SUMMARY OF ALL SP500 UPTRENDS AND CONSOLIDATIONS
THANKS TO YOU ALL-MY PAGEVIEWS SKYROCKETED IN JAN2012,ONE MONTH ALONE is EQUAL TO 6MONTHS OF
PAGEVIEWS!!A BIG THANK YOU
SINCE THIS THREAD "SUMMARY OF ALL SP500 UPTRENDS AND CONSOLIDATIONS" THREAD IS SO POPULAR,THE HIGHEST VIEWERSHIP,I PUT IT IN THE FRONT PAGE
SUMMARY OF ALL SP500 uptrends and consolidations
UPTRENDS-
1. Mostly 10weeks,although some may be 9,11,12.how to recognize?--uptrend "mysteriously" maintained by a diagonal uptrendline connecting the lows of that 10weeks uptrend
2. 1st and last(10th) week always end in surges of aorund 3-6%with the least 1st week gain was 2.7%.The humpy uptrend will "mysteriously" start and end with surges up.
3. If the (X-1)th 10+weeks end below a fibo of the 1576-666 range,THEN the next,Xth, 10+weeks will end AT THAT FIBO.
4. If the (X-1)th 10+weeks end ABOVE a fibo of the 1576-666 range,then the NEXT,Xth, 10+weeks will end AT THE NEXT HIGHER FIBO.
5. Every year's end, at the last trading day of the year,sp500 will end near a fibo of 1576-666 range.
6. Every 10+weeks uptrend will start AFTER a double testing of the diagonal uptrend line formed by the humps from july 13th week 2009.
7. The uptrend in the secular bear market,before breakout 1576, will be a "humpy" ride,whereby i forecast a total of 4 humps to test 1576.
8. After the sp500 breaks out of the 1576 resistance,the diagonal uptrendline will be much sharper than the uptrendline of the 4 humps.
9. The peaks of each hump will occur at AROUND 350-360 POINTS ABOVE THE CORRECTION TESTED FIBONACCI.
10. 2009 REPLICATE 2003,2010 REPLICATE 2004,2011 REPLICATE 2005,SO ON--I mean the closing values and their respective fibo,
CONSOLIDATIONS-CORRECTIONS AND RETRACEMENTS
1. Every correction will have one week of huge plunge about 100points in sp500
2. every Long/HUGE weekly plunge of around 5-8% in the sp500 will be met with a return to the start BEFORE the huge plunge(weekly open) of THAT LONG WEEKLY DOWN CANDLEBODY in 23 to 24 weeks
3. After the peak of each hump has been achieved,there will come a plunge BACK to the fibo of 1576-666 range.---------
eg. 1st hump ended at 1219,near 61.8%,then sp500 plunged back to retest the 38.2%,before the NEXT hump will be formed
eg. 2nd hump peaked at 1370,near the 78.6%,then sp500 plunged back to retest the 50%..so on..
1st correction went to the 38.2%,1013, lowest 1010 and built a base around 1065
-took 24 weeks to reach the open of the HUGE weekly plunge of 120points,week of MAY 3RD 2010
-dropped a total of 210points-2nd week from the top of the 4th 10+weeks uptrend pattern 1217,was the huge weekly plunge
-took 8weeks to hit the lowest point 1010
2nd correction went to 1074 lowest,BUT built a base around the 50% fibo,1120.
-took 23 weeks to reach the open pf the 2nd HUGE weekly plunge of 120points,week of August 1, 2011
-dropped a total of 270points from 1344 and 300points from the HEAD peak 1370
-the huge weekly drop also happened in the 2nd week from the 5th 10+weeks uptrend pattern close peak of 1344.,the LEFT SHOULDER OF THE head and shoulders
-took 9weeks to hit the lowest point 1074
THIS IS THE NEW AND IMPROVISED VERSION OF THE MOST POPULAR POST IN MY BLOG
LET US RECALL THE LIES OF MEDIA OR PEOPLE WHO DON'T KNOW HOW TO EXPLAIN
1)DATA GOOD,COMPANIES EARNINGS GOOD,INDEX DROP= "FACTORED IN" OR "LESSEN STIMULUS HOPES"
2)DATA BAD,COMPANIES EARNINGS BAD,INDEX RISE="INCREASED STIMULUS HOPES"
3)WHEN USA CRISIS CAME,FULL OF CDO SHIT PROBLEM,NO1 KNOWS THERE WILL BE A EUROPE CRISIS IN 2009.THEN CAME EUROPE CRISIS.
4)WHEN EUROPE CRISIS BECOME STALE NEWS,FOCUS SHIFT TO LIBYA GADDAFI TO "EXPLAIN" DROP IN USA MARKETS
5)THEN AFTER GADDAFI NEWS BECAME STALE,THEY SHIFT BACK TO EUROPE AND CHANGE TO "AUSTERITY" SHIT
6)THEN AFTER EURO AUSTERITY NEWS BECOME STALE,THEY SHIFT FOCUS BACK TO USA AND INTRODUCED "FISCAL CLIFF" SHIT JUST BECAUSE BERNANKE MENTIONED FISCAL CLIFF
I "LOVE" THEIR SHIT.EVERYTIME THE STORY BECOMES OLD AND STALE,SOMETHING NEW WILL POP OUT AND THE OLD ONE WILL NEVER BE MENTIONED AGAIN-SINK INTO OBLIVION!!
1ST CDO,LIBYA,AUSTERITY,NOW FISCAL CLIFF.NEXT FUCK YOU!!DID CDO SHIT RESURFACE AGAIN NOW?WHO REMEMBER GADDAFI,LIBYA PROBLEMS SUDDENLY SOLVED FOREVER??
GRANDMOTHER STORY SPINNERS FUCKERS.
19th October 2013
NEPTUNE ORIENT LINES ROBOTIC PATTERN
1) BASE
A-
WEEK oF 17 NOVEMBER 2008—0.93
Week of 9 March 2009—0.85
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
3+ MONTHS APART
BETWEEN 1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED +182% IN
1YEAR,1 MONTH, HIT NEAR 2.40 IN APRIL 2010
2) BASE
B-
Week of 22 August 2011—0.98
Week of 21 November 2011---0.995
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
3 MONTHS APART BETWEEN
1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED +53% IN 3
months.HIT 1.515 IN 20 FEBRUARY 2012 WEEK
3) BASE
C-
Week of 23 July 2012—1.05
Week of 19 November 2012---1.05
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
3+ MONTHS APART
BETWEEN 1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED +30% IN 1.5months.HIT
1.36 IN 7 January 2013 WEEK
4) NOW,IT
IS BASE D TIME
Week of 10 June 2013—1.025
Week of 26 August 2013---1.025
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
Near 3 MONTHS APART
BETWEEN 1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED ????% by
??????
N.O.L-NEPTUNE ORIENT LINES-N03.SI (WEEKLY CHARTS) YEAR 2006:6 NOVEMBER TO 1ST JAN2007: 1.77 TO 2.20 (+43c) YEAR 2008:17NOVEMBER TO 5JAN2009: 0.84 TO 1.175 (+33.5c) YEAR 2009:2NOVEMBER TO 11JAN2010: 1.51 TO 1.94 (+43c) YEAR 2010:22NOVEMBER TO 3JAN2011: 2.07 TO 2.40 (+33c) YEAR 2011:21NOVEMBER TO 30JAN2012: 0.995 TO 1.43 (+43.5c) YEAR 2012:19NOVEMBER TO 7JAN2013: 1.055 TO 1.36 (+30.5c)
Sunday, February 27, 2011
8YEARS IN THE MARKET AND I HAVE NEVER BEEN HIT BY A SUSPENDED COMPANY!!because I DISTRUST SG mkt S-chips!BECAUSE I NEVER TRUST FUCKAmentals
Partial List of S-Chips Scandals
This list includes name of company, stock symbol, and place of incorporation.
Fibrechem Technologies Limited (SGX: F12) (Bermuda)
FerroChina Ltd. (SGX: F33) (Bermuda)
China Printing & Dyeing Holding Limited (SGX: M67) (Singapore)
Zhongguo Jilong Limited (SGX: Z03)
Zhonghui Holdings Ltd. (SGX: Z04) (Singapore)
Sino-Environment Technology Group Ltd. (SGX: Y62) (Singapore)
China Hongxing Sports Limited (SGX: BR9) (Bermuda)
China Zaino International Ltd. (SGX: FP1) (Bermuda)
Oriental Century (SGX: 5II) (Singapore)
China EnerSave (SGX: 531) (Singapore)
China Sun Bio-Chem (SGX: C86) (Cayman Islands)
China Aviation Oil (SGX: C47) (Singapore)
China Sports International Limited (SGX: FQ8) (Bermuda)
China Fibretech Ltd. (SGX: F6D) (Bermuda)
China XLX (SGX: B9R) (Singapore)
Sino Techfibre (SGX: AD8) (Bermuda)
BELOW from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/P_chip
Partial List of Suspended or Delisted P-ChipsThis list includes name of company, stock symbol, and place of incorporation. The Hong Kong Exchange might have reassigned to other companies the stock symbols in this list.
Asia Aluminum (SEHK: 930) (Bermuda)
Bep International (SEHK: 2326) (Bermuda)
Fu Ji Food and Catering (SEHK: 1175) (Cayman Islands)
Peace Mark (SEHK: 304) (Bermuda)
Smart Union (SEHK: 2700) (Cayman Islands)
Tack Fat (SEHK: 928) (Cayman Islands)
U-right International (SEHK: 627) (Bermuda)
A - S China Plumbing Products Ltd. (SEHK: 8262) (Cayman Islands)
ABC Communications (Holdings) Ltd. (SEHK: 30) (Bermuda)
Automated Systems Holdings Ltd. (SEHK: 771) (Bermuda)
China Information Technology Development Ltd. (SEHK: 8178) (Cayman Islands)
China Jin Hui Mining Corporation Ltd. (SEHK: 462) (Cayman Islands)
China Medical and Bio Science Ltd. (SEHK: 8120) (Cayman Islands)
China Nickel Resources Holdings Co. Ltd. (SEHK: 2889) (Cayman Islands)
China Packaging Group Co. Ltd. (SEHK: 572) (Cayman Islands)
China Post E-Commerce (Holdings) Ltd. (SEHK: 8041) (Cayman Islands)
China Star Film Group Ltd. (SEHK: 8172) (Bermuda)
China Trends Holdings Ltd. (SEHK: 8171) (Cayman Islands)
CIL Holdings Ltd. (SEHK: 479) (Bermuda)
Climax International Co. Ltd. (SEHK: 439) (Bermuda)
EganaGoldpfeil (Holdings) Ltd. (SEHK: 48) (Cayman Islands)
Extrawell Pharmaceutical Holdings Ltd. (SEHK: 858) (Bermuda)
Grand Field Group Holdings Ltd. (SEHK: 115) (Bermuda)
Hong Kong Resources Holdings Co. Ltd. (SEHK: 2882) (Bermuda)
Info Communication Holdings Ltd. (SEHK: 8082) (Cayman Islands)
Jackin International Holdings Ltd. (SEHK: 630) (Bermuda)
Kith Holdings Ltd. (SEHK: 1201) (Bermuda)
M Dream Inworld Ltd. (SEHK: 8100) (Cayman Islands)
Mitsumaru East Kit (Holdings) Ltd. (SEHK: 2358) (Cayman Islands)
Nam Fong International Holdings Ltd. (SEHK: 1176) (Bermuda)
Nam Hing Holdings Ltd. (SEHK: 986) (Bermuda)
New City (China) Development Ltd. (SEHK: 456) (Cayman Islands)
Ngai Lik Industrial Holdings Ltd. (SEHK: 332) (Bermuda)
Ocean Grand Holdings Ltd. (SEHK: 1220) (Bermuda)
Pan Asia Mining Ltd. (SEHK: 8173) (Cayman Islands)
Pan Sino International Holding Ltd. (SEHK: 502) (Cayman Islands)
Peaktop International Holdings Ltd. (SEHK: 925) (Bermuda)
Prosten Technology Holdings Ltd. (SEHK: 8026) (Cayman Islands)
QPL International Holdings Ltd. (SEHK: 243) (Bermuda)
Rojam Entertainment Holdings Ltd. (SEHK: 8075) (Cayman Islands)
SMI Publishing Group Ltd. (SEHK: 8010) (Cayman Islands)
Wai Chun Group Holdings Ltd. (SEHK: 1013) (Bermuda)
Warderly International Holdings Ltd. (SEHK: 607) (Cayman Islands)
I REPOST MY EARLIER POSTS TO LET U ALL SEE THE FUCKING LOUSY POWER OF FUCKAMENTALS
DJ MARKET TALK: Harvest Fund QDII To Benefit S-Chips - UBS (2007/10/02 10:26AM)
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0226 GMT [Dow Jones] China''s approval last week for Harvest Fund QDII to invest in S-chips was six months ahead of expectations, says UBS. Expects move to trigger wave of liquidity in China shares listed in Singapore, or S-shares, which trade at a discount to Hong Kong peers; says companies with unique China exposure vs mainland and Hong Kong offerings look the most attractive. Top S-chip picks are Hungguo (H14.SG), Sino Environment (Y62.SG) and Raffles Education (R17.SG). (KIG)
Contact us in Singapore. 65 64154 150;
MarketTalk@dowjones.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
October 01, 2007 22:26 ET (02:26 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2007 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. DJ MARKET TALK:Merrill Cuts Celestial Target To S$1.18, Keeps Buy (2008/02/26 11:10AM)
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0310 GMT [Dow Jones] STOCK CALL: Merrill Lynch lowers target price for Celestial Nutrifoods (C56.SG) to S$1.18 from S$1.92, but keeps Buy call. Says firm likely to continue facing high soybean costs. "We believe the group could only pass on part of the higher costs and forecast an 8% drop in FY08 margins," says analyst Eddy Loh in note. But notes Celestial''s 4Q07 results were within expectations; company likely to see robust sales growth in 2008 through launch of new beverage and powder products, commercial startup of biodiesel plant in 3Q08. Share down 5.6% at S$0.67. (FCS)
DJ MARKET TALK: CIMB Keeps Celestial Nutrifoods At Outperform (2007/10/08 10:35AM)
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0235 GMT [Dow Jones] STOCK CALL: CIMB reiterates Celestial Nutrifoods (C56.SG) at Outperform, maintains S$2.23 target price. "We recently visited Celestial''s production facilities in Lindian and Daqing, China and came away convinced that its expansion plans are on track." Notes company has started producing two new products on trial basis, new biodiesel plant nearly completed, products prominently displayed in leading Chinese supermarkets. Says positive on outlook, but no change to earnings estimates. Stock currently +0.6% at S$1.55. (KIG)
DJ MARKET TALK: CIMB Raises Ferrochina Target Price To S$2.44 (2008/05/22 11:51AM)
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0351 GMT [Dow Jones] STOCK CALL: CIMB raises Ferrochina (F33.SG) target price to S$2.44 from S$2.11, reiterates Outperform call after plant visit. Broker says steel product maker''s expansion of Xinghai and Xingyu facilities appears to be on track. Adds new product lines should boost output, improve product mix and gross margins; company seeking strategic investor to move further upstream in order to secure raw materials. Says target price hike reflects, "improved business visibility and possible value-creation from strategic investors." New target price still assumes 35% discount to industry peers to reflect its smaller size. Share down 0.6% at S$1.64. (KIG)
