30TH NOVEMBER 2012-2012 VS 2010 CONSOLIDATIONS IN HANGSENG INDEX:TIME INTERVALS, AND INDEX VALUE FORMATION HEIGHTS ARE SO "COINCIDENTALLY" PLANNED TO BE IN RATIO OF 2:1

ALL VALUES ARE TAKEN TO BE APPROXIMATE(time)SO THAT THE GENERAL PATTERN IN CANDLESTICK CAN BE SEEN VERY CLEARLY,EG.HANGSENG IN OCT 2011 PLUNGED TO 16.1K,BUT THE BASE WAS BUILT AT 18K,NOT AT 16.1K

4 similarities CANNOT BE SO "COINCIDENTAL".CONSOLIDATION OF 2010 VS CONSOLIDATION OF 2012 IS IN A RATIO OF 1:2 NO MATTER IN TERMS OF TIME INTERVALS BETWEEN BOTTOMS,TOPS AND FORMATION HEIGHT.

NEW EVIDENCE TO SUPPORT MY PREVIOUS PREDICTION OF HANGSENG 24-25K BY APRIL/MAY 2013 IS DAMN REAL!!

WITH NOW SHANGHAI COMPOSITE PLUNGED WHEN HANGSENG INDEX MOVED UP FROM JUNE 4TH 2012 TILL NOW MAKES ME REALISE THAT 26-27K,FULFILLED WHEN HEIGHT OF 4K IS ADDED TO THE BREAKOUT RESISTANCE LEVEL OF 22K, IS REASONABLE BY THE SAME TIME PERIOD APRIL-JUNE2013

28th november 2012-WHY I NEVER BUY OLAM FROM 2003,YEAR I STARTED BUYING STOCKS UNTIL TODAY-DUE TO LOW PROFIT MARGINS OF THE INDUSTRY LIKE NOBLE,OLAM

Olam International Ltd (O32.SI)

