SUMMARY OF ALL SP500 UPTRENDS AND CONSOLIDATIONS




THANKS TO YOU ALL-MY PAGEVIEWS SKYROCKETED IN JAN2012,ONE MONTH ALONE is EQUAL TO 6MONTHS OF

PAGEVIEWS!!A BIG THANK YOU

SINCE THIS THREAD "SUMMARY OF ALL SP500 UPTRENDS AND CONSOLIDATIONS" THREAD IS SO POPULAR,THE HIGHEST VIEWERSHIP,I PUT IT IN THE FRONT PAGE

SUMMARY OF ALL SP500 uptrends and consolidations

UPTRENDS-

1. Mostly 10weeks,although some may be 9,11,12.how to recognize?--uptrend "mysteriously" maintained by a diagonal uptrendline connecting the lows of that 10weeks uptrend

2. 1st and last(10th) week always end in surges of aorund 3-6%with the least 1st week gain was 2.7%.The humpy uptrend will "mysteriously" start and end with surges up.

3. If the (X-1)th 10+weeks end below a fibo of the 1576-666 range,THEN the next,Xth, 10+weeks will end AT THAT FIBO.

4. If the (X-1)th 10+weeks end ABOVE a fibo of the 1576-666 range,then the NEXT,Xth, 10+weeks will end AT THE NEXT HIGHER FIBO.

5. Every year's end, at the last trading day of the year,sp500 will end near a fibo of 1576-666 range.

6. Every 10+weeks uptrend will start AFTER a double testing of the diagonal uptrend line formed by the humps from july 13th week 2009.

7. The uptrend in the secular bear market,before breakout 1576, will be a "humpy" ride,whereby i forecast a total of 4 humps to test 1576.

8. After the sp500 breaks out of the 1576 resistance,the diagonal uptrendline will be much sharper than the uptrendline of the 4 humps.

9. The peaks of each hump will occur at AROUND 350-360 POINTS ABOVE THE CORRECTION TESTED FIBONACCI.

10. 2009 REPLICATE 2003,2010 REPLICATE 2004,2011 REPLICATE 2005,SO ON--I mean the closing values and their respective fibo,

CONSOLIDATIONS-CORRECTIONS AND RETRACEMENTS

1. Every correction will have one week of huge plunge about 100points in sp500

2. every Long/HUGE weekly plunge of around 5-8% in the sp500 will be met with a return to the start BEFORE the huge plunge(weekly open) of THAT LONG WEEKLY DOWN CANDLEBODY in 23 to 24 weeks

3. After the peak of each hump has been achieved,there will come a plunge BACK to the fibo of 1576-666 range.---------

eg. 1st hump ended at 1219,near 61.8%,then sp500 plunged back to retest the 38.2%,before the NEXT hump will be formed

eg. 2nd hump peaked at 1370,near the 78.6%,then sp500 plunged back to retest the 50%..so on..

1st correction went to the 38.2%,1013, lowest 1010 and built a base around 1065

-took 24 weeks to reach the open of the HUGE weekly plunge of 120points,week of MAY 3RD 2010

-dropped a total of 210points-2nd week from the top of the 4th 10+weeks uptrend pattern 1217,was the huge weekly plunge

-took 8weeks to hit the lowest point 1010

2nd correction went to 1074 lowest,BUT built a base around the 50% fibo,1120.

-took 23 weeks to reach the open pf the 2nd HUGE weekly plunge of 120points,week of August 1, 2011

-dropped a total of 270points from 1344 and 300points from the HEAD peak 1370

-the huge weekly drop also happened in the 2nd week from the 5th 10+weeks uptrend pattern close peak of 1344.,the LEFT SHOULDER OF THE head and shoulders

-took 9weeks to hit the lowest point 1074

THIS IS THE NEW AND IMPROVISED VERSION OF THE MOST POPULAR POST IN MY BLOG


LET US RECALL THE LIES OF MEDIA OR PEOPLE WHO DON'T KNOW HOW TO EXPLAIN

1)DATA GOOD,COMPANIES EARNINGS GOOD,INDEX DROP= "FACTORED IN" OR "LESSEN STIMULUS HOPES"

2)DATA BAD,COMPANIES EARNINGS BAD,INDEX RISE="INCREASED STIMULUS HOPES"

3)WHEN USA CRISIS CAME,FULL OF CDO SHIT PROBLEM,NO1 KNOWS THERE WILL BE A EUROPE CRISIS IN 2009.THEN CAME EUROPE CRISIS.

