SUMMARY OF ALL SP500 UPTRENDS AND CONSOLIDATIONS




THANKS TO YOU ALL-MY PAGEVIEWS SKYROCKETED IN JAN2012,ONE MONTH ALONE is EQUAL TO 6MONTHS OF

PAGEVIEWS!!A BIG THANK YOU

SINCE THIS THREAD "SUMMARY OF ALL SP500 UPTRENDS AND CONSOLIDATIONS" THREAD IS SO POPULAR,THE HIGHEST VIEWERSHIP,I PUT IT IN THE FRONT PAGE

SUMMARY OF ALL SP500 uptrends and consolidations

UPTRENDS-

1. Mostly 10weeks,although some may be 9,11,12.how to recognize?--uptrend "mysteriously" maintained by a diagonal uptrendline connecting the lows of that 10weeks uptrend

2. 1st and last(10th) week always end in surges of aorund 3-6%with the least 1st week gain was 2.7%.The humpy uptrend will "mysteriously" start and end with surges up.

3. If the (X-1)th 10+weeks end below a fibo of the 1576-666 range,THEN the next,Xth, 10+weeks will end AT THAT FIBO.

4. If the (X-1)th 10+weeks end ABOVE a fibo of the 1576-666 range,then the NEXT,Xth, 10+weeks will end AT THE NEXT HIGHER FIBO.

5. Every year's end, at the last trading day of the year,sp500 will end near a fibo of 1576-666 range.

6. Every 10+weeks uptrend will start AFTER a double testing of the diagonal uptrend line formed by the humps from july 13th week 2009.

7. The uptrend in the secular bear market,before breakout 1576, will be a "humpy" ride,whereby i forecast a total of 4 humps to test 1576.

8. After the sp500 breaks out of the 1576 resistance,the diagonal uptrendline will be much sharper than the uptrendline of the 4 humps.

9. The peaks of each hump will occur at AROUND 350-360 POINTS ABOVE THE CORRECTION TESTED FIBONACCI.

10. 2009 REPLICATE 2003,2010 REPLICATE 2004,2011 REPLICATE 2005,SO ON--I mean the closing values and their respective fibo,

CONSOLIDATIONS-CORRECTIONS AND RETRACEMENTS

1. Every correction will have one week of huge plunge about 100points in sp500

2. every Long/HUGE weekly plunge of around 5-8% in the sp500 will be met with a return to the start BEFORE the huge plunge(weekly open) of THAT LONG WEEKLY DOWN CANDLEBODY in 23 to 24 weeks

3. After the peak of each hump has been achieved,there will come a plunge BACK to the fibo of 1576-666 range.---------

eg. 1st hump ended at 1219,near 61.8%,then sp500 plunged back to retest the 38.2%,before the NEXT hump will be formed

eg. 2nd hump peaked at 1370,near the 78.6%,then sp500 plunged back to retest the 50%..so on..

1st correction went to the 38.2%,1013, lowest 1010 and built a base around 1065

-took 24 weeks to reach the open of the HUGE weekly plunge of 120points,week of MAY 3RD 2010

-dropped a total of 210points-2nd week from the top of the 4th 10+weeks uptrend pattern 1217,was the huge weekly plunge

-took 8weeks to hit the lowest point 1010

2nd correction went to 1074 lowest,BUT built a base around the 50% fibo,1120.

-took 23 weeks to reach the open pf the 2nd HUGE weekly plunge of 120points,week of August 1, 2011

-dropped a total of 270points from 1344 and 300points from the HEAD peak 1370

-the huge weekly drop also happened in the 2nd week from the 5th 10+weeks uptrend pattern close peak of 1344.,the LEFT SHOULDER OF THE head and shoulders

-took 9weeks to hit the lowest point 1074

THIS IS THE NEW AND IMPROVISED VERSION OF THE MOST POPULAR POST IN MY BLOG


LET US RECALL THE LIES OF MEDIA OR PEOPLE WHO DON'T KNOW HOW TO EXPLAIN

1)DATA GOOD,COMPANIES EARNINGS GOOD,INDEX DROP= "FACTORED IN" OR "LESSEN STIMULUS HOPES"

2)DATA BAD,COMPANIES EARNINGS BAD,INDEX RISE="INCREASED STIMULUS HOPES"

3)WHEN USA CRISIS CAME,FULL OF CDO SHIT PROBLEM,NO1 KNOWS THERE WILL BE A EUROPE CRISIS IN 2009.THEN CAME EUROPE CRISIS.