-SES

1.50 0.06(3.85%) 17:04 SGT

Add to Portfolio

Key Statistics Get Key Statistics for:
Data provided by Capital IQ, except where noted. Valuation Measures Market Cap (intraday)5: 3.59B Enterprise Value (Nov 28, 2012)3: 10.72B Trailing P/E (ttm, intraday): 9.87 Forward P/E (fye Jun 30, 2014)1: 7.14 PEG Ratio (5 yr expected)1: 0.50 Price/Sales (ttm): 0.20 Price/Book (mrq): 1.13 Enterprise Value/Revenue (ttm)3: 0.58 Enterprise Value/EBITDA (ttm)6: 11.11 Financial Highlights Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Ends: 30 Jun Most Recent Quarter (mrq): Sep 30, 2012 Profitability Profit Margin (ttm): 2.04% Operating Margin (ttm): 4.38% Management Effectiveness Return on Assets (ttm): 3.72% Return on Equity (ttm): 12.36% Income Statement Revenue (ttm): 18.58B Revenue Per Share (ttm): 7.67 Qtrly Revenue Growth (yoy): 45.00% Gross Profit (ttm): 1.33B EBITDA (ttm)6: 964.18M Net Income Avl to Common (ttm): 379.87M Diluted EPS (ttm): 0.15 Qtrly Earnings Growth (yoy): 26.20% Balance Sheet Total Cash (mrq): 1.38B Total Cash Per Share (mrq): 0.58 Total Debt (mrq): 8.37B Total Debt/Equity (mrq): 244.69 Current Ratio (mrq): 1.61 Book Value Per Share (mrq): 1.38 Cash Flow Statement Operating Cash Flow (ttm): 29.75M Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm): -661.55M View Financials Income Statement - Balance Sheet - Cash Flow		ADVERTISEMENT Trading Information Stock Price History Beta: N/A 52-Week Change3: -31.88% S&P500 52-Week Change3: 12.19% 52-Week High (Feb 8, 2012)3: 2.76 52-Week Low (Jun 4, 2012)3: 1.53 50-Day Moving Average3: 1.88 200-Day Moving Average3: 1.89 Share Statistics Avg Vol (3 month)3: 16,403,300 Avg Vol (10 day)3: 57,112,000 Shares Outstanding5: 2.39B Float: 1.37B % Held by Insiders1: N/A % Held by Institutions1: N/A Shares Short 3: N/A Short Ratio 3: N/A Short % of Float 3: N/A Shares Short (prior month)3: N/A Dividends & Splits Forward Annual Dividend Rate4: N/A Forward Annual Dividend Yield4: N/A Trailing Annual Dividend Yield3: N/A Trailing Annual Dividend Yield3: N/A 5 Year Average Dividend Yield4: N/A Payout Ratio4: N/A Dividend Date3: N/A Ex-Dividend Date4: N/A Last Split Factor (new per old)2: N/A Last Split Date3: N/A
See Key Statistics Help for definitions of terms used. Abbreviation Guide: K = Thousands; M = Millions; B = Billions mrq = Most Recent Quarter (as of Sep 30, 2012) ttm = Trailing Twelve Months (as of Sep 30, 2012) yoy = Year Over Year (as of Sep 30, 2012) lfy = Last Fiscal Year (as of Jun 30, 2012) fye = Fiscal Year Ending1 Data provided by Thomson Reuters2 Data provided by EDGAR Online3 Data derived from multiple sources or calculated by Yahoo! Finance4 Data provided by Morningstar, Inc.5 Shares outstanding is taken from the most recently, filed quarterly or annual report while Market Cap is calculated using shares outstanding.6 EBITDA is calculated by Capital IQ. This methodology may be different from that used by a company in its reporting Currency in SGD. Mercator Lines (Singapore) Limited (EE6.SI) -SES 0.1150 0.00(0.00%) 3:29PM GMT+08:00 Add to Portfolio Key Statistics Get Key Statistics for: Data provided by Capital IQ, except where noted. Valuation Measures Market Cap (intraday)5: 143.99M Enterprise Value (Nov 28, 2012)3: 380.04M Trailing P/E (ttm, intraday): 57.50 Forward P/E (fye Mar 31, 2014)1: N/A PEG Ratio (5 yr expected)1: N/A Price/Sales (ttm): 1.02 Price/Book (mrq): 0.37 Enterprise Value/Revenue (ttm)3: 2.70 Enterprise Value/EBITDA (ttm)6: 7.68 Financial Highlights Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Ends: 31 Mar Most Recent Quarter (mrq): Sep 30, 2012 Profitability Profit Margin (ttm): 1.70% Operating Margin (ttm): 7.07% Management Effectiveness Return on Assets (ttm): 0.94% Return on Equity (ttm): 0.60% Income Statement Revenue (ttm): 140.72M Revenue Per Share (ttm): 0.11 Qtrly Revenue Growth (yoy): 1.00% Gross Profit (ttm): 54.00M EBITDA (ttm)6: 49.48M Net Income Avl to Common (ttm): 2.39M Diluted EPS (ttm): 0.00 Qtrly Earnings Growth (yoy): N/A Balance Sheet Total Cash (mrq): 6.39M Total Cash Per Share (mrq): 0.01 Total Debt (mrq): 236.18M Total Debt/Equity (mrq): 60.30 Current Ratio (mrq): 1.11 Book Value Per Share (mrq): 0.31 Cash Flow Statement Operating Cash Flow (ttm): 35.00M Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm): 17.63M View Financials Income Statement - Balance Sheet - Cash Flow ADVERTISEMENT Trading Information Stock Price History Beta: N/A 52-Week Change3: -2.54% S&P500 52-Week Change3: 12.19% 52-Week High (Feb 14, 2012)3: 0.19 52-Week Low (Nov 22, 2012)3: 0.11 50-Day Moving Average3: 0.11 200-Day Moving Average3: 0.12 Share Statistics Avg Vol (3 month)3: 84,075 Avg Vol (10 day)3: 137,857 Shares Outstanding5: 1.25B Float: 346.07M % Held by Insiders1: N/A % Held by Institutions1: N/A Shares Short 3: N/A Short Ratio 3: N/A Short % of Float 3: N/A Shares Short (prior month)3: N/A Dividends & Splits Forward Annual Dividend Rate4: N/A Forward Annual Dividend Yield4: N/A Trailing Annual Dividend Yield3: 0.00 Trailing Annual Dividend Yield3: 1.70% 5 Year Average Dividend Yield4: N/A Payout Ratio4: N/A Dividend Date3: N/A Ex-Dividend Date4: N/A Last Split Factor (new per old)2: N/A Last Split Date3: N/A See Key Statistics Help for definitions of terms used. Abbreviation Guide: K = Thousands; M = Millions; B = Billions mrq = Most Recent Quarter (as of Sep 30, 2012) ttm = Trailing Twelve Months (as of Sep 30, 2012) yoy = Year Over Year (as of Sep 30, 2012) lfy = Last Fiscal Year (as of Mar 31, 2012) fye = Fiscal Year Ending1 Data provided by Thomson Reuters2 Data provided by EDGAR Online3 Data derived from multiple sources or calculated by Yahoo! Finance4 Data provided by Morningstar, Inc.5 Shares outstanding is taken from the most recently, filed quarterly or annual report while Market Cap is calculated using shares outstanding.6 EBITDA is calculated by Capital IQ. This methodology may be different from that used by a company in its reporting Currency in SGD. LET US COMPARE MERCATOR EVEN WHEN BDI AT NEAR 25YEAR LOWEST,IT IS STILL PROFITABLE AND ITS PROFIT MARGINS IS ROUGHLY SIMILAR TO OLAM PROFIT MARGINS,A COMMODITY TRADER. MERCATOR DEBT RATIO IS LOWER THAN OLAM. MERCATOR LEVERED FREE CASH FLOW IS STILL POSITIVE WITH OPERATING CASH FLOW 25% OF ITS MARKET CAP!!OLAM LEVERED FREE CASH FLOW IS NEGATIVE!!! this available fundamentals information is available in http://sg.finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=EE6.SI and http://sg.finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=O32.SI below article from http://www.ehow.com/info_10012156_important-balance-sheet-cash-flow.html -What Is More Important, the Balance Sheet or Cash Flow? X Neil Kokemuller Neil Kokemuller has been an active writer and content media website developer since 2007. He wrote regular feature articles for LiveCharts for three years and has been a college marketing professor since 2004. He has four years of additional professional experience in marketing, retail and small business, and he holds a Master of Business Administration from Iowa State University. By Neil Kokemuller, eHow Contributor Everything a company does is ultimately intended to earn cash. The textbook response to the question of which financial statement is the most important is that all are equally important, and together provide a total financial view of the company. Many would point to the balance sheet because it is regarded as the best overall financial picture of the company. However, Matt Richey of "The Motley Fool" says the cash flow statement is what many investors are truly most concerned with. Other People Are Reading How to Produce a Statement of Cash Flow The Importance of Balance Sheets in a Business Print this article Balance Sheet Basics The balance sheet lays out a company's assets, liabilities and the owner's equity. Assets are items of value owned by the company, and include current assets, such as cash and cash accounts, as well as property, plants and equipment, and investments. Liabilities are short-term and long-term debt obligations of the company. Owners' equity is the difference between the two, which is the net worth of the company if it sold all its assets for cash and paid off its liabilities. Argument for Importance As noted, the most common argument in support of the balance sheet as the most important financial report is that it gives the broadest picture of the company's financial position. A comparison of assets to debt lets you know how leveraged the company is by debt. A debt-to-equity ratio calculation compares your debt to the worth of the company. Managers, creditors and investors are all concerned with the level of liabilities a company has, compared to its assets and worth. Cash Flow Basics The cash flow statement shows the change in cash flow during a given period of one month, a quarter or a year. It is typically broken into operating, financing, investing and supplemental information sections. Operating activities are often viewed as most useful, because it is the primary area from which the company generates income. Cash flow in each section is increased or decreased from a prior period, and a total net change in cash flow for the period is the final calculation. Argument for Importance In his article "The Most Important Financial Statement," Richey pointed out that no matter what happens on the rest of the financial statements, investors are ultimately interested in how much cash the company has to work with. Along with serving as an indicator of company financial health, the cash flow shows investors whether the company has cash to pay dividends. Company leaders, suppliers and employees all have direct interest in whether the company has a strong cash position. Without cash, the company will have a hard time operating and growing.  p.s. i do NOT OWN ANY OLAM SHORTS NOR OLAM LONGS