4)WHEN EUROPE CRISIS BECOME STALE NEWS,FOCUS SHIFT TO LIBYA GADDAFI TO "EXPLAIN" DROP IN USA MARKETS

5)THEN AFTER GADDAFI NEWS BECAME STALE,THEY SHIFT BACK TO EUROPE AND CHANGE TO "AUSTERITY" SHIT

6)THEN AFTER EURO AUSTERITY NEWS BECOME STALE,THEY SHIFT FOCUS BACK TO USA AND INTRODUCED "FISCAL CLIFF" SHIT JUST BECAUSE BERNANKE MENTIONED FISCAL CLIFF

I "LOVE" THEIR SHIT.EVERYTIME THE STORY BECOMES OLD AND STALE,SOMETHING NEW WILL POP OUT AND THE OLD ONE WILL NEVER BE MENTIONED AGAIN-SINK INTO OBLIVION!!

1ST CDO,LIBYA,AUSTERITY,NOW FISCAL CLIFF.NEXT FUCK YOU!!DID CDO SHIT RESURFACE AGAIN NOW?WHO REMEMBER GADDAFI,LIBYA PROBLEMS SUDDENLY SOLVED FOREVER??

GRANDMOTHER STORY SPINNERS FUCKERS.


19th October 2013
NEPTUNE ORIENT LINES ROBOTIC PATTERN
1) BASE
A-
WEEK oF 17 NOVEMBER 2008—0.93
Week of 9 March 2009—0.85
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
3+ MONTHS APART
BETWEEN 1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED +182% IN
1YEAR,1 MONTH, HIT NEAR 2.40 IN APRIL 2010
2) BASE
B-
Week of 22 August 2011—0.98
Week of 21 November 2011---0.995
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
3 MONTHS APART BETWEEN
1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED +53% IN 3
months.HIT 1.515 IN 20 FEBRUARY 2012 WEEK





3) BASE
C-
Week of 23 July 2012—1.05
Week of 19 November 2012---1.05
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
3+ MONTHS APART
BETWEEN 1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED +30% IN 1.5months.HIT
1.36 IN 7 January 2013 WEEK

4) NOW,IT
IS BASE D TIME
Week of 10 June 2013—1.025
Week of 26 August 2013---1.025
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
Near 3 MONTHS APART
BETWEEN 1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED ????% by
??????








N.O.L-NEPTUNE ORIENT LINES-N03.SI (WEEKLY CHARTS) YEAR 2006:6 NOVEMBER TO 1ST JAN2007: 1.77 TO 2.20 (+43c) YEAR 2008:17NOVEMBER TO 5JAN2009: 0.84 TO 1.175 (+33.5c) YEAR 2009:2NOVEMBER TO 11JAN2010: 1.51 TO 1.94 (+43c) YEAR 2010:22NOVEMBER TO 3JAN2011: 2.07 TO 2.40 (+33c) YEAR 2011:21NOVEMBER TO 30JAN2012: 0.995 TO 1.43 (+43.5c) YEAR 2012:19NOVEMBER TO 7JAN2013: 1.055 TO 1.36 (+30.5c)



Monday, July 2, 2012

2ND JULY 2012-FRIDAYS' USA INDICES' PERFORMANCE TEND TO MIRROR THAT OF THE UNDERLYING TREND MOST OF THE TIME


ALL FRIDAYS OF ALL UPTRENDS/RETRACEMENTS/CORRECTIONS OF SP500-TYPED ON JULY 2ND 2012(we all know that fridays are always crucial in stockmarkets)



RESEARCH FINDING:

Fridays’ usa stock market performance tend to mirror that of the underlying trend