4)WHEN EUROPE CRISIS BECOME STALE NEWS,FOCUS SHIFT TO LIBYA GADDAFI TO "EXPLAIN" DROP IN USA MARKETS

5)THEN AFTER GADDAFI NEWS BECAME STALE,THEY SHIFT BACK TO EUROPE AND CHANGE TO "AUSTERITY" SHIT

6)THEN AFTER EURO AUSTERITY NEWS BECOME STALE,THEY SHIFT FOCUS BACK TO USA AND INTRODUCED "FISCAL CLIFF" SHIT JUST BECAUSE BERNANKE MENTIONED FISCAL CLIFF

I "LOVE" THEIR SHIT.EVERYTIME THE STORY BECOMES OLD AND STALE,SOMETHING NEW WILL POP OUT AND THE OLD ONE WILL NEVER BE MENTIONED AGAIN-SINK INTO OBLIVION!!

1ST CDO,LIBYA,AUSTERITY,NOW FISCAL CLIFF.NEXT FUCK YOU!!DID CDO SHIT RESURFACE AGAIN NOW?WHO REMEMBER GADDAFI,LIBYA PROBLEMS SUDDENLY SOLVED FOREVER??

GRANDMOTHER STORY SPINNERS FUCKERS.


19th October 2013
NEPTUNE ORIENT LINES ROBOTIC PATTERN
1) BASE
A-
WEEK oF 17 NOVEMBER 2008—0.93
Week of 9 March 2009—0.85
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
3+ MONTHS APART
BETWEEN 1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED +182% IN
1YEAR,1 MONTH, HIT NEAR 2.40 IN APRIL 2010
2) BASE
B-
Week of 22 August 2011—0.98
Week of 21 November 2011---0.995
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
3 MONTHS APART BETWEEN
1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED +53% IN 3
months.HIT 1.515 IN 20 FEBRUARY 2012 WEEK





3) BASE
C-
Week of 23 July 2012—1.05
Week of 19 November 2012---1.05
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
3+ MONTHS APART
BETWEEN 1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED +30% IN 1.5months.HIT
1.36 IN 7 January 2013 WEEK

4) NOW,IT
IS BASE D TIME
Week of 10 June 2013—1.025
Week of 26 August 2013---1.025
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
Near 3 MONTHS APART
BETWEEN 1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED ????% by
??????








N.O.L-NEPTUNE ORIENT LINES-N03.SI (WEEKLY CHARTS) YEAR 2006:6 NOVEMBER TO 1ST JAN2007: 1.77 TO 2.20 (+43c) YEAR 2008:17NOVEMBER TO 5JAN2009: 0.84 TO 1.175 (+33.5c) YEAR 2009:2NOVEMBER TO 11JAN2010: 1.51 TO 1.94 (+43c) YEAR 2010:22NOVEMBER TO 3JAN2011: 2.07 TO 2.40 (+33c) YEAR 2011:21NOVEMBER TO 30JAN2012: 0.995 TO 1.43 (+43.5c) YEAR 2012:19NOVEMBER TO 7JAN2013: 1.055 TO 1.36 (+30.5c)



Tuesday, December 24, 2013

24th december 2013---MERRY XMAS TO YOU ALL...DID NOT MY PREDICTION OF AFTER USA MARKETS DOWN BY 1+%,NEXT DAY STI GAP DOWN AND GO UP" come true?

