SUMMARY OF ALL SP500 UPTRENDS AND CONSOLIDATIONS




THANKS TO YOU ALL-MY PAGEVIEWS SKYROCKETED IN JAN2012,ONE MONTH ALONE is EQUAL TO 6MONTHS OF

PAGEVIEWS!!A BIG THANK YOU

SINCE THIS THREAD "SUMMARY OF ALL SP500 UPTRENDS AND CONSOLIDATIONS" THREAD IS SO POPULAR,THE HIGHEST VIEWERSHIP,I PUT IT IN THE FRONT PAGE

SUMMARY OF ALL SP500 uptrends and consolidations

UPTRENDS-

1. Mostly 10weeks,although some may be 9,11,12.how to recognize?--uptrend "mysteriously" maintained by a diagonal uptrendline connecting the lows of that 10weeks uptrend

2. 1st and last(10th) week always end in surges of aorund 3-6%with the least 1st week gain was 2.7%.The humpy uptrend will "mysteriously" start and end with surges up.

3. If the (X-1)th 10+weeks end below a fibo of the 1576-666 range,THEN the next,Xth, 10+weeks will end AT THAT FIBO.

4. If the (X-1)th 10+weeks end ABOVE a fibo of the 1576-666 range,then the NEXT,Xth, 10+weeks will end AT THE NEXT HIGHER FIBO.

5. Every year's end, at the last trading day of the year,sp500 will end near a fibo of 1576-666 range.

6. Every 10+weeks uptrend will start AFTER a double testing of the diagonal uptrend line formed by the humps from july 13th week 2009.

7. The uptrend in the secular bear market,before breakout 1576, will be a "humpy" ride,whereby i forecast a total of 4 humps to test 1576.

8. After the sp500 breaks out of the 1576 resistance,the diagonal uptrendline will be much sharper than the uptrendline of the 4 humps.

9. The peaks of each hump will occur at AROUND 350-360 POINTS ABOVE THE CORRECTION TESTED FIBONACCI.

10. 2009 REPLICATE 2003,2010 REPLICATE 2004,2011 REPLICATE 2005,SO ON--I mean the closing values and their respective fibo,

CONSOLIDATIONS-CORRECTIONS AND RETRACEMENTS

1. Every correction will have one week of huge plunge about 100points in sp500

2. every Long/HUGE weekly plunge of around 5-8% in the sp500 will be met with a return to the start BEFORE the huge plunge(weekly open) of THAT LONG WEEKLY DOWN CANDLEBODY in 23 to 24 weeks

3. After the peak of each hump has been achieved,there will come a plunge BACK to the fibo of 1576-666 range.---------

eg. 1st hump ended at 1219,near 61.8%,then sp500 plunged back to retest the 38.2%,before the NEXT hump will be formed

eg. 2nd hump peaked at 1370,near the 78.6%,then sp500 plunged back to retest the 50%..so on..

1st correction went to the 38.2%,1013, lowest 1010 and built a base around 1065

-took 24 weeks to reach the open of the HUGE weekly plunge of 120points,week of MAY 3RD 2010

-dropped a total of 210points-2nd week from the top of the 4th 10+weeks uptrend pattern 1217,was the huge weekly plunge

-took 8weeks to hit the lowest point 1010

2nd correction went to 1074 lowest,BUT built a base around the 50% fibo,1120.

-took 23 weeks to reach the open pf the 2nd HUGE weekly plunge of 120points,week of August 1, 2011

-dropped a total of 270points from 1344 and 300points from the HEAD peak 1370

-the huge weekly drop also happened in the 2nd week from the 5th 10+weeks uptrend pattern close peak of 1344.,the LEFT SHOULDER OF THE head and shoulders

-took 9weeks to hit the lowest point 1074

THIS IS THE NEW AND IMPROVISED VERSION OF THE MOST POPULAR POST IN MY BLOG


LET US RECALL THE LIES OF MEDIA OR PEOPLE WHO DON'T KNOW HOW TO EXPLAIN

1)DATA GOOD,COMPANIES EARNINGS GOOD,INDEX DROP= "FACTORED IN" OR "LESSEN STIMULUS HOPES"

2)DATA BAD,COMPANIES EARNINGS BAD,INDEX RISE="INCREASED STIMULUS HOPES"

3)WHEN USA CRISIS CAME,FULL OF CDO SHIT PROBLEM,NO1 KNOWS THERE WILL BE A EUROPE CRISIS IN 2009.THEN CAME EUROPE CRISIS.