DJ MARKET TALK: CIMB Raises FerroChina Target To S$2.11 (2008/04/29 16:35PM)
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0835 GMT [Dow Jones] STOCK CALL: CIMB raises FerroChina (F33.SG) target price to S$2.11 from S$2.09 after increasing FY08 earnings estimate 15% on enlarged capacity and higher average selling prices, or ASPs. Also raises FY09-10 forecasts to account for the timing of new capacity, higher ASPs, higher group expenses, lower forex gains. "Given FRC''s excellent business visibility, we maintain Outperform." Notes 1Q08 net profit +161% on-year at CNY188.5 million, came in 15% above house''s annualized estimate, but 6% below market consensus. Says key variance higher revenue of CNY3 billion (+167% on-year) with increased capacity from Superb Team acquisition, higher ASPs on strong demand, significantly higher other income as a result of forex gains from weaker USD/CNY, USD/SGD; notes 1Q08 net profit marks 23% of house''s FY08 forecast. Notes gross margin steady at 8.8% despite rising HRC feedstock prices, exacerbated by higher iron ore and coking coal prices. Share down 4.9% at S$1.37. (LES)
DJ MARKET TALK: DBS Keeps FerroChina At Buy, Target At S$3.38 (2007/10/25 16:29PM)
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0829 GMT [Dow Jones] STOCK CALL: DBS Vickers keeps FerroChina (F33.SG) at Buy, with target price at S$3.38 after company visit. "We continue to like FerroChina given its firm growth outlook, driven by both organic expansion and acquisitions." Says valuations undemanding at less than 9X FY08 earnings, with share one of cheapest Singapore-listed China plays above S$1 billion in market capitalization. "The successful acquisition of Superb Team will help transform FerroChina into one of China''s largest independent galvanised steel producers and help underpin robust earnings growth into FY09." Notes FerroChina to be among 10 largest S-chip by market capitalization after purchase; says should help attract QDII funds. Share up 4.2% at S$2.48. (LES)
DJ MARKET TALK: Ferrochina May Become Blue Chip - CIMB (2007/05/22 16:26PM)
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0826 GMT [Dow Jones] Ferrochina (F33.SG) off 0.9% at S$2.30 in heavy volume, slips back on profit taking after equaling record high of S$2.43 set on Friday. CIMB says company "poised to become a major global galvanized steel player and is likely to achieve blue-chip status in a few years." Keeps at Outperform with target price of S$3.10, based on 9.0X CY08 P/E; says "as the company continues to grow in size and establishes itself as a global leader in galvanized steel, we believe it should at least trade closer to its peers." Thinks expansion activities could lead to a threefold expansion in capacity in coming years. (JEM)
DJ MARKET TALK: Ferrochina Valuations Very Undemanding - Daiwa (2007/06/29 09:19AM)
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0119 GMT [Dow Jones] Ferrochina (F33.SG) +0.9% at S$2.21 on thin volume; current valuations very undemanding, with the stock trading at a 36% PER discount to Hong Kong-listed integrated steel stocks, according to Daiwa. Following company gaining full control over its associate, Superb Team, brokerage estimates total processing capacity will increase to 1.7 million tonnes, 4.25 million tonnes for FY07, FY08 respectively (+86%, 151% on year); says "resultant synergies and margin expansion would drive stronger earnings growth for FY07 and FY08." Raises target price to S$3.42 from S$2.29, keeps at Buy; upside capped at week high of S$2.30. (JEM)
DJ MARKET TALK: MS Starts China Milk At Overweight, S$2 Target (2007/11/02 13:57PM)
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0557 GMT [Dow Jones] STOCK CALL: Morgan Stanley starts China Milk Products Group (G86.SG) at Overweight with S$2 target. Says company is one of best plays on resource productivity, with cattle herd boasting best composition of pedigree bulls, cows in China. "We believe the market is missing the full benefits of the management''s ability to improve herd mix to drive higher milk yield, quality cattle semen and embryos, and in turn support margin trend, along with a further government push to improve cattle genetics in China." Stock +3.3% at S$1.24 midday. (FKH)
DJ MARKET TALK: Phillip Upgrades China Sun To Buy, 85.5C Target (2007/05/29 10:03AM)
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0203 GMT [Dow Jones] STOCK CALL: Phillip Securities ups China Sun Bio-chem Technology (C86.SG) to Buy from Hold, lifts fair value to S$0.855 from S$0.81; notes stock currently trades at valuations of 7.9x FY07 PER, 6.3x FY08 PER, believes "such low valuations are unjustified, given its leading industry position and medium term growth potential." Expects adjusted EPS to grow at 3-year CAGR of 19% between FY07, FY09 after company posted 23% on year rise in 1Q07 net profit to CNY82.1 million. Trades up 0.8% at S$0.67 on modest volume. (JEM)
DJ MARKET TALK: Beauty China Selloff Is Overreaction - ML (2007/09/27 08:15AM)
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0015 GMT [Dow Jones] STOCK CALL: Beauty China''s (B15.SG) share price fall on news 3Q earnings growth may slow is unjustified, says Merrill Lynch. "In our view, the market simply overreacted. We have pointed out our expectations for a slower 2H07 many times in our research, and BCH has also communicated cost concerns with investors before." Adds company remains cheapest China consumer play; "the recent price weakness represents a good entry point." No change to earnings forecast, reiterates Buy rating, maintains S$1.38 target. Shares closed down 2.7% at S$1.09 yesterday.(KIG)
DJ MARKET TALK: CIMB Keeps Beauty China At Outperform, Tgt S$1.67 (2007/11/22 16:12PM)
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0812 GMT [Dow Jones] STOCK CALL: CIMB reiterates Beauty China (B15.SG) at Outperform with target price of S$1.67; says target at 60% discount to China retail peers due to its smaller size. Says Beauty China trading at 9X 2009 earnings vs 20X for Singapore-listed China retail stock China Hongxing (BR9.SG). Notes commercial production at company''s new plant began mid-October, group has secured HK$2 million worth of orders. Notes 9M07 earnings about 68% of CIMB FY forecast; projects 4Q07 revenue of HK$197.8 million with net profit at HK$38.2 million; expects margins to narrow on seasonally higher A&P expenses, higher packaging costs, start-up losses from new plant. Share down 4.6% at S$1.24; STI down 0.9%. (LES)
DJ MARKET TALK: Beauty China Fundamentals Still Good -UOBKH (2008/06/13 14:07PM)
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0607 GMT [Dow Jones] STOCK CALL: Beauty China''s (B15.SG)fundamentals remain intact with no slowdown for China retail sales, says UOB KayHian; reiterates Buy call, keeps target price unchanged at S$1.38. Notes cosmetics firm''s shares are now 43% below 52-week high of S$1.48 hit on Jan 2; blames fears of slowdown in consumption following China snowstorms, earthquake and concerns over margin squeeze from higher raw material prices. But says China retail sales still solid, registering record high in April whilst new products, increasing utilization rates should help ease margin pressure. "Considering the bright prospects of the cosmetics industry, the production ramp-up at the new plant and the launch of new products with higher margins, we remain positive on the stock." Shares currently down 0.6% at S$0.84. (KIG)
I REPOST OLD NEWS TO SHOW THAT NEWS AND FUNDAMENTALS ARE WORSE AND MORE INACCURATE THAN TECHNICALS... PUI ;OUSY S SHARES!!LUCKILY DUE TO ME LOOKING DOWN ON SINGAPORE ABILITY TO ATTRACT BIG FOREIGN COMPANIES,I DECIDED TO INVEST IN ZERO S SHARES FOR LONG TERM SINCE 2005.AND NOW WITH THESE NEWS ON CHINA MILK I WILL NOT EVEN TOUCH THEM FOR DAY TRADING..
I NEVER EVEN got caught by ONE SUSPENDED SHARE DUE TO MY PRUDENCE.
Friday, February 25, 2011
25th feb2011--PEOPLE WHO LONG hsi,sti TODAY ARE IDIOTS(part3)
24thfeb2011 hsi,sti 1st fell to make people "feel" that at night us going to fall.then when the fall did not come,idiots re enter the market again today.
yesterday hsi was at 23600,sti at 2970,ANTICIPATING sp500 will drop 1307-around 1290s(but the sp500 recovered)
TODAY's RISE IN HSI,STI is just to RE-ALIGN the ratios to the downside TO BE THE SAME--SP500(1306 to 1275),STI(3010 to 2920) and HSI(23100 to 22400)
ALL 3 BROTHERS RATIO TO DOWNSIDE IS THE SAME!!!
what does this mean?
1.even if SP500 does go up today(chances are slim because EVERY FRIDAY of starting week of drop ALWAYS DOWN),hsi,sti ON MONDAY WILL NOT CLOSE UP BY A LOT,MAX STI IS 3037 AND HSI TO 23300 OR will gap up and go down.
2.SP500 may PLUNGE TONITE,dragging ever closer to 1275(as every friday of starting drop week will drop)
IF case 2 happens TONIGHT, THEN MONDAY WILL HAVE MAXIMUM FEAR suddenly because the market went up so much on 25thfeb,FROM HEAVEN TO HELL for longs suddenly and PLUS tuesday will also be down day for hsi,sti,
WEDNESDAY MORNING,(2nd march 2011)9AM,CAN BUY stocks,call warrants!!
Thursday, February 24, 2011
24feb2011:BUY HSI CALL WARRANTS ON 28FEB2011 9AM(SINGAPORE TIME) IF....
REQUIREMENTS
1.HSI,STI MUST PLUNGE 2% on FRIDAY,TOMORROW,25TH FEB 2011
2.SP500 MUST CLOSE AT 1275 OR BELOW BY A BIT ON 25TH FEB2011 5AM(SINGAPORE TIME)
3.ASIA MKTS MUST GAP DOWN ON MONDAY,28TH FEB2011
IF THESE 3 CRITERIAS ARE MET,WHACK THAT BLOODY CALL WARRANT(OF COURSE CHOOSE HSI) AS HSI HAS 2 POS DIV AT 22400
WHY THIS SCENARIO IS LIKELY TO HAPPEN?
REASONS
1. USMKT ALWAYS FALL FOR THE PAST 5 UPLEGS on FRIDAYs OF THE STARTING WEEK of drop
2. this time the media has the UPPERHAND..what upperhand?the LIBYA news.WHEN THE MEDIA HAS THE UPPERHAND, STOCKMKT OPERATORS WILL MOST LIKELY USE THAT UPPERHAND TO CREATE "MAXIMUM FEAR" to scare off IDIOTS
AS USUAL,THANK U,DOR TSAY,ARIGATO IDIOTS,BAK-CHI,RETARDS,MORONS for buying on MAXIMUM OPTIMISM AND SELLING OFF IN MAXIMUM FEAR!!
BIG SALUTE to idiots who BOUGHT FROM ME ON 7FEB2011 and will SELL BACK TO ME WHEN STI HIT 2900
I LOVE U I LOVE U I LOVE U
WHEREEVER U GO,ILL FOLLOW ILL FOLLOW,ILL FOLLOW
ONLY YOU AND YOU ALONE..
HUGS AND KISSES FROM SHARESWIZARD TO RETARDS AND IDIOTS
muackkssss
REMEMBER THIS POST ON 8TH FEB 2011?HOW TALLY 22400,1275,2920 is from 24-02-2011 levels
WATCH FOR THE BOUNCE at 1250s-1260s..im upgrading my drop in feb2011 tgt to 1240 as maximum,no longer 1200.
there are 3 cases of the consolidation:
1.1320s-1330s then fall to 1275 then a fake bounce up to 1345(78.6% fib of 1466-903 range),and a final selldown to 1250
follow the week starting may4 2009 to week starting jul6 2009 pattern
OR
2. 1320s-1330s then drop to 1250s and remain there flat till the start of 7th 10week start with a HUGE candlebody spike up
OR
3.1320s-1330s then drop to 1250s(touching THAT diagonal trendline),fake bounce up to 1345,then a final selldown to a higher value,BECAUSE THAT TRENDLINE IS UPward MOVING,increasing in value as time progresses,1270s(6th 10week's 10th week opening)
follow the week starting sept21 2009 to week starting oct26 2009 pattern
SHARESWIZARD VOTE FOR SCENARIO 1 and SECNARIO 3
proof:1220s is only 20% possible as the DIAGONAL TRENDLINE suggests a much higher value BUT 1220s is still POSSIBLE(20% possibility) with a quick plunge and quick recovery,negating the fake breakdown of THAT upward diagonal trendline
SHARESWIZARD gives 4D-5D numbers
22400,1275,2920--ALL THE 3 NUMBERS WILL BE TOGETHER AT THE SAME TIME HIT FOR A TEMPORARY REBOUND UP before a final drop to 1240 in sp500
P.S. note:IF THIS FRIDAY ENDED DOWN OR PLUNGE,THIS WEEK WILL BE CONFIRMED AS THE STARTING WEEK OF RETRACEMENT
ARE ANY OF MY PREDICTIONS VERY WRONG?please tell me..aint i the shareswizard telling u the possibilities in the details of how to recognize start of retracemnet week,timing of bases,etc..
BEING SHARESGOD DOES NOT MEAN I AM 100% RITE ALL THE TIME but just to show u im able to describe in details the scenarios.have i been terribly wrong?
DEC2010-FEB2011
1.short sugar at 35s
2.long shanghai at 2680s
3.long silver at 26-27s
4.short sp500 at 1320-1330s
5.short hangseng at 24k on 7feb2011
ALL THE ABOVE TRADES HAVE massive PROFIT IN 1,2,3 WEEKS!!this is what i call G-SPOT in trading
Wednesday, February 23, 2011
WELCOME TO THE sp500 RETRACEMENT TO 1240
DID I SAY WRONGLY THAT THOSE WHO RUSH IN TO long ON FEB18,FEB2 ARE IDIOTS?
