SUMMARY OF ALL SP500 UPTRENDS AND CONSOLIDATIONS




THANKS TO YOU ALL-MY PAGEVIEWS SKYROCKETED IN JAN2012,ONE MONTH ALONE is EQUAL TO 6MONTHS OF

PAGEVIEWS!!A BIG THANK YOU

SINCE THIS THREAD "SUMMARY OF ALL SP500 UPTRENDS AND CONSOLIDATIONS" THREAD IS SO POPULAR,THE HIGHEST VIEWERSHIP,I PUT IT IN THE FRONT PAGE

SUMMARY OF ALL SP500 uptrends and consolidations

UPTRENDS-

1. Mostly 10weeks,although some may be 9,11,12.how to recognize?--uptrend "mysteriously" maintained by a diagonal uptrendline connecting the lows of that 10weeks uptrend

2. 1st and last(10th) week always end in surges of aorund 3-6%with the least 1st week gain was 2.7%.The humpy uptrend will "mysteriously" start and end with surges up.

3. If the (X-1)th 10+weeks end below a fibo of the 1576-666 range,THEN the next,Xth, 10+weeks will end AT THAT FIBO.

4. If the (X-1)th 10+weeks end ABOVE a fibo of the 1576-666 range,then the NEXT,Xth, 10+weeks will end AT THE NEXT HIGHER FIBO.

5. Every year's end, at the last trading day of the year,sp500 will end near a fibo of 1576-666 range.

6. Every 10+weeks uptrend will start AFTER a double testing of the diagonal uptrend line formed by the humps from july 13th week 2009.

7. The uptrend in the secular bear market,before breakout 1576, will be a "humpy" ride,whereby i forecast a total of 4 humps to test 1576.

8. After the sp500 breaks out of the 1576 resistance,the diagonal uptrendline will be much sharper than the uptrendline of the 4 humps.

9. The peaks of each hump will occur at AROUND 350-360 POINTS ABOVE THE CORRECTION TESTED FIBONACCI.

10. 2009 REPLICATE 2003,2010 REPLICATE 2004,2011 REPLICATE 2005,SO ON--I mean the closing values and their respective fibo,

CONSOLIDATIONS-CORRECTIONS AND RETRACEMENTS

1. Every correction will have one week of huge plunge about 100points in sp500

2. every Long/HUGE weekly plunge of around 5-8% in the sp500 will be met with a return to the start BEFORE the huge plunge(weekly open) of THAT LONG WEEKLY DOWN CANDLEBODY in 23 to 24 weeks

3. After the peak of each hump has been achieved,there will come a plunge BACK to the fibo of 1576-666 range.---------

eg. 1st hump ended at 1219,near 61.8%,then sp500 plunged back to retest the 38.2%,before the NEXT hump will be formed

eg. 2nd hump peaked at 1370,near the 78.6%,then sp500 plunged back to retest the 50%..so on..

1st correction went to the 38.2%,1013, lowest 1010 and built a base around 1065

-took 24 weeks to reach the open of the HUGE weekly plunge of 120points,week of MAY 3RD 2010

-dropped a total of 210points-2nd week from the top of the 4th 10+weeks uptrend pattern 1217,was the huge weekly plunge

-took 8weeks to hit the lowest point 1010

2nd correction went to 1074 lowest,BUT built a base around the 50% fibo,1120.

-took 23 weeks to reach the open pf the 2nd HUGE weekly plunge of 120points,week of August 1, 2011

-dropped a total of 270points from 1344 and 300points from the HEAD peak 1370

-the huge weekly drop also happened in the 2nd week from the 5th 10+weeks uptrend pattern close peak of 1344.,the LEFT SHOULDER OF THE head and shoulders

-took 9weeks to hit the lowest point 1074

THIS IS THE NEW AND IMPROVISED VERSION OF THE MOST POPULAR POST IN MY BLOG


LET US RECALL THE LIES OF MEDIA OR PEOPLE WHO DON'T KNOW HOW TO EXPLAIN

1)DATA GOOD,COMPANIES EARNINGS GOOD,INDEX DROP= "FACTORED IN" OR "LESSEN STIMULUS HOPES"

2)DATA BAD,COMPANIES EARNINGS BAD,INDEX RISE="INCREASED STIMULUS HOPES"

3)WHEN USA CRISIS CAME,FULL OF CDO SHIT PROBLEM,NO1 KNOWS THERE WILL BE A EUROPE CRISIS IN 2009.THEN CAME EUROPE CRISIS.

4)WHEN EUROPE CRISIS BECOME STALE NEWS,FOCUS SHIFT TO LIBYA GADDAFI TO "EXPLAIN" DROP IN USA MARKETS

5)THEN AFTER GADDAFI NEWS BECAME STALE,THEY SHIFT BACK TO EUROPE AND CHANGE TO "AUSTERITY" SHIT

6)THEN AFTER EURO AUSTERITY NEWS BECOME STALE,THEY SHIFT FOCUS BACK TO USA AND INTRODUCED "FISCAL CLIFF" SHIT JUST BECAUSE BERNANKE MENTIONED FISCAL CLIFF

I "LOVE" THEIR SHIT.EVERYTIME THE STORY BECOMES OLD AND STALE,SOMETHING NEW WILL POP OUT AND THE OLD ONE WILL NEVER BE MENTIONED AGAIN-SINK INTO OBLIVION!!

1ST CDO,LIBYA,AUSTERITY,NOW FISCAL CLIFF.NEXT FUCK YOU!!DID CDO SHIT RESURFACE AGAIN NOW?WHO REMEMBER GADDAFI,LIBYA PROBLEMS SUDDENLY SOLVED FOREVER??

GRANDMOTHER STORY SPINNERS FUCKERS.


19th October 2013
NEPTUNE ORIENT LINES ROBOTIC PATTERN
1) BASE
A-
WEEK oF 17 NOVEMBER 2008—0.93
Week of 9 March 2009—0.85
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
3+ MONTHS APART
BETWEEN 1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED +182% IN
1YEAR,1 MONTH, HIT NEAR 2.40 IN APRIL 2010
2) BASE
B-
Week of 22 August 2011—0.98
Week of 21 November 2011---0.995
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
3 MONTHS APART BETWEEN
1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED +53% IN 3
months.HIT 1.515 IN 20 FEBRUARY 2012 WEEK





3) BASE
C-
Week of 23 July 2012—1.05
Week of 19 November 2012---1.05
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
3+ MONTHS APART
BETWEEN 1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED +30% IN 1.5months.HIT
1.36 IN 7 January 2013 WEEK

4) NOW,IT
IS BASE D TIME
Week of 10 June 2013—1.025
Week of 26 August 2013---1.025
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
Near 3 MONTHS APART
BETWEEN 1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED ????% by
??????








N.O.L-NEPTUNE ORIENT LINES-N03.SI (WEEKLY CHARTS) YEAR 2006:6 NOVEMBER TO 1ST JAN2007: 1.77 TO 2.20 (+43c) YEAR 2008:17NOVEMBER TO 5JAN2009: 0.84 TO 1.175 (+33.5c) YEAR 2009:2NOVEMBER TO 11JAN2010: 1.51 TO 1.94 (+43c) YEAR 2010:22NOVEMBER TO 3JAN2011: 2.07 TO 2.40 (+33c) YEAR 2011:21NOVEMBER TO 30JAN2012: 0.995 TO 1.43 (+43.5c) YEAR 2012:19NOVEMBER TO 7JAN2013: 1.055 TO 1.36 (+30.5c)



Sunday, February 27, 2011

see how fucking useless is FUCKAMENTALS!fuckamentals should help reveal company health.IF it fails that,what use is fuckamentals?

downloaded from channelnewsasia forum

andy62 wrote:
Made me lost so much money *censored* company

One of the key things that a value investor look into is a company’s financial strength. Small time investor like us have not many ways to do that but to analyze the balance sheet, income statement and cash flow statement.

At Investment Moats some aspect of the balance sheet that I look at to ascertain financial health are:

1)Short Term and Long Term Debts – Efficient use. Less the better
2)Cash and Equivalent Holdings – Adequate. More the better
3)Short to Negative Cash Conversion Cycle

One unique characteristics about these S-Chips is that they keep a lot of cash. Some deploy their cash immediately but many just keep it to the tune of 30-50% of their market cap.

When I see this, I thought to myself: “This is a value buy!”

Sadly the case of China Milk and Oriental Century have taught us that those cash is only useful if they exist.

Sometimes I wonder what SGX is doing to clamp down on this. You have all these inferior companies using Singapore as the backdoor to list because Hong Kong is a harder place to list. After listing here they use it as a further backdoor to list in Hong Kong again!

Take a look at Oriental Century’s stats. It’s a textbook value stock. My friend bought it and got royally screwed.
Hongwei Tech and China Hongxing have cash holding discrepancy

This week we probably add 2 names to this group. One common trait: they are very cash rich as part of market cap.

Given these releases and the kind of disclosures, have your confidence in S-Chips been affected. 1 Oriental Century might be a one-off but now we have so many examples.

Hongwei Technologies reveals audit issues
06:50 AM Feb 27, 2011
SINGAPORE - Another S-chip has found irregularities in its Chinese accounts, the second in as many days.

In a filing with the Singapore Exchange on Saturday, polyester fibre maker Hongwei Technologies said its auditor Ernst and Young brought up "issues pertaining to the cash and bank balances confirmation" in its Chinese subsidiary Shuangli (Xiamen) Polyester Co Ltd.

The announcement comes a day after sports apparel maker China Hongxing Sports said it would be appointing an independent special auditor to investigate its affairs after uncovering irregularities in the accounts of subsidiary companies in China.

Hongwei Technologies has commenced a fact-finding process to address the auditors' concerns and appointed them to "carry out an expanded scope audit," it said in its filing. It said it would take necessary measures to safeguard the company's assets but did not elaborate.

Hongwei Technologies has also applied for the trading halt, effective since Thursday, to be converted into a suspension.

SW888 wrote:
gentingking,


i have lost more times in s chips than anyone else but i still belive in them..

i lost so much in s chips and i wanna make it back from them..

this kinda mindset makes me LOSE even more!!

i kana ferrochina, sino-env and now i kana hongxing!!..

i nearly kana chinamilk as i was playing contra the days before it was halted..

then 1st few weeks of the yr i nearly bot hongwei! becoz od the super low P/E!!

see what happened??

now i still got chinasky, sinotech, li heng, gaoxian, taisan, china energy

how to cut loss??

DAM IT!!!!!

For your quick review:

■China Aviation Oil – CEO kept making “double-down” bets on oil prices, wiping out $550 million (and its equity btw), which meant that you could buy the company for $1.

■China Sun Bio-Chem – In February, its auditors, PWC, told the board that they had discovered about 592 million yuan (S$125 million) missing from the company’s bank accounts.

■China Printing & Dyeing - The company’s unit Zhejiang Jianglong Textile Printing & Dyeing had about 1.2 bln yuan in unpaid loans from banks and 800 mln from private lenders. The company’s CEO and wife disappeared and were later arrested on suspicion of fraud and illegal fund raising.

■Oriental Century – the chairman of Oriental Century, a 29.9 per cent associate company of Raffles Education, confessed to the board that he had been falsifying financial performance as well as the company’s bank cash balances since its listing.

■FibreChem Tech - a high-profile S-chip with a ‘who’s who’ list of institutional shareholders, including Newsmith and JF Asset Management, reported “accounting irregularities”.

■Celestial NutriFoods - defaulted on convertible bonds worth $234.6 million.

■FerroChina – dropped a bombshell when it announced that it would default on loans and go bankrupt – just weeks after it announced strong quarterly earnings

■Guangzhao Industrial Forest Biotechnology – three independent directors walked out in March, complaining that they were unable to effectively discharge their duties. The stock had been suspended from trading since Sep 2008.

■Beauty China – founder and chairman Wong Hon Wai pledged his 39 per cent stake to secure credit facilities and later saw his stake cut to about 30 per cent in a series of forced sales. He also tried, but failed, to sell the remaining shares.

■Sino-Environment – chairman and chief executive Sun Jiangrong lost his entire 56% stake when his pledged shares were force-sold upon a loan default. His loss of control triggered an early redemption of $149 million in convertible bonds, which the group defaulted on.

below report downloaded from http://nextinsight.net/index.php/story-archive-mainmenu-60/36-2009/1080-confessions-of-a-s-chip-ceo-unabridged

CONFESSIONS of a S-Chip CEO (unabridged)


Written by S-chip CEO
Friday, 24 April 2009 23:09
A fascinating email circulated around yesterday purportedly from the CEO of a S-chip company that is in trouble. We reproduce it here in its entirety and form (and bad grammar in many places), making just one change. We bring up right away the two notes that the author wrote at the bottom of his near-9000 word email:

1. Not everything is true in this story that I have just presented in order to protect some friends that still remain friends. In particular, the story before 1995 was inserted in only to give you a perspective of the difficulties that most Chinese entrepreneurs went through, and how they eventually all came to resent the ease and ruthless manner in which people like Mr D made great fortunes leveraging off their hard work.

2. At the same time, I sincerely hope that the investigation report that was pending in the case of my company comes out being at least “fair” to me. Otherwise, the more “real truths” will follow in subsequent emails......... hahahaha, the power of internet........




S-chip CEO
We are victims as well!!! Let me tell you the story.

By the time you read this article, it would reached have hundreds of investors, bankers, regulators and journalists. My purpose was to shed some light on the “dark sides” of the business of S-Chips (Chinese companies listed on Singapore Stock Exchange), so as to help prevent more financial losses in the future hurting the ordinary people on the street. From this angle, I wish to redeem myself somewhat.........

It all started some 6-7 years ago. My colleagues and I were just a few of the million of entrepreneurs in China struggling to make ends meet at the textile fibre factory that we bought from the government. Some of our older colleagues had laboured for more than 20 years before having the chance to “privatise” the state-owned textile fibre factory in Fujian Province that we have worked for since the day we left school under the Premier Zhu’s “government retreat, private sector advance” scheme, literally at a song. We thought we were going to be very rich very soon. Little we knew that when the local governments of the various counties and villages decided to “retreat”, we end up with thousands of “privately-owned” textile fibre spinners that competed ever more aggressively. Despite ever rising revenue, margins were disappearing fast....... Sometime, we just wonder why we have worked so hard only to earn next to nothing. Perhaps, our only reward was meant to be “the master of our own destinies”...... But we never really gave up hope...... One day, we shall strike gold.......

1990, the year after the TianAnMen Incident, was really a very difficult year. Many of our clients, the textile manufacturers who were enjoying the initial euphoria of the burgeoning export demand, went belly-up within a short 2 years of economic contraction. However, we pulled through all the vanishing receivables and anguish cashflow-balancing exercises. By 1993, we were off for the biggest boom ride of our life-time. Our textile fibre business blossomed as China becomes the clothing factory of the world, benefiting not least from the one-off Renminbi devaluation that the Chinese government engineered in 1994. Those were the good old days, where sufficient numbers of our competitors were eliminated by the TianAnMen-induced recession, and the world began to look to China for every piece of garments stretching from the heads to toes. Money was easy......and we expanded our production capacity as quickly as we could, limited only by the fact that the state-owned banks were not really very keen to lend money to private enterprises like ours, and we just have to borrow from our villagers at some 15% interest rates!!! Nevertheless, we did good business and our leader, the general manager of the factory, could even afford a chaffer-driven Santana. In any case, he was too old to learn new trick, even as simple as driving itself. I was the rising star which had to bide my time, as I was the only person who speaks decent English. I was meant to be the tongue of the company in dealing with the external world. But I am getting impatient. For while the company was booking increasing profits, we never seems to have cash to be distributed as any excess cash generated from the business was never e! nough to cover the capital expenditure needed to expand the production . We just owned an ever-growing production business.