24th nov2012-this week is the 1st week of the 9th 10+weeks uptrend IN SP500

this is 1st week of the 9th 10+weeks uptrend.BUT how to caution yourselves against correction?

NO WEEK OF THE FOLLOWING 10+WEEKS MUST CLOSE ON A FRIDAY BELOW LAST FRIDAY'S CLOSING 1359.IF IT DOES,THEN IT SIGNAL 9TH 10+WEEKS IS NO MORE AND CORRECTION COMING.
I KNOW THIS ALGORITHM VERY WELL AND JUST ALGORITHM IS ENOUGH BECAUSE I AM EMOTIONALLY DEAF AND  BLIND TO NEWS.

22nd november 2012-REPEAT TELECAST OF SAME DRAMA

22 NOVEMBER 2012-REPEAT TELECAST of MARCH 2009 MAIN INDEX BOTTOM SCENARIO

DRYSHIPS WENT 10+% LOWER OF 1.75 TO 1.40s AND EAGLE WENT 10% LOWER FROM 2.51 LOWEST TO THE CURRENT 2.30 LOWEST,BUT MERCATOR,ASIAN SHIP DID NOT,SOMEHOW BEING KEPT AT AROUND 11CENTS,SAME BOTTOM.THIS IS IN LINE WITH MARCH 2009, SP500 GOING 10+% LOWER FROM NOV 2008 LOWEST OF 741 TO 666 IN MARCH 2009 BUT HSI,STI BEING MAINTAINED AT 2008OCT LOWS.

WHY SHIPS FOLLOW MAIN INDEX?BECAUSE THIS IS THE FINAL LOW OF THE SHIPPING CYCLE.I HAVE BEEN IN THE STOCKMARKET FOR SO LONG,FINAL LOWS OR TOPS CANNOT ESCAPE MY EYES.

