELY ZERO NEWS OF FED TAPERING SHIT,EGYPT POLITICAL TURMOIL SHIT,CHINA SHIT SHIBOR FEARS,PORTUGAL POLITICAL TURMOIL SHIT,ETC.THE DAY I POST CURRENT NEWS IN MY BLOG IS THE DAY I GO TO INSTITUTE OF MENTAL HEALTH FOR TREATMENT OF "SPLIT PERSONALITY" OR "DUAL PERSONALITY".

I BET WITH YOU.ANYBODY WHO OBEY CURRENT NEWS 100% CANNOT EVEN SURVIVE BEING A FULLTIME INVESTOR EVEN FOR 1YEAR
.

Sunday, July 7, 2013

7th July2013-look at the 4 stages of shipping cycle

The Four Stages of the Shipping Cycle

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Helen Akers
Helen Akers specializes in business and technology topics. She has professional experience in business-to-business sales and as a technical support specialist. Akers holds a Master of Business Administration with a marketing concentration from Devry University's Keller Graduate School of Management.


The Four Stages of the Shipping Cycle thumbnail
Older ships may start to accumulate in trading ports within a few weeks of the shipping cycle's peak stage.


The shipping cycle is an economic concept that explains how shipping companies and freight charges respond to supply and demand. It examines how and why ships build up in sea trading ports. The cycle also seeks to explain what affects the selling price of ship fleets and what types of ships sell during slow business periods. The four stages of the shipping cycle, all based on customer demand, are trough, recovery, peak and collapse.

  1. Trough

    • The first stage of the shipping cycle is called a trough. An excess in capacity characterizes a trough. Ships begin to accumulate at trading ports, while others slow down shipments by delaying their arrivals at full ports. Ships still carrying goods also slow down to save on fuel costs. In a trough, freight costs tend to start falling. Freight costs will typically decrease to the equivalent of vessel operating costs. Shipping companies start to experience a negative cash flow, which prompts the selling of inefficient fleet. Selling prices for ships tend to be lower, with some fleet exchanged at salvage rates.

    Recovery

    • Recovery is the second stage of the shipping cycle. In this stage, supply and demand move toward equilibrium, meaning both supply and demand levels match each other closely. Freight charges begin to increase, eventually surpassing operating costs. Shipping containers begin to move out of the trading ports, as demand stimulates new orders. During this stage, optimism about the market remains shaky. The opinion pendulum swings back and forth between optimism and pessimism, resulting in volatility for trade volume. Cash flow tends to improve steadily during the recovery stage.

    Peak

    • The shipping cycle's third stage is a peak or plateau. At this point, the shipping freight rates become quite high --- often double or triple the amount of fleet operating costs. The levels of supply and demand are almost completely equal. Quite a bit of market pressure occurs between supply and demand levels, which could cause the peak to fall at any time. Most of the shipping fleet is in operation, with only the most inefficient ships left to idle in trading ports. Cash flow for shipping companies is quite high.

    Collapse

    • The fourth stage of the shipping cycle, collapse, occurs when supply levels begin to exceed demand. Freight rates begin to decline during a collapse. Shipping containers and fleet begin to accumulate in trading ports once again. Although the cash flow of shipping companies may remain at high levels, ships begin to slow down their operations. They may take longer to deliver goods, and inefficient fleets may not ship goods for some time.



Read more: http://www.ehow.com/info_8466520_four-stages-shipping-cycle.html#ixzz2YLembObl


ISN'T NOW THE TROUGH IN THE SHIPPING CYCLE??MANY SHIPPING COMPANIES WENT BANKRUPT EG. STX PANOCEAN,EXCEL MARITIME,ETC.IF NOW,DONT INVEST IN THE BETTER SHIPPING COMPANIES,THEN WHEN TO INVEST???