Unfortunately, good profit margins never last in China. Good demand quickly attracted new entrants into the business as the barrier of entry is relatively low. At the same time, some of the so called “obsolete capacities” came back from the grave and soon, we found ourselves struggling to churn our profit. It was like working for free again......lots of revenues but just no profit!!!


S-chip CEO
By the middle of 1990’s, we were doing great business selling to our customers in different areas of the coastal areas. In 1995, we suddenly found ourselves having to deal with fast rising cost pressure. However, the market was buoyant enough for us to raise our product prices to pass on the cost increase to our customers. Then, we realized that we must move ahead in term of technology and product offering. Like everyone else around us, we took advantage of the tax concession offered by the government to the so-called joint venture companies. We recycled our “cash” to Hong Kong, set up a “foreign company”, which in turn pumped back the cash to Fujian in the form of a joint venture entity, using the cash to purchase some second-hand German equipment to produce the chemical
fibre! s needed in all kinds of fabrics and artificial leathers.

However, luck did not really favour us, at least thus far. Soon, we were told that our economy was experiencing very high inflation rates and soon, the then Premier Zhu Rongji stepped a hard brake on the economy, cutting the bank credit to many state-owned enterprises which were producing
things that no consumers wanted. While as private enterprise we did not enjoy the benefit of bank credit, its sudden massive contraction hurt us as bad as the state-owned enterprises who received such reckless loans. We were entangled like the other enterprises in what we called the "triangular debt” problem, where everyone owes the next person money and there was just no money at the source for anyone to get paid.......!!!

The situation last for quite sometime as we lived from hands to mouths, sometimes having to send out local thugs to chase for receivable payments from cash-strapped clients. Then again, what else can we do? We had so much or our friends’ and relatives’ money with us investing in all these
machinery now that the only road for us is to struggle forwards......turning back would have made us the “outcast” of the village.......

By the time the rest of the Asian economies cracked in 1997 amidst the so called Asian Financial Crisis, we were already becoming numb to bad news. I remembered there were days that I wished I had not joined the textile industry, or any industry at all......for making money out of making
something is so darn difficult....... I thought I might have just wasted my youth.

Somehow, we managed to pull through as a group. The general manager of the factory, who is now getting seriously old, made his sacrifice along the way by selling his Santana in order to keep more mouths fed. We all had no where else to turn to but to continue pushing hard to sell our new
product, the chemical fibres. Finally, by year 2000, the economy began to recover. Our hard work and persistence were also beginning to get paid off handsomely as China had become the centre of all textile, shoe and furniture manufacturing in the world, and all these products required some
forms of chemical fibres. We were beginning to rake in cash beginning 2002!

Then my life-changing incident took place. One fine day in late 2002, I was introduced over the dinner table to one Singapore “Deal-maker” who was to become one of the richest men in his country in the next 5 years. Mr D was still a “relatively” poor deal-maker at that time. Just like many so called “deal-makers” running around China at that time, they hope to make small fees introducing companies to capital, or vice versa. Mr D claimed that he had successfully engineered a number of private equity
transactions in China, helping companies with so called “mezzanine” financing to prepare the companies to be listed in stock exchanges outside of China. He was fully aware of the psychology of Chinese entrepreneurs and their deep dissatisfaction with the bias of the Chinese government in allowing only state-owned enterprises to list on the local stock exchanges. To us, having a listing status in China is like having acquired the right to print money. One just has to cook up a nice
investment story and he could get Chinese investors to subscribe to the right issues of a listed company at any price. It was so much more an elegant way to make some money, rather than to have to toil for a few cents selling chemical fibres.......

Mr D went further to claim that he had taken some of the invested companies public in both Hong Kong and Singapore Stock Exchanges and given his investors had made some money, he always have a group of ready-investors willing to back all his “stock picks”. He went on to ask quite a number of detailed questions on the operating conditions of our companies over the dinner, jotted them down carefully on a small note book along the way. Later on, we adjourned up-stair the restaurant for a KTV
session. I must admit that I remembered clearly Mr D was a good Chinese song singer, having sung some hot-off-the-chart songs that I heard my niece hummed sometime shortly before the incident. His smooth handling of the KTV girls, which he asked for two concurrently, also showed that he
had been around.........

The next time I met Mr D was three months later, quite unexpectedly as I had thought he could have decided to give our company a miss given our relative small size. He requested for a factory visit which, after having consulted our old general manager, I accompanied throughout. As usual, no
serious business until after dinner and getting slight tipsy after a few drinks forced down by the KTV girls in the evening. I must admit that Mr D is a seasoned operator. He was quick to recognise that I was an impatient young man to take over the operation from my older colleagues. Throughout
the entire evening, he was trying to convince me to move the gear one notch faster to accept some private investors into the company, beyond which he was confident to help us to get the company listed in one of the foreign stock exchanges, where everyone will be able to cash out their profit if they so ! chose. I pretended to be sceptical while deep in my heart, I need no convincing as I have known many Fujian entrepreneurs shot to fame and riches, 2 of them by turning large tracts of collective land into vegetable farms and the other bending float glasses he bought from state-owned factories into auto wind-screens and sell them to car manufacturers. I never doubted that one can make a lot of money from car wind-screen, but I could have never imagined striking it rich planting vegetable.......!!!


S-chip CEO
Mr D and myself both agreed later that we need to convince the other older colleagues of mine to approve such a scheme, and over time, move them aside to allow someone young and dynamic person like myself to be the face of the firm to cater to the likings of the investors, who were mostly
English speaking. In the meantime, my task was to convince the existing shareholders to allow a group of Mr D’s friends into the shareholding first, while paying Mr D a “structuring and introduction” fee along the way. The easy part was, as Mr D coached me on how to present to the rest of the shareholders, his fees will not be in “cash” but rather in equivalent value of “shares”. He said that was to assure everyone that he could only make money should he be able to engineer an eventual listing of the company on a stock exchange, after another year of lock-up period for promoter shares aft! er listing. All interests would be aligned, as he put it.

Mr D was indeed an experienced operator. He had anticipated all the concerns of the “older” colleagues of mine, who feared that this was another one of those “leather-bag-company” deal-makers that was trying to make money out of no commitment. So he got through the first “hurdle of trust” after my carefully orchestrated presentation to the “board” of the company. However, there was still one important issue we could not resolve amongst the board members. The finance manager correctly pointed out that the company indeed, did not need substantial amount of cash at this moment as we were not expanding aggressively anymore. The market place for our products was relatively stable right now with demand and supply growing organically. We will not be able to drive higher sales without sacrificing our margins by cutting prices. In short, we can only grow organically at around 10% ! per annum, which was probably not the most exciting story for the investors. In fact, the board members did not see the need for new capital. However, the idea of getting listed did appeal to them. They too had many friend who had become “paper millionaire” after the companies got listed. They too were looking for the big-pay-off day. So I was tasked to come up with a solution. In other words, there was a “green-light”! I did not expect my luck!

Almost immediately after the board meeting, I called Mr D to tell him the outcome, as well as the issues raised. Again, I thought he must have expected the outcomes. As he explained calmly over the phone, the first round investors (which he called angels) will not put in a lot of money so that they would not dilute the existing shareholders very much. These angels are the “connected persons” that will come in with their own money (through Mr D’s personal vehicle) that will help cement the way for some of the well known direct-investment funds to step in at a slightly later stage, which would provide the company with the credibility, other than funding, to convince the stock exchanges to allow the company’s listing, and the subsequent active participation of other institutional investors
during the IPO. Mr D went on to explain that the process of getting a Chinese company listed was in fact, an art. There were not many people like him that could have the trust of many influential people to conceal their names behind his vehicle to invest in a company, not unless they have been working on other cases together before and having developed deep working relationship. These angels will see the company through the process from getting “restructured” to “listed”, rendering their helps in
one way or another through exerting subtle influences on counter-parties, bankers, regulators and other investors. Mr D’s vehicle will participate in the shareholding of the company first, where they will invest up to 5% at book value. In other words, they demand for very cheap entry. Mr D will only take his fees later after having brought in the money from direct investment funds, in larger quantum, in the form of shares of the company at book value before the entry of new capital. He wanted 2% worth of the amount of money he would bring in from the funds in such ! shares. Subsequently, he went on to explain that this was the modus operandi these days as he could introduce us to the senior executives of the companies who had done business with him for further due diligence on his
reputation. In particular, he emphasized that my colleagues should not be worried at all given the fact that it was going to be his and his friends’ money that will be in their hands, rather than the other way round. My older colleagues did find some solace in this argument later on.

As for the use of money, Mr D simply pointed out that we will have 6 month to a year to come up with a new plan on spending the proceed of investment, in the form of new technology and new products. “Aren’t you guys always looking for money to upgrade production machinery to produce new stuff for the market? It the same bunch of the customers anyway......”, so he quipped.

So the decision process took a few months, where in between, Mr D sent in some accountants and lawyer to conduct some checks on our operation and accounts. We had nothing to hide then as we had no reason to fake anything. Everything was ours.......then. Subsequently, the “angels” came
in, followed by, indeed, a number of reputable direct investment funds a few months down the line. We got a whopping US$20mn to put up a new plant to produce a new type of artificial fibre, the machinery of which was to be imported from Germany. The new product was in fact, attractive to a lot
of customers. However, none of them were going to buy a lot of it at the beginning as they were not sure their customers were going to like the new types of yarns made of this new fibres. Business was not as brisk as Mr D had hoped for.......

On the other hands, Mr D seemed quite keen that we could move forward in our listing process. He began to educate us the process and requirement of the stock exchanges for listing. We paid visit to Hong Kong and Singapore, talking to bankers and exchange officials, attending seminars, as organised by Mr D. We were all psyched up to be a rich millionaire once the company is listed. However, there was just this little problem.....our new products were not accepted by the market as fast as we had wished for. Most of our customers operate under very tight cash flow situation. They
only have working capital to provide for the acquisition of raw materials to produce the yarns ordered by their customers. No one was going to spend a lot of money buying our new fibres, produce large quantity of products to purvey them in trade shows, despite they all fed back with good comment
on the potential of the new fibres.

Very quickly, Mr D came up with an idea. In order to boost our sales numbers fast, he will raise another US$20mn of money from all the direct investment funds in the name of working capital need. As he explained, they often did the same tricks with those companies they listed before. They will raise new capital to produce the new products to sell to customers, encouraging them to help push the new products by offering them more favourable and longer payment terms. With the increased sales and profitability number, he could get the company to list very quickly to get more money to help push for more sales....... He claimed he had done it many times before and it had always worked out. The economy was recovering quickly in 2003, nothing was to going to go terribly wrong. When I asked whether that would be considered “artificially inflating sales number”, he laughed and quipped, � 皐ith the capital markets on your side, you can engineer self-fulfilling prophesies!”

Of course, this article cannot be complete, at this juncture, without citing Mr D’s favourite quotable quote. “Water enough money into any company, even a fake one could become real some day.” He believed so much in this that I thought one day, this could cause his downfall.

So we went ahead, sold the new shares at higher valuation to another bunch of investors Mr D arranged. He took another round of commission in the form of shares. We were beginning to admire Mr D. Money flows through his hands like water and he did it so effortlessly. We were no less impressed by his connection to some of the richest and most influential people, particularly in Singapore. You see, he was viewed as a successful Singapore entrepreneur made good in the vast land of the North. Through diligence and perseverance, he carved a niche for himself identifying
promising Chinese companies to groom for listing on the Singapore Stock Exchange which was losing out in race to Hong Kong Stock Exchange as the Chinese! state-owned enterprises were encouraged to list in Hong Kong. Mr D was their hero, directing promising private Chinese enterprises to list in Singapore and along the way, enriching many “angels” and local investment banks in Singapore.

I chanced upon many of these angels as well. There were occasions Mr D would have called me to help arrange for some transport and accommodation in Xiamen for groups for “secret” visitors. They are usually small groups of 4-8 people. I would generally put them in comfortable Buick mini vans,
receiving them from the airports, ferrying them to golf courses, restaurants and night clubs. They would usually visit one of two factories invested by Mr D. From my impression, these were the angels behind Mr D, which for obvious reasons, he had to please. There were bankers, lawyers, other deal makers, stock brokers, fund managers and people that do not have a job, simply because they were so rich already. Occasionally, there were ex-CEOs or Chairmen of large government controlled enterprises in Singapore. Once, I even met a supposedly ex-member of parliament in Singapore. It was obvious to me that Mr D entertained them in separate groups at separate times, taking pains in ensuring that some of them were not aware of the involvement of the others, for some reasons. I was always invited to all these golf and night entertainment events for a simple reason: I speak English and Mr D wanted to be seen as having someone like me to watch over his investment in this part of the world and helped him to tap into different kinds of local relationship. The other Chinese entrepreneurs may not be comfortable in dealing with the whole bunch of English speaking Singaporeans.

One common trait of all these trips was that all these guys from Singapore seemed to love the night clubs in China. The daily programme always ended in some night clubs, where these guys would party till the wee hours, every night they were there. Mr D would sometime, when he was half drunk,
tell me that he had again “nailed” some key relationship and one of the travellers in the group would soon be in his “Club”. He would whispered that someone in the group was the senior partner of an investment fund, or someone in another group was connected to the so-and-so in Singapore, or
someone was closely associated with the chiefs of some Singapore banks, or someone had “influence” over the listing approval process ! of the stock exchange, and some would just be some new investors that he was trying to woo to invest in his pre-IPO projects or the shares in the companies that he sponsored the IPOs. When I asked why they were all so tireless in their nocturnal activities, Mr D laughed, “This is what I call pent-up demand. You know these people cannot even come 100-meter close to any KTV in Singapore because of their social status. The opening up of China is probably the best thing that happened to all these Singaporean men, for they can at least release their “valves” once in a while........ Do you know how boring Singapore is? I have a permanent KTV room booked up in one of most posh KTV in Singapore, costing me half a million Dollar at the
minimum every year. Guess what, the only important guests I have using that rooms are from China!”

Watching Mr D in action, I finally understood the true meaning of “club”. He had managed to combine the “social club of friends” and KTV clubs so well that I thought every successful Chinese businessman should learn. And in so many ways, the “club” in Singapore is really not that different from the “club” in China........

So finally, we got our act together to attempt a listing towards the end of 2003, after much of the financial twisting and engineering to make our company look like a well-funded high-tech textile fibre company on the verge of experiencing explosive sales take-off. In truth, we produced a lot of the new fibre products and literally give them to our customer to produce new fabric for marketing purposes, with the promise that we will not collect money until their products are sold. Nevertheless, we book
these as receivables. To the dismay of Mr D, my older colleagues had insisted on listing the company on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, rather than the Singapore one, where Mr D has greater control on the process. They felt that the company would probably be accorded higher valuation in Hong Kong. Besides, they were not comfortable with Mr D’s influence in Singapore fearing the ultimate loss of the control of their company. Mr D went along grudgingly, helping to smooth the way to facilitate the IPO.