20th november 2012- dejavu of march 2009!I LOVE DE JAVUs

early march 2009- sti, hangseng went back to oct 2008 lows BUT sp500 went lower than the nov 2008 lows of 741 by 10+% to 666. BDI already started surging since oct2008 lows.

NOW,NOV 2012-mercator went back to the lowest 11cents,whereas usa ships like dryships and eagle went lower than their ALL TIME LOWEST of 1.75 usd and 2.51 usd by 10+% TO 1.40s usd AND 2.30s usd RESPECTIVELY.BDI ALSO SURGED UP SINCE SEPT2012.

WHAT WAS MY STRATEGY IN MARCH 2009????

I DID NOT BUY DURING EARLY MARCH 2009 WHEN SP500 HIT 666.I BOUGHT HEAVILY IN END OF MARCH 2009 WHEN SP500 RETURNED ABOVE THE BREAKDOWN POINT OF 741 TO 800 IN THE 3RD-4TH WEEK OF MARCH 2009.I NEEDED A CONFIRMATION THAT THE BREAKDOWN IN SP500 WAS FAKE,AND AFTER I GOT IT,I WHACKED STOCKS AS IF THERE WAS NO TOMORROW,AT JUNE 2009 START,ROLLING TO  ABOUT S$200K FROM A CAPITAL OF S$30K IN 3RD WEEK OF MARCH 2009.

I WILL REPEAT MY STRATEGY BACK AGAIN-WHEN DRYSHIPS AND EAGLE RETURNED BACK ABOVE THEIR BREAKDOWN POINTS,I WILL WHACK LIKE NO TOMORROW IN MERCATOR LINES.

TILL THEN.AU REVOIR.
SAID ON 20TH NOVEMEBER 2012

17TH NOV 2012-HOW TO KNOW UPTREND?OR STILL IN RETRACEMENT?

what are the characteristics of 1st week up?

1)thurs/friday up 2% in one day or both days combine MORE THAN 2%
2)fridays MUST NEVER PLUNGE MORE THAN 2%
3)total week gains must be MORE THAN 2%(MUST be PRESENT)

UP TO NOW,THE 9TH WEEK OF RETRACEMENT,NONE OF THE 9WEEKS SHOW ANY OF THESE CHARACTERISTICS,SO HAPPY WAITING!!

LET US COMPARE THE MYSTERIOUS FRIDAYS OF UPTRENDS WITH THE FRIDAYS OF RETRACEMENT PERIODS

8TH 10+WEEKS UP FROM JUNE 4 TO SEPT 10TH WEEK
sp500
1)JUNE 8TH FRIDAY- +10
2)JUNE 15TH FRIDAY- +13
3)JUNE 22ND FRIDAY- +9
4)JUNE 29TH FRIDAY- +32
5)JULY 6TH FRIDAY- -11
6)JULY 13TH FRIDAY- +22
7)JULY 20TH FRIDAY- -13
8)JULY 27TH FRIDAY- +26
9)AUG 3RD FRIDAY- +26
10)AUG 10TH FRIDAY- +3
11)AUG 17TH FRIDAY- +2
12)AUG 24TH FRIDAY- +10
13)AUG 31ST FRIDAY- +6
14)SEPT 7TH FRIDAY- +5
15)SEPT 14TH FRIDAY- +5

NINE RETRACEMENT WEEKS SO FAR

1)SEPT 21ST FRIDAY- FLAT
2)SEPT 28TH FRIDAY- -7
3)OCT 5TH FRIDAY- -1
4)OCT 12TH FRIDAY- -4
5)OCT 19TH FRIDAY- -24
6)OCT 26TH FRIDAY- -1
7)NOV 2ND FRIDAY- -13
8)NOV 9TH FRIDAY- +2
9)NOV 16TH FRIDAY- +6

15th nov 2012-watch for tonight and/or friday night of surge of 2% in one day or >2% total gains in two days

AS ABOVE.
SAME OLD MONDAY-WEDNESDAYS DROP
LET US SEE WHETHER THURS OR/AND FRIDAY WILL SATISFY ABOVE CRITERIA.
IF IT IS,THEN IT IS 1ST WEEK UP OF THE 9TH 10+WEEKS UP in SP500

14th nov2012-my beautiful cantonese poem to criticise media people bullshit

賺錢無道德
胡說八道亦得
我唔理佢寫乜
因佢心腸一片黑
灼熱精神全失
只知薪金無得失

MY BEAUTIFUL CANTONESE POEM ATTACKING LIES THAT MEDIA SAY.
WHAT HOT MONEY?NOVEMBER 2,MEDIA SAY "HOT MONEY BRINGS HANGSENG TO 15MONTH HIGH" WHY SUDDENLY 7 WORKING DAYS LATER,HANGSENG'S "HOT MONEY" NO MORE,CAN PLUNGE TO 21.1K,DROP OF 1,000 POINTS???