Tuesday, February 22, 2011
22ND FEB2011:STORY OF BOY WHO CRIES WOLF.WHAT HAPPEN TO THE 3RD TIME he cries wolf?
CASE 1: if usmkt does not plunge tonite and can even be flat OR go up, sp500 will end UP 2.9% by friday,25feb2011
REMEMBER THE STORY OF BOY WHO CRIES WOLF?WHAT HAPPEN AT THE 3RD TIME HE CRYS WOLF?
NOBODY BELIEVES HIM...
1st cry wolf:28jan2011:egypt fears
USMKT WENT UP AFTER THAT
2nd cry wolf:22feb2011:Libya fears("coincidentally" matches with sti at 3030s and hangseng at 23000s)
3rd cry wolf:???
THEN WILL COME THE REAL DROP 6-7%!!
Case 2:BUT if usmkt plunge tonight,then THIS WEEK WILL BE THE STARTING WEEK OF THE RETRACEMENT PERIOD
Saturday, February 19, 2011
19th feb 2011:DROP IS DELAYED!SP500 VERY LIKELY TO GO HIGHER 2.9PC FOR FINALE WEEK next week
THEORY
1. 10week theory(1st one is a 9week)
2. last week gains cant be > 1st week gains
3. last week sure up
4. ALL past 10week uplegs' LAST WEEK always OPEN on a fibonnacci of 1466-903 range
5. 2nd half theory(4 10week uplegs in the 1st half)
6. AFTER a 10week upleg aim of achieve CLOSING OF THAT ENTIRE UPLEG > a fibonnacci of 1576-666 range, THE NEXT UPLEG will a HIT A HIGHER FIBONACCI
7. THERE ARE 2 SIGNS OF A START OF RETRACEMENT WEEK:
a.retracement week highest will be 5-6points HIGHER than the maximum of the LAST week of the upleg
b. retracement week will not go higher than the highest of the LAST week of the upleg,and will start to ERASE more than 50% of the gains.
SO IN SUMMARY ALL THESE THEORIES SUGGEST THAT sp500 will have 2 scenarios NEXT WEEK
SCENARIO 1:
SP500 WILL GO TO 1381(78.6PC OF 1576-666), BECAUSE 1343(18FEB2011 CLOSING) X 1.029(SP500 UP 2.9+PC IN 1ST WEEK),hence this 6th upleg will take a total of 13weeks,AIM OF THIS UPLEG:= 78.6PC
SCENARIO 2:
SP500 WILL START RETRACING NEXT WEEK, hence this upleg is only 12 weeks from NOV29 week.AIM of this 6th upleg: > 61.8PC ONLY
FROM THE 2SCENARIOS,I KNOW THE FUTURE ALREADY..
FUTURE1 FROM SCENARIO 1:BECAUSE SP500 CLOSES AT 1381,and using all the theories ABOVE combined,the NEXT upleg,the 7th upleg's LAST WEK will open at 1466(the 100pc of 1466-903 range).
THE 7TH upleg aim will be > 78.6pc AND HENCE 8TH UPLEG WILL be = 1580 THE 2007 HIGHEST!!
future 2 from scenario2: PLAIN WASTING TIME as this 6th upleg only finish >61.8pc. THIS SCENARIO2 DEFY THEORY 4.hence i dont think it will be possible
Friday, February 18, 2011
THOSE WHO LONG STI TODAY ,18FEB2011 ARE CLEAR CLOWNS
IDIOTS WILL NEVER KNOW THE IMPORTANCE OF 3120==3120 is the point sti breakdown from.
THE RESETTING ALSO CONFIRMS STI LISTEN TO USMKT.
congrats for buying longs today AND REMEMBER TO DUMP TO ME WHEN THE PLUNGE COMES.i will be collecting at 2900s
WATCH OUT TONITE,18TH FEB2011,IF CLOSE BELOW 1329 IN SP500 SIGNAL START OF RETRACEMENT WEEK AS THIS WEEK
minimum drop today must be below 1329 by a little bit to QUALIFY THIS WEEK AS START OF RETRACEMENT WEEK,so minimum shareswizard is looking for is a 11-12point drop in sp500 TONITE,18th feb2011
FACTS ABOUT ALL PAST 5 START OF RETRACEMENT WEEKS:ALL PAST 5 FRIDAYS DROP/PLUNGE,
evidence in below post
BUNCH OF ADULT RETARDS..WHAT CAN THE SG GOVT DO TO CURB INFLATION?
What would you want to see in this year's Budget?
Thanks for being one of the first people to vote. Results will be available soon. Check for results
Measures to tackle inflation
38 % Measures to tackle inflation
22 votes More help for low income groups
28 % More help for low income groups
16 votesBonuses to boost fertility rates
9 % Bonuses to boost fertility rates
5 votesCuts in personal income tax
25 % Cuts in personal income tax
14 votes
--poll from xin.msn
LOOK AT THE BUNCH OF LOSERS VOTIN FOR TO TACKLE INFLATION...
didnt LONG commodities and WHINE!u think the singapore govt can do anything to stop speculation in wall street on the commodities????????
I MUST THANK THE SG GOVT FOR RAISING GOODS SERVICES TAXES BEFORE THE CRISIS IN 2007,AND DIDNT ABOLISH OR REDUCE THE GST in 2008-2009,THAT CAUSE ME TO BE more self reliant,RATHER THAN WHINE
PLEASE RELY ON YOURSELVES ADULT SINGAPOREANS,u didnt pay attention to investments and there u regret it!!
I LOVE PUNISHMENTS
POVERTY FOR NON SAVVY PEOPLE,talking about movies,clubbing,shopping all the time
please dont think ONLY SEXUALLY TRASMITTED DISEASES FOR PROMISCUOUS PEOPLE,POVERTY thru inflation CAN STRIKE U DEAD IF U R NOT SELF-RELIANT
Thursday, February 17, 2011
17THFEB2011 9.57pm:MY ALGORITHM WILL BE PROVEN RIGHT TO BE THE MANIPULATORS' ALGORITHM BY TODAY,18FEB2011,5AM(SINGAPORE TIME) IF..
THEN
2.tomorrow,friday,18th feb2011,sp500 will drop/plunge DEPENDING ON TONITE.
THEN
3.BY LAST DAY OF NEXT WEEK,25TH FEB2011, sp500 will go to 1276 OR LOWER...
THIS IS THE OPERATORS' ALGORITHM---IF 1, THEN 2, THEN 3
LETS SEE IF IT GETS ACTED OUT 1 BY 1!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
POSTED BY SHARESWIZARD 17THFEB2011 9,57PM SINGAPORE TIME
I WORSHIP RETARDS BLIND LOYALTY TO THE THINGS THEY ARE FAMILIAR WITH
AINT IT TRUE?
i met so many singaporeans,so loyal to a sinking ship,reminded me of KAMIKAZE ATTITUDE..
just because a particular share,eg.swiber helped u earn $ before, wah u cling on to that share like GOD and will re buy and rebuy,defying even current trends,which is DOWN for sti in short to medium term.
I SALUTE RETARDS KAMIKAZE ATTITUDE!!IF IM LIKE U, I CANT EVEN BE A FULLTIME TRADER for even 1 year,let alone 7years.
RETARDS CANT EARN $ FROM STOCKMARKET AND HAVE TO DO BUSINESSES LIKE A PHOTOSTUDIO,OR WORKING AT 50YEARS OLD etc just for survival sake.
IF IM BLESSED WITH A STOCKMARKET LIKE 1982 TO 2000 IN US,HK,ETC, WILL i BE EVEN BE A FULLTIME TRADER?i will be a mini property developer by now.
RETARDS WHO HAVE GONE THRU SO MANY SECULAR BULLMARKETS,AND STILL POOR AT OLD AGE HAVE ONLY THEIR OWN PATHETICNESS OLD STUBBORN ATTITUDE TO BLAME
NOW 12.30AM:WATCH THE MAGIC OF ALGORITHM LATER!!
THATS WHY I TOLD U IN MY SMS to PLACE YOUR BETS before usmkt open tonite..
IF U PLACE YOUR BETS AFTER USMKT OPEN,U ALREADY KNOW CASE2 IS IMPOSSIBLE,NOT FUN RITE???
2SCENARIOS NOW:
1) IF SP500 DOES NOT GO DOWN ON WED,THURS, THEN FRIDAY A PLUNGE IS AWAITING
2)IF SP500 DOES DROP A BIT on wed and thurs,THEN FRIDAY MAY OR MAY NOT PLUNGE.
ANOTHER BET FOR U TO PLACE..COME COME PLACE YOUR BETS
Wednesday, February 16, 2011
another joke i just saw!stockmarket is indeed hilarious,COME COME PLACE YOUR BETS on case 1 or case 2
2nd,3rd 10weeks uplegs,the next week after the 10th week,HIGHEST sp500 went was only 5points ON BOTH OCCASSIONS higher than the HIGHEST of the 10th week.
CASE 1:meaning IF SP500 WERE TO GO UP,IT BETTER GO UP IN TUESDAY,WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY to 1335,BECAUSE ALL PAST 5 FRIDAYS OF START OF RETRACEMENT WEEKS ALWAYS CLOSED DOWN OR PLUNGED!!
CASE 2:the other 3 10week uplegs,ALSO are coincidentally similar..ALL the other 3 10weeks,the next week after the last week of the upleg,DID NOT GO HIGHER BUT DROP TO > 50% OF THE GAINS OF LAST WEEK.
IT WILL BE CASE 1 OR CASE 2!!COME PLACE YOUR BETS!!
ALL EYES WILL BE ON HOW SP500 PLAY OUT THIS ALGORITHM BY THIS WEEK,THE 12TH WEEK AS THIS UPLEG TAKES A TOTAL OF 11WEEKS!!
remember i said sti will be weakest among 3 brothers,hsi,sp500 on 10th feb 2011..
today is 16th feb2011,even when hangseng return to 23.1K,same highs as 14th feb 2011,sti is far far behind 14th feb highs of 3110s,today only 3080s
16thfeb 2011:another steven chow movie
VERY "COINCIDENTAL" RITE?
today hangseng strength is NOT BECAUSE OF CHINA.
hangseng has already achieved 1st positive div at 22.4K (my mistake in the other posts as i didnt check 11thfeb2011 hsi hit 22446)
thats why although i wanted to short hangseng at 23100,my heart is telling me to but my soul is weak..
REMEMBER MY EARLIER POST ABOUT HSI IS A ? mystery,"COINCIDES" WITH CHINA STRENGTH but also with usmkt dropping in the next 2weeks
REMEMBER I SAID STI WEAKEST among hsi,sp500.14thfeb2011 hangseng at 23.1k,sti3110s.16thfeb2011,hsi at 23.1k,sti3080s
15thfeb 2011 PREDICTION:LAMBS TO THE SLAUGHTER PART 4--BULLS TO THE SLAUGHTERHOUSE by 25th feb 2011
Published: Tuesday, 15 Feb 2011 | 9:42 AM ET Text Size By: JeeYeon Park
CNBC News Associate
MY COMMENTS
LOOKS LIKE THE OLD BIRD KNOWS WHAT HE IS TALKING...
I WILL EXPLAIN IN DETAIL WHY ART CASHIN'S VIEW COINCIDE WITH MINE
REASONS
1) VERY NEXT WEEK AFTER THE UPTREND ENDED(eg.1st 9week uptrend from mar09-may09,the next week is the 10th week) ALL,for PAST 5TIMES unable to go much higher than the closing of the previous week.
2)THIS UPLEG IS 11WEEKS,NOT THE USUAL 10WEEKS WHICH HAPPEN ON 2ND,3RD,4TH,5TH 10WEEK UPLEGS.THE 1ST 10 WEEKS UPLEG IN MARCH-MAY09 WAS ACTUALLY 9WEEKS UPLEG.A SLIGHT DEVIATION FROM NORMAL 10WEEKS,this 6th 10weeks upleg is actually 11weeks upleg,ISNT FARFETCHED.
3)EVERY FRIDAY OF THE WEEK RIGHT AFTER THE UPLEGS RESULTED IN A FALL IN SP500,WHICH SUGGESTS THAT IF 18TH FEB2011 THERE IS A FALL,IT WILL CONFIRM THIS WEEK,WEEK ENDED AS 18TH FEB 2011 AS THE 12TH WEEK,THE WEEK RIGHT AFTER THE 11WEEKS UPLEG HAS CONCLUDED.
4)NEXT WEEK WILL SEE SP500 DROPPING TO AS LOW AS 1275 OR EVEN LOWER BY 25TH FEB 2011 IF THIS WEEK IS CONFIRMED AS THE START OF RETRACEMENT WEEK.
P.S.PLEASE TAKE ATTENTION OF ALL WORDS IN BOLD.they will come true come 18thfeb 2011 when we will witness a drop on THAT DAY, PLUS by 25th feb 2011,sp500 will drop lower or equal to 1275
NOTE:IF REASON 3 THEN REASON 4 IN THIS SEQUENCE!!
Tuesday, February 15, 2011
didnt i say that people who rush in to long HSI,STI on 14feb2011 are IDIOTS?
IS THE SHARESWIZARD ever TERRIBLY WRONG??????????
AM I NOT JUSTIFIED TO MOCK AT RETARDS?
TOPIC OF LECTURE:15th feb 2011-I AM A FREE BIRD 7,8MONTHS LATER
BECAUSE I AM GOING TO EMIGRATE AWAY FROM SINGAPORE..
YES,NO MORE LIKE A BIRD IN A BEAUTIFUL CAGE!THE WORLD IS MY OYSTER!!
u will think what has my emigration got to do with stckmkt?
HELL LOTS OF ASSOCIATION!!
i am going to renew my past prediction of sp500 hitting 1580 BY SEPT2011!!
let me explain hsi,shanghai composite,sp500
SP500
THERE IS GREAT debate whether a A-B-C cyclical bull market OR a ELLIOTT 5 WAVE cyclical bull??
REASONS for A-B-C:
1)AS sp500 is still in a secular bear market,and the CRASH in 2007-2009 march was indicative of a ELLIOT 5wave down,HENCE THIS UPMOVE IN SP500 FROM MARCH 09 TO SEPT 09 will be an A-B-C upwave to 1580...
