SUMMARY OF ALL SP500 UPTRENDS AND CONSOLIDATIONS
THANKS TO YOU ALL-MY PAGEVIEWS SKYROCKETED IN JAN2012,ONE MONTH ALONE is EQUAL TO 6MONTHS OF
PAGEVIEWS!!A BIG THANK YOU
SINCE THIS THREAD "SUMMARY OF ALL SP500 UPTRENDS AND CONSOLIDATIONS" THREAD IS SO POPULAR,THE HIGHEST VIEWERSHIP,I PUT IT IN THE FRONT PAGE
SUMMARY OF ALL SP500 uptrends and consolidations
UPTRENDS-
1. Mostly 10weeks,although some may be 9,11,12.how to recognize?--uptrend "mysteriously" maintained by a diagonal uptrendline connecting the lows of that 10weeks uptrend
2. 1st and last(10th) week always end in surges of aorund 3-6%with the least 1st week gain was 2.7%.The humpy uptrend will "mysteriously" start and end with surges up.
3. If the (X-1)th 10+weeks end below a fibo of the 1576-666 range,THEN the next,Xth, 10+weeks will end AT THAT FIBO.
4. If the (X-1)th 10+weeks end ABOVE a fibo of the 1576-666 range,then the NEXT,Xth, 10+weeks will end AT THE NEXT HIGHER FIBO.
5. Every year's end, at the last trading day of the year,sp500 will end near a fibo of 1576-666 range.
6. Every 10+weeks uptrend will start AFTER a double testing of the diagonal uptrend line formed by the humps from july 13th week 2009.
7. The uptrend in the secular bear market,before breakout 1576, will be a "humpy" ride,whereby i forecast a total of 4 humps to test 1576.
8. After the sp500 breaks out of the 1576 resistance,the diagonal uptrendline will be much sharper than the uptrendline of the 4 humps.
9. The peaks of each hump will occur at AROUND 350-360 POINTS ABOVE THE CORRECTION TESTED FIBONACCI.
10. 2009 REPLICATE 2003,2010 REPLICATE 2004,2011 REPLICATE 2005,SO ON--I mean the closing values and their respective fibo,
CONSOLIDATIONS-CORRECTIONS AND RETRACEMENTS
1. Every correction will have one week of huge plunge about 100points in sp500
2. every Long/HUGE weekly plunge of around 5-8% in the sp500 will be met with a return to the start BEFORE the huge plunge(weekly open) of THAT LONG WEEKLY DOWN CANDLEBODY in 23 to 24 weeks
3. After the peak of each hump has been achieved,there will come a plunge BACK to the fibo of 1576-666 range.---------
eg. 1st hump ended at 1219,near 61.8%,then sp500 plunged back to retest the 38.2%,before the NEXT hump will be formed
eg. 2nd hump peaked at 1370,near the 78.6%,then sp500 plunged back to retest the 50%..so on..
1st correction went to the 38.2%,1013, lowest 1010 and built a base around 1065
-took 24 weeks to reach the open of the HUGE weekly plunge of 120points,week of MAY 3RD 2010
-dropped a total of 210points-2nd week from the top of the 4th 10+weeks uptrend pattern 1217,was the huge weekly plunge
-took 8weeks to hit the lowest point 1010
2nd correction went to 1074 lowest,BUT built a base around the 50% fibo,1120.
-took 23 weeks to reach the open pf the 2nd HUGE weekly plunge of 120points,week of August 1, 2011
-dropped a total of 270points from 1344 and 300points from the HEAD peak 1370
-the huge weekly drop also happened in the 2nd week from the 5th 10+weeks uptrend pattern close peak of 1344.,the LEFT SHOULDER OF THE head and shoulders
-took 9weeks to hit the lowest point 1074
THIS IS THE NEW AND IMPROVISED VERSION OF THE MOST POPULAR POST IN MY BLOG
LET US RECALL THE LIES OF MEDIA OR PEOPLE WHO DON'T KNOW HOW TO EXPLAIN
1)DATA GOOD,COMPANIES EARNINGS GOOD,INDEX DROP= "FACTORED IN" OR "LESSEN STIMULUS HOPES"
2)DATA BAD,COMPANIES EARNINGS BAD,INDEX RISE="INCREASED STIMULUS HOPES"
3)WHEN USA CRISIS CAME,FULL OF CDO SHIT PROBLEM,NO1 KNOWS THERE WILL BE A EUROPE CRISIS IN 2009.THEN CAME EUROPE CRISIS.