1ST 9 WEEKS UP OF SP500-WEEK OF 9MAR 2009 TO 4MAY2009



1)      MAR13 2009 FRIDAY-sp500 up 3points, +0.4%

2)      MAR20 2009 FRIDAY-sp500 down 16points ,-2%

3)      MAR27 2009 FRIDAY-sp500 down 17points,-2%

4)      APR3 2009 FRIDAY-sp500 up 8points,+1%

5)      APR10 2009 FRIDAY- HOLIDAY

6)      APR 17 2009 FRIDAY-sp500 up 4points,+0.4%

7)      APR24 2009 FRIDAY-sp500 up 15points,+1.8%

8)      MAY1  2009 FRIDAY-sp500 down 5points,-0.6%

9)      MAY8,2009 FRIDAY-sp500 up 22points,+2.4%



VERDICT: HIT RATE 5/8 FRIDAYS ARE UP WITH THE TOTAL ABSOLUTE AMOUNT OF RISE MORE THAN THE DROP



1ST RETRACEMENT PERIOD AFTER PEAK OF 956 IS HIT ON JUNE8 2009(929-879-956-869)



1)      JUNE12 2009 FRIDAY-Sp500 flat, up 1point

2)      JUNE19  2009 FRIDAY-sp500 up 3pts

3)      JUNE26 2009 FRIDAY-sp500 flat down 1pt

4)      JUL3 2009 FRIDAY-HOLIDAY

5)      JUL10 2009 FRIDAY-SP500 down 3points,



VERDICT: HIT RATE:NO FRIDAYS SURGE UP BY MORE THAN 1%



2nd 10weeks up of sp500-WEEK OF JUL13 2009



1)      JUL17 2009 FRIDAY-SP500 flat,unchanged

2)      JUL 24 2009 FRIDAY-SP500 up 3points

3)      JUL 31 2009 FRIDAY-SP500 flat up 1point

4)      AUG 7 2009 FRIDAY-SP500  up 13points-+1.5%

5)      AUG14 2009 FRIDAY-sp500 down 8points,-0.8%

6)      AUG 21 2009 FRIDAY-sp500 up 19points-+1.8%

7)      AUG28 2009 FRIDAY-sp500 flat-down 1point

8)      SEPT4 2009 FRIDAY-sp500 up 13points-+1.3%

9)      SEPT 11 2009 FRIDAY-sp500 flat-down 1point

10)   SEPT 18 2009 FRIDAY-sp500 up 3points



VERDICT: HIT RATE:10/10!! NOT EVEN ONE FRIDAY PLUNGE



2ND RETRACEMENT PERIOD(1068-1025-1096-1033),PEAK HIT ON 1101)



1)      OCT23 2009 FRIDAY-sp500 DOWN 14points,-1.3%

2)      OCT30 2009 FRIDAY-sp500  DOWN 30points,-2.9%



VERDICT: HIT RATE:2/2 FRIDAYS ALL PLUNGED(DOWN)



3RD 10WEEKS UP STARTING NOV2,2009 WEEK



1)      NOV6 2009 FRIDAY-SP500 UP 3 POINTS

2)      NOV13 2009 FRIDAY-SP500 UP 6POINTS

3)      NOV 20 2009 FRIDAY-SP500 DOWN 3 POINTS

4)       NOV 27 2009 FRIDAY-SP500 PLUNGE 18POINTS(BECAUSE NOV 26 IS A HOLIDAY,HANGSENG PLUNGE 2% ON NOV26 2009,NOT FACTORED IN))

5)      DEC 4 2009 FRIDAY-SP500 UP5 POINTS

6)      DEC11 2009 FRIDAY-SP500 UP 4 POINTS

7)      DEC 18 2009 FRIDAY-SP500 UP 6POINTS

8)      DEC 25 2009 FRIDY-HOLIDAY

9)      JAN 1 2010 FRIDAY-HOLIDAY

10)   JAN 8 2010 FRIDAY-SP500 UP 4POINTS



VERDICT:-APART FROM THAT NOV 27 2009 CASE ALL ARE UP,NO HUGE PLUNGES



3RD RETRACEMENT PERIOD(1150-1044) NO HIGHER TOP



1)      JAN 15 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 down 13 points,-1.2%

2)      JAN 22 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 down 23 points,-2.1%

3)      JAN 29 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 down 11points,-1%

