SUMMARY OF ALL SP500 UPTRENDS AND CONSOLIDATIONS




THANKS TO YOU ALL-MY PAGEVIEWS SKYROCKETED IN JAN2012,ONE MONTH ALONE is EQUAL TO 6MONTHS OF

PAGEVIEWS!!A BIG THANK YOU

SINCE THIS THREAD "SUMMARY OF ALL SP500 UPTRENDS AND CONSOLIDATIONS" THREAD IS SO POPULAR,THE HIGHEST VIEWERSHIP,I PUT IT IN THE FRONT PAGE

SUMMARY OF ALL SP500 uptrends and consolidations

UPTRENDS-

1. Mostly 10weeks,although some may be 9,11,12.how to recognize?--uptrend "mysteriously" maintained by a diagonal uptrendline connecting the lows of that 10weeks uptrend

2. 1st and last(10th) week always end in surges of aorund 3-6%with the least 1st week gain was 2.7%.The humpy uptrend will "mysteriously" start and end with surges up.

3. If the (X-1)th 10+weeks end below a fibo of the 1576-666 range,THEN the next,Xth, 10+weeks will end AT THAT FIBO.

4. If the (X-1)th 10+weeks end ABOVE a fibo of the 1576-666 range,then the NEXT,Xth, 10+weeks will end AT THE NEXT HIGHER FIBO.

5. Every year's end, at the last trading day of the year,sp500 will end near a fibo of 1576-666 range.

6. Every 10+weeks uptrend will start AFTER a double testing of the diagonal uptrend line formed by the humps from july 13th week 2009.

7. The uptrend in the secular bear market,before breakout 1576, will be a "humpy" ride,whereby i forecast a total of 4 humps to test 1576.

8. After the sp500 breaks out of the 1576 resistance,the diagonal uptrendline will be much sharper than the uptrendline of the 4 humps.

9. The peaks of each hump will occur at AROUND 350-360 POINTS ABOVE THE CORRECTION TESTED FIBONACCI.

10. 2009 REPLICATE 2003,2010 REPLICATE 2004,2011 REPLICATE 2005,SO ON--I mean the closing values and their respective fibo,

CONSOLIDATIONS-CORRECTIONS AND RETRACEMENTS

1. Every correction will have one week of huge plunge about 100points in sp500

2. every Long/HUGE weekly plunge of around 5-8% in the sp500 will be met with a return to the start BEFORE the huge plunge(weekly open) of THAT LONG WEEKLY DOWN CANDLEBODY in 23 to 24 weeks

3. After the peak of each hump has been achieved,there will come a plunge BACK to the fibo of 1576-666 range.---------

eg. 1st hump ended at 1219,near 61.8%,then sp500 plunged back to retest the 38.2%,before the NEXT hump will be formed

eg. 2nd hump peaked at 1370,near the 78.6%,then sp500 plunged back to retest the 50%..so on..

1st correction went to the 38.2%,1013, lowest 1010 and built a base around 1065

-took 24 weeks to reach the open of the HUGE weekly plunge of 120points,week of MAY 3RD 2010

-dropped a total of 210points-2nd week from the top of the 4th 10+weeks uptrend pattern 1217,was the huge weekly plunge

-took 8weeks to hit the lowest point 1010

2nd correction went to 1074 lowest,BUT built a base around the 50% fibo,1120.

-took 23 weeks to reach the open pf the 2nd HUGE weekly plunge of 120points,week of August 1, 2011

-dropped a total of 270points from 1344 and 300points from the HEAD peak 1370

-the huge weekly drop also happened in the 2nd week from the 5th 10+weeks uptrend pattern close peak of 1344.,the LEFT SHOULDER OF THE head and shoulders

-took 9weeks to hit the lowest point 1074

THIS IS THE NEW AND IMPROVISED VERSION OF THE MOST POPULAR POST IN MY BLOG


LET US RECALL THE LIES OF MEDIA OR PEOPLE WHO DON'T KNOW HOW TO EXPLAIN

1)DATA GOOD,COMPANIES EARNINGS GOOD,INDEX DROP= "FACTORED IN" OR "LESSEN STIMULUS HOPES"

2)DATA BAD,COMPANIES EARNINGS BAD,INDEX RISE="INCREASED STIMULUS HOPES"

3)WHEN USA CRISIS CAME,FULL OF CDO SHIT PROBLEM,NO1 KNOWS THERE WILL BE A EUROPE CRISIS IN 2009.THEN CAME EUROPE CRISIS.