2)1st half from mar09-apr2010,the points was 560s,u project to the bottom of WAVE B(euro crisis excuse),u will also get 560 to 1580!!WAVE A AND WAVE C are usually SAME IN LENGTH AND TIMING
REASONS FOR ELLIOTT 5WAVE THEORY
http://www.thedisciplinedinvestor.com/blog/2009/03/03/elliot-wave-where-are-we-in-the-wave-structure/
1)FROM ABOVE,the subprime crisis was just the finish of a A-B-C wave and looks set to embark on a 5wave elliott.if it is elliottwave,then wave 3up is usually the MOST EXTENDED WAVE--set to take sp500 beyond 1580.
2)since elliott 5wave theory also suggests that the corrective phases ALTERNATE.
euro crisis takes place with a sudden plunge and almost 17pc,HENCE the WAVE4 correction will be a SIDEWAYS MOVEMENT,MATCHING with breakout of 1580 and retesting 1580 support AGAIN in a horizontal band.
SO GUYS--U VOTE FOR A ABC UP WAVE TO 1580 OR A START OF A ELLIOTT 5WAVE UP????
TGT FOR SP500:SEPT-OCT2011 1520-1580
SHANGHAI COMPOSITE
SSE hit peak in AUG09 and RESTED FOR 1.5YEARS TO FEB 2011,WHICH I ASSUME THIS MONTH IS THE REAL BREAKOUT AFTER NOV10 FAILED BREAKOUT...
1ST HALF IN SHANGHAI WAS FROM OCT08-AUG09,total of 10months,hence by feb 2011,we breakout of 3000,meaning ONE WAY UP FOR sse for next 10months!!
TGT FOR SHANGHAI COMPOSITE:NOV2011-JAN2012: 4400-5169!!
HANGSENG
HANGSENG ended its 1st HALF at 23100maximum set in NOV09,in between SHANGHAI maximum of 3456,set in AUG 2009 and USMKT PEAK IN APR2010
HENCE U KNOW HANGSENG 1ST HALF IS UP 8MONTHS FROM MAR09-NOV09.
HENCE FROM THERE,U KNOW THAT HSI WILL PEAK IN BETWEEN US PEAK AND CHINA PEAK.
JUST NOW, I HAVE PREDICTED SHANGHAI MAX IN NOV2011-JAN 2012 AND USMKT IN SEPT-OCT2011,HENCE I SET THE TIMING DATE FOR HANGSENG TO HIT PEAK IS NOV2011!!
SO IF U MINUS OFF 8MONTHS FROM NOV2011,U WILL KNOW THAT THIS DROP IN HANGSENG AND HENCE SP500 WILL END IN MARCH-APR2011!!!!!
HANGSENG TGT 21800-22000 (worst at 21300)IN MARCH2011,AND HENCE THE SAME PROJECTION OF 11k POINTS IN THIS 2ND HALF!!==32k!!(1ST HALF WAS FROM 12k TO 23K)
hangseng timing of 32k-nov2011!!
Monday, February 14, 2011
shareswizard EXTEND the date when sp500 go to 1275 or LOWER by 25th feb2011,1WEEK LATER THAN MY EARLIER TGT 18FEB 2011
IT IS NORMAL TO EXCEED 10WEEKS BY 1 WEEK AS EARLIER ON,1ST 10WEEK UPLEG FROM MAR09-MAY09 WAS ACTUALLY 9WEEKS
SHARESWIZARD KNOWS SHANGHAI GOING TO BREAK OUT THIS MONTH,AFTER RESTING SINCE AUGUST 2009.
SHARESWIZARD KNOWS STI GOING TO 3037,THEN 2920
the mystery left is HANGSENG....
SCENARIO 1:
hangseng will fall to 22.4K when sti at 3037 IGNORING shanghai breakthru
SCENARIO2:
hangseng will fall to > 22.4K maybe around 22.6K when shanghai breaks through,sti at 3037
SSE 2894 IS HERE!!!!!!!!!
ONWARDS TO 2970-3000!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
I SHALL RE-POST MY FEB1 2011 PREDICTION FOR U ALL TO SEE..
UPDATE ON CHINA AFTER CHINESE NEW YEAR!
A banker friend asks me to update on china.
ok.i will do it right now.
shanghai composite SSE always has a "HABIT" of building bases with timing of round number,eg.3,4months
this base started at NOV 15 2010.and since china is closed from 2-8 feb 2010,this push up BEFORE CNY is expected.
It follows a trend to BREAK THE HORIZONTAL BASE resistance upwards at ROUND NUMBER timings.this base the resistance is 2894.
HOW MANY DAYS TO FEB15-22?after deducting the public holidays,im afraid only 5-10working days to push up to 2894.
SCENARIO
1: CHINA BREAK and close above THE DOWNWARD SLOPING RESISTANCE TRENDLINE,2800 right after CNY,and go above 2850,then i PROMISED SSE will test 2894 BY feb 15-22 2011.
2: Today, 1st feb 2011 sse closing is not purely by luck,coincidence.2800 IS THE DOWNWARD RESISTANCE TRENDLINE.if it fails to close above 2800,then im afraid WILL WASTE MORE TIME by going down to 2637 AND THAT WILL BE FINAL low.(of course+/-1pc approx 2600).then the base will take 4 months to even march 15-22 2011
3. If sse goes above 2800 after CNY BUT fails to close above 2850 THEN its also one way down to 2637.
PICK YOUR CHOICE..shareswizard says so at 1st feb 2011..trade at your own risk tolerance.shareswizard says case 3,case 1 more probable.SSE set to break 2800 after CNY but all depends whether it can break 2850
ANYBODY WHO LONG HANGSENG AND STI TODAY,14TH FEB 2011 ARE RETARDS
DIDNT SHARESWIZARD SAY EARLIER THAT "CASE 1 OR CASE3 MORE PROBABLE" IN CHINA PERFORMANCE AFTER CNY--SSE TO > OR = 2850 BY FEB15.--PLEASE READ MY EARLIER POSTS.
hangseng and sti test support turn resistance so fast, MEANING SOMETHING MORE SINISTER DOWNSIDE AHOY...i will re-short at hsi 23100 again...
thank u retards
Saturday, February 12, 2011
SO MANY LAMBS SQUEEZED IN CAGE??BE CAREFUL OF SUDDEN GAP DOWN NEXT WEEK,LONG LAMB SQUEEZE..I will SHORT MUCH MORE AT 1346 AND 1380
1.10th week,week ending feb4 2011,sp500 big rise up 2.6pc despite egypt riots(RITE)
2.shanghai comp quick plunge to 2680s and quick return to 2750s twice.(RITE)
3. sugar short at 35 ave,today 30s (RITE)
4. sp500 short at 1320s,so what?closing 1329(NOT YET VERY WRONG)
5.short hangseng at near 24K,thanks to retards...(RITE 6PC IN 4 DAYS PLUNGE)
6.SILVER LONG AT 26-27S,SOLD OFF AT 28S,BUT WENT TO 30S
BE CAREFUL OF THESE LEVELS IN USMKT,TODAY up in usmkt is still LAMBS TO THE SLAUGHTER..
be careful of next 2weeks--12th,13th week in usmkt.i will not surprised if next monday SUDDENLY GAP DOWN as tonite is indeed lambs to the slaughter...
operator used whole day to entice lambs,HOW INTERESTING!!
scenarios for next week:
THIS IS EITHER A 10WEEK UPLEG STARTING FROM WEEK STARTING NOV29 2010 OR A 11WEEK UPLEG FROM WEEK STARTING NOV29 2010.
waits to be seen,im just wrong about the 4am selldown,BUT experience tells me if we dont get a last hour selldown,be prepared for the CRUEL longist lamb squeeze
BEAUTIFUL STORY TO BRING IN MORE LAMBS..
Published: Friday, 11 Feb 2011 | 11:27 AM ET Text Size By: CNBC.com
Stocks turned positive Friday, paring earlier losses, after news that Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak waived his rights to presidency in response to demonstrations against his rule.
YEAH!I LOVE LAMBS! LAMB CUTLET!LAMB STEW!LAMB STEAK!
GIVE THAT MAN A LAMB CHOP
LAMBS TO THE SLAUGHTER PART3--expect a selldown at 4am,(singapore timing)last hour
beware of strange last hour REAL action in usmkt AS ALWAYS..
y am i very confident?
shorted more sp500 at 1322 again..
BECAUSE REMEMBER MY LAST WEEK OF 10TH,9TH,11TH,BLAHBLAH WEEK THEORY??
LAST WEEK MUST HAVE A LONG CANDLE BODY...
this time,6th time,does not have..
BEWARE...
SHARESWIZARD SAID ON 12.27AM SINGAPORE TIME
Friday, February 11, 2011
11th feb 2011 LECTURE:LAMBS TO THE SLAUGHTERHOUSE cont'd--12TH WEEK AIN'T 10TH WEEK
BUT today 11feb2011,A REPEAT OF FRIDAY,SAME AS 28JAN2011...THEY WILL THINK THEY BUY TODAY,NEXT WEEK WILL BE A REPEAT OF WEEK STARTING 31JAN2011.
BUT THEY WILL BE VERY WRONG!!!!!!
12TH WEEK IS NEVER THE 10TH WEEK!!
12th week is a DOWN week!!10th week is an UP week..
PEOPLE WHO LONG SP500 TODAY,11FEB2011 ARE ALL IDIOTS!!
TODAY 11th feb2011 LECTURE:LAMBS TO THE SLAUGHTERHOUSE 1.53pm SINGAPORE TIME
jan28 2011,usmkt plunged due to egypt crisis 1st out...newsbelievers dump out of fear.
jan31-feb4 2011,usmkt went up, SHRUG OFF fears of egypt MILLION MAN RIOTS on tuesday,feb1 2010
then today,FEB11 2011,news out on egypt again-murbarak not stepping down
THEN NEWS BELIEVERS WILL THINK THIS TRICK WAS PLAYED LAST TIME,"I WONT BE TRICKED AGAIN"...THEN THEY JUMP IN TONITE WHEN USMKT OPENS AT 10.30PM SINGAPORE TIME,AND THEY WILL BE CAUGHT WITH THEIR PANTS DOWN IN THE AVALANCHE OF SELLING LATE IN DAY.
how i know?
news believers have not read my blog yet
OH MAN Y DOES STOCKMARKET OPERATOR ALWAYS PERFORM STRIPTEASE FOR ME TO SEE???
AFTER BELOW STARTLING DISCOVERY:I PROUDLY CLAIM THAT 11TH WEEK IS START OF RETRACEMENT!
BEFORE I SAW THAT EVERY FRIDAY OF ALL PAST 5 10WEEK UPLEGS(WITH EXCEPTION OF 1ST),I WAS A BIT SCEPTICAL :DID I GET 11TH WEEK,WEEK STARTING 7TH FEB 2011 TO BE START OF RETRACEMENT TO BE WRONG?IS IT THAT UPLEG THIS TIME,6TH TIME,BE STRETCHED TO 11WEEKS UPLEG?????
BUT I MADE A STARTLING,SHOCKING DISCOVERY JUST NOW,10MINS AGO!!!!!!!
FUCK STORYTELLERS,FABRICATING NEWS MEDIA,hardly tell the truth..
BY READING MY BLOG,ALL TRUTH IS EXPOSED!!
PLEASE LOOK THROUGH THE SMOKESCREEN..FRIDAY of 11th week ALWAYS ENDED DOWN FOR 5PAST 10WEEK UPLEGS
Published: Thursday, 10 Feb 2011 | 7:40 PM ET Text Size By: Patti Domm
CNBC Executive Editor
Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak's vow to serve out his term has created a new level of uncertainty in an already tense situation.
Market focus will shift back to events in Egypt Friday, after a confusing series of developments Thursday, when market reaction was muted to news about Mubarak...
MY COMMENTS:
YOU THINK IT IS REALLY BECAUSE OF egypt???
AS USUAL I NEVER BELIEVE MEDIA SHIT AND I WENT TO DIG UP EVIDENCE AND I SAW THIS STARTLING DISCOVERY!!!!!!!!!HOW CAN REPEAT 5TIMES? AND NOW IS THE SIXTH TIME,AND TODAY US FUT ARE DOWN!!
1.5TH 10WEEK upleg END ON WEEK STARTING NOV1 2010..WEEK STARTING NOV8 2010 IS THE 11TH WEEK..TUES,WED,THURS ENDED FLAT,BUT FRIDAY,LAST DAY OF WEEK STARTING 8THNOV 2010,ENDED DOWN 1+pc,13points.
2.4th 10week upleg ended on week starting apr19 2010.11th week started on week starting apr26 2010.FRIDAY,LAST DAY OF 11TH WEEK,30TH APR 2010 also plunged 20points for sp500.
3. 3rd 10week upleg ended on week starting jan4th 2010.11th week started on week starting jan11 2010.FRIDAY,LAST DAY OF 11TH WEEK,jan15 2010,sp500 ALSO dropped 10points!
4. 2nd 10week upleg ended on week starting sept 14 2009.11th week also started on week starting sept21 2009.FRIDAY,LAST DAY OF 11TH WEEK,sept 25 2009,sp500 also DROP 6points to 1044!!
5. 1st NINE,9 week upleg ended on week starting may4th 2009,10th week started on week starting may11th 2009.FRIDAY,LAST DAY OF 10TH WEEK,MAY 15 2009, also ended down 11points,1+pc!!
WHY ALL LAST DAY OF WEEK AFTER THE LAST WEEK OF 9,10WEEK UPLEG ALWAYS ENDED DOWN??????????????????????????????????????
IF STOCKMARKET IS NOT AN ALGORITHM,IF STOCKMARKET BEHAVE TO NEWS,HOW CAN IT BE SO REPEATING?
by 18th feb 2011,sp500 will go lower OR = 1275 MUST depend on week ending 11th feb closing to be down,IF NOT,25th feb2011,end of 13th week
even if us really plunge,today hangseng plunge already factored the us plunge in,hence keeping it overnight also useless.
if us didnt plunge,hsi will gap up tomorrow,
for what i take the risk of keeping overnight??
now usmkt has 2 cases: as it approaches friday, it will become clearer by tomorrow night.
Case1:
IF sp500 drop below 1310 by close tomorrow,feb11 2011,then its start of retracement
Case2:
IF sp500 maintains flat or even up,by 11feb 2011 closing,its NORMAL for the 10week upleg pattern to become 11 week THIS time.REMEMBER the 1st 10 week upleg from mar09 to may4th 2009 was ACTUALLY a 9week period.HENCE this 6th time it is still normal to have a 11week upleg
THEN THE 12TH TO 13TH WEEK WILL BE REPLACING THE USUAL 11TH AND 12TH WEEK.