4)WHEN EUROPE CRISIS BECOME STALE NEWS,FOCUS SHIFT TO LIBYA GADDAFI TO "EXPLAIN" DROP IN USA MARKETS
5)THEN AFTER GADDAFI NEWS BECAME STALE,THEY SHIFT BACK TO EUROPE AND CHANGE TO "AUSTERITY" SHIT
6)THEN AFTER EURO AUSTERITY NEWS BECOME STALE,THEY SHIFT FOCUS BACK TO USA AND INTRODUCED "FISCAL CLIFF" SHIT JUST BECAUSE BERNANKE MENTIONED FISCAL CLIFF
I "LOVE" THEIR SHIT.EVERYTIME THE STORY BECOMES OLD AND STALE,SOMETHING NEW WILL POP OUT AND THE OLD ONE WILL NEVER BE MENTIONED AGAIN-SINK INTO OBLIVION!!
1ST CDO,LIBYA,AUSTERITY,NOW FISCAL CLIFF.NEXT FUCK YOU!!DID CDO SHIT RESURFACE AGAIN NOW?WHO REMEMBER GADDAFI,LIBYA PROBLEMS SUDDENLY SOLVED FOREVER??
GRANDMOTHER STORY SPINNERS FUCKERS.
19th October 2013
NEPTUNE ORIENT LINES ROBOTIC PATTERN
1) BASE
A-
WEEK oF 17 NOVEMBER 2008—0.93
Week of 9 March 2009—0.85
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
3+ MONTHS APART
BETWEEN 1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED +182% IN
1YEAR,1 MONTH, HIT NEAR 2.40 IN APRIL 2010
2) BASE
B-
Week of 22 August 2011—0.98
Week of 21 November 2011---0.995
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
3 MONTHS APART BETWEEN
1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED +53% IN 3
months.HIT 1.515 IN 20 FEBRUARY 2012 WEEK
3) BASE
C-
Week of 23 July 2012—1.05
Week of 19 November 2012---1.05
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
3+ MONTHS APART
BETWEEN 1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED +30% IN 1.5months.HIT
1.36 IN 7 January 2013 WEEK
4) NOW,IT
IS BASE D TIME
Week of 10 June 2013—1.025
Week of 26 August 2013---1.025
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
Near 3 MONTHS APART
BETWEEN 1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED ????% by
??????
N.O.L-NEPTUNE ORIENT LINES-N03.SI (WEEKLY CHARTS) YEAR 2006:6 NOVEMBER TO 1ST JAN2007: 1.77 TO 2.20 (+43c) YEAR 2008:17NOVEMBER TO 5JAN2009: 0.84 TO 1.175 (+33.5c) YEAR 2009:2NOVEMBER TO 11JAN2010: 1.51 TO 1.94 (+43c) YEAR 2010:22NOVEMBER TO 3JAN2011: 2.07 TO 2.40 (+33c) YEAR 2011:21NOVEMBER TO 30JAN2012: 0.995 TO 1.43 (+43.5c) YEAR 2012:19NOVEMBER TO 7JAN2013: 1.055 TO 1.36 (+30.5c)
Wednesday, January 5, 2011
Yet more than half of them still managed to grow net worth in the last six months.
The latest findings of the HSBC Affluent Asian Tracker show that affluent Singaporeans are relatively cautious about investments, when compared to their Asian counterparts.
More than half of affluent individuals surveyed in India (54%) and HK (52%) and almost a third in China (29%) and Taiwan (28%) said that they are looking to increase their investment, particularly in local securities. By comparison, only 19 percent of affluent Singaporeans plan to increase their investment in equities and bonds, according to an HSBC report.
A wave of affluent investors taking up new investment products is also expected from Greater China: 32% in HK, 21% in mainland China and 12% from Taiwan, but in Singapore, only 1 percent planned to take up new investments.
The third wave of the HSBC Affluent Asian Tracker was conducted by Nielsen for HSBC across 2,072 affluent individuals aged 18-65 in seven key markets in Asia from February to April 2010. With the last wave conducted in September to October 2009, the survey gauged the views of people in the top 10 percentile of the population by liquid assets or mortgage value.
The survey also calculated a risk index to measure mentality and behaviour towards security and growth. On a scale of 0-200, where 0 represents security and 200 for growth, markets tended to hover near the mean of 100 for Indonesia (100), India (100) and mainland China (99) showing a more balanced attitude toward risk compared to six months ago.
The more mature markets of Taiwan (89), Malaysia (89), Singapore (82) and Hong Kong (82) show a shift to a security-oriented investment strategy. Singapore registered the largest drop in risk appetite, from 95 in the last survey six months ago to 82 in this survey.