We got a small investment bank to underwrite the IPO. The big ones were really not interested in this small piece of business. We went on to file the application to list to Hong Kong Stock Exchange, who was equally high-handed as Hong Kong was flushed with quality large size state-owned enterprises queuing up to list there. Being relatively uninterested in small size listing and more experienced in evaluating the quality of smaller Chinese private enterprises, they were quick to notice the sudden expansion of account receivables on our accounting statements. They followed up with a number of questions with the clear purpose of delaying our listing, probably to see how these receivables will behave given longer period of time. In short, there would be no quick IPO for us.

Mr D was quick to use this delay to his advantage. He hinted to everyone on the company board was that one of the reason for the stock exchange delay was due to the lack of a convincing younger manager helming the company, and that our senior colleague was already too old to project a
“dynamic” image to the Exchange and the investors subsequently. He wanted me to be promoted to the CEO position while our existing GM to become the Chairman of the board. With his insistence, my appointment was pushed through the board, which made one of my older colleagues very angry as he was supposed to be the next-in-line in seniority. But heck, he should have spent some time learning English!

Mr D, being truly worried about the age of the receivables on our book that would become increasingly dubious as days go by, pushed us to shoot for a Singapore listing where he feel, with his broad relationship will help a smooth IPO. This time round, my older colleagues obliged grudgingly. So we quickly filed an application to list in Singapore. It proceeded relatively smoothly and we went through an initial hearing very quickly. The market was in relatively stable conditions and we felt we could get the IPO proceeds quickly at the turn of the year. With lot of money, like Mr D’s famous words, a fake company can become real....... To be fair, ours was not really a fake company. We were just doing what the Chinese proverb describes: Accelerating the growth of the seedling by pulling it up a littl! e everyday......

To our surprise, we got a letter very soon from the stock exchange questioning us the reason for the failure to disclose to them we had applied to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange earlier. They asked whether we had been rejected previously and on what ground we had been rejected. Just as
we wonder how they found out so quickly since one could safely assume due to competitive relationship, these exchanges should not be talking to each other on micro matters like this, Mr D came storming in over-night. “Someone wrote a poison letter to the stock exchange”, so he explained. “Someone who knows the situation very well and who is not very happy with the whole thing”, he concluded. We were fortunate, he went on to exclaim, as he felt that given the Hong Kong Stock Exchange never really rejected our application, he could still salvage the situation using his relationship and influence.

While there was no hard evidence, we nevertheless took the precaution of asking for the early retirement of the senior colleague who was passed over for the post of CEO as we suspected him to be the whistle-blower. We made sure he was well compensated in monetary terms as we thought that would sooth his anger, with promises to allocate more of the shares to him so that he would share our desire to see a successful IPO. Then we went on to reply to the stock exchange is claiming the fact that we were previously rejected, citing our need to access capital markets fast as ours business was expanding rapidly. Hong Kong was just going to be too long a wait for us. On the other hand, Mr D worked his network and “club of friends” to sooth the nerves of the exchange officials, who were working hard to promote Singapore as the “second board for China” as the launch of “second board of China in Shenzhen” hit a snag when the National Peoples’ Congress decided that the Chinese investment public was still too unsophisticated to handle investing in non-State-controlled enterprises that even the Chinese government may not be able to police effectively.

So after 3 month, we were informed that we manage to secure the final hearing. Mr D and some young lawyers and accountants spent a few days preparing me to handle the questions “correctly”. I saw the signs of satisfaction on the faces of the officials during the hearing. One of them even went on to comment on the fluency of my English...... Mr D was right again. My Chairman could have fumbled and rumbled on just like any other Chinese CEO during such occasions. They were just the hardworking mulls that built the foundation of the Chinese’s manufacturing might. I belong to the generation that would take the company to soar higher as we understand and speak the language of high-finance, in English!

The battle to IPO was hard won. We got listed in 2004 and to our pleasant surprise, some of our customers came back to pay down the receivables and asked for more of our new chemical fibres. By now, China has become the “factory of the World” that churned out all kinds of consumer and industrial products so cheaply that the Americans and the Europeans were so addicted to. The stock markets and physical property markets in the world were becoming buoyant and everyone was beginning to feel wealthy and began to spend more. Our new fibre products found more commercial uses and we bought more machines using the IPO proceeds to produce more products to cater to the booming demand. Again Mr D was right. Pour more cash into the business and you will get a real company.........just like the pig-farmers listed on the stock exchange.......as he put it.

Sensing potential to make a lot of money out of the good performance of the company and the buoyant market conditions, Mr D descended into town one day and asked me out for a dinner. As usual, we headed to his favourite KTV after dinner. After a few drinks, he leaned over and whispered to me, “Hey, this is your chance to grow really big very fast. The IPO proceed was not enough to fund your growth. Now that we are listed, we can place more shares out to raise more money to accelerate the business expansion to capture more customers before the competitors in China could replicate our capabilities, which always happen in every industry and business in China.” I was reluctant to agree to help sell the idea to my older colleagues as their shares were still in lock-up period and I imagined they would hate to see any dilution of their interests further at this juncture. Mr D went on, “I really needed your help as I need to get the shares placed out to some of those who helped us through the difficult times just not too long ago. We need to let them make some money as we are entering a bull market soon. In any case, the issuance of more new shares will give us more power to cement your position as the number one man in your company as we all support you rather than your older colleagues.”

As usual, we kind of half forced the issue through the board with my older colleagues grudgingly approved some kind of convertible issue to assuage their fear that the new institutional investor would not be able to sell before they were allowed to. In Mr D’s effort to consolidate his hold of the board further, a new director from the institutional investor group was appointed to the board. I had known him earlier as one of those that visited our plant before the IPO, when Mr D was just beginning to restructure the company shareholding where this new director was once introduced to me as an “angel” investor. Apparently, they were good friends that “make money together”.

By 2005, the Chinese economy had entered into another “boom era” and our business was literally flying, just like any other businesses in China. Profit margins were good while sales expanded quickly, and our share prices rose more than 3 to 4 times from the IPO price. Many of older
colleagues sold their shares and retired happily into the sunset in 2006, only to regret to see the shares they sold almost doubled again in 2007. Being the new helmsman, I could not easily sell my shares as it would have been construed as management not having confidence in the business.


S-chip CEO
By then, Mr D had become one of the richest men in Singapore. Leveraging on his experience and the capital he accumulated from earlier successful IPOs he conducted, where in some case he made more than 50 times his capital, he exploited his new reputation as the “preferred deal-maker in
Singapore” to the maximum. His “club” became increasingly larger as many people with money and “influence” joined the “club” to participate in this unprecedented “Chinese feast”. He doled out hot IPO share allocation through investment banks to repay old favour and to cultivate new relationship. Success begets success and money begets money. It all seemed so easy and so natural. Everyone got what they wanted. The Chinese companies got their money to expand their business (which at a later stage, no one is really sure which company really had any business to start with), the entrepreneurs were handsomely rewarded for the risks they undertook, the deal makers got their fees, the angels made their killings, the bankers collected their fees and dished out new loans, the lawyers and accountants recruited more young graduates to cope with the record work volume, the stock exchange got their “new mandate as the second board of the Chinese companies”, the investors got their hot-and-sizzling China concept stocks and above all, the rich and the influential members of the “invisible clubs” were all happily enriching their own pockets......

The reason why Mr D was successful, I realised, was that he always try to help the people who helped him in one way or another to become richer. Despite the fact that I could not sell my shares, I got the help of one of his banker friends to obtain some financing by securing my stake in the company to join in the biggest “Chinese feast in Singapore”. Just like all the Chinese entrepreneurs Mr D helped, I became one of his “angel investors”, taking stakes in promising new companies through his vehicles, got allocated hot IPO shares and reaped substantial gains within short span of time. I too, was becoming not only asset, but also cash rich. I took advantage of the Singapore immigration rule and got myself a permanent resident by purchasing a property in Singapore. I wanted my son to study in the English school in Singapore and grow up as part of the establishment there. In any case, I would be able to help him join the “club” and he will be taken care of the rest of his life. As for Mr D, he was purchasing properties in the form of “tracts of land” as he moved to diversify his assets from stock holdings to land holdings, with a sight to become a serious property developer. The Singapore property market was getting sizzling hot by the middle of 2007 and it seemed nothing could go wrong, particularly when 2 casinos were being constructed in an otherwise very conservative society.

For myself, Mr D was going to be my role model. I went on to fund entrepreneurs and Chinese companies directly, hoping one day to bring these companies to someone like Mr D, and make more than the Singaporean deal-maker, at least equal........ Oh, I forgot to mention that the Chinese local stock market went through the roof as well. To take advantage of this, I needed no advice from Mr D. My friends in the local banks helped me secure the capital easily just like what they did for thousands of state-owned enterprise officials. They took the company’s cash as “invisible lien” to lend money to the managers of these companies to punt in the stock markets. The profits of such stock market speculation go directly into the pocket of the managers. However, only in hindsight after the stock market collapse at the end of 2007 that it became obvious a lot of Chinese companies’ cash in the bank vanished into thin-air alongside the stock market bubbles.

Our worlds began to unravel at the end of the third quarter of 2007. By then, the Sub-prime Crisis, as we knew it now, had hit the U.S. economy. We were still busy feasting in the spoilt of the capital market excesses, unaware of the impacts of such a crisis that originated from the housing
bubbles in a country so far away. We were blind-sighted by the ease of making money from stock markets and at the peak of the markets in the middle of 2007, we all felt like the “masters of the universe”.

The first sign of trouble amongst the Singapore listed Chinese companies appeared when the share price of a Chinese steel company got sold off aggressively. In good times amidst a vibrant economy, this company presented to the investing community a story of their ability to turn in good profit margins by buying hot-rolled steel coils, coating them in zinc and sell them to car and consumer durable makers. One analyst, whom everyone ignored when the stock prices were rocketing, did question its business model as firstly, such production method is highly inefficient as most modern steel mills produce zinc-coated plates in one continuous process, and secondly, the investing world also knew that the prices of hot-rolled coils became excessively expensive as there was a preponderance of such downstream ! processing plants who got squeezed by the few integrated steel giants who have the capability to smelt iron-ore. Then there was the rumour of the company being privatised by a foreign steel giant seeking easy entry into the China market and its stock prices shot up before the trading of this steel company was suspended one day. Rumour had it that it had been reporting fake profits, an official report of which the investing community is still awaiting after a few months. It was so obvious an insider job to cash out their position to the retail investors and apparently, the company management was not contactable anymore!

By the second half of 2008, I believed many Chinese company CEOs were having tough times struggling to keep their business afloat amidst the most serious and swift crisis in memory as the credit situations around the world got frozen up. Worst, many of us were facing more serious issues
in our personal finances. All our investments in stock and property markets were plunging in values amidst the so-called sub-prime crisis. Worse, we could not sell our stocks and properties as the transaction volume of these investments just vanished quickly together with the confidence of the investors globally. While we busy feasted in the spoilt of the capital market excesses over the last 2 years, we did not realise that we were piling on quite a fair bit of leverages as we secured our
investments for more bank loans to attempt to reap more profits, when it all seemed so easy. We never thought! we could have any problem of repaying any of our borrowing as we were sitting on a lot of gains on our investment holdings.

There was only one easy way out for all the Chinese company CEOs and that was to dip into the honey jugs. We all understood the importance of having our closest allies to be the finance managers of our companies so that any small “problems” could always be ironed out. In this case, I just “borrowed” some cash from the company accounts to fill some of the “margin calls” from the banks outside of China, which financed my “investments” in the stocks listed on Singapore Stock Exchange, as these foreign banks were ruthless in coming to seize the underlying security when the “margin calls” were not met. In some cases, I just pledged more of my personal assets to the foreign banks. I was becoming very stressed by all these happening and was not sleeping well.

Mr D was not having a good time either. He too was suffering from exactly the same problems as we were just emulating his investment styles and leveraging activities. I heard of incidents where he turned to some of other more cash-rich companies that he invested in to “borrow” some cash
to bridge through some “margin calls”. He sold down quite a fair bit of his investment holdings to some “friendly hands” in a series of stock placements. At this moment, the goodwill and friendship he built over the years came to his rescue in these moments of “illiquidity” as the market transaction volume just dried up almost completely. However, the market prices of the stock holdings we used to secure our financing continued to drop by the days. Some of our friends and fellow “angels” were selling their holdings........and may just be in the same kinds of troubles as well. No one trusted each others at moments like these. Those that were selling their investments would not pre-warn their “fellow investors” as everyone would rush to sell at the same time! It was a time where everyone
was for himself!

My anguish did not escape the attention of the “director” on our board that Mr D posted in earlier. He flew over one day and was visibly concerned about the situation of my finances and of course, more
importantly, that of the company. He sensed troubles as he knew that I too, had quite a fair bit of personal investments that were vanishing into the thin air in values. By now, at the end of 2008, I was becoming desperate. Our company was going into the “audit season” and obviously, there was a large cash deficit that we would not be able to explain to the auditor. In the past, we could have just “arranged” for some cash to be credited into the bank account for a brief period to satisfy the auditors’ check. However, there was no such “temporary cash” to be found at any price as the sub-prime crisis had now developed into a full blown credit-crisis around the world. China was not spared in the process. With no where to turn to and the audit dateline closing in, I took the risks to “brief” the director of the true situation and asked for his help. I was surprised that he was not shocked by my confession. He had probably guessed it!

In any case, the director asked me to remain calm while he would consult Mr D to seek some kinds of new financing to help bridge this difficult period. He asked that everything remained confidential as the last thing we wanted the world to know was the “missing cash” in the company accounts. H told me that quite a number of the S-chip CEOs were on the same boat and some of the “funds” that used to backed their IPOs have been able to extend some credit directly to them ease the pressure from the foreign banks, secured by again, stock holdings of the CEOs. Little did he know that my assets had almost been entirely secured by all kinds of creditors already!

Then the irreparable damage struck. I had borrowed some money from the local Chinese banks to punt in the local stock markets. The arrangement was such that I had to return such cash to the Chinese banks at the end of the year because they too, were subjected to annual audit. I had carefully maintained sufficient cash in our company accounts, which served as the “collateral to the conscience” of my friends in the Chinese banks. As I began to use them to fund the “margin calls” of the foreign banks and the amounts got further depleted by operation losses of the company amidst the worst economic crisis the world was now facing, my “friends” in the local Chinese banks were not going to take a chance on their own fate. They were definitely not “friends in need”. They simply deduct the amount I owed personally from our company accounts two days before their auditors came in, which was of course, a few days before our company auditors came in. The rest was history...................

The auditor, which was an international firm, was not going to take a chance with their reputation. They formally informed our board of directors in early 2009. In other words, they were warning the board that the financial statements they were going to publish would be “disastrous” and could cause a serious enquiry by the regulators. I think some insiders proceeded to sell some of their shares before any official announcements were made but most of us were warned not to do anything with our holdings as that would be considered “insider trading”. Of course, all my older colleagues and company directors hated me as a consequence. I was asked to absent myself from all their meetings as they attempted to come up with a solution before the mandated result announcement date stipulated by the Stock Exchange.