WARREN BUFFETT "BUY LOW,SELL HIGH" POLICY IS ALWAYS HARD TO FOLLOW BECAUSE MAJORITY ALWAYS HAS A 1001 EXCUSES TO JUSTIFY THEMSELVES NOT TO ENTER AT LOWS,BUT WHEN STOCK/PROPERTY PRICES SURGE EVERYDAY,THESE MAJORITY IDIOTS WILL THEN HAVE AMNESIA,FORGOT ALL THESE WORRIES AND EXCUSES.

SMART PEOPLE ENTER THE SHIPPING CYCLE NOW.I HATE IT WHEN PEOPLE I SPOKE TO TELL ME I CAN AFFORD TO BE TIED UP.THIS IS A FUCKING FALLACY.RICH PEOPLE ARE NO DIFFERENT FROM MAJORITY PEOPLE.THEY ALSO HAVE COMMITMENTS.

I AM A FULLTIME TRADER AND INVESTOR.I ALSO HAVE COMMITMENTS AS THE REST.I AM A NUS,ONE OF THE WORLD'S TOP UNIVERSITY'S GRADUATE IN ECONOMICS AND MATHEMATICS.I SO CALLED "PUNISH" MYSELF TO BE "JOBLESS" IS BECAUSE I WANT TO DISTANCE MYSELF FROM THE MAJORITY WORKING CLASS WHO CANNOT SEEM TO THINK PROPERLY WHEN IT COMES TO INVESTING AT LOWS.

THESE ARE THE SAME PEOPLE WHO ASK ME WHY I BOUGHT MY COMMERCIAL PROPERTY IN 2005 WHEN SINGAPORE INTEREST RATES ARE MUCH HIGHER THAN NOW.IN THE END,THEY WERE THE ONES WHO RUSH IN TO BUY IN 2011,2012 AFTER SINGAPORE PROPERTIES SURGE UP.THESE SO CALLED "INVESTORS" REALLY PUT THE SANCTITY OF INVESTING TO SHAME.WHEN 1 BUYS AFTER THINGS WENT HIGHER BY 50%,HE IS NOT CALLED AN INVESTOR.HE IS CALLED AN IDIOT.

I "PUNISH" MYSELF TO BE JOBLESS AS I DO NOT NEED A JOB TO PROTECT ME WHEN MY INVESTMENTS GO TERRIBLY WRONG.WHY?BECAUSE I AM NEVER TERRIBLY WRONG AS I ALWAYS BUY AT LOWS.AT THE MOST,I WILL BE TIED TO THAT ASSET FOR 1-2YEARS BEFORE A HUGE SURGE.

BUYING AT LOWS IS ALWAYS SAFER AND GET TIED TO IT FOR MUCH SHORTER PERIOD OF TIME.

IDIOTS CAN NEVER LEARN.THEY DO NOT NEED TO LEARN AS THEY HAVE JOBS TO PROTECT THEM.THAT IS WHY MAJORITY TREAT STOCKS AND PROPERTY INVESTMENTS AS PART TIME MONEY.

Friday, July 5, 2013

5th JULY2013-SHIPPING SECTOR RESCUE PLAN COMING!!

華富新聞:內地再傳政府打救航運業 航運振興計劃有望年內出台(CHINA GOVERNMENT RUMOURED WILL COME OUT WITH SHIPPING SECTOR RESCUE PLAN WITHIN 2013)

相關報價

代號價格升跌
1919.HK3.260.03
2866.HK1.940.01
0368.HK1.900.03
1199.HK9.96-0.06

受到歐債危機、全球經濟不景氣等內外夾擊影響,內地航運業仍在寒冬中步履維艱。穆迪上月發佈的展望報告稱,嚴重的運力過剩問題將會在未來至少18個月內繼續壓制運費。另外美國原油進口量以及歐洲需求量的下滑導致海運發貨量下滑,幹散貨以及原油油輪將會首當其衝。