1st was 9th week
2nd 10 week was 10weeks
3rd 10week was 10weeks
4th 10week was 10weeks
5th 10week was 10weeks
6th 10 week now is 11weeks...???(WAIT TO BE SEEN BY FRIDAY,11FEB 2011 CLOSING)
MY EXPERIENCE COUNTS!
Thursday, February 10, 2011
FEB10TH 2011:BRAND NEW PREDICTIONS BY SHARESWIZARD
SHARESWIZARD SAYS:
1. if shanghai goes above 2850 by 15th feb 2011,shareswizard says shanghai will BREAK 2894 by FEB22 2011 and go much higher to 2970-3K AFTER feb22 2011.
2. STI will go to 2920,+/-2pc,NEEDS AT LEAST ONE RETEST IF IT GOES STRAIGHT TO 2920
OR
STI WILL GO TO 3030 1ST,+/-2pc,THEN ITS FINALE AT 2920,+/-2PC DOES NOT NEED A RETEST AT 2920,+/-2PC.
3. STI will rebound from 2920,+/-2pc and will go to FINAL TARGET 3500,+/-2pc,(not one way up)
THIS IS SHARESWIZARD PREDICTION AS OF 10TH FEB 2011!
THANK YOU,DOR TSAY morons!!I LOVE YOU
WITHOUT RETARDS RUSHING IN ON 7TH FEB 2011,HOW CAN I EARN 17K SGD FROM JUST 6+K SGD IN JUST 4 DAYS!!!
i bought hsi23200mblepw0225 TODAY ITS 23.5C!!
i sold off at 23c!!from just a peanuts capital of 7K sgd
THANK THANK THANK YOU!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
thank you retards who make hangseng go to 24K!!!!!
I LOVE YOU !
ANOTHER SPOT ON PREDICTION BY SHARESWIZARD,SSE BREAKS 2800!!
[UPDATE ON CHINA AFTER CHINESE NEW YEAR!
A banker friend asks me to update on china.
ok.i will do it right now.
shanghai composite SSE always has a "HABIT" of building bases with timing of round number,eg.3,4months
this base started at NOV 15 2010.and since china is closed from 2-8 feb 2010,this push up BEFORE CNY is expected.
It follows a trend to BREAK THE HORIZONTAL BASE resistance upwards at ROUND NUMBER timings.this base the resistance is 2894.
HOW MANY DAYS TO FEB15-22?after deducting the public holidays,im afraid only 5-10working days to push up to 2894.
SCENARIO
1: CHINA BREAK and close above THE DOWNWARD SLOPING RESISTANCE TRENDLINE,2800 right after CNY,and go above 2850,then i PROMISED SSE will test 2894 BY feb 15-22 2011.
2: Today, 1st feb 2011 sse closing is not purely by luck,coincidence.2800 IS THE DOWNWARD RESISTANCE TRENDLINE.if it fails to close above 2800,then im afraid WILL WASTE MORE TIME by going down to 2637 AND THAT WILL BE FINAL low.(of course+/-1pc approx 2600).then the base will take 4 months to even march 15-22 2011
3. If sse goes above 2800 after CNY BUT fails to close above 2850 THEN its also one way down to 2637.
PICK YOUR CHOICE..shareswizard says so at 1st feb 2011..trade at your own risk tolerance.shareswizard says case 3,case 1 more probable.SSE set to break 2800 after CNY but all depends whether it can break 2850]
MY COMMENTS 10TH FEB 2011:
LOOK AT MY PREDICTIONS MADE ON 1ST FEB2011--COMING TRUE!! SHANGHAI NOW 2805!!
LETS HAIL START OF RETRACEMENT in usmkt!--shareswizard says so!
ARENT THE 3BROTHERS CONNECTED???
as usual im right again,my 11th week(this week) will be start of fall,followed by 12th week(next week) ending latest to ERASE ALL GAINS or MORE of 10th week gains,meaning sp500 end lower than or equal to 1275 by 18th feb 2011.
please note:trade at your own risk level
ALL INVESTORS R IMH PATIENTS PART2!!investors suffer SPLIT personality disorder!
This is the news on cnbc right now,home page at 2.04am SINGAPORE TIME
Global Stocks Hit Fresh Highs On M&A, Commodities Rally
World stocks rose on Monday, touching a 29-month high on merger news, rising commodity prices and flows into developed economies as investors bet on a stronger global economy.
THEN SUDDENLY
Investors Starting to Believe That Inflation Threat is Real
Published: Monday, 7 Feb 2011 | 2:09 PM ET Text Size By: Jeff Cox
CNBC.com Staff Writer
As commodity prices keep moving higher and bond buyers slowly head for the exits, investors are starting to give more credence to a looming inflation threat....
SAME WEBSITE,SAME DATE,DIFFERENT AUTHORS,TWO DIFFERENT VIEWS!!
WHAT THE FUCKING FARKING FISH!!
PLEASE STOP EXPLAINING,I CAN ALSO TALK COCK.
INFLATION GOOD=HEALTHY ECONOMY,INTEREST RATES RISE,NEVERMIND
INFLATION BAD=INTEREST RATES RISE,BAD FOR STOCK MARKET
[P.S.:IMH IS INSTITUTE OF MENTAL HEALTH=PLACE FOR MAD PEOPLE]
STI IS THE WEAKEST OF THE THREE BROTHERS,SP500,HSI,STI(weekly charts)
how the heck will i have the faintest idea why anyone will want to long sti shares at the USmkt 10th week,last week,week ending 4th feb 2011??
I KNOW OF A BUSINESSMAN FRIEND WHO WENT IN AND BUY SOME STI STOCKS LAST WEEK!
goodluck!
WRONG TIMING AND WRONG PLACE!!
P.S.:no personal grudges against sti BUT just purely technical
sti will break the H&S at 3120 whereas hsi will break the 23.1K highest for 2010 AS BOTH RATIOS for hsi,sti TALLY to 23.1K and 3120 as from 23.3K and 3150(today,9th feb 2011 closing)
BUT HSI will go to the same base lows at 22.4K(to create 1ST POSITIVE DIVERGENCE in weekly charts)whereas STI will go to the 2010 highs of 3037 1st and a rebound up,follow by a 2ND plunge to 2920[3120-200(the height of the H&S FORMATION)]to end the drop on 1st positive divergence.IS 1ST POS DIV ENOUGH???
--BY STI 1ST TGT 3037 and hangseng at 22.4K,ratios tally!!
BUT BECAUSE HSI ALREADY WILL HAVE 1 POS DIV AT 22.4K IN WEEKLY CHARTS,AFTER THE drop to 1st target
hsi RISE WILL BE MORE THAN STI (in the rebound after 1st downleg),OR FALL WILL BE LESSER THAN STI(when sti go lower than 3037 to fulfill the H&S tgt of 200points) suggesting that SHANGHAI WILL RISE DURING THIS PERIOD
P.S.ONE POS DIV MAY NOT BE ENOUGH TO END THE STI BASE BUILDING AT 2.9K-3K. sti may revisit 2900 TWO TIMES OR MORE(?unknown now) after testing 3037 ONCE.
Wednesday, February 9, 2011
LOOK AT MY FEB7TH 2011 PREDICTION!!I SHALL REPEAT THE FOLLOWING BELOW!
Monday, February 7, 2011
ANOTHER SOLID PREDICTION BY SHARESWIZARD:SP500 TO REMOVE ALL GAINS,OR MORE,OF 10TH WEEK,(WEEK ENDING 4FEB2011),BY NEXT WEEK CLOSING,week ending 18th feb 2011
look below for proof
CONGRATS RETARDS(PAK-CHIs) WHO LONG HSI ON 2FEB2011 !!OPERATOR GIVES ME LAI-SEE!!
BYE BYE!!ZOI-KIN!!
IF IT WASNT A TRAP,WHY PLUNGE 800POINTS RIGHT AFTER 2FEB2011???
2feb 2011 was just a FUCKIN TRAP to trap retards to BRING more fellow retards IN after the chinese new year!!
WAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA
GONG HEI FATT CHOI TO ME!!
if i listen to news,will i dare short hangseng right after CNY???
WHAT HAPPEN TO asian INVESTORS CONFIDENCE due to us jobs report feb1 night ON 2FEB2011? disappeared?????
US KEPT ON GOING UP,WHAT?GOT WHAT BAD NEWS?by plunging today,US WILL START PLUNGING very soon,prob tonight!
FUCKING RETARDS DONT LIKE BEING CALLED RETARDS
DROPPED EVER SINCE!! TODAY MUCH MUCH LOWER THAN FEB1 CLOSING!!
isnt this a TRAP to trap RETARDS?DID I SAY WRONGLY?
DID I ANYHOW CRITICISE PEOPLE AS RETARDS??
please media,DONT ANYHOW USE THE TERM INVESTORS!!I didnt jump in to buy on feb2 2011 PLEASE PLEASE DONT CALL RETARDS AS INVESTORS,totally fucking insulting!
to those who LONG hangseng on feb2 2011:
YOU ARE NOTHING BUT A PATHETIC FUCKING,IDIOTIC,MORONIC BRAINLESS RETARD--ADMIT IT!
SUGAR LOVERS WILL HAVE DIABETES
look at my earlier posts that i LOVE short sugar at that upward trending resistance line connecting highs,1 i short at 34.4,2nd i short at 35.6=SHIOK!!!
today what is the sugar price?
31.1!!!!!!
SUGAR BREAK down THE ASCENDING TRIANGLE formation last nite,TRIED TO reenter the formation last nite by hovering long time at 31.70s BUT UNABLE TO close inside the triangle formation!!!
HASTALAVISTA SUGAR!!
sugar lovers please take care of your health..sugar will head to 23,so please dont consume too much!!!!!!!!!
Tuesday, February 8, 2011
ALL INVESTORS R IMH PATIENTS!
Executive Money
Published February 2, 2011
Investors confident on stocks over bonds now
Analysts attribute this to better economic growth, big blue-chip stocks
-from businesstimes.
http://www.businesstimes.com.sg/sub/money/story/0,4574,424547,00.html?
"JUST BECAUSE HANGSENG RALLIED 400POINTS ON 2ND FEB 2011,INVESTORS CONFIDENT??
u call HANGSENG GAP UP AND REMAINED THERE=investors confident?????
SHARESWIZARD CALL IT THE FUCKING TRAP to trap retards"
THEN SUDDENLY
thursday,3rd feb 2011
the Dow Jones Industrial Average put on only around 8 points to 12048. American dealers continued to be worried by events in Egypt and the threat of instability spreading across the region.
The turmoil in Egypt overshadowed positive data released on Wednesday that showed private businesses in the United States added 187,000 jobs in January, starting the year with gains across major industries.
"JUST BECAUSE DOW IS FLAT,BACK COMES EGYPT NONSENSE"
What exactly are investors?Institute of mental health(IMH) patients??one day very confident,the NEXT day very nervous??!!!what the fuck?
PLEASE STOP EXPLAINING.THE MORE MEDIA "EXPLAINS" THE MORE I LAUGH LIKE A MR.BEAN BECOMING A FIERCE TYRANT AND SUDDENLY BECOME A PUSSYCAT!
MEDIA,PLEASE STOP LOOSELY USING THE TERM INVESTORS!
WHEN HANGSENG GAPPED UP ON CNY EVE,U DARE LINK IT TO INVESTORS CONFIDENT,just because it is UP?????
fuck u!gap up and remain there=distribution,OK!
IT IS A FUCKING INSULT TO me to share the same term as retards WHEN MEDIA NAME RETARDS AS INVESTORS!
7th 10week's 1st week will bounce off the diagonal trendline of LOWS of week starting 30aug 2010 and week starting 29nov2010
there are 3 cases of the consolidation:
1.1320s-1330s then fall to 1275 then a fake bounce up to 1345(78.6% fib of 1466-903 range),and a final selldown to 1250
follow the week starting may4 2009 to week starting jul6 2009 pattern
OR
2. 1320s-1330s then drop to 1250s and remain there flat till the start of 7th 10week start with a HUGE candlebody spike up
OR
3.1320s-1330s then drop to 1250s(touching THAT diagonal trendline),fake bounce up to 1345,then a final selldown to a higher value,BECAUSE THAT TRENDLINE IS UPward MOVING,increasing in value as time progresses,1270s(6th 10week's 10th week opening)
follow the week starting sept21 2009 to week starting oct26 2009 pattern
SHARESWIZARD VOTE FOR SCENARIO 1 and SECNARIO 3
proof:1220s is only 20% possible as the DIAGONAL TRENDLINE suggests a much higher value BUT 1220s is still POSSIBLE(20% possibility) with a quick plunge and quick recovery,negating the fake breakdown of THAT upward diagonal trendline
Global Stocks Hit Fresh Highs On M&A, Commodities Rally
World stocks rose on Monday, touching a 29-month high on merger news, rising commodity prices and flows into developed economies as investors bet on a stronger global economy.
IF LATER US STOCKMARKET REVERSE GAINS AND END UP NEGATIVE--NEWS GONNA CHANGE TO THIS
shares plunge end of day due to--
Nasdaq Cyber Attack Being Investigated by FBI
or
EGYPT FEARS RETURN!!
WHY FEB2 2011 HANGSENG UP 400POINTS IN HALF DAY WHEN FEB1 2011,HANGSENG CANT EVEN UP 40POINTS IN FULL DAY EVEN WHEN USMKT UP?????
i describe feb2 2011,chinese new year eve,CNY eve,hsi up 400 points as very fake.
WHY FEB2,2011???
because STOCKMARKET IS MLM STYLE!!operator wants RETARDS to spread to FELLOW RETARDS about the good word that stockmarket VERY STRONG,TIME TO JUMP IN.
U JUST IMAGINE FOUR DAYS OF FAMILY VISITING!!HOW MANY RETARDS WILL SPREAD TO FELLOW RETARDS BY WORD OF MOUTH???
then the fellow retards jump in today,ITS TIME TO PASS THE BATON to fucking moronic retards!!!
EVEN CNY EVE,OPERATOR WANTS TO PLAY TRICK!!!its very "AUSPICIOUS" to lose $$ on the 1st day of new year!!THEN WHEN STI BREAK 3K fakely,these RETARDS will be selling to ME!!WAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!PUNISH RETARDS AGAIN!
