SUMMARY OF ALL SP500 UPTRENDS AND CONSOLIDATIONS




THANKS TO YOU ALL-MY PAGEVIEWS SKYROCKETED IN JAN2012,ONE MONTH ALONE is EQUAL TO 6MONTHS OF

PAGEVIEWS!!A BIG THANK YOU

SINCE THIS THREAD "SUMMARY OF ALL SP500 UPTRENDS AND CONSOLIDATIONS" THREAD IS SO POPULAR,THE HIGHEST VIEWERSHIP,I PUT IT IN THE FRONT PAGE

SUMMARY OF ALL SP500 uptrends and consolidations

UPTRENDS-

1. Mostly 10weeks,although some may be 9,11,12.how to recognize?--uptrend "mysteriously" maintained by a diagonal uptrendline connecting the lows of that 10weeks uptrend

2. 1st and last(10th) week always end in surges of aorund 3-6%with the least 1st week gain was 2.7%.The humpy uptrend will "mysteriously" start and end with surges up.

3. If the (X-1)th 10+weeks end below a fibo of the 1576-666 range,THEN the next,Xth, 10+weeks will end AT THAT FIBO.

4. If the (X-1)th 10+weeks end ABOVE a fibo of the 1576-666 range,then the NEXT,Xth, 10+weeks will end AT THE NEXT HIGHER FIBO.

5. Every year's end, at the last trading day of the year,sp500 will end near a fibo of 1576-666 range.

6. Every 10+weeks uptrend will start AFTER a double testing of the diagonal uptrend line formed by the humps from july 13th week 2009.

7. The uptrend in the secular bear market,before breakout 1576, will be a "humpy" ride,whereby i forecast a total of 4 humps to test 1576.

8. After the sp500 breaks out of the 1576 resistance,the diagonal uptrendline will be much sharper than the uptrendline of the 4 humps.

9. The peaks of each hump will occur at AROUND 350-360 POINTS ABOVE THE CORRECTION TESTED FIBONACCI.

10. 2009 REPLICATE 2003,2010 REPLICATE 2004,2011 REPLICATE 2005,SO ON--I mean the closing values and their respective fibo,

CONSOLIDATIONS-CORRECTIONS AND RETRACEMENTS

1. Every correction will have one week of huge plunge about 100points in sp500

2. every Long/HUGE weekly plunge of around 5-8% in the sp500 will be met with a return to the start BEFORE the huge plunge(weekly open) of THAT LONG WEEKLY DOWN CANDLEBODY in 23 to 24 weeks

3. After the peak of each hump has been achieved,there will come a plunge BACK to the fibo of 1576-666 range.---------

eg. 1st hump ended at 1219,near 61.8%,then sp500 plunged back to retest the 38.2%,before the NEXT hump will be formed

eg. 2nd hump peaked at 1370,near the 78.6%,then sp500 plunged back to retest the 50%..so on..

1st correction went to the 38.2%,1013, lowest 1010 and built a base around 1065

-took 24 weeks to reach the open of the HUGE weekly plunge of 120points,week of MAY 3RD 2010

-dropped a total of 210points-2nd week from the top of the 4th 10+weeks uptrend pattern 1217,was the huge weekly plunge

-took 8weeks to hit the lowest point 1010

2nd correction went to 1074 lowest,BUT built a base around the 50% fibo,1120.

-took 23 weeks to reach the open pf the 2nd HUGE weekly plunge of 120points,week of August 1, 2011

-dropped a total of 270points from 1344 and 300points from the HEAD peak 1370

-the huge weekly drop also happened in the 2nd week from the 5th 10+weeks uptrend pattern close peak of 1344.,the LEFT SHOULDER OF THE head and shoulders

-took 9weeks to hit the lowest point 1074

THIS IS THE NEW AND IMPROVISED VERSION OF THE MOST POPULAR POST IN MY BLOG


LET US RECALL THE LIES OF MEDIA OR PEOPLE WHO DON'T KNOW HOW TO EXPLAIN

1)DATA GOOD,COMPANIES EARNINGS GOOD,INDEX DROP= "FACTORED IN" OR "LESSEN STIMULUS HOPES"

2)DATA BAD,COMPANIES EARNINGS BAD,INDEX RISE="INCREASED STIMULUS HOPES"

3)WHEN USA CRISIS CAME,FULL OF CDO SHIT PROBLEM,NO1 KNOWS THERE WILL BE A EUROPE CRISIS IN 2009.THEN CAME EUROPE CRISIS.

4)WHEN EUROPE CRISIS BECOME STALE NEWS,FOCUS SHIFT TO LIBYA GADDAFI TO "EXPLAIN" DROP IN USA MARKETS

5)THEN AFTER GADDAFI NEWS BECAME STALE,THEY SHIFT BACK TO EUROPE AND CHANGE TO "AUSTERITY" SHIT

6)THEN AFTER EURO AUSTERITY NEWS BECOME STALE,THEY SHIFT FOCUS BACK TO USA AND INTRODUCED "FISCAL CLIFF" SHIT JUST BECAUSE BERNANKE MENTIONED FISCAL CLIFF

I "LOVE" THEIR SHIT.EVERYTIME THE STORY BECOMES OLD AND STALE,SOMETHING NEW WILL POP OUT AND THE OLD ONE WILL NEVER BE MENTIONED AGAIN-SINK INTO OBLIVION!!

1ST CDO,LIBYA,AUSTERITY,NOW FISCAL CLIFF.NEXT FUCK YOU!!DID CDO SHIT RESURFACE AGAIN NOW?WHO REMEMBER GADDAFI,LIBYA PROBLEMS SUDDENLY SOLVED FOREVER??

GRANDMOTHER STORY SPINNERS FUCKERS.