I was very scared. I had no one to turn to as even Mr D had stopped answering my phone calls. Everyone was trying to distance himself from me and it became obvious that I was going to be the “scapegoat”. To protect myself, I seek the advice of some lawyers in China who in turn, consulted
their friends in Singapore. To my relief, I was advised that should I be found guilty in the Singapore courts for misappropriating company assets, there was no established bilateral treaty as yet for Singapore court to extradite me from China. The China Securities Regulatory Commission, the securities regulator in China, had never once recognised their responsibility to regulate the S-chip companies listed in Singapore. In fact, the Hong Kong Stock Exchange had faced similar issues for decades in their attempt to regulate the P-chips, which were Chinese private enterprises listed on Hong Kong Stock Exchange, to no avail. In other words, as long as I refrained from stepping my feet on Singapore soil, nothing could be done to me. In any case, I thought given the hatred I faced from all my older colleagues and friends in the hometown, I should be taking some long overdue holidays. I relocate my family to a Chinese seaside town. Although I was now an ordinary citizen, I was glad that my wife kept quite a far bit of the money I gave her along the way and that should be enough to last us a life time, at least in China.

Through internet, I came to know that the company finally disclosed the incident to the Stock Exchange and the stock was suspended. They appointed an investigator but I was no where to be found. So it would be interesting on how the story could turn out post the investigation report. In fact, a number of S-chips suffered from the same problems and were suspended from trading soon after us. Inevitably, there were cases of over-stated revenues, fathom receivables, missing cash, over-leveraged financial positions of the founding entrepreneur who mortgaged away their own stocks, as well as outright manipulation of stock prices. In many cases, I suspected the irregularities had begun right from the very beginning, before the companies were even listed. Many were not real companies at the first place. My friends in the know told me that a few more had been discovered as suffering from “missing cash” and jokingly commented that the Exchange had to arrange for a smooth sequence of announcements just like the way they schedule result announcements of listed companies.


CEO of a S-chip company
With all these irregularities exposed and more promised to appear, the stock prices of all S-chips have literally collapsed. All my friends and their “club members” must have suffered tremendous losses. Some dealmakers and their syndicate members apparently were facing margin calls on daily basis and some even declared themselves bankrupt. It must have been a very trying period for everyone. However, I did not seem to have much sympathy to all these people. I witnessed how some of them became filthily rich in a short span of time without having to work hard, while other enjoyed a
good ride in fortune just because they (or their friends or relatives) were in position of influence. I was the only one that would be made a “scapegoat” and had to live a life of “exile”, while these guys could
still just lick their wounds secretively and continued on with their life. I do not sympathize those institutional investors who lost their money as if they did, they were simply either incompetent or someone had benefited personally along the way in having committed their funds’ money in such investments. Curiously, I wonder who will speak on behalf of all the many ordinary people in Singapore who came to believe the investment potential of these S-chip companies after all the beautiful “packaging” the dealmakers and entrepreneurs wrapped around them, and went on to invest their life savings in the S-chips, only to find out one day that all these were worthless!

So when dust finally settles one day, we shall all look back and evaluate what had gone wrong and who are to be blamed. I am sure all fingers will be pointing at the Chinese entrepreneurs such as myself, who are usually labelled as “greedy and unscrupulous”. There is a ring of truth to that
accusation and I admit I am guilty. But how about those dealmakers, who taught us how to cook the books? How about those angels, who hid their identities behind some dealmakers and exerted influences to assist them to succeed in their schemes? How about those institutional investors who
trifled with the money entrusted to them? How about those intermediaries and professionals who were not vigilant enough to protect the interest of the investing public?


I would like to end with a comparison. The Ming Dynasty collapsed only after the General (Wu San Gui) they sent to defend the border against the Manchurians opened the gate voluntarily to allow the Manchurian’s army to come into the Great Wall. General Wu did that probably out of a promise to
be made a king later on and be endowed tremendous amount of riches by the Manchurians. Of course, the historians would like to add that he also needed the help of the Manchurians to defeat another general that had taken his favourite concubine. In short, the thieves and robbers are only
usually allowed in by the insiders..........

If you have read the story till this part, I am sure you are either a victim or someone who is deeply interested in the development of the S-chips going forward. Please help to forward this email to any many such interested parties as possible. We need to put an end to all these irregularities lest more ordinary people on the street suffer unnecessary losses.

In the process, you will help me to partially clear my name...... For I am not the only one to be blamed.................

TECHNICALS ALTHOUGH CANT TELL YOU COMPANY FINANCIAL HEALTH BUT FROM THE DUMPING/selling SEVERITY,YOU COULD HAVE GOTTEN OUT Beforehand!!!!FUNDAMENTALS EVEN CANT REVEAL 100% about company health AS FUNDAMENTALS CAN EVEN BE COVERED UP!!!!!!

8YEARS IN THE MARKET AND I HAVE NEVER BEEN HIT BY A SUSPENDED COMPANY!!because I DISTRUST SG mkt S-chips!BECAUSE I NEVER TRUST FUCKAmentals

BELOW FROM http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/S-Chips_Scandals

Partial List of S-Chips Scandals
This list includes name of company, stock symbol, and place of incorporation.
Fibrechem Technologies Limited (SGX: F12) (Bermuda)
FerroChina Ltd. (SGX: F33) (Bermuda)
China Printing & Dyeing Holding Limited (SGX: M67) (Singapore)
Zhongguo Jilong Limited (SGX: Z03)
Zhonghui Holdings Ltd. (SGX: Z04) (Singapore)
Sino-Environment Technology Group Ltd. (SGX: Y62) (Singapore)
China Hongxing Sports Limited (SGX: BR9) (Bermuda)
China Zaino International Ltd. (SGX: FP1) (Bermuda)
Oriental Century (SGX: 5II) (Singapore)
China EnerSave (SGX: 531) (Singapore)
China Sun Bio-Chem (SGX: C86) (Cayman Islands)
China Aviation Oil (SGX: C47) (Singapore)
China Sports International Limited (SGX: FQ8) (Bermuda)
China Fibretech Ltd. (SGX: F6D) (Bermuda)
China XLX (SGX: B9R) (Singapore)
Sino Techfibre (SGX: AD8) (Bermuda)

BELOW from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/P_chip

Partial List of Suspended or Delisted P-ChipsThis list includes name of company, stock symbol, and place of incorporation. The Hong Kong Exchange might have reassigned to other companies the stock symbols in this list.
Asia Aluminum (SEHK: 930) (Bermuda)
Bep International (SEHK: 2326) (Bermuda)
Fu Ji Food and Catering (SEHK: 1175) (Cayman Islands)
Peace Mark (SEHK: 304) (Bermuda)
Smart Union (SEHK: 2700) (Cayman Islands)
Tack Fat (SEHK: 928) (Cayman Islands)
U-right International (SEHK: 627) (Bermuda)
A - S China Plumbing Products Ltd. (SEHK: 8262) (Cayman Islands)
ABC Communications (Holdings) Ltd. (SEHK: 30) (Bermuda)
Automated Systems Holdings Ltd. (SEHK: 771) (Bermuda)
China Information Technology Development Ltd. (SEHK: 8178) (Cayman Islands)
China Jin Hui Mining Corporation Ltd. (SEHK: 462) (Cayman Islands)
China Medical and Bio Science Ltd. (SEHK: 8120) (Cayman Islands)
China Nickel Resources Holdings Co. Ltd. (SEHK: 2889) (Cayman Islands)
China Packaging Group Co. Ltd. (SEHK: 572) (Cayman Islands)
China Post E-Commerce (Holdings) Ltd. (SEHK: 8041) (Cayman Islands)
China Star Film Group Ltd. (SEHK: 8172) (Bermuda)
China Trends Holdings Ltd. (SEHK: 8171) (Cayman Islands)
CIL Holdings Ltd. (SEHK: 479) (Bermuda)
Climax International Co. Ltd. (SEHK: 439) (Bermuda)
EganaGoldpfeil (Holdings) Ltd. (SEHK: 48) (Cayman Islands)
Extrawell Pharmaceutical Holdings Ltd. (SEHK: 858) (Bermuda)
Grand Field Group Holdings Ltd. (SEHK: 115) (Bermuda)
Hong Kong Resources Holdings Co. Ltd. (SEHK: 2882) (Bermuda)
Info Communication Holdings Ltd. (SEHK: 8082) (Cayman Islands)
Jackin International Holdings Ltd. (SEHK: 630) (Bermuda)
Kith Holdings Ltd. (SEHK: 1201) (Bermuda)
M Dream Inworld Ltd. (SEHK: 8100) (Cayman Islands)
Mitsumaru East Kit (Holdings) Ltd. (SEHK: 2358) (Cayman Islands)
Nam Fong International Holdings Ltd. (SEHK: 1176) (Bermuda)
Nam Hing Holdings Ltd. (SEHK: 986) (Bermuda)
New City (China) Development Ltd. (SEHK: 456) (Cayman Islands)
Ngai Lik Industrial Holdings Ltd. (SEHK: 332) (Bermuda)
Ocean Grand Holdings Ltd. (SEHK: 1220) (Bermuda)
Pan Asia Mining Ltd. (SEHK: 8173) (Cayman Islands)
Pan Sino International Holding Ltd. (SEHK: 502) (Cayman Islands)
Peaktop International Holdings Ltd. (SEHK: 925) (Bermuda)
Prosten Technology Holdings Ltd. (SEHK: 8026) (Cayman Islands)
QPL International Holdings Ltd. (SEHK: 243) (Bermuda)
Rojam Entertainment Holdings Ltd. (SEHK: 8075) (Cayman Islands)
SMI Publishing Group Ltd. (SEHK: 8010) (Cayman Islands)
Wai Chun Group Holdings Ltd. (SEHK: 1013) (Bermuda)
Warderly International Holdings Ltd. (SEHK: 607) (Cayman Islands)

I REPOST MY EARLIER POSTS TO LET U ALL SEE THE FUCKING LOUSY POWER OF FUCKAMENTALS

DJ MARKET TALK: Harvest Fund QDII To Benefit S-Chips - UBS (2007/10/02 10:26AM)


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0226 GMT [Dow Jones] China''s approval last week for Harvest Fund QDII to invest in S-chips was six months ahead of expectations, says UBS. Expects move to trigger wave of liquidity in China shares listed in Singapore, or S-shares, which trade at a discount to Hong Kong peers; says companies with unique China exposure vs mainland and Hong Kong offerings look the most attractive. Top S-chip picks are Hungguo (H14.SG), Sino Environment (Y62.SG) and Raffles Education (R17.SG). (KIG)


Contact us in Singapore. 65 64154 150;
MarketTalk@dowjones.com


(END) Dow Jones Newswires

October 01, 2007 22:26 ET (02:26 GMT)

Copyright (c) 2007 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. DJ MARKET TALK:Merrill Cuts Celestial Target To S$1.18, Keeps Buy (2008/02/26 11:10AM)


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0310 GMT [Dow Jones] STOCK CALL: Merrill Lynch lowers target price for Celestial Nutrifoods (C56.SG) to S$1.18 from S$1.92, but keeps Buy call. Says firm likely to continue facing high soybean costs. "We believe the group could only pass on part of the higher costs and forecast an 8% drop in FY08 margins," says analyst Eddy Loh in note. But notes Celestial''s 4Q07 results were within expectations; company likely to see robust sales growth in 2008 through launch of new beverage and powder products, commercial startup of biodiesel plant in 3Q08. Share down 5.6% at S$0.67. (FCS)


DJ MARKET TALK: CIMB Keeps Celestial Nutrifoods At Outperform (2007/10/08 10:35AM)


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0235 GMT [Dow Jones] STOCK CALL: CIMB reiterates Celestial Nutrifoods (C56.SG) at Outperform, maintains S$2.23 target price. "We recently visited Celestial''s production facilities in Lindian and Daqing, China and came away convinced that its expansion plans are on track." Notes company has started producing two new products on trial basis, new biodiesel plant nearly completed, products prominently displayed in leading Chinese supermarkets. Says positive on outlook, but no change to earnings estimates. Stock currently +0.6% at S$1.55. (KIG)


DJ MARKET TALK: CIMB Raises Ferrochina Target Price To S$2.44 (2008/05/22 11:51AM)


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0351 GMT [Dow Jones] STOCK CALL: CIMB raises Ferrochina (F33.SG) target price to S$2.44 from S$2.11, reiterates Outperform call after plant visit. Broker says steel product maker''s expansion of Xinghai and Xingyu facilities appears to be on track. Adds new product lines should boost output, improve product mix and gross margins; company seeking strategic investor to move further upstream in order to secure raw materials. Says target price hike reflects, "improved business visibility and possible value-creation from strategic investors." New target price still assumes 35% discount to industry peers to reflect its smaller size. Share down 0.6% at S$1.64. (KIG)

DJ MARKET TALK: CIMB Raises FerroChina Target To S$2.11 (2008/04/29 16:35PM)


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0835 GMT [Dow Jones] STOCK CALL: CIMB raises FerroChina (F33.SG) target price to S$2.11 from S$2.09 after increasing FY08 earnings estimate 15% on enlarged capacity and higher average selling prices, or ASPs. Also raises FY09-10 forecasts to account for the timing of new capacity, higher ASPs, higher group expenses, lower forex gains. "Given FRC''s excellent business visibility, we maintain Outperform." Notes 1Q08 net profit +161% on-year at CNY188.5 million, came in 15% above house''s annualized estimate, but 6% below market consensus. Says key variance higher revenue of CNY3 billion (+167% on-year) with increased capacity from Superb Team acquisition, higher ASPs on strong demand, significantly higher other income as a result of forex gains from weaker USD/CNY, USD/SGD; notes 1Q08 net profit marks 23% of house''s FY08 forecast. Notes gross margin steady at 8.8% despite rising HRC feedstock prices, exacerbated by higher iron ore and coking coal prices. Share down 4.9% at S$1.37. (LES)
DJ MARKET TALK: DBS Keeps FerroChina At Buy, Target At S$3.38 (2007/10/25 16:29PM)


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0829 GMT [Dow Jones] STOCK CALL: DBS Vickers keeps FerroChina (F33.SG) at Buy, with target price at S$3.38 after company visit. "We continue to like FerroChina given its firm growth outlook, driven by both organic expansion and acquisitions." Says valuations undemanding at less than 9X FY08 earnings, with share one of cheapest Singapore-listed China plays above S$1 billion in market capitalization. "The successful acquisition of Superb Team will help transform FerroChina into one of China''s largest independent galvanised steel producers and help underpin robust earnings growth into FY09." Notes FerroChina to be among 10 largest S-chip by market capitalization after purchase; says should help attract QDII funds. Share up 4.2% at S$2.48. (LES)

DJ MARKET TALK: Ferrochina May Become Blue Chip - CIMB (2007/05/22 16:26PM)


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0826 GMT [Dow Jones] Ferrochina (F33.SG) off 0.9% at S$2.30 in heavy volume, slips back on profit taking after equaling record high of S$2.43 set on Friday. CIMB says company "poised to become a major global galvanized steel player and is likely to achieve blue-chip status in a few years." Keeps at Outperform with target price of S$3.10, based on 9.0X CY08 P/E; says "as the company continues to grow in size and establishes itself as a global leader in galvanized steel, we believe it should at least trade closer to its peers." Thinks expansion activities could lead to a threefold expansion in capacity in coming years. (JEM)


DJ MARKET TALK: Ferrochina Valuations Very Undemanding - Daiwa (2007/06/29 09:19AM)