重壓之下,行業翹首以盼政府出手打救,扭轉內地航運業低迷狀況。據內地央媒引述交通部水運局相關人士消息,由國家發改委、財政部、交通部聯合出台的關於振興航運業的「救助」方案已報國務院審批,最早將於今年十一、最遲不超過今年年底出台。該人士透露,規劃或將針對企業擬定一些臨時性政策,如制定免稅期限,而針對不同的企業,界定的程度也將不一樣。translation:china government will have a shipping sector rescue plan coming out earliest by november 2013,LATEST WILL NOT BE LATER BY END OF 2013.THE PLAN WILL INCLUDE TAX-EXEMPT,ETC.

另外,內地航運巨頭中遠集團昨日管理層發生變動,此前一直有傳言將退休的集團董事長魏家福昨日正式卸任,現任集團總經理的馬澤華接任董事長。此次人事變動未涉及上市公司,魏家福目前仍是中國遠洋(HKSE:1919.HK - 新聞 - 公司資料)董事長,待股東大會改選時才會選出新董事長。中遠集團旗下最重要的上市公司中國遠洋因連續兩年出現巨虧,其A股面臨退市風險,扭虧是新管理層當下面臨的艱巨任務。

繼昨日內地公佈製造業採購經理人指數(PMI)跌至貼近盛衰分界線後,今日內地航運股個別發展,中國遠洋暫升2.9%,報3.5元;中海集運(HKSE:2866.HK - 新聞 - 公司資料)升1.5%,報2.06元;中外運航運(HKSE:0368.HK - 新聞 - 公司資料)升1.1%,報1.88元;中遠太平洋(HKSE:1199.HK - 新聞 - 公司資料)跌0.2%,報10.06元。

-華富財經Quamnet/Jennie-

Quam News
華富財經新聞
網址 : www.quamnet.com

5th july 2013---HOW SIMILAR!!RECORDS OF WHERE HANGSENG WAS, BEFORE AND AFTER EVERY CHINA PLUNGE

HANGSENG BEFORE AND AFTER CHINA DOWNTRENDS,1 & 2, 3 & 4,5 & 6

1 )JUNE2001,HANGSENG AROUND 14K,SHANGHAI COMPOSITE AROUND 2200.
SHANGHAI COMPOSITE PLUNGED 55% IN 4YEARS
2)JUNE TO DEC2005(CHINA DOUBLE BOTTOM AT 1000PTS),HANGSENG WAS ALSO AROUND 14K!!!

3)AUGUST 2009,HANGSENG WAS AROUND 20-21K,SHANGHAI WAS AROUND 3400.
SHANGHAI COMPOSITE THEN PLUNGED 47%

4)NOV2012-JUNE2013,HANGSENG IS ALSO AROUND 20-21K WHEN SHANGHAI WASTED ANOTHER SAME 6-7MONTHS ACHIEVING A DOUBLE BOTTOM.

5)APRIL 1997 ,HANGSENG WAS AT AROUND 12000,SHANGHAI NEAR 1400s

SHANGHAI DROPPED AROUND 30% AND FORMED A BASE

6)APRIL 1999,HANGSENG WAS ALSO AT AROUND 12000,SHANGHAI ALREADY FORMED BOTTOMING at 1100,AND ABOUT TO BREAK OUT OF 1400,7YEAR RESISTANCE




UPTRENDS WHEN USA UPTREND COINCIDE WITH CHINA UPTREND

1)DEC2005-OCT2007,HANGSENG WAS UP 120+%,CHINA WAS UP NEAR 500%,SP500 ON UPTREND

2)april 1999 to august 2000,HANGSENG WAS UP AROUND 50%,CHINA WAS UP NEAR 100%,SP500 ON UPTREND

3) NEXT WILL DEFINITELY BE 2013JUNE TO AROUND 2014OCT.RECORDS HAVE SHOWN THAT NEAR FINALE OF UPTRENDS,CHINA SURGE WITH USA UPTREND TIMING HAS TO "COINCIDE"




 

Thursday, July 4, 2013

4th july 2013-ALL RICH PEOPLE's MONEY DO NOT COME OUT OF NOWHERE!!