I "LOVE" YAHOO.COM.HK-NOV 2-"熱錢停不了 港股破22000點 創15月高".MEAN "HOT MONEY CANNOT BE STOPPED,HANGSENG 15MONTH HIGH".

SUDDENLY THIS FUCK HOT MONEY SUDDENLY CAN BE STOPPED AND HANGSENG CAN PLUNGE 1000POINTS IN 7WORKING DAYS??WHAT THE FUCK??WHY CANT MEDIA EXPLAIN IT IS PURPOSELY PUMP UP THE VOLUME AND DUMP AT 22K?OTHERWISE WHY IS THERE IN TECHNICALS THERE IS A TERMINOLOGY CALLED "PUMP AND DUMP"?

THIS FUCK "HOT MONEY" IS EVEN WORSE THAN MY EVER HOT COCK,SUDDENLY CAN TURN COLD,JUST RIGHT AFTER HANGSENG HIT 22.1K. all these fuck media people for sake of anyhow explain,create fanciful terms to anyhow meet their deadline.

I DID NOT CRITICISE TODAY ONLY.I CRITICISED LONG AGO,ON NOV 3,2012,LONG BEFORE HANGSENG PLUNGED 1000POINTS

13th november 2012-after yahoo.com.hk reported on 3rd november 2012-"熱錢停不了 港股破22000點 創15月高"-IN ENGLISH IT MEANS HOT MONEY CANNOT BE STOPPED,HANGSENG AT 15MONTH HIGH.SUDDENLY HOT MONEY STOPPED,AND HANGSENG KEPT ON PLUNGING FROM 3RD NOV PEAK?!!

"熱錢停不了 港股破22000點 創15月高"

-FROM YAHOO.COM.HK ON 2ND NOVEMBER 2012,HANGSENG AT 22.1K

TODAY 13TH NOVEMEBR 2012-HANGSENG AT 21.1K,DROPPED A TOTAL OF 1000 POINTS IN 7 WORKING DAYS!!

WHAT HAPPENED TO THE SO HOT MONEY??SUDDENLY STOPPED??MEDIA PEOPLE,PLEASE DONT USE EXCUSES,NONSENSE EXCUSE OF "HOT MONEY" THEORYTO COVER UP YOUR INABILITY TO EXPLAIN.

HANGSENG AT 22.1K IS A CLEAR RESISTANCE,NOTHING TO DO WITH HOT MONEY,IT IS A CLEAR EXAMPLE OF PUMP AND DUMP

12th nov 2012-why everything matches to a tee?

I BELIEVE THERE WILL BE TWO MORE 10+WEEKS UP DUE TO 3 VERY "COINCIDENTAL" TRENDS.

1) sp500 micro trend within 3rd hump has a maintain 100points after each retracement,1158-1266-1373-1475?-1576? pattern of ALREADY COMPLETED (+250,-150,+200,-100), AND PROJECTED +150,-50,+100 TO 1576

2)dryships has also  two important technical targets to meet,1ST:US $3.84- US $4 2ND:US 4+2=US$6

3)DRYS at us$6 also matches the pattern of sp500 on completion of each hump.1st hump,drys at 6.50,2nd hump at $6.20,in last 10+weeks up of 3rd hump drys should be at around $6

12th november 2012-shanghai listed electric,shipping and coal stocks are telling us a story

what story?

1)electric stocks and coal stocks and shipping stocks are all interrelated to each other.that is why electric co. charts and shipping co. charts are exact replica.electric co. charts are already starting the rebound up after hitting double bottom with oct2008 lows,whereas shipping hasn't.BUT BDI HAS STARTED A 40+% REBOUND FROM SEPT 2012

2)coal co. charts in nov 2012 are around their oct2007 highs,showing strength.

3)shanghai composite forming an inverse head and shoulders,plus my calculated 8months projection from sept2012 lows to may2013 around 2600-2700

4)sp500 also hit support as depicted by the chart,starting the 9th 10+weeks up anytime soon.VERY POSSIBLE THIS WEEK START 12TH NOV 2012 DUE TO THE A)SINCE SEPT19 WEEK, SP500 ALTERNATING WEEK 1WEEK DOWN,NEXT WEEK UP PATTERN AND B)HITTING BOTH SUPPORT LINES: FROM THE NOV28 2011,JUN4 2012 POINTS AND THE OTHER SUPPORT LINE FROM THE RETRACEMENT FROM SEPT19 WEEK 2012.

5)fellow drybulk stocks like dryships is consolidating around between 2 to 4 usd.IF IT IS BREAKDOWN DOWNWARDS,IT WILL MEAN TECHNICAL TARGET ZERO!!HAHAHA IMPOSSIBLE PROVIDED IT DOES NOT GO BANKRUPT.HENCE DRYS IS MORE LIKELY TO BREAK OUT UPWARDS RATHER THAN DOWNWARDS.