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0119 GMT [Dow Jones] Ferrochina (F33.SG) +0.9% at S$2.21 on thin volume; current valuations very undemanding, with the stock trading at a 36% PER discount to Hong Kong-listed integrated steel stocks, according to Daiwa. Following company gaining full control over its associate, Superb Team, brokerage estimates total processing capacity will increase to 1.7 million tonnes, 4.25 million tonnes for FY07, FY08 respectively (+86%, 151% on year); says "resultant synergies and margin expansion would drive stronger earnings growth for FY07 and FY08." Raises target price to S$3.42 from S$2.29, keeps at Buy; upside capped at week high of S$2.30. (JEM)



DJ MARKET TALK: MS Starts China Milk At Overweight, S$2 Target (2007/11/02 13:57PM)


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0557 GMT [Dow Jones] STOCK CALL: Morgan Stanley starts China Milk Products Group (G86.SG) at Overweight with S$2 target. Says company is one of best plays on resource productivity, with cattle herd boasting best composition of pedigree bulls, cows in China. "We believe the market is missing the full benefits of the management''s ability to improve herd mix to drive higher milk yield, quality cattle semen and embryos, and in turn support margin trend, along with a further government push to improve cattle genetics in China." Stock +3.3% at S$1.24 midday. (FKH)

DJ MARKET TALK: Phillip Upgrades China Sun To Buy, 85.5C Target (2007/05/29 10:03AM)


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0203 GMT [Dow Jones] STOCK CALL: Phillip Securities ups China Sun Bio-chem Technology (C86.SG) to Buy from Hold, lifts fair value to S$0.855 from S$0.81; notes stock currently trades at valuations of 7.9x FY07 PER, 6.3x FY08 PER, believes "such low valuations are unjustified, given its leading industry position and medium term growth potential." Expects adjusted EPS to grow at 3-year CAGR of 19% between FY07, FY09 after company posted 23% on year rise in 1Q07 net profit to CNY82.1 million. Trades up 0.8% at S$0.67 on modest volume. (JEM)


DJ MARKET TALK: Beauty China Selloff Is Overreaction - ML (2007/09/27 08:15AM)


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0015 GMT [Dow Jones] STOCK CALL: Beauty China''s (B15.SG) share price fall on news 3Q earnings growth may slow is unjustified, says Merrill Lynch. "In our view, the market simply overreacted. We have pointed out our expectations for a slower 2H07 many times in our research, and BCH has also communicated cost concerns with investors before." Adds company remains cheapest China consumer play; "the recent price weakness represents a good entry point." No change to earnings forecast, reiterates Buy rating, maintains S$1.38 target. Shares closed down 2.7% at S$1.09 yesterday.(KIG)

DJ MARKET TALK: CIMB Keeps Beauty China At Outperform, Tgt S$1.67 (2007/11/22 16:12PM)


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0812 GMT [Dow Jones] STOCK CALL: CIMB reiterates Beauty China (B15.SG) at Outperform with target price of S$1.67; says target at 60% discount to China retail peers due to its smaller size. Says Beauty China trading at 9X 2009 earnings vs 20X for Singapore-listed China retail stock China Hongxing (BR9.SG). Notes commercial production at company''s new plant began mid-October, group has secured HK$2 million worth of orders. Notes 9M07 earnings about 68% of CIMB FY forecast; projects 4Q07 revenue of HK$197.8 million with net profit at HK$38.2 million; expects margins to narrow on seasonally higher A&P expenses, higher packaging costs, start-up losses from new plant. Share down 4.6% at S$1.24; STI down 0.9%. (LES)

DJ MARKET TALK: Beauty China Fundamentals Still Good -UOBKH (2008/06/13 14:07PM)


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0607 GMT [Dow Jones] STOCK CALL: Beauty China''s (B15.SG)fundamentals remain intact with no slowdown for China retail sales, says UOB KayHian; reiterates Buy call, keeps target price unchanged at S$1.38. Notes cosmetics firm''s shares are now 43% below 52-week high of S$1.48 hit on Jan 2; blames fears of slowdown in consumption following China snowstorms, earthquake and concerns over margin squeeze from higher raw material prices. But says China retail sales still solid, registering record high in April whilst new products, increasing utilization rates should help ease margin pressure. "Considering the bright prospects of the cosmetics industry, the production ramp-up at the new plant and the launch of new products with higher margins, we remain positive on the stock." Shares currently down 0.6% at S$0.84. (KIG)


I REPOST OLD NEWS TO SHOW THAT NEWS AND FUNDAMENTALS ARE WORSE AND MORE INACCURATE THAN TECHNICALS... PUI ;OUSY S SHARES!!LUCKILY DUE TO ME LOOKING DOWN ON SINGAPORE ABILITY TO ATTRACT BIG FOREIGN COMPANIES,I DECIDED TO INVEST IN ZERO S SHARES FOR LONG TERM SINCE 2005.AND NOW WITH THESE NEWS ON CHINA MILK I WILL NOT EVEN TOUCH THEM FOR DAY TRADING..

I NEVER EVEN got caught by ONE SUSPENDED SHARE DUE TO MY PRUDENCE.

Friday, February 25, 2011

25th feb2011--PEOPLE WHO LONG hsi,sti TODAY ARE IDIOTS(part3)

AGAIN,shareswizard saw thru the gameplan...

24thfeb2011 hsi,sti 1st fell to make people "feel" that at night us going to fall.then when the fall did not come,idiots re enter the market again today.

yesterday hsi was at 23600,sti at 2970,ANTICIPATING sp500 will drop 1307-around 1290s(but the sp500 recovered)

TODAY's RISE IN HSI,STI is just to RE-ALIGN the ratios to the downside TO BE THE SAME--SP500(1306 to 1275),STI(3010 to 2920) and HSI(23100 to 22400)
ALL 3 BROTHERS RATIO TO DOWNSIDE IS THE SAME!!!

what does this mean?

1.even if SP500 does go up today(chances are slim because EVERY FRIDAY of starting week of drop ALWAYS DOWN),hsi,sti ON MONDAY WILL NOT CLOSE UP BY A LOT,MAX STI IS 3037 AND HSI TO 23300 OR will gap up and go down.

2.SP500 may PLUNGE TONITE,dragging ever closer to 1275(as every friday of starting drop week will drop)

IF case 2 happens TONIGHT, THEN MONDAY WILL HAVE MAXIMUM FEAR suddenly because the market went up so much on 25thfeb,FROM HEAVEN TO HELL for longs suddenly and PLUS tuesday will also be down day for hsi,sti,

WEDNESDAY MORNING,(2nd march 2011)9AM,CAN BUY stocks,call warrants!!

Thursday, February 24, 2011

24feb2011:BUY HSI CALL WARRANTS ON 28FEB2011 9AM(SINGAPORE TIME) IF....

THESE REQUIREMENTS MUST BE MET TO YIELD THE BEST SCENARIO TO USE SMALL CAPITAL WIN BIG!!

REQUIREMENTS


1.HSI,STI MUST PLUNGE 2% on FRIDAY,TOMORROW,25TH FEB 2011

2.SP500 MUST CLOSE AT 1275 OR BELOW BY A BIT ON 25TH FEB2011 5AM(SINGAPORE TIME)

3.ASIA MKTS MUST GAP DOWN ON MONDAY,28TH FEB2011

IF THESE 3 CRITERIAS ARE MET,WHACK THAT BLOODY CALL WARRANT(OF COURSE CHOOSE HSI) AS HSI HAS 2 POS DIV AT 22400

WHY THIS SCENARIO IS LIKELY TO HAPPEN?

REASONS

1. USMKT ALWAYS FALL FOR THE PAST 5 UPLEGS on FRIDAYs OF THE STARTING WEEK of drop

2. this time the media has the UPPERHAND..what upperhand?the LIBYA news.WHEN THE MEDIA HAS THE UPPERHAND, STOCKMKT OPERATORS WILL MOST LIKELY USE THAT UPPERHAND TO CREATE "MAXIMUM FEAR" to scare off IDIOTS


AS USUAL,THANK U,DOR TSAY,ARIGATO IDIOTS,BAK-CHI,RETARDS,MORONS for buying on MAXIMUM OPTIMISM AND SELLING OFF IN MAXIMUM FEAR!!

BIG SALUTE to idiots who BOUGHT FROM ME ON 7FEB2011 and will SELL BACK TO ME WHEN STI HIT 2900

I LOVE U RETARDS..WITHOUT U,THERE IS NO FULLTIME TRADER JOB

I LOVE U I LOVE U I LOVE U
WHEREEVER U GO,ILL FOLLOW ILL FOLLOW,ILL FOLLOW

ONLY YOU AND YOU ALONE..

HUGS AND KISSES FROM SHARESWIZARD TO RETARDS AND IDIOTS

muackkssss

REMEMBER THIS POST ON 8TH FEB 2011?HOW TALLY 22400,1275,2920 is from 24-02-2011 levels

7th 10week's 1st week will bounce off the diagonal trendline of LOWS of week starting 30aug 2010 and week starting 29nov2010
WATCH FOR THE BOUNCE at 1250s-1260s..im upgrading my drop in feb2011 tgt to 1240 as maximum,no longer 1200.

there are 3 cases of the consolidation:

1.1320s-1330s then fall to 1275 then a fake bounce up to 1345(78.6% fib of 1466-903 range),and a final selldown to 1250

follow the week starting may4 2009 to week starting jul6 2009 pattern

OR

2. 1320s-1330s then drop to 1250s and remain there flat till the start of 7th 10week start with a HUGE candlebody spike up

OR

3.1320s-1330s then drop to 1250s(touching THAT diagonal trendline),fake bounce up to 1345,then a final selldown to a higher value,BECAUSE THAT TRENDLINE IS UPward MOVING,increasing in value as time progresses,1270s(6th 10week's 10th week opening)

follow the week starting sept21 2009 to week starting oct26 2009 pattern

SHARESWIZARD VOTE FOR SCENARIO 1 and SECNARIO 3

proof:1220s is only 20% possible as the DIAGONAL TRENDLINE suggests a much higher value BUT 1220s is still POSSIBLE(20% possibility) with a quick plunge and quick recovery,negating the fake breakdown of THAT upward diagonal trendline

SHARESWIZARD gives 4D-5D numbers

D=digit

22400,1275,2920--ALL THE 3 NUMBERS WILL BE TOGETHER AT THE SAME TIME HIT FOR A TEMPORARY REBOUND UP before a final drop to 1240 in sp500

P.S. note:IF THIS FRIDAY ENDED DOWN OR PLUNGE,THIS WEEK WILL BE CONFIRMED AS THE STARTING WEEK OF RETRACEMENT

ARE ANY OF MY PREDICTIONS VERY WRONG?please tell me..aint i the shareswizard telling u the possibilities in the details of how to recognize start of retracemnet week,timing of bases,etc..

BEING SHARESGOD DOES NOT MEAN I AM 100% RITE ALL THE TIME but just to show u im able to describe in details the scenarios.have i been terribly wrong?

DEC2010-FEB2011

1.short sugar at 35s

2.long shanghai at 2680s

3.long silver at 26-27s

4.short sp500 at 1320-1330s

5.short hangseng at 24k on 7feb2011

ALL THE ABOVE TRADES HAVE massive PROFIT IN 1,2,3 WEEKS!!this is what i call G-SPOT in trading

Wednesday, February 23, 2011

WELCOME TO THE sp500 RETRACEMENT TO 1240

look at the sti plunge to below 3000.

DID I SAY WRONGLY THAT THOSE WHO RUSH IN TO long ON FEB18,FEB2 ARE IDIOTS?

Tuesday, February 22, 2011

22ND FEB2011:STORY OF BOY WHO CRIES WOLF.WHAT HAPPEN TO THE 3RD TIME he cries wolf?

remember my 2 cases for this week i said on 19th feb2011??

CASE 1: if usmkt does not plunge tonite and can even be flat OR go up, sp500 will end UP 2.9% by friday,25feb2011

REMEMBER THE STORY OF BOY WHO CRIES WOLF?WHAT HAPPEN AT THE 3RD TIME HE CRYS WOLF?
NOBODY BELIEVES HIM...

1st cry wolf:28jan2011:egypt fears
USMKT WENT UP AFTER THAT

2nd cry wolf:22feb2011:Libya fears("coincidentally" matches with sti at 3030s and hangseng at 23000s)

3rd cry wolf:???
THEN WILL COME THE REAL DROP 6-7%!!

Case 2:BUT if usmkt plunge tonight,then THIS WEEK WILL BE THE STARTING WEEK OF THE RETRACEMENT PERIOD

Saturday, February 19, 2011

19th feb 2011:DROP IS DELAYED!SP500 VERY LIKELY TO GO HIGHER 2.9PC FOR FINALE WEEK next week

lets see all my past theories:

THEORY
1. 10week theory(1st one is a 9week)
2. last week gains cant be > 1st week gains
3. last week sure up
4. ALL past 10week uplegs' LAST WEEK always OPEN on a fibonnacci of 1466-903 range
5. 2nd half theory(4 10week uplegs in the 1st half)
6. AFTER a 10week upleg aim of achieve CLOSING OF THAT ENTIRE UPLEG > a fibonnacci of 1576-666 range, THE NEXT UPLEG will a HIT A HIGHER FIBONACCI
7. THERE ARE 2 SIGNS OF A START OF RETRACEMENT WEEK:
a.retracement week highest will be 5-6points HIGHER than the maximum of the LAST week of the upleg
b. retracement week will not go higher than the highest of the LAST week of the upleg,and will start to ERASE more than 50% of the gains.


SO IN SUMMARY ALL THESE THEORIES SUGGEST THAT sp500 will have 2 scenarios NEXT WEEK

SCENARIO 1:
SP500 WILL GO TO 1381(78.6PC OF 1576-666), BECAUSE 1343(18FEB2011 CLOSING) X 1.029(SP500 UP 2.9+PC IN 1ST WEEK),hence this 6th upleg will take a total of 13weeks,AIM OF THIS UPLEG:= 78.6PC

SCENARIO 2:

SP500 WILL START RETRACING NEXT WEEK, hence this upleg is only 12 weeks from NOV29 week.AIM of this 6th upleg: > 61.8PC ONLY

FROM THE 2SCENARIOS,I KNOW THE FUTURE ALREADY..

FUTURE1 FROM SCENARIO 1:BECAUSE SP500 CLOSES AT 1381,and using all the theories ABOVE combined,the NEXT upleg,the 7th upleg's LAST WEK will open at 1466(the 100pc of 1466-903 range).
THE 7TH upleg aim will be > 78.6pc AND HENCE 8TH UPLEG WILL be = 1580 THE 2007 HIGHEST!!


future 2 from scenario2: PLAIN WASTING TIME as this 6th upleg only finish >61.8pc. THIS SCENARIO2 DEFY THEORY 4.hence i dont think it will be possible

Friday, February 18, 2011

THOSE WHO LONG STI TODAY ,18FEB2011 ARE CLEAR CLOWNS

the resetting of sti to 3120 is a joke indeed, PREPARING TO USHER IN usmkt drop.