MERRY HUAT TO YOU ALL.HUAT MEANS PROSPEROUS IN HOKKIEN LANGUAGE.

MY MERRY HUAT XMAS AND NEW YEAR PREDICTION:

"STI,STRAITS TIMES INDEX, WILL HIT 3230 TO 3250 AT THE END OF 3RD JAN2014,NEXT FRIDAY."

HOW DO I KNOW???

ANSWER IS IN THE CHARTS

Wednesday, December 11, 2013

11th december 2013-the day when dow and sp500 erase all of last friday gains,the day when sp500 retouch 1777 will be the day of the bottom before a rally to sti 3450 by next feb

the day when dow and sp500 erase all of last friday gains,the day when sp500 retouch 1777 will be the day of the bottom before a rally to sti 3450 by next feb.THE MORNING AFTER US MARKETS PLUNGE 1+% WILL BE THE FINAL BOTTOM IN STI.STI WILL GAP DOWN GO UP.

HOW I KNOW BEFOREHAND??

THE HEAVENLY COORDINATION BETWEEN STI,HANGSENG AND SP500

YOURS TRULY
SHARESWIZARD
11TH DECEMBER 2013
12.55AM SINGAPORE TIME

Sunday, December 8, 2013

8th december 2013-I DID NOT KNOW MY OUTLOOK IN LIFE IS THE SAME AS WARREN BUFFETT BEFORE THIS ARTICLE IS OUT!!!!

Warren Buffett Market-Beating Skills Revealed: Cutting Research

Warren Buffett isn’t just a great investor. He’s the best investor, an economic study has found.
An index measuring returns adjusted by price fluctuations shows the billionaire chairman and chief executive officer of Berkshire Hathaway Inc. has done better than every long-lived U.S. stock and mutual fund.
Enlarge imageBerkshire Hathaway CEO Warren Buffett

Berkshire Hathaway CEO Warren Buffett

Berkshire Hathaway CEO Warren Buffett
Jeff Kowalsky/Bloomberg
The study said Warren Buffett, chief executive officer of Berkshire Hathaway Inc., is willing to take on borrowing to finance investment, then picks stocks that have low volatility, are cheap -- with low price-to-book ratios -- and are high quality, meaning they are profitable and have high payouts.
The study said Warren Buffett, chief executive officer of Berkshire Hathaway Inc., is willing to take on borrowing to finance investment, then picks stocks that have low volatility, are cheap -- with low price-to-book ratios -- and are high quality, meaning they are profitable and have high payouts. Photographer: Jeff Kowalsky/Bloomberg

Looking at all U.S. stocks from 1926 to 2011 that have been traded for more than 30 years, a paper published this week by the National Bureau of Economic Research calculated that Buffett’s so-called Sharpe ratio is 0.76 since 1976. That was about twice the stock market’s 0.39.
The ratio is also larger than all 196 U.S. mutual funds that have been around for 30 years. The median Sharpe ratio for them is 0.37.
The review of Buffett’s investments concluded he has been rewarded for his use of leverage, coupled with a focus on cheap, safe, quality shares.
The study said Buffett is willing to take on borrowing to finance investment, then picks stocks that have low volatility, are cheap -- with low price-to-book ratios -- and are high quality, meaning they are profitable and have high payouts.
By breaking down Berkshire Hathaway’s portfolio into ownership of publicly traded stocks versus wholly owned private companies, the authors also found the tradable equities performed best. That suggested to them that Buffett’s returns are due more to stock selection than to the pressure he puts on companies he has stakes in to improve their management.
“Buffett’s performance appears not to be luck, but an expression that value and quality investing can be implemented,” said Andrea Frazzini and David Kabiller of AQR Capital Management LLC and Lasse H. Pedersen of Copenhagen Business School. “If you travel back in time and pick one stock in 1976, Berkshire would be your pick.”