WHAT TO LOOK OUT FOR TO NOTICE THE 1ST WEEK UP SIGNAL??

1)SP500 MUST HAVE A 2% OR MORE RISE IN WEEKLY GAINS THIS WEEK.

2)EITHER THURSDAY OR/AND FRIDAY MUST HAVE A SURGE OF NEAR 2% IN 1 DAY OR FRIDAYS MUST NOT PLUNGE

what to target? SHIPPING STOCKS due to the above reasons,AS THERE IS NO REASON WHY ELECTRICITY STOCKS START REBOUND UP AND COAL STOCKS ARE NOWHeRE NEAR 2008OCT LOWS,shipping stocks won't follow.SHIPPING STOCKS WILL BE THE ONES TO MOVE NOW

9th nov 2012-i criticised the famous idiots' "fundsflow theory" on nov 3rd 2012.HANGSENG HAS BEEN FALLING SINCE THAT DAY OF HIGHEST VOLUME!!

"3rd november 2012-IDOTS' EXPLANATION-HIGHEST VOLUME=FUNDS FLOW THEORY=ALWAYS ATTHE HIGHEST!!HAHA!so clear hangseng at 1st major resistance,u draw the diagonal downtrendline of 2 highest peaks,u will get it to rest at 22.1K

熱錢停不了 港股破22000點 創15月高"

IN THE END,FROM 3RD NOVEMBER 2012 TILL TODAY,HANGSENG PLUNGE DOWN VERY FAST TO 21384.

"Goldman Sachs Says Hong Kong Set to Benefit Most from Quantitative Easing

By Nick Gentle - Nov 3, 2010 8:04 AM

Goldman Sach Group Inc. raised its 12-month target for Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index to 29,000, saying the city has the most to gain from extra liquidity released by quantitative easing programs and China’s growth. ..."

IN THE END,HANGSENG PLUNGED TO 16100 IN 2011.WHAT HAPPEN TO THE FUNDS FLOW????BY SAYING THIS,MEDIA IS HINTING THAT THE HOT FUNDS FROM FUND MANAGERS ARE ALL IDIOTS,RUSH IN AT THE HIGHEST????
FUND MANAGERS ARE ALL IDIOTS?LOVE TO RUSH IN AT 25,000 IN NOV2010,BUT WHEN THE PLUNGE TO 16100 COMES,WHY NO MORE REPORTS OF "FUNDS FLOW"??FUNDS WILLING TO PAY A PREMIUM OF 40% MORE TO GET THEMSELVES TIED UP????NEWS ARE HINTING FUND MANAGERS ARE ALL IDIOTS!!

NEWS RECAP IN RED COLOUR

9th nov 2012-"FISCAL KISS MY ASS HEATHCLIFF"

WHAT THE FUCK IS FISCAL CLIFF?

United States fiscal cliff

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Jump to: navigation, search

Budget deficits, projected through 2022. The "CBO Baseline" shows the effects of the fiscal cliff under current law. The "Alternative Scenario" represents what would happen if Congress extends the Bush tax cuts and repeals the Budget Control Act-mandated spending reductions beyond the end of 2012.

The United States fiscal cliff refers to the effect of a series of enacted legislation which, if unchanged, will result in tax increases, spending cuts, and a corresponding reduction in the budget deficit at the end of 2012.^[1] These laws include tax increases due to the expiration of the Tax Relief, Unemployment Insurance Reauthorization, and Job Creation Act of 2010 and the spending reductions ("sequestrations") under the Budget Control Act of 2011....

HAHAHA DONT SPEND ALSO WRONG.NOW SPEND TOO MUCH,GOT HUGE DEFICIT,ALSO WRONG.THEN HOW TO REVIVE ECONOMY?U KNOW HEATHCLIFF THE CAT??I RATHER SEE HEATHCLIFF THE CAT CARTOON THAN LISTEN TO ALL THESE SHIT ABOUT FISCAL CLIFF,USA PRES ELECTIONS,EUROPE CRISIS,USA SUBPRIME,CDO,SHIT

WHY WOULD THE USA GOVERNMENT WORRY ABOUT ITS HUGE DEBT WHEN ITS GDP IS ALSO VERY HIGH??FUCK NEWS!!

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Debt-to-GDP_ratio
In 2011 United States public debt-to-GDP ratio was about 100%. ^[1] The level of public debt in Japan in 2011 was 204% of GDP.^[2] The level of public debt in Germany in the same year was 85% of GDP. ^[3] Almost a third of US public debt of USD 16 trillion is held by foreign countries, particularly China and Japan. ^[4] Conversely, less than 5% of Japanese public debt is held by foreign countries

9TH NOVEMBER 2012-I AM SO PROUD TO SPOT THIS TREND AS IT HAPPENED THE 2ND TIME!!HOW CAN THE UPTREND,DOWNTREND AMOUNTS BE SO "COINCIDENTAL??