4)WHEN EUROPE CRISIS BECOME STALE NEWS,FOCUS SHIFT TO LIBYA GADDAFI TO "EXPLAIN" DROP IN USA MARKETS

5)THEN AFTER GADDAFI NEWS BECAME STALE,THEY SHIFT BACK TO EUROPE AND CHANGE TO "AUSTERITY" SHIT

6)THEN AFTER EURO AUSTERITY NEWS BECOME STALE,THEY SHIFT FOCUS BACK TO USA AND INTRODUCED "FISCAL CLIFF" SHIT JUST BECAUSE BERNANKE MENTIONED FISCAL CLIFF

I "LOVE" THEIR SHIT.EVERYTIME THE STORY BECOMES OLD AND STALE,SOMETHING NEW WILL POP OUT AND THE OLD ONE WILL NEVER BE MENTIONED AGAIN-SINK INTO OBLIVION!!

1ST CDO,LIBYA,AUSTERITY,NOW FISCAL CLIFF.NEXT FUCK YOU!!DID CDO SHIT RESURFACE AGAIN NOW?WHO REMEMBER GADDAFI,LIBYA PROBLEMS SUDDENLY SOLVED FOREVER??

GRANDMOTHER STORY SPINNERS FUCKERS.


19th October 2013
NEPTUNE ORIENT LINES ROBOTIC PATTERN
1) BASE
A-
WEEK oF 17 NOVEMBER 2008—0.93
Week of 9 March 2009—0.85
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
3+ MONTHS APART
BETWEEN 1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED +182% IN
1YEAR,1 MONTH, HIT NEAR 2.40 IN APRIL 2010
2) BASE
B-
Week of 22 August 2011—0.98
Week of 21 November 2011---0.995
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
3 MONTHS APART BETWEEN
1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED +53% IN 3
months.HIT 1.515 IN 20 FEBRUARY 2012 WEEK





3) BASE
C-
Week of 23 July 2012—1.05
Week of 19 November 2012---1.05
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
3+ MONTHS APART
BETWEEN 1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED +30% IN 1.5months.HIT
1.36 IN 7 January 2013 WEEK

4) NOW,IT
IS BASE D TIME
Week of 10 June 2013—1.025
Week of 26 August 2013---1.025
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
Near 3 MONTHS APART
BETWEEN 1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED ????% by
??????








N.O.L-NEPTUNE ORIENT LINES-N03.SI (WEEKLY CHARTS) YEAR 2006:6 NOVEMBER TO 1ST JAN2007: 1.77 TO 2.20 (+43c) YEAR 2008:17NOVEMBER TO 5JAN2009: 0.84 TO 1.175 (+33.5c) YEAR 2009:2NOVEMBER TO 11JAN2010: 1.51 TO 1.94 (+43c) YEAR 2010:22NOVEMBER TO 3JAN2011: 2.07 TO 2.40 (+33c) YEAR 2011:21NOVEMBER TO 30JAN2012: 0.995 TO 1.43 (+43.5c) YEAR 2012:19NOVEMBER TO 7JAN2013: 1.055 TO 1.36 (+30.5c)



Sunday, October 7, 2012

7th october 2012-singaporeans are cash poor after monthly deducting $70k-$90k coe,property mortgages that such a good stock also no money to support

one person told me mercator singapore is a non index stock,eagle,dryships,navios maritime are all index stocks,BUT THEY FAIL TO REALISE THAT SOME INDEX STOCKS ARE LOUSIER THAN NON INDEX STOCKS.

look at eagle shipping-ALMOST CLOSE SHOP,bankrupt!!

MOREOVER MERCATOR SINGAPORE ALTHOUGH SMALL IN MARKET CAP,BUT ITS PARENT CO. MERCATOR INDIA IS 2ND LARGEST PRIVATE SHIPPING CO. IN INDIA

AND MERCATOR SINGAPORE IS STILL PROFITABLE,AND GIVES OUT DIVIDEND WHEREAS INDEX EAGLE IS ON THE BRINK OF BANKRUPTCY!!I THINK FUNDS AIN'T STUPID TO MISS OUT A GEM AND PICK EAGLE BLINDLY JUST BECAUSE IT IS A INDEX STOCK.