MY COMMENTS:

I DID NOT KNOW WARREN BUFFETT USED LEVERAGE!!
HAHA!JUST LIKE ME!!IN MY WHOLE LIFE,I ALWAYS USED MARGIN LEVERAGE TO BUY GOOD,SAFE AND QUALITY STOCKS,RATHER THAN TO USE SMALL AMOUNT OF CASH  AND GAMBLE IN LOUSY STOCKS JUST TO CHASE RETURNS!!

IT IS SO MUCH BETTER TO USE MARGIN LEVERAGE TO USE CASH $500K,LEVERAGE TO $1M TO BUY QUALITY STOCKS LIKE NEPTUNE ORIENT LINES(NAV $1.00,IPO PRICE AROUND $4),DBS,ETC THAN TO USE $50K TO GAMBLE ON SHIT STOCKS LIKE DIGILAND,ANNICA,CARRIERNET,SI2I,ETC.

ALMOST EVERYBODY THAT HAS APPROACHED ME FOR STOCK ADVICE ALL HAS A "BEAUTIFUL" PORTFOLIO OF LOUSY STOCKS THAT HAVE BECOME SUSPENDED!!!!!!

MAJORITY ADULTS HAVE THIS MISCONCEPTION THAT MARGIN LEVERAGE IS RISKY!!!IT IS NOT AS RISKY AS YOU USE CASH,WITHOUT LEVERAGE TO BUY LOUSY STOCKS JUST TO GAMBLE ON HUGE RETURNS.PLUS IF HE USED MARGIN TO BUY STOCKS,THE BROKERAGE WOULD HAVE AUTOMATICALLY BANNED HIM TO BUY LOUSY COMPANIES,THUS SAVING HIM THE AGONY OF BEING HIT BY SUSPENDED STOCKS!!!

I REST MY CASE.I AM AN INVESTOR,NOT A PUNTER OR A GAMBLER

Friday, December 6, 2013

6TH DECEMBER 2013-NOL FINAL PRICE WILL BE S$3.30 BEFORE THE NEXT MAJOR CRISIS

i FINALLY found out the answers to the 4 following mysteries..CAN YOU SAY HALLELUJAH TO THE SHARESWIZARD??

1)WHY DID NEPTUNE ORIENT LINES TOP OUT IN JAN2011 AT 2.40??

MONTHLY LOWER TAIL OF JAN2008 AT 2.43 LOWEST.

2)WHY DID NEPTUNE ORIENT LINES BOTTOM OUT AT AROUND 1.00 IN 3 BASES?

DUE TO APRIL 27TH 2009 WEEKLY LONG LOWER TAIL AGAIN,LOWEST 1.02

3)WHY DID NEPTUNE ORIENT LINES TOP OUT AT 1.52 IN FEB2012??

DUE TO MARCH 2000(THE PEAK IN USA MARKET MONTH) MONTHLY HIGH WAS 1.50

4)WHY DID NEPTUNE ORIENT LINES TOP OUT AT 1.36 IN JAN2013??

DUE TO

A)JUNE2006 MONTHLY LONG LOWER TAIL ON MONTHLY CHART WITH LOWEST AT 1.37

B)PLUS MARCH 2000(PEAK IN USA MARKETS THEN) CLOSING FOR THE MONTHLY CHART OF MARCH 2000 WAS 1.36

DOES NOT THAT SEEM VERY VERY VERY "COINCIDENTAL"???

HENCE THAT LEAD ME TO FIRMLY BELIEVE NEPTUNE ORIENT LINES FINALE PRICE BEFORE THE NEXT CRISIS OF 2015 WILL BE S$3.30

Thursday, December 5, 2013

5TH DECEMBER 2013--HILARIOUS COORDINATION OF TAKING TURNS TO ACT OUT A CRISIS IN THAT COUNTRY OR THAT REGION


I AM LAZY TO DRAW AUSTRALIA MAIN INDEX,ASX.BUT IF YOU SEE ASX,U WILL SEE ASX EXACT PHOTOCOPY HANGSENG,A REMAINING 40+% UPSIDE TO A DOUBLE TOP SCENARIO.
AND AS U KNOW,DOUBLE TOP=CRISIS FROM THAT REGION OR THAT COUNTRY.
THE NEXT CRISIS WILL DEFINITELY BE CHINA RELATED AND IT WIL COME FROM CHINA OR/AND HONGKONG OR/AND AUSTRALIA