PRESENTING---SP500 FUTURE TWO 10+WEEKS UP INSIDE THE 3RD MACRO HUMP WITH EVIDENCE!!ONLY AFTER SP500 TOUCH DOWN FOR THE 2ND TIME,I IMMEDIATELY SEE THE PATTERN!!THAT IS THE MINIMUM,RIGHT?AS YOU NEED MINIMUM TWO POINTS TO DRAW A LINE OR A PATTERN

8th november 2012-BDI TRADING AT 1986 LEVELS IS SIMPLY SENSELESS.I DONT BELIEVE THE OVERSUPPLY OF SHIPS IN 2012 IS 50 TIMES MORE SERIOUS THAN 1986.HOW DO I DERIVE 50X?

WHY 50X?

BDI CYCLE LOWS IN 1986,1999,2012
CYCLE HIGHS IN 1995,2008

CHINA IS A BIG USER OF BDI FOR EXPORTS,AND IMPORTS OF RAW MATERIALS


CHINA GDP/CAPITA
1986      1995      1999      2008        2012

963         5000      7000      24000      approx 38000 in renminbi

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Historical_GDP_of_the_People's_Republic_of_China

USD INDEX (SINCE BDI IS IN USD)
1986       1995      1999        2008      2012
110           80          100          80          80     all figures approx and taken the mode and the average of these years

http://classic.tradingcharts.com/historical/US/2012/0/continuous.html

COMPARING 1986 CHINA GDP/CAPITA AND USD INDEX
BDI AT 2012 LOWS=1986 LOWS DONT MAKE SENSE AS CHINA GDP/CAPITA HAS INCREASED APPROX 40X AND USD INDEX HAS ALSO DECLINED BY 30%

40 X 1.3(AS USD INDEX RISE,BDI FELL,INVERSE RELATIONSHIP)=52X

I KNOW SHIPS ARE IN OVERSUPPLY BUT IS IT SO SERIOUS THAT IT WARRANTS BDI BACK AT 1986 LEVELS WHEN CHINA OPENED UP DOORS IN LESS THAN A DECADE.

I DO NOT BELIEVE SHIPS ARE 50X MORE IN OVERSUPPLY PROBLEM THAN 1986 TO WARRANT BDI AT 1986 LEVELS.

8th november 2012-i did not know bdi has such a "coincidental" trend of 13years!!

Dry Bulk shipping industry

Thursday, September 27, 2012 13:12

During the past decade or so nearly every sector of the transporation industry has run into serious Secular cycle problems. First it was the Airlines, then Trucking, then the Autos, and now Shipping. While the first three sectors appear to be in some early stages of recovery. The Shipping sector has yet to find the bottom. During the 2000′s demand-driven commodity boom, shipping rates skyrocketed and new ships were coming online every month. After the 2008 collapse in demand and commodity prices, the shipping industry found itself dealing with much lower rates and huge excess shipping capacity. During the past four years some shipping companies have been forced into bankruptcy, some are facing bankruptcy, and others a struggling along with high long term debt. To reverse this downward cycle, demand has to rise along with shipping rates while industry consolidation continues.

Since the middle of the last decade we have been tracking the Baltic Dry Index (BDI). This is a weighted index of international shipping rates. Its three components are the Capesize, Panamax, and Super Panamax (Handy) dry bulk cargo ships. For the past few months we have been examining this index, looking for signs of a potential upcoming bottom in this industry. We have concluded that is likely to occur this year.

When reviewing the BDI from 1985, and using written reports on the shipping industry as far back as the early 1970′s, we believe we have uncovered a regular 13 year cycle. It appears every 13 years shipping rates make a cyclical low: 1973-1986-1999-2012. After the low is in place rates generally rise for the next 9 years, then decline 4 years into the next cyclical low. During the 9 year bull market, rates rise for 5 years, decline for 1 year, and then rise for another 3 years into the cyclical peak. In addition, in the early stages after the cyclical low, rates typically triple during the first 2-3 years. This is the recovery stage for the shipping industry.

From an OEW perspective. We count the 9 year rising Cycle as an Primary ABC wave advance. With each of the rising Primary waves dividing into three Major waves. The four year declining Cycle is a simple Primary ABC wave decline.