IDIOTS WILL NEVER KNOW THE IMPORTANCE OF 3120==3120 is the point sti breakdown from.
THE RESETTING ALSO CONFIRMS STI LISTEN TO USMKT.

congrats for buying longs today AND REMEMBER TO DUMP TO ME WHEN THE PLUNGE COMES.i will be collecting at 2900s

WATCH OUT TONITE,18TH FEB2011,IF CLOSE BELOW 1329 IN SP500 SIGNAL START OF RETRACEMENT WEEK AS THIS WEEK

ok im wrong about that "add 5 points to the max of last week" algorithm to get this week's max BUT if today,18th feb2011 USMKT DROP OR PLUNGE,it will signal the START OF RETRACEMENT week..

minimum drop today must be below 1329 by a little bit to QUALIFY THIS WEEK AS START OF RETRACEMENT WEEK,so minimum shareswizard is looking for is a 11-12point drop in sp500 TONITE,18th feb2011

FACTS ABOUT ALL PAST 5 START OF RETRACEMENT WEEKS:ALL PAST 5 FRIDAYS DROP/PLUNGE,
evidence in below post

BUNCH OF ADULT RETARDS..WHAT CAN THE SG GOVT DO TO CURB INFLATION?

POLLS
What would you want to see in this year's Budget?
Thanks for being one of the first people to vote. Results will be available soon. Check for results

Measures to tackle inflation
38 % Measures to tackle inflation
22 votes More help for low income groups
28 % More help for low income groups
16 votesBonuses to boost fertility rates
9 % Bonuses to boost fertility rates
5 votesCuts in personal income tax
25 % Cuts in personal income tax
14 votes
--poll from xin.msn

LOOK AT THE BUNCH OF LOSERS VOTIN FOR TO TACKLE INFLATION...

didnt LONG commodities and WHINE!u think the singapore govt can do anything to stop speculation in wall street on the commodities????????

I MUST THANK THE SG GOVT FOR RAISING GOODS SERVICES TAXES BEFORE THE CRISIS IN 2007,AND DIDNT ABOLISH OR REDUCE THE GST in 2008-2009,THAT CAUSE ME TO BE more self reliant,RATHER THAN WHINE

PLEASE RELY ON YOURSELVES ADULT SINGAPOREANS,u didnt pay attention to investments and there u regret it!!

I LOVE PUNISHMENTS

POVERTY FOR NON SAVVY PEOPLE,talking about movies,clubbing,shopping all the time

please dont think ONLY SEXUALLY TRASMITTED DISEASES FOR PROMISCUOUS PEOPLE,POVERTY thru inflation CAN STRIKE U DEAD IF U R NOT SELF-RELIANT

Thursday, February 17, 2011

17THFEB2011 9.57pm:MY ALGORITHM WILL BE PROVEN RIGHT TO BE THE MANIPULATORS' ALGORITHM BY TODAY,18FEB2011,5AM(SINGAPORE TIME) IF..

1.USMKT DROP TONITE,PULLING US FURTHER AWAY FROM 1337

THEN

2.tomorrow,friday,18th feb2011,sp500 will drop/plunge DEPENDING ON TONITE.

THEN

3.BY LAST DAY OF NEXT WEEK,25TH FEB2011, sp500 will go to 1276 OR LOWER...

THIS IS THE OPERATORS' ALGORITHM---IF 1, THEN 2, THEN 3

LETS SEE IF IT GETS ACTED OUT 1 BY 1!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

POSTED BY SHARESWIZARD 17THFEB2011 9,57PM SINGAPORE TIME

I WORSHIP RETARDS BLIND LOYALTY TO THE THINGS THEY ARE FAMILIAR WITH

i already stated shanghai > US > HANGSENG > STI in terms of upward strength.

AINT IT TRUE?

i met so many singaporeans,so loyal to a sinking ship,reminded me of KAMIKAZE ATTITUDE..

just because a particular share,eg.swiber helped u earn $ before, wah u cling on to that share like GOD and will re buy and rebuy,defying even current trends,which is DOWN for sti in short to medium term.

I SALUTE RETARDS KAMIKAZE ATTITUDE!!IF IM LIKE U, I CANT EVEN BE A FULLTIME TRADER for even 1 year,let alone 7years.

RETARDS CANT EARN $ FROM STOCKMARKET AND HAVE TO DO BUSINESSES LIKE A PHOTOSTUDIO,OR WORKING AT 50YEARS OLD etc just for survival sake.

IF IM BLESSED WITH A STOCKMARKET LIKE 1982 TO 2000 IN US,HK,ETC, WILL i BE EVEN BE A FULLTIME TRADER?i will be a mini property developer by now.

RETARDS WHO HAVE GONE THRU SO MANY SECULAR BULLMARKETS,AND STILL POOR AT OLD AGE HAVE ONLY THEIR OWN PATHETICNESS OLD STUBBORN ATTITUDE TO BLAME

NOW 12.30AM:WATCH THE MAGIC OF ALGORITHM LATER!!

sp500 hit my tgt of 1337,add 6+points to last week max at 1330.79..
THATS WHY I TOLD U IN MY SMS to PLACE YOUR BETS before usmkt open tonite..

IF U PLACE YOUR BETS AFTER USMKT OPEN,U ALREADY KNOW CASE2 IS IMPOSSIBLE,NOT FUN RITE???

2SCENARIOS NOW:
1) IF SP500 DOES NOT GO DOWN ON WED,THURS, THEN FRIDAY A PLUNGE IS AWAITING

2)IF SP500 DOES DROP A BIT on wed and thurs,THEN FRIDAY MAY OR MAY NOT PLUNGE.

ANOTHER BET FOR U TO PLACE..COME COME PLACE YOUR BETS

Wednesday, February 16, 2011

another joke i just saw!stockmarket is indeed hilarious,COME COME PLACE YOUR BETS on case 1 or case 2

what did i see?

2nd,3rd 10weeks uplegs,the next week after the 10th week,HIGHEST sp500 went was only 5points ON BOTH OCCASSIONS higher than the HIGHEST of the 10th week.

CASE 1:meaning IF SP500 WERE TO GO UP,IT BETTER GO UP IN TUESDAY,WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY to 1335,BECAUSE ALL PAST 5 FRIDAYS OF START OF RETRACEMENT WEEKS ALWAYS CLOSED DOWN OR PLUNGED!!

CASE 2:the other 3 10week uplegs,ALSO are coincidentally similar..ALL the other 3 10weeks,the next week after the last week of the upleg,DID NOT GO HIGHER BUT DROP TO > 50% OF THE GAINS OF LAST WEEK.

IT WILL BE CASE 1 OR CASE 2!!COME PLACE YOUR BETS!!


ALL EYES WILL BE ON HOW SP500 PLAY OUT THIS ALGORITHM BY THIS WEEK,THE 12TH WEEK AS THIS UPLEG TAKES A TOTAL OF 11WEEKS!!

remember i said sti will be weakest among 3 brothers,hsi,sp500 on 10th feb 2011..

ISNT THAT REALLY PLAYING OUT?

today is 16th feb2011,even when hangseng return to 23.1K,same highs as 14th feb 2011,sti is far far behind 14th feb highs of 3110s,today only 3080s

16thfeb 2011:another steven chow movie

remember steven chow timing of the hero entrance in the movies?

VERY "COINCIDENTAL" RITE?

today hangseng strength is NOT BECAUSE OF CHINA.

hangseng has already achieved 1st positive div at 22.4K (my mistake in the other posts as i didnt check 11thfeb2011 hsi hit 22446)

thats why although i wanted to short hangseng at 23100,my heart is telling me to but my soul is weak..

REMEMBER MY EARLIER POST ABOUT HSI IS A ? mystery,"COINCIDES" WITH CHINA STRENGTH but also with usmkt dropping in the next 2weeks

REMEMBER I SAID STI WEAKEST among hsi,sp500.14thfeb2011 hangseng at 23.1k,sti3110s.16thfeb2011,hsi at 23.1k,sti3080s

15thfeb 2011 PREDICTION:LAMBS TO THE SLAUGHTER PART 4--BULLS TO THE SLAUGHTERHOUSE by 25th feb 2011

Art Cashin: End of Week Will Tell Tale For S&P
Published: Tuesday, 15 Feb 2011 | 9:42 AM ET Text Size By: JeeYeon Park
CNBC News Associate

MY COMMENTS

LOOKS LIKE THE OLD BIRD KNOWS WHAT HE IS TALKING...

I WILL EXPLAIN IN DETAIL WHY ART CASHIN'S VIEW COINCIDE WITH MINE

REASONS
1) VERY NEXT WEEK AFTER THE UPTREND ENDED(eg.1st 9week uptrend from mar09-may09,the next week is the 10th week) ALL,for PAST 5TIMES unable to go much higher than the closing of the previous week.

2)THIS UPLEG IS 11WEEKS,NOT THE USUAL 10WEEKS WHICH HAPPEN ON 2ND,3RD,4TH,5TH 10WEEK UPLEGS.THE 1ST 10 WEEKS UPLEG IN MARCH-MAY09 WAS ACTUALLY 9WEEKS UPLEG.A SLIGHT DEVIATION FROM NORMAL 10WEEKS,this 6th 10weeks upleg is actually 11weeks upleg,ISNT FARFETCHED.

3)EVERY FRIDAY OF THE WEEK RIGHT AFTER THE UPLEGS RESULTED IN A FALL IN SP500,WHICH SUGGESTS THAT IF 18TH FEB2011 THERE IS A FALL,IT WILL CONFIRM THIS WEEK,WEEK ENDED AS 18TH FEB 2011 AS THE 12TH WEEK,THE WEEK RIGHT AFTER THE 11WEEKS UPLEG HAS CONCLUDED.

4)NEXT WEEK WILL SEE SP500 DROPPING TO AS LOW AS 1275 OR EVEN LOWER BY 25TH FEB 2011 IF THIS WEEK IS CONFIRMED AS THE START OF RETRACEMENT WEEK.

P.S.PLEASE TAKE ATTENTION OF ALL WORDS IN BOLD.they will come true come 18thfeb 2011 when we will witness a drop on THAT DAY, PLUS by 25th feb 2011,sp500 will drop lower or equal to 1275
NOTE:IF REASON 3 THEN REASON 4 IN THIS SEQUENCE!!

Tuesday, February 15, 2011

didnt i say that people who rush in to long HSI,STI on 14feb2011 are IDIOTS?

the manner of manipulation yesterday,14th feb 2011 is so similar to the 2feb2011 fake push up in hangseng 426points in half a day...

IS THE SHARESWIZARD ever TERRIBLY WRONG??????????

AM I NOT JUSTIFIED TO MOCK AT RETARDS?

TOPIC OF LECTURE:15th feb 2011-I AM A FREE BIRD 7,8MONTHS LATER

y??

BECAUSE I AM GOING TO EMIGRATE AWAY FROM SINGAPORE..

YES,NO MORE LIKE A BIRD IN A BEAUTIFUL CAGE!THE WORLD IS MY OYSTER!!

u will think what has my emigration got to do with stckmkt?

HELL LOTS OF ASSOCIATION!!

i am going to renew my past prediction of sp500 hitting 1580 BY SEPT2011!!

let me explain hsi,shanghai composite,sp500

SP500

THERE IS GREAT debate whether a A-B-C cyclical bull market OR a ELLIOTT 5 WAVE cyclical bull??

REASONS for A-B-C:
1)AS sp500 is still in a secular bear market,and the CRASH in 2007-2009 march was indicative of a ELLIOT 5wave down,HENCE THIS UPMOVE IN SP500 FROM MARCH 09 TO SEPT 09 will be an A-B-C upwave to 1580...

2)1st half from mar09-apr2010,the points was 560s,u project to the bottom of WAVE B(euro crisis excuse),u will also get 560 to 1580!!WAVE A AND WAVE C are usually SAME IN LENGTH AND TIMING

REASONS FOR ELLIOTT 5WAVE THEORY

http://www.thedisciplinedinvestor.com/blog/2009/03/03/elliot-wave-where-are-we-in-the-wave-structure/

1)FROM ABOVE,the subprime crisis was just the finish of a A-B-C wave and looks set to embark on a 5wave elliott.if it is elliottwave,then wave 3up is usually the MOST EXTENDED WAVE--set to take sp500 beyond 1580.

2)since elliott 5wave theory also suggests that the corrective phases ALTERNATE.
euro crisis takes place with a sudden plunge and almost 17pc,HENCE the WAVE4 correction will be a SIDEWAYS MOVEMENT,MATCHING with breakout of 1580 and retesting 1580 support AGAIN in a horizontal band.

SO GUYS--U VOTE FOR A ABC UP WAVE TO 1580 OR A START OF A ELLIOTT 5WAVE UP????

TGT FOR SP500:SEPT-OCT2011 1520-1580

SHANGHAI COMPOSITE
SSE hit peak in AUG09 and RESTED FOR 1.5YEARS TO FEB 2011,WHICH I ASSUME THIS MONTH IS THE REAL BREAKOUT AFTER NOV10 FAILED BREAKOUT...

1ST HALF IN SHANGHAI WAS FROM OCT08-AUG09,total of 10months,hence by feb 2011,we breakout of 3000,meaning ONE WAY UP FOR sse for next 10months!!

TGT FOR SHANGHAI COMPOSITE:NOV2011-JAN2012: 4400-5169!!

HANGSENG

HANGSENG ended its 1st HALF at 23100maximum set in NOV09,in between SHANGHAI maximum of 3456,set in AUG 2009 and USMKT PEAK IN APR2010

HENCE U KNOW HANGSENG 1ST HALF IS UP 8MONTHS FROM MAR09-NOV09.
HENCE FROM THERE,U KNOW THAT HSI WILL PEAK IN BETWEEN US PEAK AND CHINA PEAK.
JUST NOW, I HAVE PREDICTED SHANGHAI MAX IN NOV2011-JAN 2012 AND USMKT IN SEPT-OCT2011,HENCE I SET THE TIMING DATE FOR HANGSENG TO HIT PEAK IS NOV2011!!

SO IF U MINUS OFF 8MONTHS FROM NOV2011,U WILL KNOW THAT THIS DROP IN HANGSENG AND HENCE SP500 WILL END IN MARCH-APR2011!!!!!

HANGSENG TGT 21800-22000 (worst at 21300)IN MARCH2011,AND HENCE THE SAME PROJECTION OF 11k POINTS IN THIS 2ND HALF!!==32k!!(1ST HALF WAS FROM 12k TO 23K)

hangseng timing of 32k-nov2011!!

Monday, February 14, 2011

shareswizard EXTEND the date when sp500 go to 1275 or LOWER by 25th feb2011,1WEEK LATER THAN MY EARLIER TGT 18FEB 2011

SHARESWIZARD KNOWS USMKT WILL GO DOWN IN NEXT 2 WEEKS,week ending 25th feb 2011 TO 1275 OR LOWER as this 10weeks upleg has become 11weeks upleg.

IT IS NORMAL TO EXCEED 10WEEKS BY 1 WEEK AS EARLIER ON,1ST 10WEEK UPLEG FROM MAR09-MAY09 WAS ACTUALLY 9WEEKS


SHARESWIZARD KNOWS SHANGHAI GOING TO BREAK OUT THIS MONTH,AFTER RESTING SINCE AUGUST 2009.

SHARESWIZARD KNOWS STI GOING TO 3037,THEN 2920

the mystery left is HANGSENG....

SCENARIO 1:

hangseng will fall to 22.4K when sti at 3037 IGNORING shanghai breakthru

SCENARIO2:

hangseng will fall to > 22.4K maybe around 22.6K when shanghai breaks through,sti at 3037

SSE 2894 IS HERE!!!!!!!!!

break that BUGGER!!