I REPEAT STOCKMARKET IS A VERY HILARIOUS PLACE,FUNNIER THAN JACK NEO+STEVEN CHOW MOVIE
10thOCT2010 PREDICTION :END DEC2010 TARGET 1320 IS HERE!look for sp500 to drop to final target 1200-1220
look at my 10th oct2010 blog about 1320s being the target before a drop.
Although the TIMING was A BIT OFF,later by 1+ months,BUT i made tat prediction WAY BACK in oct10 2010!!!!
HOW I CAN SEE 2-3MONTHS LATER FROM OCT2010???
IM NOSTRADAMUS!!why must stockmarket operator let me see its (as it is algorithm planned)"NAKED BODY".
P.S. in stockmarket IT is impossible to be everytime EXACT that value.+/-1 to 3pc is very NORMAL and + / - 1,2months is also very NORMAL
Monday, February 7, 2011
ANOTHER SOLID PREDICTION BY SHARESWIZARD:SP500 TO REMOVE ALL GAINS,OR MORE,OF 10TH WEEK,WEEK ENDING 4FEB2011 BY NEXT WEEK CLOSING
SP500 WILL ERASE ALL GAINS OF THE 10TH WEEK,week starting 31jan2011,OR MORE by the 12th week.
hence sp500 up 2.6pc in 10th week,hence by the end of 2 weeks later,next friday,18feb2011,a MINIMUM profit of 2.6pc if u short soon will be waiting for u
but please trade at your own risk tolerance
7th feb 2011:the n-pole n-pole magnetic repulsion theory
wah sti so obedient from my 3230s AND hangseng from my 24000s
touch and drop down.
BE PREPARED FOR A RETRACEMENT STARTING THESE TWO WEEKS,WEEK STARTING FEB7 2011 AND WEEK STARTING FEB14 2011.
when it will end?i cant be sure but my 2nd half theory is proven right BUT only ONE month late..
hence look at my below posts for my 2nd half theory
Saturday, February 5, 2011
--"Hong Kong and Singapore: A Tale of Two City States
Is Confucian Capitalism Superior to Western Models?
By Nick Gier
People in these economies have simply studied harder,
worked harder, and saved more than people in other countries.
–World Bank report
Eleven years ago this month there was much anxiety when British authorities handed Hong Kong over to China, whose economic revival was dependent on this prosperous port city. The Communist government, while putting some controls on political freedom, has allowed the former colony an amazing amount of economic independence.
With the highest income tax rate at 17 percent Hong Kong appears to be a libertarian’s dream. There is no sales tax, no tax on capital gains, and corporations pay 17.5 percent on their earnings. For years Hong Kong has ranked at the top of the world’s Economic Freedom Index, published by the conservative Heritage Foundation.
During the Asian financial crisis of 1997-98, the Hong Kong government was forced to bail out its banks and it still holds $50 billion of their stocks. The most significant government intervention was a recent stimulus package that amounted to 5.2 percent of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), which compares to 6 percent for Obama’s stimulus...............
Nick Gier taught philosophy at the University of Idaho for 31 years. Read the full version at www.home.roadrunner.com/~nickgier/HKSing.pdf"
above downloaded from http://www.pocatelloshops.com/new_blogs/politics/?p=6575
my comments below:
u read the sentence in BOLD...similar to FED bailing out citigroup,AIG,etc???????
I THINK that should be able to tell you the FULL PICTURE of "CRISES"
last week closing was 1278 for sp500 hence by today's closing, i project sp500 to be flat,down or up BUT closing not > 1315
look below for proof i posted at friday afternoon,SINGAPORE time.
my prediction yesterday afternoon...and u see tonight closing in U.S. mkt,sp500 1311
highest also 1311
RGIHT ON BELOW 1315!!
did i set a target very far that tonight cant reach???yesterday closing was 1307,i set only 8 points away,and thus did u see the fakeness of the stockmarket to news?
stockmarket is all planned way ahead,and as long as you see thru the pattern,it becomes smooth sailing!!
Published: Friday, 4 Feb 2011 | 12:26 PM ET Text Size By: Jeff Cox
CNBC.com Staff Writer
Consider it the Fed’s chicken-or-the-egg dilemma: Do rising stocks drive down unemployment or does lower unemployment drive up stocks?
One view of the relationship between the two suggests that it is the former and not the latter, hence the continuation of the central bank’s easy-money policies.
Nick Colas, chief investment strategist at BNY ConvergEx, has run a comparison and found an interesting relationship that often sees unemployment fall when stocks go up.
The upshot: If the economy does get to Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke’s target of 8 percent unemployment by 2012, that would mean the Standard & Poor’s 500 would have to rise to 1,755—a stunning 35 percent gain from current levels and beyond even the already-bullish prognostications for this year.
“That’s not our price target, but it may just be the Fed’s,” Colas wrote in a note to clients.
On average, a 15 to 20 percent drop in stock prices leads to an increase of 1.2 percentage points in unemployment; a rise of 30-35 percent in stocks usually leads to a 0.4-point drop in unemployment.
If the analysis holds up—and Colas admits that recent history suggests it may not—the implications are staggering, particularly for the central bank’s quantitative easing program.
For one, it would mean that not only is QE3 on the table but also that QE4 and even QE5 are somewhere on the horizon if the Fed wants to keep the recovery rolling. It would mean that Bernanke’s “wealth effect” is in full gear, and that the road to recovery runs straight through the debt markets.
On the other side, the implications for debt- and deficit-cutters aren’t pretty. It would mean that the path to finally driving down unemployment is through the inflated asset prices that low-interest easy-money policies have paved.
But before we get too breathless, let’s look at some caveats.
For one, the relationship between stock market and employment gains has been absent since the recovery from the March 2009 stock market lows and the initial wave of Fed QE. As the Fed expanded its balance sheet by $2 trillion, unemployment has risen from 8.6 percent to Friday’s suspect number of 9.0 percent, while stock prices have nearly doubled.
Also, Colas points out that the correlation to the downside is much stronger than the upside. That is, a drop in stock prices has cut employment more than a rise has seen creation of jobs.
Yet another thing to remember is that for the past five years trying to rely on the Fed to forecast job trends has been like asking a sugar cane farmer in Peru to predict the final score in the Super Bowl. He might get it right, but it likely will be just a lucky guess. So all this talk about 8 percent could end up being little more than throwing darts at a map.
Still, the correlation between the two numbers is about 28 percent—not exactly a lead-pipe cinch but something to consider. The trend does better, though, in more extreme, or “tail” circumstances, such as would be required to get unemployment down to 8 percent in a year.
“[W]e are talking about a 40-year time frame, after all, with everything from wars to tech and housing bubbles in the mix,” Colas notes. “So it is close enough for ‘government work,’ which is, after all, what we’re doing anyway.”
Friday, February 4, 2011
兔年利是股
虎年最後一個交易日,港股跟隨美股大幅揚升。恆指高開217點,最高見到23923,收報23909,上升426點,升幅1.8%,成交降至432億餘元,半日市已不俗,周二全日市成交也只得551億元。
恆指一舉升回10天和20天移動平均線之上,並形成個島形轉向走勢,但能否企穩10天和20天線之上,仍要在年假後多看兩三天.周初恆指失守50天線,並跌近100天線時,筆者指出無須看得太淡,因為港股先於美股進行調整,而且由1月19日高位24434回落至本周一低位23286,已下跌了1148點,並已調整了先前的年尾升浪的56%。
唯一料不到的是,美股走勢較想像中強勁,道指周二急升148點,不但重越12000,更創出12050的30個月新高,而且是自2008年中以來首次收於12000點之上。
美股周二急升,主要受供應管理協會製造業數據較預期為佳的利好因素刺激。不過,美國還有其他經濟數據公布,包括新申領失業救濟金人數、生產力、工廠訂單、供應管理協會非製造業指數,以及最重要的非農業職位。所以,道指能否企穩12000之上,仍看這些數據,而港股在下周一能否新年紅盤高開,就要看未來兩天的美股表現。
迎接兔年,筆者也嘗試給大家一隻「利是股」,就是中國平安(2318)。展望今年中國進入加息周期,將有利保險股。而且,去年A股表現令人失望,如果今年急起直追,達到個人的預期目標3400,亦將利好保險股(在進入加息周期初段,股市和利率可以同步上升)。
平保去年業績表現良好,累計規模保費收入同比增長31%。年,平安壽險、平安財險、平安健康險及平安養老險保收入分為1590億、621億、2億和5億元。而附屬平安證券的未經審核淨利潤則為15.85億元,同比增長48%。
其股價由去年11月高位96.25元回落,跌至周三最低位76.4元,已跌去近20元,跌幅超過20%,相信再下跌空間有限。個人預期今年目標最少可見回95元,現價買入,潛在升幅超過20%。
--downloaded from yahoo.com.hk finance section
the sentence in bold means the writer did not expect the us market to surge up this week.i think the writer should read my blog and see how i predict why this week us mkt MUST up--because its simply the LAST,10th week of the upleg
Thursday, February 3, 2011
再談「看見別人看不到」
作者: 黃國英 (內容由Quamnet提供)
舊作《值博率煉金術》嘗言:「投資投機,似易實難,源於思考過程,很多時與正常人的思維,剛剛好調轉」,要「看見別人看不到」,才能致富。有些讀者,閱畢仍不明,故再作解釋。
海嘯後,零息加通脹,人的思想、行為,潛移默化。正如陶冬先生所言:「零息,逼良為娼」: 一普通打工仔來函,近日心急如焚,何解?擔心通脹。父母皆退休,積蓄不厚,零息年代,早受打擊。傳媒報章,關於通脹報道,鋪天蓋地,情緒深受牽動,憂心父母生活,終歸無以為計,急問抗通脹良法,冒險亦在所不計。另同事換樓,先沽後買,加班夜歸,幾檯買家,竟在門外守候。叫高市價過成,睇樓十五分鐘,交易立成,快過賣菜。買家甘冒風險,屈指一算,稅前租金回報只四厘多,扣除管理費、差餉、地租、物業稅和利息,實收不足三釐,再扣通脹,回報實為負數。
查實通脹之勢,早已形成多時,國內CPI, 節節上升;人民幣升值,國內輸入日用品、食物價格,水漲船高,不在話下。奇就奇在普羅大眾,到今時今日,才「恍然大悟」。去年三月,已寫過:「未來數年, 會是通脹?還是通縮?這個問題掌握得好,往後幾年的投資回報,才有望理想。」建議買入鈀金及地產,作資產配置。年底,仍不斷呼籲買入房地產基金(REITS),「REITS 即TIPS(通脹掛鈎債券),結果…
普通人永不能低買高沽,只因「眼見方為實」:定要看見「實質」「證據」,如傳媒繪聲繪影、感情洋溢的報道,以及股價、交易量抽升,方「恍然大悟」,繼而急速行動。但到全世界都「恍然大悟」,股價早已全面反映,往往是開到茶靡之時。近例:《頭條日報》越印越厚,廣告益多,不難明白。低位乏人問津,到發現Bolton入股,「都話星島(1105)係好,又破頂,殺呀!」結果$3.17跌到$2.53,捱價不絕。「恍然大悟」一刻,實為最兇險之時。「人人讚好影都無」,其理在此。
投資高手,必具察覺大趨勢「大風起於萍末」之能力。七四年,日本衰退、石油危機,政府削支,水泥業受創極深。七六年,是川銀藏憑空推論,政府必興土木、創就業、振經濟,水泥必否極泰來。
立收集六億日圓日本水泥,時水泥股可謂「霉到無朋友」,連公司總經理,都不信有此「善長仁翁」,急探聽是川是否別有所圖。是川判定無人能看見未發生之事,悠然買進。年底,新內閣上台,果真大興土木,水泥價量齊升。翌年,是川終大賺五倍離場,高追接貨就輸五成。
「看見別人看不到」,「舉世滔滔都向東,就我一人偏向西」,低位悠然買盡,高位迅速賣出,為是川過人之處。但知易行難,眼光、耐性、注碼調配,缺一不可。吾生有涯,而股無涯,屢錯後,冀求終悟。 (客戶持有星島)
WHAT DOES THE SENTENCE IN BOLD SAYS?
LAYMEN WILL NEVER BUY LOWS BECAUSE THEY OBEY NEWS AND WANT TO SEE RISING,THEN FOLLOW.
BY THEN ITS THE END!
then they will blame EVERYBODY else BUT themselves.
for example, a businessman i talk to can never get it right then oil price goes up DOES NOT MEAN oil stocks MUST go up.
in mar09,i said stckmarket lowest (dont believe me,please see my 09 posts)
WHO BELIEVES ME?some think im crazy.my Fucked up relative told me he wants to wait for safety,willing to forego a premium.BUT HE NEVER EXPECTED THAT the premium will be so huge!! A NEAR 100% RISE IN STI in just 4-5months!
SO FOR
THOSE WHO NOW DONT ENTER,SAY HIGH
+ IN MAR09 LOWEST ALSO DONT ENTER,HAVE 1001 EXCUSES
PLEASE TAKE A VIBRATOR AND ENTER YOURSELF(OR SHOULD I BUY 1 FOR YOU???)
THE STOCKMARKET IS NOT FOR PUSSIES LIKE YOU
(please note:im not saying there will not be any drops,corrections or retracements,BUT STCKMKT IS STILL CHEAP in jan2011
THERE WILL BE an IMPENDING retracement of 6pc starting from next week starting feb 7 2011)
Wednesday, February 2, 2011
on monday night,usmkt up around 0.7pc,tuesday afternoon,hangseng up only 0.1pc,china up 0.3pc
last nite,usmkt up 1.6pc,today hangseng can up 1.8pc!!!??
TODAY SO CLEAR IT IS A TRAP!! hangseng will reverse pretty soon, tally with sp500 timing at 24.2K VS 1320 in 11th week-12th week of this 6th 10week,next 2 weeks after this week
sti up 0.8pc,hangseng up 1.8pc today make the percentage to supports at 3030 and 22400 same!!--approx 6pc!! from around 24100s hsi,sti 3230
VERY VERY FAKE INDEED!!hahahaha
24k CLOSING IN HANGSENG IS EXPECTED!!next week is 11th week..be very careful after the new year us mkt drop!!
WHEN RATIOS TALLY,IT WILL HAPPEN!!
but the only concern is will sti break 3120?? when hsi,sp500 test 22.4K and 1220 respectively????
if STI were to break 3120,hangseng and sp500 will have to retest 22.4K-23K and sp500 1200-1250 for the 3rd time!!