5th december 2013--nol past uptrends with sti uptrends relationship


Wednesday, December 4, 2013

4th december 2013--TOMORROW NOL WILL BE PUMPED UP BETWEEN 1.115 TO 1.135 .WHY???3evidences

BEFORE I SAID THE REASONS,I MUST LET YOU SEE EVIDENCE OF ROBOT ALGORITHM

EVIDENCE 1
1) JULY31,2012    TUESDAY      1.11     1.15

2) AUG14,2012      TUESDAY      1.18     1.235

3) SEPT13,2012      THURSDAY    1.105    1.15

4) OCT16,2012        TUESDAY      1.11      1.16

5) NOV22,2012       THURSDAY         1.07     1.125


6) JAN10,2013        THURSDAY      1.255    1.345
 

7) JUNE18,2013      TUESDAY       1.055    1.115

8) SEPT5,2013         THURSDAY    1.05      1.135

EVIDENCE2

I HAVE DERIVED A UNIQUE FORMULA LINKING NOL WITH CHINA SSE SINCE THEY ARE VERY SIMILAR.

(CHINA SSE PEAK VALUE/CHINA SSE CURRENT VALUE)
X NOL CURRENT VALUE=3.2FAIR VALUE).WHY 3.2??GO AND DERIVE YOURSELF

SSE AT 2250,FAIR VALUE OF NOL SHOULD BE AROUND 1.165,NOT 1.065,WAY UNDERVALUED!!

EVIDENCE 3

IN BASE B FROM 2012 TO 2013,EACH PUMP UP IS 1 MONTH APART.

IN BASE C FROM 2013 TO 2014,THE 1ST AND 2ND PUMP UP IS NEAR 3 MONTHS APART,SO U ADD 3 MONTHS TO SEPT5 IS DECEMBER 5TH!!!!

IN CONCLUSION,IT WILL BE ANY TUESDAY OR THURSDAY IN DECEMBER 2013.MY BEST BET IS TOMORROW,DECEMBER 5TH,2013,PUMP UP TO 1.115 TO 1.135 IS EXPECTED.




 

4th december 2013-nol with sti relationship part 2


SUBPRIME CRISIS 2007

3)      March 2009 to jan2011,prior to that NOL PUNGED 85%,STI PLUNGED  60%

Nol up 220% (0.77 TO 2.40) vs sti up 120% (1455 to 3300),NOL RECOVERED TO ONLY 40% OF 2007 PEAK,STI RECOVERED TO 20% BELOW 2007PEAK

RATIO 2:1

4)      August 2011 to feb2012 to jan2013,prior to that NOL PLUNGED 60%,sti drop 10%

and flat resp

Nol up 50%(0.98 to 1.52),40%(1.00 to 1.36)

 vs

sti up 10%(2700 to 3000) vs up 20%(2700 to 3300),NOL RECOVERED TO ONLY

60%OF PREVIOUS PEAK,WHEREAS STI FLAT

 

Ratio 5:1 and 2:1

Overall 36% to 20%:

Ratio 2:1

5)    August 2013 to 2014END/start2015?

Nol up     [1.025 to (2.40 to 3.60?)],sti up from (3000 to 4200?),outperform by sti 4 to 5X

 


SHARESWIZARD TARGET:
STI UP 2X(1455 to 4200)
NOL UP 2X OR 4X (0.77 to 2.40 to 3.60MAX)
1 TO 1 (NO OUTPERFORM STI)
OR OUTPERFORM STI BY 2X, maintain overall ratio 2:1
(OVERALL RATIO after subprimecrisis 2007 IS 2:1)
2009 to 2014 or 2015??
 
 


 


4th december 2013--nol relationship with sti