4)WHEN EUROPE CRISIS BECOME STALE NEWS,FOCUS SHIFT TO LIBYA GADDAFI TO "EXPLAIN" DROP IN USA MARKETS

5)THEN AFTER GADDAFI NEWS BECAME STALE,THEY SHIFT BACK TO EUROPE AND CHANGE TO "AUSTERITY" SHIT

6)THEN AFTER EURO AUSTERITY NEWS BECOME STALE,THEY SHIFT FOCUS BACK TO USA AND INTRODUCED "FISCAL CLIFF" SHIT JUST BECAUSE BERNANKE MENTIONED FISCAL CLIFF

I "LOVE" THEIR SHIT.EVERYTIME THE STORY BECOMES OLD AND STALE,SOMETHING NEW WILL POP OUT AND THE OLD ONE WILL NEVER BE MENTIONED AGAIN-SINK INTO OBLIVION!!

1ST CDO,LIBYA,AUSTERITY,NOW FISCAL CLIFF.NEXT FUCK YOU!!DID CDO SHIT RESURFACE AGAIN NOW?WHO REMEMBER GADDAFI,LIBYA PROBLEMS SUDDENLY SOLVED FOREVER??

GRANDMOTHER STORY SPINNERS FUCKERS.


19th October 2013
NEPTUNE ORIENT LINES ROBOTIC PATTERN
1) BASE
A-
WEEK oF 17 NOVEMBER 2008—0.93
Week of 9 March 2009—0.85
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
3+ MONTHS APART
BETWEEN 1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED +182% IN
1YEAR,1 MONTH, HIT NEAR 2.40 IN APRIL 2010
2) BASE
B-
Week of 22 August 2011—0.98
Week of 21 November 2011---0.995
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
3 MONTHS APART BETWEEN
1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED +53% IN 3
months.HIT 1.515 IN 20 FEBRUARY 2012 WEEK





3) BASE
C-
Week of 23 July 2012—1.05
Week of 19 November 2012---1.05
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
3+ MONTHS APART
BETWEEN 1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED +30% IN 1.5months.HIT
1.36 IN 7 January 2013 WEEK

4) NOW,IT
IS BASE D TIME
Week of 10 June 2013—1.025
Week of 26 August 2013---1.025
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
Near 3 MONTHS APART
BETWEEN 1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED ????% by
??????








N.O.L-NEPTUNE ORIENT LINES-N03.SI (WEEKLY CHARTS) YEAR 2006:6 NOVEMBER TO 1ST JAN2007: 1.77 TO 2.20 (+43c) YEAR 2008:17NOVEMBER TO 5JAN2009: 0.84 TO 1.175 (+33.5c) YEAR 2009:2NOVEMBER TO 11JAN2010: 1.51 TO 1.94 (+43c) YEAR 2010:22NOVEMBER TO 3JAN2011: 2.07 TO 2.40 (+33c) YEAR 2011:21NOVEMBER TO 30JAN2012: 0.995 TO 1.43 (+43.5c) YEAR 2012:19NOVEMBER TO 7JAN2013: 1.055 TO 1.36 (+30.5c)



Monday, November 11, 2013

11th november 2013-billionaire invests at lows while working class chase assets at highs...

Billionaire Ross Raises $100 Million to Expand Shipping Bet

Wilbur Ross, the billionaire investor in struggling industries, raised $100 million to buy ships hauling coal, iron ore and grains, betting that accelerating growth in emerging markets will boost trade.
WL Ross & Co. and its partners ordered four Ultramax vessels with options for four more, Ross said by phone today. He declined to name the other investors in the venture, Nautical Bulk Holdings Ltd. The ships will be delivered in 2015 by China’s Jiangsu Hantong Ship Heavy Industry Co.
Enlarge imageBillionaire Wilbur L. Ross

Billionaire Wilbur L. Ross

Billionaire Wilbur L. Ross
Simon Dawson/Bloomberg
Billionaire and WL Ross & Co. LLC Founder Wilbur L. Ross said that “one of the unfortunate things in today’s society is that capitalism has become to many people a dirty word.”
Billionaire and WL Ross & Co. LLC Founder Wilbur L. Ross said that “one of the unfortunate things in today’s society is that capitalism has become to many people a dirty word.” Photographer: Simon Dawson/Bloomberg
June 20 (Bloomberg) -- Billionaire Wilbur Ross, chairman of WL Ross & Co., discusses Federal Reserve monetary policy, U.S. shale gas production, U.K. banks and the outlook for the container shipping industry. He speaks with Anna Edwards on Bloomberg Television's "The Pulse." (Source: Bloomberg)
Enlarge imageBillionaire Wilbur Ross