After studying sti WEEKLY technicals,sti looks poised to break 3120 ,target 3037,the previous highs april 2010 and august 2010
so what does shareswizard say for the coming month after CNY?
1. there will be a 6pc drop for sp500,hsi,sti to the respective 1220s,22400s,3030s
2.NEXT will come THE 7th 10week upleg for sp500 again which will take sp500 to the NEXT HIGHER FIB of 1576-666 range at 1381,78.6pc.
WHY?
this 6th 10week,ending this friday,4th february 2011 motive will be only to >61.8pc,so judging by all past 10week uplegs:
1st 9week upleg: > 23.6pc
2nd 10week upleg: > 38.2pc
3rd 10week upleg: > 50pc
4th 10week upleg: = 61.8pc
5th 10week upleg: = 61.8pc
6th 10week upleg: SHOULD BE > 61.8pc,around 1320s,UNLESS MADNESS HAPPEN WHICH TAKES SP500 TO 1380 IN THE LAST 3DAYS!something that never has happened in the past 5 10weeks:10th week gains NEVER > 1st week gain(1st week of 6th 10week up 2.9pc)
HENCE whenever a 10week upleg CLOSES > fib,it will go on to NEXT higher fib on the next 10week upleg.
JUDGING BY THE RATIOS TO THE SUPPORT, ALL 3 PARTNERS TALLY,sti,hsi,sp500!!!24000 to 22400 for hsi, 3220-3030 for sti,1320-1220 for sp500
hence i already know what formation will they play...
A HORIZONTAL BAND consolidation for hsi from 24K to 22.4K, sp500 from 1320-1220s and sti will break the 3120,go to 3030s, and will need A DOUBLE RETEST minimum to end the DROP..
AFTER THE SP5000 NEXT 10WEEK UPLEG,7TH 10WEEK UPLEG,
sp500,hsi will have to hover at the 22.4K to 23K ,sp500 at the 1200-1250 region for the THIRD TIME just to wait for sti to ACHIEVE minimum ONE positive divergence at 3030s in weekly charts..
PLEASE NOTE: a + / - 1,2pc DEVIATION from my target of 22400 hsi,3030sti,1230sp500 is very normal for stockmarkets as there will be big drops for the CAPITULATIONS to start.even if hsi go to 22K,sp500 to 1200,sti to 2980,IM STILL NOT WRONG
THANKS FOR ALL YOUR SUPPORT...
Viewers of my blog has been steadily rising in numbers,have INCREASED 10times comparing month on month since i update frequently in june2010
THE MORE YOU SUPPORT ME,THE MORE HARDWORKING I WILL BE IN UPDATING MY BLOG EVERY DAY!!
i love u guys!
P.S. this is not a TABLOID nor a gossip blog,ITS for those who want to see the light of the financial markets and thus economy
stockmarket is very easy.
AFTER 7years in the market,stockmarket is a well planned ahead algorithm.U go against it,u LOSE.u go with it, U WIN.
IT'S NOT DESIGNED TO PURPOSELY CAUSE INDIVIDUAL MR. A to lose money on that day.
It's designed to make economic recoveries,booms,dooms,recessions,depressions SO THAT "somebody"(u know who) can scoop "CHEAP stuff".
It's designed to make both longs and shorts from "somebody" able to earn $ by "FORCING" out a recovery to be able to dump to idiots when their jobs are secured and fat bonuses come in, OR a crises to "FORCE" idiots to sell to them 10YEAR once GREAT SALE back due to margin calls,etc.
IT IS VERY SIMPLE...forex,commodity,and stockmarket all go hand in hand...
IM SO PROUD TO SEE THE LIGHT AT AGE 32!!
WHY HANGSENG cannot rise in 9th week when even sp500 rises in 9th and 10th week?
why is this FACT very crucial????
IT TELLS US
1. HANGSENG support at 22.4K is also as crucial as sp500 support at 1230.
Last week,9th week,sp500 went up from 1283 to 1299,on last Thursday,Only to see friday plunge back to 1277.
hangseng 8th week closing was 23876,last thursday was 23779,before last friday when hangseng dropped in afternoon EVEN BEFORE us mkt drop at night---INSIDER INFO?????
OR they use my 10week theory+unable to reach 1346 by last fri closing to sell off 1st?
WHY CANT HANGSENG rally when sp500 up 1.2pc,hangseng even drop 0.5pc...?
tomorrow hangseng will up to about 23620 MAX,sp500 will close this friday at around 1310...
lets see the ratios to hangseng 22.4K and sp500 1230 from current 23620 and sp500 at 1310.
EXACTLY 6PC!!!!
PLEASE NOTE:in stockmarket it is very easy to off +/- 1+pc?thus u cant say im wrong when hangseng go to 22k,sp500 to 1200..
2.THUS after knowing the ratios TALLY,im VERY convinced we are in for a 6-8pc RETRACEMENT,not even a CORRECTION in february 2011.
AS TO THE FORMATION OF THE CONSOLIDATION OR RETRACEMENT,ITS UP TO THE OPERATOR ALGORITHM TO SHOW ME some HINTS 1st.
Tuesday, February 1, 2011
CAN NEWS BE TRUSTED??COME ON STOCK MARKET IS BEING PUSHED UP OR DOWN DUE TO PLANNED PATTERNS LONG TIME AGO...BAD,GOOD NEWS WONT CHANGE THE macro PATTERN
NEWS
CNBC: Egyptians Seek Million-Strong March to Oust Mubarak
Published: Tuesday, 1 Feb 2011 | 1:34 AM ET Text Size
BUT FUTURES UP!!!
S&P 500 1month
FUTURES FUTURES FAIR VALUE (+0.22)
1286.12 1285.5 +3.10 1282.62 1285.5 +2.88
A banker friend asks me to update on china.
ok.i will do it right now.
shanghai composite SSE always has a "HABIT" of building bases with timing of round number,eg.3,4months
this base started at NOV 15 2010.and since china is closed from 2-8 feb 2010,this push up BEFORE CNY is expected.
It follows a trend to BREAK THE HORIZONTAL BASE resistance upwards at ROUND NUMBER timings.this base the resistance is 2894.
HOW MANY DAYS TO FEB15-22?after deducting the public holidays,im afraid only 5-10working days to push up to 2894.
SCENARIO
1: CHINA BREAK and close above THE DOWNWARD SLOPING RESISTANCE TRENDLINE,2800 right after CNY,and go above 2850,then i PROMISED SSE will test 2894 BY feb 15-22 2011.
2: Today, 1st feb 2011 sse closing is not purely by luck,coincidence.2800 IS THE DOWNWARD RESISTANCE TRENDLINE.if it fails to close above 2800,then im afraid WILL WASTE MORE TIME by going down to 2637 AND THAT WILL BE FINAL low.(of course+/-1pc approx 2600).then the base will take 4 months to even march 15-22 2011
3. If sse goes above 2800 after CNY BUT fails to close above 2850 THEN its also one way down to 2637.
PICK YOUR CHOICE..shareswizard says so at 1st feb 2011..trade at your own risk tolerance.shareswizard says case 3,case 1 more probable.SSE set to break 2800 after CNY but all depends whether it can break 2850
CNBC:Markets Recover As Earnings, Deals Overshadow Egypt
prepare for the 10th week
the gains for sp500 in this week will be <2.9pc for the entire week.
dont be tricked to enter.
next week,11th week, sp500 may go higher to 1320s BUT its ready for reversal at ANY day in the 11th week!BE PREPARED!
NOTE:Although sp500 trend is 10weeks upleg,THE max can also be hit in the 11th week.
WHAT TYPE OF FORMATION FOR THE RETRACEMENT,I DONT KNOW YET.
1.It can be a double top at 1320s can revisit in any weeks AFTER the drop in 11th week
2. It can be a flag formation
3. It can be a horizontal band formation like in the resting period 2 and resting period 1
4. It can be ascending wedge
ANYTHING!!BUT the lows of this RETRACEMENT starting at 11th week WILL SOMEHOW "TALLY" with the timing HANGSENG reach 22.5K-23K region
AFTER THE OPERATORS PLAY OUT THE FORMATION,i will then be able to see AFTER much clearer
Monday, January 31, 2011
NEW EVIDENCE
upleg1:last week,9th week, candlestickbody open up from 880 to 930
(1576-666) 23.6pc 880 AND (1466-903)0pc at 903
upleg2:last week,10th week,candlestick body up from lowest value in 10th week-1035-1074
(1576-666) 38.2pc 1013 AND (1466-903) 23.6pc at 1036
upleg3:last week,10th week,candlestick body open up from 1117 to 1145
(1576--666) 50pc 1121 AND (1466-903)38.2pc at 1118
upleg4 last week,10th week, candlestick bodyopen from 1184 to 1218
(1576-666) 61.8pc 1228 AND (1466-903) 50pc at 1185
upleg5 last week,10th week, candlestick body open from 1185 to 1228
(1576-666)61.8pc, 1228 AND (1466-903)50pc at 1185
upleg6 NOW 6th week,10th week?,candlestick body MOST PROBABLY open at 1346!! and highs at 1400
WHY 1346?
(1576--666) 78.6pc,1381 AND (1466-903)78.6pc at 1346
at6th week, we past the (1466-903)61.8pc at 1251,hence 10th week of 6th upleg candlestick body WILL open at 1346,as shown by prev 5 10wk upleg, that 10th week candlestick body opening values always at fibs of range(1466-903)and the max or closing values of 10th week ALWAYS higher OR equal to the fibs of range(1576-666){EXCEPT 1ST UPLEG where starting value is 23.6pc of (1576--666)}
CONCLUSION:
HENCE LAST WEEK,10th week of 6th upleg will be starting from 1346 and closing above OR EQUAL to 1381)
REMEMBER THIS MSG????????????AT LAST THURSDAY 27JAN 2011,SP500 CLOSING WAS 1299,HOW TO REACH 1346 IN FRIDAY CLOSING???WHEN I SAW THAT I QUICKLY DOWNGRADED MY TARGET IN FRIDAY AFTERNOON,AT NIGHT USMKT DROP?!!SO OBEDIENT TO MY DOWNGRADE!!u look at the timing of the posts if you dont believe me.
IF YOU BELIEVE IN NEWS ,U R INDEED A PATHETIC PERSON,NAIVE AND pure,NOT fit for the stockmarket lies!
why japan nikkei cant go up?i thought food inflation boosts farmers since japan protects farmers.why china,vietnam go up today???
i thought china and vietnam hard hit by food inflation?!!
I LOVE USE FUCKAMENTALS TO FUCK FUCKAMENTALS!!
i will explain why china go up today...i told u all china base building time is always a round number.this current base in sse start from nov15 2010.hence if its not jan 15,22 next will of course come the feb15-22.BUT feb 2-feb8,2011,china close due to CNY.hence there is not much time left to push to 2894 within 2weeks if CHINA DOESNT GO UP TODAY!
I EXPOSE THE LIES OF THE MEDIA!!!
Published: Sunday, 30 Jan 2011 | 9:37 PM ET Text Size By: Bob Pisani
CNBC Reporter
WHAT NICE STORYLINE! WHY CHINA TODAY UP??
CHINA NO FOOD INFLATION FEARS???????????????
PLEASE DONT TALK RUBBISH.on LAST thursday,i saw sp500 closing only 1299,unable to reach 1346,the 78.6pc fib of range 1466-903,hence i know how can last friday reach 46points in ONE DAY?
i immediately downgraded my sp500 tgt on friday afternoon back to my oct 2010 tgt 1320,and at night usmkt drop!!!
IT IS TECHNICAL,OK?NOTHING TO DO WITH EGYPT
MEANING that the 7th leg in sp500 will take us to 1380,hsi 25K
BUT sti will be the weakest DEPEND whether sti will break 3120.IF STI holds at 3120 when hsi go back to 22.5k-23k,THEN STI WONT BE THE WEAKEST IN 7TH 10WEEK upleg
why?sp500 will be in this band 1220-1380,hangseng also in this band 22.5k-25k
BUT sti break down to 3050 from the base of 3120
hangseng and sp500 will show no breakdown hence sti will be the weakest in sp500 7th 10week upleg.
Sunday, January 30, 2011
30jan2011 LECTURE:RELATIONSHIP OF HSI,STI WITH SP500 in 10week uplegs
1st 9week mar9-may4 2009:
HSI UP 6000points,up 52pc!! sp500 up 38pc!! sti up 53pc!!
RESTING PERIOD 1:may 11 2009- jul6 2009:
SP500 down 9pc from top 956,lower than week starting may4 closing by 6.5pc
hsi down 9.5pc from top 19161 BUT UNCHANGED with week starting may4 closing.
sti also down 8.8pc from top BUT drop bounce off may4 week max at 2238 higher than may 4 week by 3pc!
2nd 10week jul13-sep14 2009:
hsi up 25%,sp500 up 22%,sti up 18%
RESTING PERIOD 2:week starting sept 21 to week starting oct 26
sp500 down 6.1% from top,down 4% from week starting sep14.
hsi down 6.5% from top stay up only 100pts from sep14 close 21623
sti down 3.1% from top UNCHANGED from sep14 close of 2647.
3rd 10week nov2 2009-jan4 2010:
sp500 up 10%,
hsi up 9.3% in first 3 weeks of this 3rd 10week upleg,rest 7 weeks in consolidation,hit resistance 3TIMES before following US down.
sti up 12.5%
RESTING PERIOD 3:jan 11 2011- week starting feb8 2010
sti drop 9.5%,hangseng drop ,sp500 drop 7%
4th 10week feb 15-apr19 2010:
sp500 up 13%,
sti up 14% revisit the same resistance as 3rd 10week,3k ,
hsi up 15%,revisited the area near resistance 23K,max 22388, for 4th time,DROP DOWN
RESTING PERIOD 4: WEEK STARTING APR26- WEEK STARTING AUG23 2010
part A)26/4/2010-week starting 28/6/2010
sp500 plunged 17.2%, to 1010
hangseng plunged 15.26% from week starting 26/4/2010 to week starting 24/5/2010 on euro excuse to revisit the 20K support for 2nd time since resting period 3(1st pos div),and revisit the support AGAIN for 3rd time on week starting 28/6/2010(2nd pos div)
sti drop 11.6% on euro excuse to revisit the support 2665 at the 3rd resting period
(1st pos div) to week starting 24/5/2010
part B)week starting 5/7/2010 to week starting 23/8/2010
sp500 down again to 1040 the same support as part (A) to create final drop,drop 8%from 1130 to 1040,2/8/2010 to week starting 23/8/2010
hsi drop 7.3pc from week starting 2/8/2010 to week starting 23/8/2010
sti WENT UP!! from week starting 24/5/2010 to week starting 2/8/2010,when sti retest 3k area for 3rd time and follow sp500 drop down because sp500 touch 1130
5th 10week aug30-nov1 2010:
hsi up 22%(new highs,24988)
sti up 11% as sti already up since 24/5/2010
sp500 up 18% to same highs 1227,2nd time visit(4th 10week visit 1217)
RESTING PERIOD 5:week starting 8/11/2010 to week starting 22/11/2010
sp500 drop 4% bounce around the 1180s NEAR to 1227(prepare for 1st week of 6th 10week upleg to break thru)
hsi drop 8.4% to retest the resistance turn support at 23K for 1st time after breakout UPWARDS
sti drop 6% to 3100s
6th 10week upleg: week starting 29/11/2010 to ??week starting 31/1/2011????
sp500 up 9.3pc?? to 1300??
hsi up ??
sti up??