When we examine Primary wave C of this declining Cycle we observe a nearly completed pattern. Primary B topped in late 2009 at BDI 4661. Over the next several months there was an abc Major wave A decline into mid-2010 at BDI 1700. Then after a quick Major B wave advance to BDI 2995, a complex Major wave C was underway. Intermediate wave A, of Major C, bottomed in early 2011 at BDI 1043. Then Intermediate wave B topped in late 2011 at BDI 2173. After that, the only subdividing Intermediate wave decline of this down Cycle began. At the Feb12 BDI 647 low Minor waves 1, 2 and 3 had completed. Then after a Minor wave 4 rally into May12 at BDI 1165, a subdividing Minor wave 5 began. Currently, we can count three Minute waves into the recent BDI 661 low, with possibly Minute wave iv underway now. We will know for sure once we get an OEW uptrend confirmation.
Should this occur, all that will be required is one more downtrend to complete the entire 4 year down Cycle from 2008. That downtrend should end the bear market is dry bulk shipping rates. With three months left in the year, it appears the 4 year down Cycle should bottom before year end. When it does we would expect shipping rates to triple over the next two to three years. To track the BDI, on a daily basis, just scroll down page 9 using the following link: http://stockcharts.com/public/1269446/tenpp/9.

above article was cut and paste from-http://beforeitsnews.com/financial-markets/2012/09/dry-bulk-shipping-industry-2457234.html

8th november 2012-us markets plunged,but so what?did anything changed the bullishness?

4 FACTORS TO SIGNAL BOTTOM BUT NOT 1ST WEEK UP SIGNAL YET.

1)HIT MY 1400 LOWEST TARGET

2)HIT THE LOWEST SUPPORT OF FLAG FORMATION OF CURRENT RETRACEMENT

3)ASIA DID NOT REACT VERY HUGE ON THE DOWNSIDE.
EG. HSI +0.7% ON WED,-1.3% TODAY,TOTAL DROP OVER TWO DAYS IS -0.6%
EG STI +0.6% ON WED,-0.9% TODAY,TOTAL DROP OVER TWO DAYS -0.3%
BUT USA SP500 ON TUES +0.8%,WED -2.4%,TOTAL DROP OVER TWO DAYS -1.6%!!

4)OH MY GOD,THE LAST FACTOR IS SO OBVIOUS TILL YOU MUST BE BLIND
VIX ONLY WENT UP BY A WIMPERING 8% ON A NIGHT WHEN DOW PLUNGE 300!!
NORMALLY WHEN DOW PLUNGE BY SO MUCH,THE VIX SHOULD GO UP BY >20%!!

IF THESE FOUR FACTORS AREN'T ENOUGH,THEN YOU SHOULD NOT ENTER THE STOCKMARKET AS YOU ALWAYS NEED THE MEDIA TO ROLL OUT THE RED CARPET FOR YOU,THAT TIME IS ALWAYS THE MOST DANGEROUS TIME TO ENTER LONG

7th november 2012-A TOTAL LOAD OF RUBBISH FROM NEWS ONCE AGAIN!!

i already said people who rely on news to decide which direction are true idiots,retards,morons who cannot even last one year in the stockmarket--------

 

 

 

"Analysts: Stocks Would Rally with Romney Victory

Monday, 05 Nov 2012 09:18 AM

By Forrest Jones

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Expect stocks to rally if GOP hopeful Mitt Romney triumphs over President Barack Obama in Tuesday’s presidential elections, analysts say.

A Romney victory would fuel market expectations for broader tax cuts and a dismantling of regulations such as the Dodd-Frank financial reform law and the Affordable Care Act, known widely as Obamacare.

“Recent surveys suggest institutional investors believe that an Obama win would favor bonds, a Romney win, stocks,” Peter Buchanan, senior economist at CIBC World Markets, wrote in a note, according to MarketWatch.

Editor's Note: Economist Unapologetically Calls Out Bernanke, Obama for Mishandling Economy. See What They Did

Some sectors that would benefit from an Obama victory, such as alternative energy, healthcare and real estate, have trailed those sectors that would rally with a Romney victory, namely conventional energy, financials, defense and telecom, according to Buchanan.

“If you get a Romney win, it could be better for the market in the short-term, knee-jerk reaction, since it could be taken as being a more business and investment-friendly administration,” said Brian Lazorishak, a senior vice president of Chase Investment Counsel, according to CNNMoney.

“While the market might sell off on an Obama win, it’s hard to see how long that would last.”

Analysts at Barclays have forecast that an Obama victory would send safe-haven bond prices rising, with the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury falling to 1.5 percent from 1.7 percent now, MarketWatch added.

Yields move in reverse from bond prices.

Some overseas investors, however, tend to view an Obama victory as better for markets, as a change of leadership would fuel policy uncertainty.

“[Romney’s] election could lead to more political and economic uncertainties over the longer term as he would implement an ambitious tax reform, huge spending cuts [and] a tax plan favorable to the highest income based on a too-optimistic growth scenario that would produce uncertain effects on growth,” analysts at Franco-Belgian Dexia Asset Management said recently, according to Reuters."

Read more: Analysts: Stocks Would Rally with Romney Victory



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