SUMMARY OF ALL SP500 UPTRENDS AND CONSOLIDATIONS




THANKS TO YOU ALL-MY PAGEVIEWS SKYROCKETED IN JAN2012,ONE MONTH ALONE is EQUAL TO 6MONTHS OF

PAGEVIEWS!!A BIG THANK YOU

SINCE THIS THREAD "SUMMARY OF ALL SP500 UPTRENDS AND CONSOLIDATIONS" THREAD IS SO POPULAR,THE HIGHEST VIEWERSHIP,I PUT IT IN THE FRONT PAGE

SUMMARY OF ALL SP500 uptrends and consolidations

UPTRENDS-

1. Mostly 10weeks,although some may be 9,11,12.how to recognize?--uptrend "mysteriously" maintained by a diagonal uptrendline connecting the lows of that 10weeks uptrend

2. 1st and last(10th) week always end in surges of aorund 3-6%with the least 1st week gain was 2.7%.The humpy uptrend will "mysteriously" start and end with surges up.

3. If the (X-1)th 10+weeks end below a fibo of the 1576-666 range,THEN the next,Xth, 10+weeks will end AT THAT FIBO.

4. If the (X-1)th 10+weeks end ABOVE a fibo of the 1576-666 range,then the NEXT,Xth, 10+weeks will end AT THE NEXT HIGHER FIBO.

5. Every year's end, at the last trading day of the year,sp500 will end near a fibo of 1576-666 range.

6. Every 10+weeks uptrend will start AFTER a double testing of the diagonal uptrend line formed by the humps from july 13th week 2009.

7. The uptrend in the secular bear market,before breakout 1576, will be a "humpy" ride,whereby i forecast a total of 4 humps to test 1576.

8. After the sp500 breaks out of the 1576 resistance,the diagonal uptrendline will be much sharper than the uptrendline of the 4 humps.

9. The peaks of each hump will occur at AROUND 350-360 POINTS ABOVE THE CORRECTION TESTED FIBONACCI.

10. 2009 REPLICATE 2003,2010 REPLICATE 2004,2011 REPLICATE 2005,SO ON--I mean the closing values and their respective fibo,

CONSOLIDATIONS-CORRECTIONS AND RETRACEMENTS

1. Every correction will have one week of huge plunge about 100points in sp500

2. every Long/HUGE weekly plunge of around 5-8% in the sp500 will be met with a return to the start BEFORE the huge plunge(weekly open) of THAT LONG WEEKLY DOWN CANDLEBODY in 23 to 24 weeks

3. After the peak of each hump has been achieved,there will come a plunge BACK to the fibo of 1576-666 range.---------

eg. 1st hump ended at 1219,near 61.8%,then sp500 plunged back to retest the 38.2%,before the NEXT hump will be formed

eg. 2nd hump peaked at 1370,near the 78.6%,then sp500 plunged back to retest the 50%..so on..

1st correction went to the 38.2%,1013, lowest 1010 and built a base around 1065

-took 24 weeks to reach the open of the HUGE weekly plunge of 120points,week of MAY 3RD 2010

-dropped a total of 210points-2nd week from the top of the 4th 10+weeks uptrend pattern 1217,was the huge weekly plunge

-took 8weeks to hit the lowest point 1010

2nd correction went to 1074 lowest,BUT built a base around the 50% fibo,1120.

-took 23 weeks to reach the open pf the 2nd HUGE weekly plunge of 120points,week of August 1, 2011

-dropped a total of 270points from 1344 and 300points from the HEAD peak 1370

-the huge weekly drop also happened in the 2nd week from the 5th 10+weeks uptrend pattern close peak of 1344.,the LEFT SHOULDER OF THE head and shoulders

-took 9weeks to hit the lowest point 1074

THIS IS THE NEW AND IMPROVISED VERSION OF THE MOST POPULAR POST IN MY BLOG


LET US RECALL THE LIES OF MEDIA OR PEOPLE WHO DON'T KNOW HOW TO EXPLAIN

1)DATA GOOD,COMPANIES EARNINGS GOOD,INDEX DROP= "FACTORED IN" OR "LESSEN STIMULUS HOPES"

2)DATA BAD,COMPANIES EARNINGS BAD,INDEX RISE="INCREASED STIMULUS HOPES"

3)WHEN USA CRISIS CAME,FULL OF CDO SHIT PROBLEM,NO1 KNOWS THERE WILL BE A EUROPE CRISIS IN 2009.THEN CAME EUROPE CRISIS.

4)WHEN EUROPE CRISIS BECOME STALE NEWS,FOCUS SHIFT TO LIBYA GADDAFI TO "EXPLAIN" DROP IN USA MARKETS

5)THEN AFTER GADDAFI NEWS BECAME STALE,THEY SHIFT BACK TO EUROPE AND CHANGE TO "AUSTERITY" SHIT

6)THEN AFTER EURO AUSTERITY NEWS BECOME STALE,THEY SHIFT FOCUS BACK TO USA AND INTRODUCED "FISCAL CLIFF" SHIT JUST BECAUSE BERNANKE MENTIONED FISCAL CLIFF

I "LOVE" THEIR SHIT.EVERYTIME THE STORY BECOMES OLD AND STALE,SOMETHING NEW WILL POP OUT AND THE OLD ONE WILL NEVER BE MENTIONED AGAIN-SINK INTO OBLIVION!!

1ST CDO,LIBYA,AUSTERITY,NOW FISCAL CLIFF.NEXT FUCK YOU!!DID CDO SHIT RESURFACE AGAIN NOW?WHO REMEMBER GADDAFI,LIBYA PROBLEMS SUDDENLY SOLVED FOREVER??

GRANDMOTHER STORY SPINNERS FUCKERS.