SAVVY RICH PEOPLE HAVE TO TAKE RISKS IN THE MARKETS TO GET TO WHERE THEY ARE TODAY.

IF THE RICH CAN DO IT,THERE IS NO REASON WHY POOR CANNOT DO IT.PLEASE STOP PROCASTINATING,SAY THAT POOR DO NOT HAVE MUCH ASSETS LIKE THE RICH, OR NOT ENOUGH MONEY TO INVEST DUE TO FAMILY COMMITMENTS.

THEN PLEASE DO NOT WHINE THAT INFLATION GOES UP STEADILY TO ERODE YOUR CAPITAL.

EVEN, I AM A STRONG ADVOCATOR OF BUY LOW,SELL HIGH.BUT EVEN WHEN I BOUGHT AT LOWS OR LOWEST,IT DOES NOT GUARANTEE UNDERVALUED WILL IMMEDIATELY SHOOT UP.LOOK AT SINGAPORE PROPERTIES SECTOR.I BOUGHT IN 2005,1+YEAR AFTER SARS.I WAS ALSO TIED TO IT,NOT EARNING ANY PROFITS FOR MORE THAN A YEAR.

EVEN WHEN I BUY SHIPPING STOCKS MASSIVELY NOW,IT ALSO DOES NOT MEAN THAT IT WILL ENABLE ME TO EARN MY NEXT MILLION ANY TIME SOON.

EVEN WHEN I AM TIED TO ASSETS AT LOWS,IT IS ALWAYS BETTER THAN GET TIED UP TO ASSETS AT HIGHS.

I HATE TO HEAR SHIT THAT POOR ALWAYS GIVE LAME EXCUSES TO AVOID INVESTING IN THE STOCKMARKET BUT ARE THE ONES WHO ALWAYS WHINE OF INFLATION.NOBODY IS GOING TO SERVE MONEY ON A PLATTER FOR YOU.

PLEASE WAKE UP!

4th July2013-IS WILBUR ROSS GOING TO SHOWHAND ALL HIS NET WORTH INTO SHIPPING STOCKS???IF HE DOES,I BETTER TOO!!

Aug 14, 2012, 10:50am EDT

Palm Beach billionaire Wilbur Ross acquires shipping company out of bankruptcy

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Wilbur Ross Jr.
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WL Ross & Co., the investment firm headed by Palm Beach billionaire Wilbur Ross Jr., agreed to buy shipping firm Navigator Holdings out of bankruptcy.
The New York-based firm struck a deal with Lehman Brothers to purchase 4.4 million shares of the company for $110 million. WL Ross already had 3.5 million shares of Navigator so the new deal would give it more than 50 percent ownership.
With offices in New York and London, Navigator has 14 gas carriers and delivers mostly to developing countries.
“We see substantial opportunities in the global transportation industry, particularly rail and marine transport,” Ross stated in a news release. “Navigator is a leader in the handy-sized shipping segment, which has excellent fundamentals and a positive long-term outlook as global shifts in demand for liquified petroleum gas and other petrochemicals increase opportunities for efficient, flexible marine transportation providers.”
Forbes ranked Ross the 206th wealthiest person in the U.S. with a net worth of $2.2 billion as of March.
Other WL Ross investments include a substantial stake in Miami Lakes-based BankUnited (NYSE: BKU).