Preference for stable wealth growth
This cautious approach appears to be working for affluent Singaporeans, as the vast majority maintained or grew their net worth in the last six months (91%). While this is a consistent trend across the region, Singapore registered the highest percentage of affluent individuals who maintained and grew their assets in the region. When compared to the last survey, Singapore also has the largest increase in affluent individuals who maintained or grew their assets in the region (91% vs 73%).
Despite being relatively conservative, affluent Singaporeans are among the top three countries with the highest increase in total net worth in the region. More than half of affluent Singaporeans increased their total net worth in the last six months (52%). However, it is the affluent Mainland Chinese who are leading Asia’s wealth surge with 69 percent increasing their total net worth in the last six months; followed by Malaysia at 58 percent. The Singapore findings are fairly consistent with the last survey, when 53% of Singaporeans saw an increase in total net worth.
Consistent with the conservative investment approach of affluent Singaporeans, 47 percent – the highest in the region – said that they preferred to focus on capital protection when asked about risk appetite. Singapore also registered the largest increase (29%) in affluent individuals who tended toward capital protection in the region.
The majority of affluent individuals in the other countries have a moderate appetite for risk. Indonesia (25%) and Malaysia (23%) showed the largest increase in people with a bigger risk appetite. In Singapore, only 8 percent - the lowest in region - said they have a bigger risk appetite.
Mr Greg Zeeman, Head of Personal Financial Services at HSBC Singapore said, “The findings of the HSBC Affluent Asian Tracker show that affluent Singaporeans are growing their wealth in a safe and steady way. Staying invested and building a core suite of investment solutions for capital protection is essential to achieving stable wealth growth and this is what we advise our customers to do, particularly in times of market uncertainty.”
Relatively under-invested in equities
Aside from local currency deposits, the survey also found that local securities, unit trusts and foreign currency deposits are the more popular financial holdings among affluent Asians. In Singapore, about 40 percent of affluent individuals hold unit trusts and local securities; and 19 percent hold foreign currency deposits.
However, equity holdings are significantly higher in most of the other Asian countries particularly in local securities, which are held by 87 percent of affluent Hong Kongers; 71 percent of affluent Mainland Chinese; 70 percent of affluent Taiwanese and 60 percent of affluent Indians. More than half of affluent individuals in India (58%), Malaysia (56%), China (55%) and Taiwan (55%) also hold unit trusts.
Affluent individuals in Taiwan and Mainland Chinese are the biggest equity traders, with a 12-month average turnover in stocks of US$547,739 and US$371,885 respectively. Mainland Chinese are also Asia’s biggest unit trust investors, with the highest 12-month average unit trust turnover at US$30,141.
Mr Zeeman said, “Affluent individuals in other parts of Asia such as Mainland China and India may be more adventurous with investments because they tend to be younger accumulating wealth very quickly. Affluent individuals in Singapore tend to be more mature and focused on wealth preservation to provide for the needs of their family and retirement. However, at every life stage there are benefits to diversifying into equities to tap into the upside of the market. Affluent Singaporeans who have a relatively conservative investment appetite can do this through unit trusts, which are tailored and managed to suit their risk appetite.”
Profile of affluent Singaporeans
On the profile of affluent individuals across Asia, the survey found affluent Singaporeans to be older, with an average age of 44. Mainland China has the youngest affluent population with an average age of 36, followed by India with an average age of 38 and Indonesia with an average age of 39.
The majority of affluent Asians are married with kids, with the largest percentage in Taiwan (88%), followed by Malaysia (81%) and India (78%). 64% of affluent Singaporeans are married with kids. Hong Kong has the lowest proportion of affluent individuals who are married with kids (46%) and the highest percentage of affluent individuals with double income and no kids - 39% - which is more than double that of Singapore (18%).
Hong Kongers are also the most affluent in Asia with average liquid assets of over US$300,000 almost twice that of Singaporeans, which are second with an average of over US$180,000 in liquid assets.
The survey also found that Singapore has highest percentage of affluent individuals that use overseas banking services (21%). Hong Kong is second at 11%, followed by Taiwan and India both at 6%.
Commenting on this finding, Mr Zeeman said, “We can certainly vouch for the demand for global banking services amongst affluent Singaporeans, who are increasingly mobile and world-oriented. In 2009, HSBC Premier - our personalised banking platform that enables customers to access service and support around the world - recorded the largest increase in new customers across all our customer propositions in Singapore.”
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