EVEN A CO. ON THE BRINK OF BANKRUPTCY,IN A COUNTRY OF 8% UNEMPLOYEMNT RATE(AFTER FACTORING IN USA POPULATION 60X OF SINGAPORE,300+M VS 5+M),AVERAGE DAILY TRADED VOLUME IS 80+K,VALUE USD $240+K,FRIDAY TURNOVER VALUE IS USD $160K,WHEREAS MERCATOR PROFITABLE,GIVES DIVIDEND.NOT ON BRINK OF BANKRUPTCY,IN A COUNTRY OF UNEMPLOYMENT 2%,friday turnover value is ONLY S$1.3K

AIN'T THIS A SIGN THAT SINGAPOREANS ARE NOT CASH RICH TO APPRECIATE SUCH A GEM IS LISTED IN THEIR OWN COUNTRY!!?

i rest my case

Eagle Shipping (EGLE) Headed for Bankruptcy

March 10, 2012 – Comments (0) | RELATED TICKERS: EGLE

The collapse of dry bulk shipping rates over the last three years has caused the bankruptcy of several shipping companies, including Omega Navigation Enterprises and General Maritime Corporation. With this winter's decline in Supramax spot rates from over $14,000/day to under $8,000/day, it is likely that the shipping industry hasn't seen its last casualty. (See "BSI" on pg. 3, here and here).
Eagle by the numbers
When Eagle Bulk Shipping (EGLE) released its last report in November of 2011, the company's financial position already looked grim. The company had $1,129m in debt, and was facing a steep series of debt repayments scheduled for 2012. Specifically, the company was required to raise the following amounts over its next three fiscal quarters:
$28m in principal repayment, due June 30, 2012.$36m in interest repayment ($12m over three quarters).$9m to raise cash reserves from $27m to $36m (a loan covenant requirement)
Total: $73m by June 30, 2012
Eagle is unlikely to generate this kind of income. To achieve this the company would need to bring in $24.3m per quarter, which is unlikely considering their EBITDA was only $25.9m during Q3 2011, a period when Supramax shipping rates were at nearly double their current level.
To get a better picture of what kind of earnings we can expect from the company, I've built a model to forecast the company's earnings using the charter rates for each ship. I've calculated the daily income for each ship by subtracting $5300 in vessel operating expenses from each ship's daily revenue; for ships that aren't chartered out at fixed rates, I've substituted the average Supramax spot rate from each period. This ought to give us a reasonable estimate of the company's gross profit for each quarter. From this we can estimate earnings by subtracting the other major expenses of a shipping company, which are brokerage fees, drydocking expenses and overhead. I've estimated these expenses using their values from the last quarter. This gives us the following earnings projections:
As you can see, we should expect the company to only make some $37m by the end of March, and with shipping rates at their present levels they are unlikely to generate the remaining $37m they will need by the end of June. Eagle's lenders have restricted the company from selling its ships without permission, so unless they can renegotiate terms with their lenders or find a new equity investor, they won't be able to make their principal payment by the end of June.
Annual report delayed
Eagle has released its Q4 earnings and annual report on March 2 of every year since the company was formed. This year, however, the company has delayed until March 15 to release its report. So why have they delayed? Right now we can only give speculative reasons, but we might conjecture that management was looking for more time to try to renegotiate with lenders or find a new equity investor.
Investors would have good reason to avoid this company, too. Management's reputation has been damaged by a shareholder suit that alleges they stole tens of millions of dollars from lenders and shareholders (see article here, court filings here). On top of this, management registered the company in the Marshall Islands, which allowed them to structure the company in a way that transfers power from shareholders to management. Shipping finance is about trust, and when there are plenty of other shipping companies with trustworthy management that also need financing, we shouldn't expect Eagle to be rescued any time soon.
-Greg Womack
 
 
EAGLE(friday5oct cnbc)
 
DETAILED QUOTE (Delayed)
High Today
3.57
Low Today
3.45
Volume
54.2K
10-Day Avg Volume
83.9K
52-Week High (02/15/12)
9.80
52-Week Low (06/01/12)
2.51
1 Yr % Change (TTM)
-34.28
FUNDAMENTALS
Market Cap
54.7M
Shares Outstanding
15.8M
Price/Earnings
-1.1x
Revenue (TTM)
251.5
Earnings per Share
-3.05
Dividend + Yield
-- (0.00%)
Beta
2.51
 
VS MERCATOR LINES
 
Result for : [ WatchList ] Records : [ 3 ]
As at 05-10-2012 5:13 PM
Page [ 1 ]
Counter Name SIP Cde Rmk Last Chg % Vol BVol Buy Sell SVol Open High Low Value Sector
Mercator EE6 0.115 +0.002 +1.770 12 15 0.115 0.119 14 0.113 0.115 0.113 1,360 TSC

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