4)      FEB 5 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 flat,up 2points

5)      FEB12 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 down 3 points



VERDICT-NOT EVEN ONE FRIDAY IS OF HUGE SURGE,WITH THE MAGNITUDE OF DROPS FAR LARGER THAN THE RISE



4TH 10WEEKS UP IN SP500 FROM FEB15 2010 WEEK TO 19APR 2010 WEEK



1)      FEB 19 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 up 3points

2)      FEB 26 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 flat,up 1point

3)      MAR5 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 up 16points,+1.5%

4)      MAR12 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 flat, UNCHANGED

5)      MAR19 2010 FRIDAY-sp500  down 6points

6)      MAR26 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 flat, UNCHANGED

7)      APR 2 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 HOLIDAY

8)      APR 9 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 up 8points

9)      APR 16 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 down 20points,PLUNGE

10)   APR23 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 up 9points



VERDICT:ONLY ONE FRIDAY PLUNGE



HALF TIME INTERVAL І-CORRECTION(NOT RETRACEMENT)=END OF 1ST HUMP



1)      APR 30 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 down 20points,-1.7%

2)      MAY 7 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 down 18points,-1.5%

3)      MAY 14 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 down 22 points,-1.8%

4)      MAY 21 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 up 16points,+1.5%

5)      MAY 28 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 down 14 points,-1.3%

6)      JUNE 4 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 down/plunge 38 points,-3%

7)      JUNE 11 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 up 5 points

8)      JUNE 18 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 flat, up 1point

9)      JUNE 25 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 up 3points

10)   JULY 2 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 down 5 points

11)   JULY 9 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 up 7points

12)   JULY 16 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 down 32 points,-3%

13)   JULY 23 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 up 10points

14)   JULY 30 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 flat, UNCHANGED

15)   AUG 6 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 down 4 points

16)   AUG 13 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 down 4 points

17)   AUG 20 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 down 4 points

18)   AUG 27 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 up 15 points



VERDICT:11/18 FRIDAYS ARE ALL DOWN DAYS,1 IS FLAT,6 ARE UP-(LARGER PLUNGE AMOUNTS THAN RISE AMOUNTS)







5TH 10WEEKS UP IN SP500 STARTING WEEK AUG30 2010



1)      SEPT 3 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 up 14points

2)      SEPT 10 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 up 6points

3)      SEPT 17 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 flat, up 1point

4)      SEPT 24 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 up 24 points,+2.2%

5)      OCT 1 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 up 5 points

6)      OCT 8 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 up 7points

7)      OCT 15 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 up3points

8)      OCT 22 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 up3 points

9)      OCT 29 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 flat, UNCHANGED

10)   NOV5 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 up 5 points



VERDICT:NOT EVEN ONE FRIDAY DROP OR PLUNGE-HIT RATE 100%!!



4TH RETRACEMENT PERIOD (1227-1173)-3WEEKS



1)      Nov 12 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 down 14 points,-1.3%

2)      NOV 19 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 up 3points

3)      NOV26 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 down 10points



VERDICT:2/3 FRIDAYS ARE DOWN.HIT RATE-67%



6TH 12 WEEKS UPTREND IN SP500



1)      DEC3 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 up3 points

2)      DEC10 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 up7points

3)      DEC17 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 flat, up 1 point

4)      DEC24 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 HOLIDAY

5)      DEC31 2010 FRIDAY-sp500 flat, down 1 point

6)      JAN 7 2011 FRIDAY-sp500 flat,down2points

7)      JAN14 2011 FRIDAY-sp500 up 10 points

8)      JAN21 2011 FRIDAY-sp500 up 3points

9)      JAN28 2011 FRIDAY-sp500 down 23 points,-2.1%

10)   FEB 4 2011 FRIDAY-sp500 up 4points

11)   FEB 11 2011 FRIDAY-sp500 up 8 points

12)   FEB 18 2011 FRIDAY-sp500 up 3 points



VERDICT:ONLY 1 FRIDAY PLUNGE HIT RATE :10/11----90%!!