The Sector That Billionaire Investor Wilbur Ross Is Most Optimistic About

Billionaire investor Wilbur Ross earlier this month once again suggested that the shipping industry is ripe for investment, presenting a handful of good stocks to buy now.
Ross knows how to spot a beaten-down sector and turn its brightest opportunities into mega-profits. This “vulture investor” previously invested in troubled sectors like coal, steel, and auto parts and cashed out years later with enormous gains.
This time, appearing on CNBC, Ross said that shipping companies were the next growth story.
In fact, earlier this year Ross told Bloomberg TV that he plans to invest as much as $2.5 billion in the shipping sector.
Here’s why Ross is looking for good stocks to buy now in this beleaguered industry.
Why These Shipping Names Make Good Stocks to Buy Now
By all accounts the global shipping industry has been distressed for several years now.
Overcapacity has been a serious problem since 2007 when a record level of capacity was added – just before the economy collapsed. Ross pointed out that shipping companies over-ordered new vessels prior to the global economic slowdown and rates plummeted along with vessel prices.
Cumulative losses in the industry have run to more than $7 billion in the past four years, according to industry analysts.
Container ships carry 90% of global trade and need an economic recovery for boom times to return. As we have seen that is taking longer to develop than most had hoped.
But the overcapacity has led to older, less fuel-efficient ships being scrapped. That’s why Ross said the lease rates are nearing a bottom – the extra storage space is being eliminated.
Pricing has fallen by 80%, but Ross said the market will now begin to stabilize and start growing again in 2014.
Commerzbank analysts recently told investors that, like Ross, they expect business to stabilize at today’s weak levels before improving in the second half of 2014.
Ross is raising $500 million for a private equity fund to find good stocks to buy now in shipping. He already has a controlling stake in Navigator Holdings Ltd., a major shipping concern.
Good Stocks to Buy Now as Shipping Recovers
As the economy works toward recovery over the next couple years, shipping stocks appear to offer an extraordinary opportunity. Most of the publicly traded shipping stocks trade at very low valuation based on total assets and earnings potential.
But as the industry turns around, these stocks could easily become market leaders and trade at two to three times their current share price.
Here are a couple stocks to buy now if you want to scoop up low-priced shares of a recovering sector. They have yields exceeding 5% and one-year price targets around 20% higher than their current share price.
Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd. (NYSE: TNP) remains a favorite of many as a way to invest in the global economic recovery in general and shipping specifically. The company owns a fleet of 48 vessels that transport crude oil and petroleum products around the globe. The company has an average of 3.2 years per vessel of forward employment, which is expected to generate more than $1 billion in revenue.
Tsakos uses fixed medium to longer term contracts with profit-sharing arrangements that customers often find favorable and are able to maintain a high utilization rate as a result.
The company also has an investment in one of the few current growth situations in shipping: the transportation of liquefied natural gas.
The shares currently trade at just 20% of their tangible book value in the current depressed market. In 2007, the stock traded at a premium to tangible book and reached price levels ten times the current quotation. If they recovered half that much it would represent an enormous gain for investors willing to buy in a tough market.
The stock currently yields more than 5% so you get paid to wait for a recovery.
International Shipholding Corp. (NYSE: ISH) is a U.S.-based shipping company that will also benefit from the recovery. The company has both international and domestic vessels that are protected under the Jones Act for U.S. port-to-port shipping, which means they are built, owned, operated and manned by U.S. citizens. The company also operates bulk shipping as well as pure auto and truck carriers and container ships.
In total, ISH has a fleet of 46 vessels serving niche markets. Unlike most shippers, International Shipholding has a continual strong of annual profits over the past decade.
It also pays a generous dividend with the shares currently yielding 5.58%.
The stock trades at one-half of tangible book value and less than one-half the five-year high stock price. A recovery in the economy should see the stock price reward patient investors handsomely.
If Ross is as right about shipping as he has been about other industries in the past, these are good stocks to buy now before the recovery takes hold.
–Tim Melvin

WILBUR ROSS GOING TO INVEST AS MUCH AS $2.5BN IN  SHIPPING STOCKS WHEN HIS NET WORTH IS ALSO NEAR $2.5BN?????OH MY GOD!IS IT A SHOWHAND??