CONCLUSION:
LOOK AT HOW INTERRELATED THE 3 CHARTS ARE,i see that this drop in february in SP500 will bring us to hangseng at same 22500-23K.thats why i firmly believe sp500 tgt for this resting period will be around 1220-1250,1240s i think
Saturday, January 29, 2011
1040 to 1320:sept2010 to dec2010(go thru the 200 WEEK MA at currently around 1200)
1320 to 1240:dec2010 to jan 2011(the 200wk value will increase when sp500 goes up,around 1220-1240 then)
1240 to 1520:jan 2011 to jul2011
1520 to 1410:jul2011 to aug2011
1410 to 1590: aug2011 to oct2011
HOW COINCIDENTAL THE MANNER THAT SP500 AFTER THE CORRECTION IN DEC2010 WILL BOUNCE OFF THE 200WEEK MA THE SAME MANNER AS IT BOUNCES OFF THE 200DAY MA
PLUS the final value of the 2nd half will be also the same 1590 the all time highs!!!
Posted by trading guru at 2:07 PM
lets use this general trend ABOVE to project sp500 10week theory!!
i was saying at 10week close=1380 will take how many 10weeks.hence by seeing that it takes 6 months for sp500 to go from 1240-1520,hence i know ONLY 1 10week will stop =1381 and the NEXT 10WEEK upleg will go > 1380.HOW MANY 10WEEKS in a 6-7mth period??
ONLY 2,BECAUSE YOU MUST ALLOW SPACE FOR retracement periods.
NOTE--LATE BY 1MONTH is nothing seriously wrong. whether its 1 or 2 mth drop to 1240,6or 7 mth rise to 1520,etc, i still can see the future!
Sunday, October 10, 2010
1st half in the sp500
666 to 950:mar09 to jun09(went thru the 200day MA)
950 to 870:jun 09 to jul09(retest the 200day MA and bounce off the 200day MA)
870 to 1150:jul09 to jan10
1150 to 1040:jan10 to feb10
1040 to 1220:feb10 to apr2010
IF WE EXTRAPOLATE THE SAME TREND into the 2nd half:lets see the stunning coincidence!
1040 to 1320:sept2010 to dec2010(go thru the 200 WEEK MA at currently around 1200)
1320 to 1240:dec2010 to jan 2011(the 200wk value will increase when sp500 goes up,around 1220-1240 then)
1240 to 1520:jan 2011 to jul2011
1520 to 1410:jul2011 to aug2011
1410 to 1590: aug2011 to oct2011
HOW COINCIDENTAL THE MANNER THAT SP500 AFTER THE CORRECTION IN DEC2010 WILL BOUNCE OFF THE 200WEEK MA THE SAME MANNER AS IT BOUNCES OFF THE 200DAY MA
PLUS the final value of the 2nd half will be also the same 1590 the all time highs!!!
Posted by trading guru at 2:07 PM
Friday, January 28, 2011
I JUST DOWNGRADED my target for sp500 from 1380 to my OLD TARGET made oct 2010,1320 from 6th 10week upleg,ending next week IN THE AFTERNOON..
at night,US MARKET falls!!
i dont even know tonight us advance q4 gdp out.i dont even care whether it is less than estimate or more that estimate.
when i discover at 9th week of 6th 10week upleg on thursday only 1299,I calculated its impossible to hit 1380 next week AS 10th week up amount ALWAYS > 1st week up amount.
WITH this theory I told you all earlier 9th week is a very interesting week as it is a ??(unknown)week.
gains for NEXT WEEK,10th week in this 6th 10week upleg will be < 1st week up 2.9%
HENCE I CONCLUDE SP500 in next week will only RECOVER all of today's losses if sp500 drop 1.5-2% tonight.
IT BECOMES VERY CLEAR how NEXT WEEK,10th week,will play out.
2006 meetings
JAN 31 meeting: DJIA ended flat,down 0.2%,great volatility during day,spinning top,lower tail 1pc,upper tail 0.7pc (spinning top)
Mar28 meeting: DJIA ended DOWN 1%,great volatility during day (D)
May 10 meeting: DJIA ended flat,up 0.03%,lower tail = upper tail length,DOJI (doji)
JUNE 29 meeting: DJIA ended UP.surge up 2% (U)
Aug 8 meeting: DJIA ended down.Great volatility.ended down 0.3% upper tail 100pts,lower tail 60points (spinning top)
sept 20 meeting: DJIA ended UP.ended up 0.6%(U)
oct 25meeting: DJIA ended Flat.ended up 0.05%,upper tail 90,lower tail 110 (doji)
Dec 12 meeting: DJIA ended doji,upper tail 70pts,lower tail 100pts,dwn 13pts (doji)
2007 MEETING
JAN 31 meeting: DJIA up 100points (U)
MAR 21 meeting: DJIA up 160points (U)
may 9 meeting: DJIA up 50points (U)
Jun 28 meeting: DJIA ended flat (DOJI)
AUG 7 meeting: DJIA ended up 40pts,lower tail 2pc (U)
sept 18 meeting: DJIA ended UP 339points (U)
oct 31 meeting: DJIA ended 150points up (U)
dec 11 meeting: DJIA ended down 200 points (D)
2007 manipulation:FOMC meetings mostly UP, BUY INTO any dips
2008 meetings
Jan 30 meeting: DJIA down 30points ,upper tail around 200points (spin top)
Mar 18 meeting: DJIA up 400points.up 3pc (U)
Apr 30 meeting: DJIA down 10points,upper tail 200points (same as jan 30)
Jun25 meeting: DJIA up4pts, upper tail 200points,lower tail 120points (roughly same as jan 30)
sept 16 meeting: DJIA up 100points, lower tail 300points (U)
oct 29meeting: DJIA down 75,upper tail 400points (same as jan 30)
dec 16 meeting: DJIA up 400points (U)
IN down year,fomc meeting HAVE 2 TRENDS: 1.up a lot OR 2. LONG UPPER TAIL
2009 meeting
jan 28meeting: up a lot up 200points (U)
mar 18 meeting: lower tail 3pc, up 100points (U)
apr 29 meeting: up 170points,2pc (U)
jun24 meeting: down a bit,flat,upper tail 2pc,
aug12 meeting: up 100points (U)
sept 23 meeting: down 70 upper tail 200points,2pc
nov4 meeting: DJIA up a bit,20point,UPPER TAIL 160points
dec 16 meeting:DJIA down a bit 10point,upper tail 110points
2009 manipulation: UPTREND year FOMC MEETINGS either 1.UP A LOT or 2. SELL INTO STRENGTH,long upper tail but close unchanged
2010 meetings:
jan27 meeting: DJIA up a bit,40point,lower tail 130points (buying)
mar16meeting: DJIA up a bit,lower tail 100point (buy on any dip)
apr28 meeting: DJIA UP A BIT,UP50POINTS, lower tail longer than upper tail (same as prev 2)
jun23 meeting: DJIA FLAT UPPER TAIL=LOWER TAIL
aug10 meeting: DJIA down 50,a bit, upper tail=lower tail
sept 21 meeting: DJIA flat, upper tail=lower tail
NOV3 MEETING: DJIA UP 30,flat spinning top
dec 14 meeting: DJIA up a bit 50pt, upper tail=lower tail
2010 DJIA IS VERY FLAT ON FOMC MEETINGS
2011 meetings:
jan 26meeting: upper tail=lower tail (indecisiveness)
IN CONCLUSION:
2006 DJIA UP 15PC,fomc meetings NO CLUE,random
2007 DJIA up 7pc,fomc meetings mostly UP
2008 DJIA down 40pc,fomc meetings down OR sell into strength
2009 DJIA up 20pc,fomc meetings either up a lot OR sell into strength,but close unchanged
2010 DJIA up 10pc,fomc meetings FLATTISH,indecisive
note--all figures are approximates,FOMC meetings can be a window to see how DJIA will perform for the year
now equity markets higher than mar09,U say too high dont enter
AT MAR09,when i was calling for market final lows,U SAY will go lower,so dont enter..
THEN WHEN TO ENTER, get a vibrator and enter yourself
I AM A LIVING EXAMPLE who says stocks are cheap in mar09 AND stocks are STILL cheap in jan2011.when i say stocks are cheap BACK IN MAR09---HOW MANY ACTUALLY BELIEVE ME???
i use technicals to pinpoint stockmarket final lows in end mar09-I FUCK CARE FUCKAMENTALS..
(PLEASE NOTE--im saying stocks are still cheap in jan 2011-DOES NOT MEAN there will not be DROPS,retracements OR corrections)
THERE WILL BE drops AS STOCKMARKETS IS NEVER ONE WAY UP OR ONE WAY DOWN
WITH SP500 THIS 6TH 10WEEK >61.8PC TARGET,
I PROUDLY DECLARE NEXT 10WEEK UPLEG,7TH 10WEEK UPLEG target will be MINIMUM 1380.
= OR > 1380
because like i said in my previous posts:
1st 9week closing > 23.6pc
2nd 10week closing > 38.2pc
3rd 10week closing > 50pc
4th 10week closing =61.8pc
5th 10week closing = 61.8pc
this week 6th 10week closing SHOULD BE ONLY > 61.8pc
judging by this trend,i can PROUDLY say the NEXT 10weeks,7th 10 week UPLEG shall end = OR > 78.6pc,1381
WITH THIS POWERFUL TREND,I can roughly gauge when sp500 will hit 1580....
78.6pc has two scenarios,= AND >
THE "=" scenario may take TWO,THREE 10week uplegs, and once A 10WEEK sp500 UPLEG CLOSING > 78.6pc,U WILL KNOW the next 10week will be = OR > 100percent AT 1580
HENCE SP500 WILL TAKE 2,3,4,5 10WEEK UPLEGS to reach 1580 DEPENDING ON HOW MANY 10WEEK UPLEG CLOSING AT 1381.at most 5,AS I DONT BELIEVE SP500 WILL STALL AT 1381 FOR 4 10week UPLEGS...
WHAT A POWERFUL TOOL!!!!
with this tool,U ALSO CAN GAUGE WHERE THE DROP WILL END.as each 10week upleg minimum around 120points up maximum 260points up,HENCE 1381-120 = 1250s OR 1380-260 = 1130
HENCE I CAN EVEN SEE THAT after this 6th 10week will come a RETRACEMENT to around 1250s OR a CORRECTION to 1130(which is also a very important resistance turn support)
AS TO HOW LONG the timing for THE DROP,I DO NOT KNOW AS OF NOW
I NEVER RELY ON NEWS
looks like sp500 will realy end at >61,8pc only,wont hit 1380 at end of next week..
i left out the >61.8pc case,>1221 when i upgraded my target from 1320 to 1380 as i immediately jump to the =78.6pc case=1381 at closing of 10th week,week start 31st jan...
sp500 will end this 6th 10 week up leg,target X,
1221 < X <1380,most prob back to my target 1320,1330
there is a relationship between 1st week and 10th week of each 10week upleg
1.1st 9week upleg---
1st week sp500 up 10.6%,9th week up 6%
2. 2nd 10week upleg--
1st week sp500 up 7pc, 10th week up 2.5pc
3. 3rd 10week upleg
1st week sp500 up3.2pc,10th week up 2.6pc
4. 4th 10week upleg
1st week sp500 up 3.2pc,10th week up 2.1pc
5. 5th 10 week upleg
1st week sp500 up 3.8pc,10th week up 3.6pc
6.6th 10 week upleg
1st week up 2.9pc, 10th week???
if you notice 10th week up always < 1st week up
hence im projecting a 1.5pc-2pc gain for next week,10th week for sp500..target 1330
IF BY TODAY SP500 REMAINS NEAR 1300,flat,does not plunge.
MY OLD TARGET REMAINS INTACT 1320,1330!!!!!!!BACK TO MY OLD TARGET...my new target 1381 NOW IS INFEASIBLE...
Thursday, January 27, 2011
hahaha
i said the NATURE of the way shanghai will have when it hit 2680 will be a fast hit 2680,and fast rebound up to 2750 IN MY EARLIER POSTS..
u can check if you dont believe me..
last week,shanghai hit 2683 and rebound to 2750 in two days
TODAY,shanghai hit 2677 and rebound to 2750 in ONE DAY..
if tats not bullish,i dont know wats bullish.I ALWAYS TURN A DEAF EAR TO NEWS as i already can tell beforehand whats going to happen
Wednesday, January 26, 2011
1.1st 10week ending week,9th week-week starting may4th 2009-sp500 rallied 6percent,hangseng rallied 12percent BECAUSE SHANGHAI RALLIED 6PC
2.2nd 10week ending week,10th week-week starting sept 14 2009-hangseng up 2pc, sp500 up 2.5pc,SHANGHAI DOWN 1PC
3.3rd 10week ending week,10th week-week starting jan4 2010-sp up 2.6pc,hangseng up 2pc,SHANGHAI DOWN 2PC
4,4th 10week ending week,10th week-week starting apr19 2010-sp up 2pc,hangseng down 3pc,SHANGHAI DOWN 5PC
5.5th 10week ending week,10th week-week starting nov1 2010-sp up 3.6pc,hangseng up 7.7pc,SHANGHAI UP 5pc
6.6th 10week ending week,10th week-week starting 31jan 2011--??????
SO DID U SEE THE INTRICATE RELATIONSHIP THAT HANGSENG BALANCES WITH SP500 AND SHANGHAI COMPOSITE????????????
now its NOT very good news because 2feb 2011-8feb 2011,shanghai stock exchange will close for CNY..cant capture the china possible rally because 2680 is achieved.