19th October 2013
NEPTUNE ORIENT LINES ROBOTIC PATTERN
1) BASE
A-
WEEK oF 17 NOVEMBER 2008—0.93
Week of 9 March 2009—0.85
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
3+ MONTHS APART
BETWEEN 1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED +182% IN
1YEAR,1 MONTH, HIT NEAR 2.40 IN APRIL 2010
2) BASE
B-
Week of 22 August 2011—0.98
Week of 21 November 2011---0.995
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
3 MONTHS APART BETWEEN
1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED +53% IN 3
months.HIT 1.515 IN 20 FEBRUARY 2012 WEEK





3) BASE
C-
Week of 23 July 2012—1.05
Week of 19 November 2012---1.05
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
3+ MONTHS APART
BETWEEN 1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED +30% IN 1.5months.HIT
1.36 IN 7 January 2013 WEEK

4) NOW,IT
IS BASE D TIME
Week of 10 June 2013—1.025
Week of 26 August 2013---1.025
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
Near 3 MONTHS APART
BETWEEN 1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED ????% by
??????








N.O.L-NEPTUNE ORIENT LINES-N03.SI (WEEKLY CHARTS) YEAR 2006:6 NOVEMBER TO 1ST JAN2007: 1.77 TO 2.20 (+43c) YEAR 2008:17NOVEMBER TO 5JAN2009: 0.84 TO 1.175 (+33.5c) YEAR 2009:2NOVEMBER TO 11JAN2010: 1.51 TO 1.94 (+43c) YEAR 2010:22NOVEMBER TO 3JAN2011: 2.07 TO 2.40 (+33c) YEAR 2011:21NOVEMBER TO 30JAN2012: 0.995 TO 1.43 (+43.5c) YEAR 2012:19NOVEMBER TO 7JAN2013: 1.055 TO 1.36 (+30.5c)



Saturday, May 1, 2010

John said...
thanks skeptic.
I was pleasantly surprised that my comments was highlighted in your blog. My name is John, so I guess you can put a name to anonymous.

I do apologise for the typo and grammer mistakes in my previous blog. I also realize my comments could have offended some people but I have no ill intent.

I have met many Singaporeans who took the plunge abroad but at the end chose family first and decided to return to Singapore. I respect that, especially for those with children. It is not easy. But like I say, working and succeeding overseas require sacrifices. Unless you have a cushy expatriate package (which are rare these days), you need to be separated from your love ones and tough choices need to be made. The point I was trying to make is that if you make a conscious decision to work abroad, then start planning ahead, mentally prepare to make sacrifices, it is possible to find jobs abroad. It is not a bed of roses but the benefits outweigh the shortcomings.

What worked for me may not not work for the rest, but here it goes:
1) decide which country you want to go. sounds obvious, but you will be surprised that most people have no clue what they want. I decided on China because I saw the opportunities to extend my career by easily 15-20 years especially for my industry. I looked at my colleagues in their 40s struggling to do something in a tiny market like Singapore and decided that I need to do something before I hit 40.
2) your next employer are likely to be abroad so it only makes sense to find any opportunities you can find on overseas conferences, job fairs, network and get to know people overseas. Pay for the trips yourself. "The prophet is never acceptable in his own country', basically, local employers in Singapore and headhunter will give you a huge discount when you tell them you want to work abroad. It is almost discrimination. No different from government treating foreigners better than Singaporeans. To give you an example I once wrote to an international headhunting firm based in Singapore and after the interview, I was so demoralized I wanted to give up. I wrote in to HK (same firm) directly, met with their partner, cleared all the interviews and was eventually hired. You need to find a way to present yourself in front of your prospective employer and show them you are hungry and willing to compete on local terms. If you are competent, you will get the job. More importantly, finance and legal sector in HK pays much better than Singapore. I eventually find my way to China, but that is another story. The jobs you are looking for are not on internet or classified ads, especially for senior positions. Attend overseas conferences, trade fairs, and pay for it yourself if you have to and network like crazy. I just don't see many singaporeans hungry enough to do this.
3) I once told a Singaporean to apply for CEIBS (a business school in Shanghai) instead of NUS if he really wants to work in China one day. I was given the usual, cost of living, ROI, value for money analysis. 40% of the participants in CEIBS are foreigners, where most of them eventually found jobs in China. Today, CEIBS is the top 10 business school in FT and NUS is still well..you know. Most Singaporeans, if they can help it, would like to stay in Singapore and use Singapore as a base to travel. It used to work, but I don't think it is feasible anymore. My point is, if you want to work in that country, best to study in that country as well. If all you have is a local degree in NUS/NTU, either you have a lot of overseas assignments to back you up or you have something else to offer.
4) Start the first few years alone and once you build some foundation and cash, bring your family over. The first few years are the toughest, but if you survive, it gets easier. How to survive is probably another topic for another day.
5) be aware of the forces that hold us back. Going overseas is a personal change process, and the comfortable lifestyle here in Singapore, girlfriends, wives, parents desire for children to stay close to them, all could be possible forces that hold us back. If you cannot afford to leave your love ones, then don't go abroad. There are friends of mine who refused overseas posting because they don't want to be apart from family. I respect that and it is a very personal choice. On another note, I am also aware that this friend of mine is struggling to find a meaningful job for 3 years since he was retrenched at 40. His company was moved to China.If he had gone with the posting, he probably still have a job and probably clocked a lot of useful experiences abroad as well.
6) there are people who are still doing very well without leaving Singapore. Your girlfriends and wives will be reminding you this as well. HR professionals, never seem to have problems looking for jobs. You make an assessment of your own industry, where is it heading and if having overseas experience benefits you.

I wish everyone the best and thank you for reading this.

May 1, 2009 3:14 AM

No comments:

Post a Comment