HALF TIME INTERVAL 2-AFTER 2ND HUMP ENDS-CORRECTION TIME(EXCLUDING TIME BETWEEN WEEK STARTINGFEB21-WEEK STARTING JUL18,AS THAT PERIOD IS RETRACEMENT PEROD )(1344-1101)



1)      JULY 29 2011 FRIDAY-SP500 DOWN 8 POINTS

2)      AUGUST 5 2011 FRIDAY-SP500 FLAT, UNCHANGED

3)      AUGUST 12 2011 FRIDAY-SP500 up 6points

4)      AUGUST 19 2011 FRIDAY-sp500 down 17 points

5)      AUGUST 26 2011 FRIDAY-sp500 up 17 points

6)      SEPT 2 2011 FRIDAY-sp500 down/plunge 31 points

7)      SEPT 9 2011 FRIDAY-sp500 down/plunge 31 points

8)      SEPT 16 2011 FRIDAY-sp500 up7points

9)      SEPT 23 2011 FRIDAY-sp500 up 7 points

10)   SEPT30 2011 FRIDAY-sp500 down/plunge 30points

VERDICT:5/10 ARE DROPS BUT THE MAGNITUDE OF THE DROPS ARE FAR MUCH LARGER THAN THE RISE-HIT RATE 50%

        7TH 13 WEEKS UPTREND IN SP500(1219-1404) STARTING DEC 19 2011 WEEK



1)      DEC 23 2011 FRIDAY-sp500 up 11points

2)      DEC 30 2011 FRIDAY-sp500 down 5points

3)      JAN 6 2012 FRIDAY-sp500 down 3 points

4)      JAN 13 2012 FRIDAY-sp500 down 5points

5)      JAN 20 2012 FRIDAY-sp500 flat, up 1 point

6)      JAN 27 2012 FRIDAY-sp500 flat, down 1 point

7)      FEB 3 2012 FRIDAY-sp500 up 20points

8)      FEB 10 2012 FRIDAY-sp500 down 10points

9)      FEB 17 2012 FRIDAY-sp500 up 3points

10)   FEB 24 2012 FRIDAY-sp500 up 3points

11)   MAR 2 2012 FRIDAY-SP500 down 4points

12)   MAR 9 2012 FRIDAY-sp500 up 5points

13)   MAR 16 2012 FRIDAY-sp500 flat, up 2points



VERDICT:THIS 7TH 10+ WEEKS UPTREND FRIDAY PATTERN NOT VERY CLEAR BUT AT LEAST MY THEORY IS RIGHT AGAIN NO HUGE PLUNGES ON FRIDAY IN 10+WEEKS UPTREND


5TH RETRACEMENT PERIOD IN SP500(1422-1267) STILL COUNTED AS RETRACEMENT AS THE 1267 ALTHOUGH DROPPED INTO CORRECTION TERRITORY,BUT WAS SHORTLIVED,GENERALLY IT IS STILL A RETRACEMENT PERIOD(STARTING APR 2ND WEEK)


            1)      APR 6TH 2012 FRIDAY-HOLIDAY

2)      APR 13TH  2012 FRIDAY-sp500 drop/plunge 17points

3)      APR 20TH 2012 FRIDAY-sp500 flat, up 1 point

4)      APR 27TH 2012 FRIDAY-sp500 up 3points

5)      MAY 4RD 2012 FRIDAY-sp500 down/plunge 21points

6)      MAY 11TH 2012 FRIDAY-sp500 flat, down 5points

7)      MAY 18TH 2012 FRIDAY-sp500 drop 10points

8)      MAY 25TH 2012 FRIDAY-sp500 drop 3points

9)      JUNE 1ST 2012 FRIDAY-sp500 drop/plunge 32points

VERDICT:5/8 ARE ALL DROPS AND THE MAGNITUDE OF THE PLUNGE IS MUCH GREATER THAN THE RISE-HIT RATE 63%


8TH 10+ WEEKS(10?11?12?13?) UPTREND IN SP500

            1)      JUNE 8TH 2012 FRIDAY-sp500 up 11points

2)      JUNE 15TH 2012 FRIDAY-sp500 up 14points

3)      JUNE 22nd 2012 FRIDAY-sp500 up 10points

4)      JUNE 29TH 2012 FRIDAY-sp500 up 33points
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