ONWARDS TO 2970-3000!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

I SHALL RE-POST MY FEB1 2011 PREDICTION FOR U ALL TO SEE..

FEB 1 2011


UPDATE ON CHINA AFTER CHINESE NEW YEAR!

A banker friend asks me to update on china.

ok.i will do it right now.

shanghai composite SSE always has a "HABIT" of building bases with timing of round number,eg.3,4months

this base started at NOV 15 2010.and since china is closed from 2-8 feb 2010,this push up BEFORE CNY is expected.

It follows a trend to BREAK THE HORIZONTAL BASE resistance upwards at ROUND NUMBER timings.this base the resistance is 2894.

HOW MANY DAYS TO FEB15-22?after deducting the public holidays,im afraid only 5-10working days to push up to 2894.

SCENARIO

1: CHINA BREAK and close above THE DOWNWARD SLOPING RESISTANCE TRENDLINE,2800 right after CNY,and go above 2850,then i PROMISED SSE will test 2894 BY feb 15-22 2011.

2: Today, 1st feb 2011 sse closing is not purely by luck,coincidence.2800 IS THE DOWNWARD RESISTANCE TRENDLINE.if it fails to close above 2800,then im afraid WILL WASTE MORE TIME by going down to 2637 AND THAT WILL BE FINAL low.(of course+/-1pc approx 2600).then the base will take 4 months to even march 15-22 2011

3. If sse goes above 2800 after CNY BUT fails to close above 2850 THEN its also one way down to 2637.

PICK YOUR CHOICE..shareswizard says so at 1st feb 2011..trade at your own risk tolerance.shareswizard says case 3,case 1 more probable.SSE set to break 2800 after CNY but all depends whether it can break 2850

ANYBODY WHO LONG HANGSENG AND STI TODAY,14TH FEB 2011 ARE RETARDS

STI TESTING 3120 AND HANGSENG TESTING 23100 "THANKS TO CHINA SURGE" EXCUSE BUT

DIDNT SHARESWIZARD SAY EARLIER THAT "CASE 1 OR CASE3 MORE PROBABLE" IN CHINA PERFORMANCE AFTER CNY--SSE TO > OR = 2850 BY FEB15.--PLEASE READ MY EARLIER POSTS.

hangseng and sti test support turn resistance so fast, MEANING SOMETHING MORE SINISTER DOWNSIDE AHOY...i will re-short at hsi 23100 again...

thank u retards

Saturday, February 12, 2011

SO MANY LAMBS SQUEEZED IN CAGE??BE CAREFUL OF SUDDEN GAP DOWN NEXT WEEK,LONG LAMB SQUEEZE..I will SHORT MUCH MORE AT 1346 AND 1380

look at my theories..

1.10th week,week ending feb4 2011,sp500 big rise up 2.6pc despite egypt riots(RITE)

2.shanghai comp quick plunge to 2680s and quick return to 2750s twice.(RITE)

3. sugar short at 35 ave,today 30s (RITE)

4. sp500 short at 1320s,so what?closing 1329(NOT YET VERY WRONG)

5.short hangseng at near 24K,thanks to retards...(RITE 6PC IN 4 DAYS PLUNGE)

6.SILVER LONG AT 26-27S,SOLD OFF AT 28S,BUT WENT TO 30S

BE CAREFUL OF THESE LEVELS IN USMKT,TODAY up in usmkt is still LAMBS TO THE SLAUGHTER..

be careful of next 2weeks--12th,13th week in usmkt.i will not surprised if next monday SUDDENLY GAP DOWN as tonite is indeed lambs to the slaughter...

operator used whole day to entice lambs,HOW INTERESTING!!

scenarios for next week:
THIS IS EITHER A 10WEEK UPLEG STARTING FROM WEEK STARTING NOV29 2010 OR A 11WEEK UPLEG FROM WEEK STARTING NOV29 2010.

waits to be seen,im just wrong about the 4am selldown,BUT experience tells me if we dont get a last hour selldown,be prepared for the CRUEL longist lamb squeeze

BEAUTIFUL STORY TO BRING IN MORE LAMBS..

Stocks Turn Higher After Mubarak Resigns
Published: Friday, 11 Feb 2011 | 11:27 AM ET Text Size By: CNBC.com

Stocks turned positive Friday, paring earlier losses, after news that Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak waived his rights to presidency in response to demonstrations against his rule.

YEAH!I LOVE LAMBS! LAMB CUTLET!LAMB STEW!LAMB STEAK!

GIVE THAT MAN A LAMB CHOP

LAMBS TO THE SLAUGHTER PART3--expect a selldown at 4am,(singapore timing)last hour

AS I SAID MORE LAMBS TO THE SLAUGHTER AS NEWS BELIEVERS TRICKED BY LAST TIME,28JAN 2011 RUSH IN TO BUY AS OPERATOR PUSH UP!!

beware of strange last hour REAL action in usmkt AS ALWAYS..

y am i very confident?

shorted more sp500 at 1322 again..

BECAUSE REMEMBER MY LAST WEEK OF 10TH,9TH,11TH,BLAHBLAH WEEK THEORY??

LAST WEEK MUST HAVE A LONG CANDLE BODY...

this time,6th time,does not have..

BEWARE...

SHARESWIZARD SAID ON 12.27AM SINGAPORE TIME

Friday, February 11, 2011

11th feb 2011 LECTURE:LAMBS TO THE SLAUGHTERHOUSE cont'd--12TH WEEK AIN'T 10TH WEEK

NEWS BELIEVERS who were tricked at jan28 2011 at selling and have to buy back higher next week,31jan-4feb2011(10th week) as egypt riots were dismissed by us stckmkt in view of strong economic climate shrug off egypt fears...

BUT today 11feb2011,A REPEAT OF FRIDAY,SAME AS 28JAN2011...THEY WILL THINK THEY BUY TODAY,NEXT WEEK WILL BE A REPEAT OF WEEK STARTING 31JAN2011.

BUT THEY WILL BE VERY WRONG!!!!!!

12TH WEEK IS NEVER THE 10TH WEEK!!

12th week is a DOWN week!!10th week is an UP week..

PEOPLE WHO LONG SP500 TODAY,11FEB2011 ARE ALL IDIOTS!!

TODAY 11th feb2011 LECTURE:LAMBS TO THE SLAUGHTERHOUSE 1.53pm SINGAPORE TIME

why is that so?

jan28 2011,usmkt plunged due to egypt crisis 1st out...newsbelievers dump out of fear.

jan31-feb4 2011,usmkt went up, SHRUG OFF fears of egypt MILLION MAN RIOTS on tuesday,feb1 2010

then today,FEB11 2011,news out on egypt again-murbarak not stepping down

THEN NEWS BELIEVERS WILL THINK THIS TRICK WAS PLAYED LAST TIME,"I WONT BE TRICKED AGAIN"...THEN THEY JUMP IN TONITE WHEN USMKT OPENS AT 10.30PM SINGAPORE TIME,AND THEY WILL BE CAUGHT WITH THEIR PANTS DOWN IN THE AVALANCHE OF SELLING LATE IN DAY.

how i know?
news believers have not read my blog yet

OH MAN Y DOES STOCKMARKET OPERATOR ALWAYS PERFORM STRIPTEASE FOR ME TO SEE???

AFTER BELOW STARTLING DISCOVERY:I PROUDLY CLAIM THAT 11TH WEEK IS START OF RETRACEMENT!

WELCOME TO THE RETRACEMENT.

BEFORE I SAW THAT EVERY FRIDAY OF ALL PAST 5 10WEEK UPLEGS(WITH EXCEPTION OF 1ST),I WAS A BIT SCEPTICAL :DID I GET 11TH WEEK,WEEK STARTING 7TH FEB 2011 TO BE START OF RETRACEMENT TO BE WRONG?IS IT THAT UPLEG THIS TIME,6TH TIME,BE STRETCHED TO 11WEEKS UPLEG?????

BUT I MADE A STARTLING,SHOCKING DISCOVERY JUST NOW,10MINS AGO!!!!!!!

FUCK STORYTELLERS,FABRICATING NEWS MEDIA,hardly tell the truth..

BY READING MY BLOG,ALL TRUTH IS EXPOSED!!

PLEASE LOOK THROUGH THE SMOKESCREEN..FRIDAY of 11th week ALWAYS ENDED DOWN FOR 5PAST 10WEEK UPLEGS

Friday Look Ahead: Market Focus Shifts Back to Middle East
Published: Thursday, 10 Feb 2011 | 7:40 PM ET Text Size By: Patti Domm
CNBC Executive Editor

Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak's vow to serve out his term has created a new level of uncertainty in an already tense situation.

Market focus will shift back to events in Egypt Friday, after a confusing series of developments Thursday, when market reaction was muted to news about Mubarak...

MY COMMENTS:

YOU THINK IT IS REALLY BECAUSE OF egypt???

AS USUAL I NEVER BELIEVE MEDIA SHIT AND I WENT TO DIG UP EVIDENCE AND I SAW THIS STARTLING DISCOVERY!!!!!!!!!HOW CAN REPEAT 5TIMES? AND NOW IS THE SIXTH TIME,AND TODAY US FUT ARE DOWN!!


1.5TH 10WEEK upleg END ON WEEK STARTING NOV1 2010..WEEK STARTING NOV8 2010 IS THE 11TH WEEK..TUES,WED,THURS ENDED FLAT,BUT FRIDAY,LAST DAY OF WEEK STARTING 8THNOV 2010,ENDED DOWN 1+pc,13points.

2.4th 10week upleg ended on week starting apr19 2010.11th week started on week starting apr26 2010.FRIDAY,LAST DAY OF 11TH WEEK,30TH APR 2010 also plunged 20points for sp500.

3. 3rd 10week upleg ended on week starting jan4th 2010.11th week started on week starting jan11 2010.FRIDAY,LAST DAY OF 11TH WEEK,jan15 2010,sp500 ALSO dropped 10points!

4. 2nd 10week upleg ended on week starting sept 14 2009.11th week also started on week starting sept21 2009.FRIDAY,LAST DAY OF 11TH WEEK,sept 25 2009,sp500 also DROP 6points to 1044!!

5. 1st NINE,9 week upleg ended on week starting may4th 2009,10th week started on week starting may11th 2009.FRIDAY,LAST DAY OF 10TH WEEK,MAY 15 2009, also ended down 11points,1+pc!!

WHY ALL LAST DAY OF WEEK AFTER THE LAST WEEK OF 9,10WEEK UPLEG ALWAYS ENDED DOWN??????????????????????????????????????

IF STOCKMARKET IS NOT AN ALGORITHM,IF STOCKMARKET BEHAVE TO NEWS,HOW CAN IT BE SO REPEATING?

by 18th feb 2011,sp500 will go lower OR = 1275 MUST depend on week ending 11th feb closing to be down,IF NOT,25th feb2011,end of 13th week

im so happy to sell my put warant today!!

even if us really plunge,today hangseng plunge already factored the us plunge in,hence keeping it overnight also useless.

if us didnt plunge,hsi will gap up tomorrow,

for what i take the risk of keeping overnight??

now usmkt has 2 cases: as it approaches friday, it will become clearer by tomorrow night.

Case1:
IF sp500 drop below 1310 by close tomorrow,feb11 2011,then its start of retracement

Case2:
IF sp500 maintains flat or even up,by 11feb 2011 closing,its NORMAL for the 10week upleg pattern to become 11 week THIS time.REMEMBER the 1st 10 week upleg from mar09 to may4th 2009 was ACTUALLY a 9week period.HENCE this 6th time it is still normal to have a 11week upleg
THEN THE 12TH TO 13TH WEEK WILL BE REPLACING THE USUAL 11TH AND 12TH WEEK.

1st was 9th week
2nd 10 week was 10weeks
3rd 10week was 10weeks
4th 10week was 10weeks
5th 10week was 10weeks
6th 10 week now is 11weeks...???(WAIT TO BE SEEN BY FRIDAY,11FEB 2011 CLOSING)


MY EXPERIENCE COUNTS!

Thursday, February 10, 2011

FEB10TH 2011:BRAND NEW PREDICTIONS BY SHARESWIZARD

feb10th 2011:

SHARESWIZARD SAYS:

1. if shanghai goes above 2850 by 15th feb 2011,shareswizard says shanghai will BREAK 2894 by FEB22 2011 and go much higher to 2970-3K AFTER feb22 2011.

2. STI will go to 2920,+/-2pc,NEEDS AT LEAST ONE RETEST IF IT GOES STRAIGHT TO 2920

OR

STI WILL GO TO 3030 1ST,+/-2pc,THEN ITS FINALE AT 2920,+/-2PC DOES NOT NEED A RETEST AT 2920,+/-2PC.

3. STI will rebound from 2920,+/-2pc and will go to FINAL TARGET 3500,+/-2pc,(not one way up)

THIS IS SHARESWIZARD PREDICTION AS OF 10TH FEB 2011!

THANK YOU,DOR TSAY morons!!I LOVE YOU

I have to say THANK YOU,as i must YIN SHUI SI YUAN,drink water think of source,

WITHOUT RETARDS RUSHING IN ON 7TH FEB 2011,HOW CAN I EARN 17K SGD FROM JUST 6+K SGD IN JUST 4 DAYS!!!

i bought hsi23200mblepw0225 TODAY ITS 23.5C!!

i sold off at 23c!!from just a peanuts capital of 7K sgd

THANK THANK THANK YOU!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

thank you retards who make hangseng go to 24K!!!!!

I LOVE YOU !

ANOTHER SPOT ON PREDICTION BY SHARESWIZARD,SSE BREAKS 2800!!

REMEMBER THIS MSG ON 1ST FEB 2011?

[UPDATE ON CHINA AFTER CHINESE NEW YEAR!

A banker friend asks me to update on china.

ok.i will do it right now.

shanghai composite SSE always has a "HABIT" of building bases with timing of round number,eg.3,4months

this base started at NOV 15 2010.and since china is closed from 2-8 feb 2010,this push up BEFORE CNY is expected.

It follows a trend to BREAK THE HORIZONTAL BASE resistance upwards at ROUND NUMBER timings.this base the resistance is 2894.

HOW MANY DAYS TO FEB15-22?after deducting the public holidays,im afraid only 5-10working days to push up to 2894.

SCENARIO

1: CHINA BREAK and close above THE DOWNWARD SLOPING RESISTANCE TRENDLINE,2800 right after CNY,and go above 2850,then i PROMISED SSE will test 2894 BY feb 15-22 2011.

2: Today, 1st feb 2011 sse closing is not purely by luck,coincidence.2800 IS THE DOWNWARD RESISTANCE TRENDLINE.if it fails to close above 2800,then im afraid WILL WASTE MORE TIME by going down to 2637 AND THAT WILL BE FINAL low.(of course+/-1pc approx 2600).then the base will take 4 months to even march 15-22 2011

3. If sse goes above 2800 after CNY BUT fails to close above 2850 THEN its also one way down to 2637.

PICK YOUR CHOICE..shareswizard says so at 1st feb 2011..trade at your own risk tolerance.shareswizard says case 3,case 1 more probable.SSE set to break 2800 after CNY but all depends whether it can break 2850]

MY COMMENTS 10TH FEB 2011:
LOOK AT MY PREDICTIONS MADE ON 1ST FEB2011--COMING TRUE!! SHANGHAI NOW 2805!!