Billionaire Wilbur Ross

Billionaire Wilbur Ross
Simon Dawson/Bloomberg
Wilbur Ross, billionaire and chief executive officer of WL Ross & Co. LLC.
Wilbur Ross, billionaire and chief executive officer of WL Ross & Co. LLC. Photographer: Simon Dawson/Bloomberg

The 65,000 deadweight-ton ships will have fuel-efficient designs and be equipped with their own cranes, allowing them to collect and unload cargoes in less-developed ports, Ross said. The company may buy more ships, he said. Ross’s company also has stakes in tankers that haul refined fuels and liquefied petroleum gas. Private equity firms invested $4.32 billion in shipping so far this year, the most since at least 2008, according to Marine Money, an industry researcher and publisher.
“Since we think a lot of the demand for dry commodities is going to develop in the emerging markets, we think they’re well-suited to that,” Ross said by phone. Shipping rates will recover by the time the new ships are built, he said.
The Baltic Dry Index, a measure of costs to ship iron ore, coal and grains, more than doubled to 1,581 this year, rebounding from the lowest annual average since at least 1993, according to the Baltic Exchange, the London-based publisher of freight rates. World trade in dry-bulk commodities will expand 5 percent to a record 4.5 billion metric tons next year, estimates Clarkson Plc, the world’s largest shipbroker.

New Vessels

Rates slumped since 2008 as owners ordered too many ships before the global recession. Outstanding contracts for new bulk carriers equal 18 percent of the existing fleet, down from as much as 74 percent in 2009, according to data from IHS Maritime, a Coulsdon, England-based research company.
The cost of a new China-built Supramax, a dry-bulk vessel typically fitted with cranes and in the same size range as the ones Ross ordered, rose 5.7 percent to $28 million this year, according to Simpson, Spence & Young Ltd., the world’s second-largest shipbroker. That’s heading for the first annual gain since 2010 and the biggest since 2007.
Ship owners spent $13.1 billion on new bulk carriers as of September, compared with $9.6 billion in all of 2012, Clarkson data show. Investment in Handymaxes, also in the same size range as Ross’s Ultramaxes, more than doubled to $4.4 billion, according to the shipbroker’s figures.

Shares Gaining

The 12-member Bloomberg Dry Ships Index rallied 22 percent this year, compared with a 16 percent advance in the MSCI All-Country World Index of equities. The shipping index is still 83 percent below its 2007 record.
Ross was part of a group of investors who spent $900 million on 30 oil-product tankers in 2011. His company also has a majority stake in Navigator Holdings Ltd., which controls one-third of the world’s midsize LPG carriers.
Economic growth in developing countries will accelerate to 5.1 percent in 2014 from 4.5 percent this year, compared with 3.6 percent globally, the International Monetary Fund estimates. Imports will expand 5.9 percent and exports will grow 5.8 percent, compared with 4.0 percent and 4.7 percent in advanced economies, according to the Washington-based lender.
World trade in iron ore, the biggest commodity transported by sea after crude oil, will rise 7 percent to 1.27 billion tons in 2014, with China accounting for 88 percent of the increase, Clarkson estimates. Shipments of coal used for power generation, the next-largest cargo, will advance 4 percent to 897 million tons, with Chinese and Indian demand amounting to 62 percent of the gain, data show.
To contact the reporter on this story: Isaac Arnsdorf in New York at iarnsdorf@bloomberg.net
To contact the editor responsible for this story: Alaric Nightingale at anightingal1@bloomberg.net

my comments:

the vulture investor wilbur ross invests almost a billion dollars into the 13year shipping cycle low industry whereas working class are chasing multi year highs properties just for the sake of marriage,family,etc.

i know the working class will attack my post as "oh,wilbur ross is so rich,he has more than enough money to buy other asset classes at lows,whereas i only have enough money to buy a flat for my family."

This is indeed a wrong type of thinking.this is precisely why majority just cannot buy low sell high.To buy low sell high,one must have an investor mindset,willing to forego OR postpone anything in life JUST FOR THE SAKE OF BUY LOW SELL HIGH.

There is no point to chase already OVER-inflated assets and see it "ding dong" in a range for the next 10-20years.Imagine the massive amount of interest accumulated over the years.

i am a living example.i bought property when majority do not value it.now after property prices skyrocket,then the majority feel a sense of urgency that if you do not buy it now,you cannot buy it at this price in the near future!!this is a warped thinking and this is the reason why the book"the property clock" says the family minded person is always the LAST TO BE IN the property cycle!!

thank you.i rest my case

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