19th October 2013
NEPTUNE ORIENT LINES ROBOTIC PATTERN
1) BASE
A-
WEEK oF 17 NOVEMBER 2008—0.93
Week of 9 March 2009—0.85
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
3+ MONTHS APART
BETWEEN 1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED +182% IN
1YEAR,1 MONTH, HIT NEAR 2.40 IN APRIL 2010
2) BASE
B-
Week of 22 August 2011—0.98
Week of 21 November 2011---0.995
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
3 MONTHS APART BETWEEN
1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED +53% IN 3
months.HIT 1.515 IN 20 FEBRUARY 2012 WEEK





3) BASE
C-
Week of 23 July 2012—1.05
Week of 19 November 2012---1.05
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
3+ MONTHS APART
BETWEEN 1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED +30% IN 1.5months.HIT
1.36 IN 7 January 2013 WEEK

4) NOW,IT
IS BASE D TIME
Week of 10 June 2013—1.025
Week of 26 August 2013---1.025
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
Near 3 MONTHS APART
BETWEEN 1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED ????% by
??????








N.O.L-NEPTUNE ORIENT LINES-N03.SI (WEEKLY CHARTS) YEAR 2006:6 NOVEMBER TO 1ST JAN2007: 1.77 TO 2.20 (+43c) YEAR 2008:17NOVEMBER TO 5JAN2009: 0.84 TO 1.175 (+33.5c) YEAR 2009:2NOVEMBER TO 11JAN2010: 1.51 TO 1.94 (+43c) YEAR 2010:22NOVEMBER TO 3JAN2011: 2.07 TO 2.40 (+33c) YEAR 2011:21NOVEMBER TO 30JAN2012: 0.995 TO 1.43 (+43.5c) YEAR 2012:19NOVEMBER TO 7JAN2013: 1.055 TO 1.36 (+30.5c)



Monday, October 29, 2012

30th october 2012-hongkong property panic-dropping 10+%(inclusive of "negotiation space",previously don't have) over the weekend

辣招封樓市 二手成交跌4成

經濟日報 – 4時前



【經濟日報專訊】政府推出兩項辣招遏抑樓市後，過去周末假，二手樓市即時急凍，十大藍籌屋苑交投量急跌4成，有一半屋苑「捧蛋」。九龍站一帶豪宅，過去一向是內地客入市熱點，現時則成為「重災區」，有業主因而劈價150萬元賣樓。
市場消息指，內地客及公司名義登記比例較高的九龍站，已經有看淡後市的買家趁市況仍未下滑，先行獲利套現離場，部分更願意提供逾6%的議價空間，跟之前「零議價」的市況截然不同。(SOME BUYERS INCLUDE A 6% negotiation space on top of the 5-6% price decline,before this measure,there was no negotiation space,hence together with the 5-6% offer price reduction,it constitutes a 10-12% reduced offer price)
君臨2650萬售 減幅5.4%(hongkong property drop 5-6% on reduced offer price on the news)
其中由韓國人持有的君臨天下3座低層C室單位，昨天以2,650萬元售出，比上周一的開價2,800萬元，減價150萬元，減幅約5.4%。該單位建築面積約1,385平方呎，呎價約1.91萬元，低市價約5%。據悉，該單位原業主於09年以2,104萬元購入上址，持貨至今3年帳面獲利546萬元，升值近30%。
另外，擎天半島6座低層H室單位業主，更將上周三的開價1,500萬元，調低6.7%至1,400萬元放售；而擎天半島5座高層F室單位業主，亦將8月份的開價1,780萬元，調低5.6%至1,680萬元放售. (same scenario,other properties in different area also drop 5-6% on reduced offer price)
港島區豪宅表現更加疲弱，政府針對海外客及公司註冊的買家印花稅（Buyer's Stamp Duty，簡稱BSD）一出，即時令港島豪宅冰封，昨天山頂、南區、中半山、東半山及西半山等傳統豪宅區，均出現零成交的僵局。有代理指，現時業主及買家均持觀望態度，期望再觀察一段時間才作減價或入市等決定。
10大屋苑 兩天12宗成交
至於傳統藍籌屋苑方面，新SSD登場首個周六、日，二手睇樓及成交量全綫急降，據中原統計，10大屋苑上周六、日僅錄得12宗成交，按周減少達43%，為4個月來新低，成交量重回6月的低位；同期利嘉閣10大屋苑錄有21宗成交，按周減少46%。而美聯就10大屋苑錄13宗成交，按周減少逾52%。（10大屋苑中，利嘉閣與中原統計屋苑相同，而美聯選荃灣中心代替前兩者的映灣園。）
無街客 睇樓客急降5成
有地產代理形容過去兩天二手市況是，金融海嘯第二波，大部分二手屋苑租賣兩閒。中原康怡分行首席分區營業經理楊文傑指，「周六、周日，幾乎所有同事無離開過分行，既無街客，預約睇樓客也紛紛甩底，睇樓量急降5成。」(NO STREET CUSTOMERS,NO. OF VIEWERS PLUNGE BY 50%,PROPERTY ANALYSTS DESCRIBE THIS AS FINANCIAL CRISIS 2ND TIDE,MEANING NOW HK PROPERTY IS AS BAD AS DURING SUBPRIME CRISIS)
現市況下，只有減價才能推動買家入市。香港置業分行經理鄭嘉龍指出，大角咀港灣豪庭1座中層E室，面積504平方呎，業主於政府出招當天放盤，當時叫價480萬元，昨日即減價25萬元，以455萬元售出，呎價9,028元。
利嘉閣地產總裁廖偉強指出，兩項辣招短期內會對市場帶來心理影響，目前，一、二手市場均會全面進入觀望狀態，並會維持一段時間。

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