LETS HAIL START OF RETRACEMENT in usmkt!--shareswizard says so!

WHY HANGSENG,STI CAN DROP TODAY IN THE AFTERNOON WHEN LATER AT NIGHT,SAME DAY,USMKT DROPS ALSO!!!this trend is fuckingly fake!asian operators already know about usmkt operators dropping at night??!!hahaha

ARENT THE 3BROTHERS CONNECTED???

as usual im right again,my 11th week(this week) will be start of fall,followed by 12th week(next week) ending latest to ERASE ALL GAINS or MORE of 10th week gains,meaning sp500 end lower than or equal to 1275 by 18th feb 2011.

please note:trade at your own risk level

ALL INVESTORS R IMH PATIENTS PART2!!investors suffer SPLIT personality disorder!

8TH FEB2011(singapore time)

This is the news on cnbc right now,home page at 2.04am SINGAPORE TIME

Global Stocks Hit Fresh Highs On M&A, Commodities Rally
World stocks rose on Monday, touching a 29-month high on merger news, rising commodity prices and flows into developed economies as investors bet on a stronger global economy.

THEN SUDDENLY

Investors Starting to Believe That Inflation Threat is Real
Published: Monday, 7 Feb 2011 | 2:09 PM ET Text Size By: Jeff Cox
CNBC.com Staff Writer

As commodity prices keep moving higher and bond buyers slowly head for the exits, investors are starting to give more credence to a looming inflation threat....

SAME WEBSITE,SAME DATE,DIFFERENT AUTHORS,TWO DIFFERENT VIEWS!!
WHAT THE FUCKING FARKING FISH!!

PLEASE STOP EXPLAINING,I CAN ALSO TALK COCK.

INFLATION GOOD=HEALTHY ECONOMY,INTEREST RATES RISE,NEVERMIND
INFLATION BAD=INTEREST RATES RISE,BAD FOR STOCK MARKET

[P.S.:IMH IS INSTITUTE OF MENTAL HEALTH=PLACE FOR MAD PEOPLE]

STI IS THE WEAKEST OF THE THREE BROTHERS,SP500,HSI,STI(weekly charts)

WEEKLY CHARTS OF STI,HSI,SP500 show sp500>HSI>STI in terms of strength to go up

how the heck will i have the faintest idea why anyone will want to long sti shares at the USmkt 10th week,last week,week ending 4th feb 2011??

I KNOW OF A BUSINESSMAN FRIEND WHO WENT IN AND BUY SOME STI STOCKS LAST WEEK!

goodluck!

WRONG TIMING AND WRONG PLACE!!

P.S.:no personal grudges against sti BUT just purely technical

sti will break the H&S at 3120 whereas hsi will break the 23.1K highest for 2010 AS BOTH RATIOS for hsi,sti TALLY to 23.1K and 3120 as from 23.3K and 3150(today,9th feb 2011 closing)

BUT HSI will go to the same base lows at 22.4K(to create 1ST POSITIVE DIVERGENCE in weekly charts)whereas STI will go to the 2010 highs of 3037 1st and a rebound up,follow by a 2ND plunge to 2920[3120-200(the height of the H&S FORMATION)]to end the drop on 1st positive divergence.IS 1ST POS DIV ENOUGH???

--BY STI 1ST TGT 3037 and hangseng at 22.4K,ratios tally!!

BUT BECAUSE HSI ALREADY WILL HAVE 1 POS DIV AT 22.4K IN WEEKLY CHARTS,AFTER THE drop to 1st target
hsi RISE WILL BE MORE THAN STI (in the rebound after 1st downleg),OR FALL WILL BE LESSER THAN STI(when sti go lower than 3037 to fulfill the H&S tgt of 200points) suggesting that SHANGHAI WILL RISE DURING THIS PERIOD

P.S.ONE POS DIV MAY NOT BE ENOUGH TO END THE STI BASE BUILDING AT 2.9K-3K. sti may revisit 2900 TWO TIMES OR MORE(?unknown now) after testing 3037 ONCE.

Wednesday, February 9, 2011

LOOK AT MY FEB7TH 2011 PREDICTION!!I SHALL REPEAT THE FOLLOWING BELOW!

I REPEAT

Monday, February 7, 2011
ANOTHER SOLID PREDICTION BY SHARESWIZARD:SP500 TO REMOVE ALL GAINS,OR MORE,OF 10TH WEEK,(WEEK ENDING 4FEB2011),BY NEXT WEEK CLOSING,week ending 18th feb 2011

look below for proof

CONGRATS RETARDS(PAK-CHIs) WHO LONG HSI ON 2FEB2011 !!OPERATOR GIVES ME LAI-SEE!!

WHAT HAPPEN TO YOUR HANGSENG LONG AT 23.9k????

BYE BYE!!ZOI-KIN!!

IF IT WASNT A TRAP,WHY PLUNGE 800POINTS RIGHT AFTER 2FEB2011???

2feb 2011 was just a FUCKIN TRAP to trap retards to BRING more fellow retards IN after the chinese new year!!

WAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

GONG HEI FATT CHOI TO ME!!

if i listen to news,will i dare short hangseng right after CNY???

WHAT HAPPEN TO asian INVESTORS CONFIDENCE due to us jobs report feb1 night ON 2FEB2011? disappeared?????

US KEPT ON GOING UP,WHAT?GOT WHAT BAD NEWS?by plunging today,US WILL START PLUNGING very soon,prob tonight!

FUCKING RETARDS DONT LIKE BEING CALLED RETARDS

how has hangseng performed AFTER that CNY eve half day up 420points?

DROPPED EVER SINCE!! TODAY MUCH MUCH LOWER THAN FEB1 CLOSING!!

isnt this a TRAP to trap RETARDS?DID I SAY WRONGLY?

DID I ANYHOW CRITICISE PEOPLE AS RETARDS??

please media,DONT ANYHOW USE THE TERM INVESTORS!!I didnt jump in to buy on feb2 2011 PLEASE PLEASE DONT CALL RETARDS AS INVESTORS,totally fucking insulting!

to those who LONG hangseng on feb2 2011:

YOU ARE NOTHING BUT A PATHETIC FUCKING,IDIOTIC,MORONIC BRAINLESS RETARD--ADMIT IT!

SUGAR LOVERS WILL HAVE DIABETES

shareswizard says so!

look at my earlier posts that i LOVE short sugar at that upward trending resistance line connecting highs,1 i short at 34.4,2nd i short at 35.6=SHIOK!!!

today what is the sugar price?

31.1!!!!!!

SUGAR BREAK down THE ASCENDING TRIANGLE formation last nite,TRIED TO reenter the formation last nite by hovering long time at 31.70s BUT UNABLE TO close inside the triangle formation!!!

HASTALAVISTA SUGAR!!

sugar lovers please take care of your health..sugar will head to 23,so please dont consume too much!!!!!!!!!

Tuesday, February 8, 2011

ALL INVESTORS R IMH PATIENTS!

wednesday,2nd feb 2011

Executive Money
Published February 2, 2011

Investors confident on stocks over bonds now
Analysts attribute this to better economic growth, big blue-chip stocks

-from businesstimes.
http://www.businesstimes.com.sg/sub/money/story/0,4574,424547,00.html?

"JUST BECAUSE HANGSENG RALLIED 400POINTS ON 2ND FEB 2011,INVESTORS CONFIDENT??
u call HANGSENG GAP UP AND REMAINED THERE=investors confident?????
SHARESWIZARD CALL IT THE FUCKING TRAP to trap retards"


THEN SUDDENLY

thursday,3rd feb 2011
the Dow Jones Industrial Average put on only around 8 points to 12048. American dealers continued to be worried by events in Egypt and the threat of instability spreading across the region.

The turmoil in Egypt overshadowed positive data released on Wednesday that showed private businesses in the United States added 187,000 jobs in January, starting the year with gains across major industries.

"JUST BECAUSE DOW IS FLAT,BACK COMES EGYPT NONSENSE"

What exactly are investors?Institute of mental health(IMH) patients??one day very confident,the NEXT day very nervous??!!!what the fuck?
PLEASE STOP EXPLAINING.THE MORE MEDIA "EXPLAINS" THE MORE I LAUGH LIKE A MR.BEAN BECOMING A FIERCE TYRANT AND SUDDENLY BECOME A PUSSYCAT!

MEDIA,PLEASE STOP LOOSELY USING THE TERM INVESTORS!
WHEN HANGSENG GAPPED UP ON CNY EVE,U DARE LINK IT TO INVESTORS CONFIDENT,just because it is UP?????
fuck u!gap up and remain there=distribution,OK!

IT IS A FUCKING INSULT TO me to share the same term as retards WHEN MEDIA NAME RETARDS AS INVESTORS!

7th 10week's 1st week will bounce off the diagonal trendline of LOWS of week starting 30aug 2010 and week starting 29nov2010

WATCH FOR THE BOUNCE at 1250s-1260s..im upgrading my drop in feb2011 tgt to 1240 as maximum,no longer 1200.

there are 3 cases of the consolidation:

1.1320s-1330s then fall to 1275 then a fake bounce up to 1345(78.6% fib of 1466-903 range),and a final selldown to 1250

follow the week starting may4 2009 to week starting jul6 2009 pattern

OR

2. 1320s-1330s then drop to 1250s and remain there flat till the start of 7th 10week start with a HUGE candlebody spike up

OR

3.1320s-1330s then drop to 1250s(touching THAT diagonal trendline),fake bounce up to 1345,then a final selldown to a higher value,BECAUSE THAT TRENDLINE IS UPward MOVING,increasing in value as time progresses,1270s(6th 10week's 10th week opening)

follow the week starting sept21 2009 to week starting oct26 2009 pattern

SHARESWIZARD VOTE FOR SCENARIO 1 and SECNARIO 3

proof:1220s is only 20% possible as the DIAGONAL TRENDLINE suggests a much higher value BUT 1220s is still POSSIBLE(20% possibility) with a quick plunge and quick recovery,negating the fake breakdown of THAT upward diagonal trendline
This is the news on cnbc right now,home page at 2.04am SINGAPORE TIME

Global Stocks Hit Fresh Highs On M&A, Commodities Rally
World stocks rose on Monday, touching a 29-month high on merger news, rising commodity prices and flows into developed economies as investors bet on a stronger global economy.

IF LATER US STOCKMARKET REVERSE GAINS AND END UP NEGATIVE--NEWS GONNA CHANGE TO THIS

shares plunge end of day due to--

Nasdaq Cyber Attack Being Investigated by FBI

or

EGYPT FEARS RETURN!!

WHY FEB2 2011 HANGSENG UP 400POINTS IN HALF DAY WHEN FEB1 2011,HANGSENG CANT EVEN UP 40POINTS IN FULL DAY EVEN WHEN USMKT UP?????

RE:feb2nd 2011 post"stockmarket is a very funny place" post

i describe feb2 2011,chinese new year eve,CNY eve,hsi up 400 points as very fake.
WHY FEB2,2011???

because STOCKMARKET IS MLM STYLE!!operator wants RETARDS to spread to FELLOW RETARDS about the good word that stockmarket VERY STRONG,TIME TO JUMP IN.

U JUST IMAGINE FOUR DAYS OF FAMILY VISITING!!HOW MANY RETARDS WILL SPREAD TO FELLOW RETARDS BY WORD OF MOUTH???

then the fellow retards jump in today,ITS TIME TO PASS THE BATON to fucking moronic retards!!!

EVEN CNY EVE,OPERATOR WANTS TO PLAY TRICK!!!its very "AUSPICIOUS" to lose $$ on the 1st day of new year!!THEN WHEN STI BREAK 3K fakely,these RETARDS will be selling to ME!!WAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!PUNISH RETARDS AGAIN!

I REPEAT STOCKMARKET IS A VERY HILARIOUS PLACE,FUNNIER THAN JACK NEO+STEVEN CHOW MOVIE

10thOCT2010 PREDICTION :END DEC2010 TARGET 1320 IS HERE!look for sp500 to drop to final target 1200-1220

MY 1320s are HERE!!!! RETRACEMENT AHOY!!!!


look at my 10th oct2010 blog about 1320s being the target before a drop.
Although the TIMING was A BIT OFF,later by 1+ months,BUT i made tat prediction WAY BACK in oct10 2010!!!!

HOW I CAN SEE 2-3MONTHS LATER FROM OCT2010???

IM NOSTRADAMUS!!why must stockmarket operator let me see its (as it is algorithm planned)"NAKED BODY".

P.S. in stockmarket IT is impossible to be everytime EXACT that value.+/-1 to 3pc is very NORMAL and + / - 1,2months is also very NORMAL

Monday, February 7, 2011

ANOTHER SOLID PREDICTION BY SHARESWIZARD:SP500 TO REMOVE ALL GAINS,OR MORE,OF 10TH WEEK,WEEK ENDING 4FEB2011 BY NEXT WEEK CLOSING

ANOTHER SOLID PREDICTION BY SHARESWIZARD:

SP500 WILL ERASE ALL GAINS OF THE 10TH WEEK,week starting 31jan2011,OR MORE by the 12th week.

hence sp500 up 2.6pc in 10th week,hence by the end of 2 weeks later,next friday,18feb2011,a MINIMUM profit of 2.6pc if u short soon will be waiting for u

but please trade at your own risk tolerance
lecture:

7th feb 2011:the n-pole n-pole magnetic repulsion theory

wah sti so obedient from my 3230s AND hangseng from my 24000s

touch and drop down.

BE PREPARED FOR A RETRACEMENT STARTING THESE TWO WEEKS,WEEK STARTING FEB7 2011 AND WEEK STARTING FEB14 2011.

when it will end?i cant be sure but my 2nd half theory is proven right BUT only ONE month late..

hence look at my below posts for my 2nd half theory

Saturday, February 5, 2011

mastercard survey

below report downloaded from http://www.pocatelloshops.com/new_blogs/politics/?p=6575


--"Hong Kong and Singapore: A Tale of Two City States
Is Confucian Capitalism Superior to Western Models?

By Nick Gier

People in these economies have simply studied harder,
worked harder, and saved more than people in other countries.

–World Bank report

Eleven years ago this month there was much anxiety when British authorities handed Hong Kong over to China, whose economic revival was dependent on this prosperous port city. The Communist government, while putting some controls on political freedom, has allowed the former colony an amazing amount of economic independence.

With the highest income tax rate at 17 percent Hong Kong appears to be a libertarian’s dream. There is no sales tax, no tax on capital gains, and corporations pay 17.5 percent on their earnings. For years Hong Kong has ranked at the top of the world’s Economic Freedom Index, published by the conservative Heritage Foundation.

During the Asian financial crisis of 1997-98, the Hong Kong government was forced to bail out its banks and it still holds $50 billion of their stocks. The most significant government intervention was a recent stimulus package that amounted to 5.2 percent of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), which compares to 6 percent for Obama’s stimulus...............

Nick Gier taught philosophy at the University of Idaho for 31 years. Read the full version at www.home.roadrunner.com/~nickgier/HKSing.pdf"

above downloaded from http://www.pocatelloshops.com/new_blogs/politics/?p=6575

my comments below:

u read the sentence in BOLD...similar to FED bailing out citigroup,AIG,etc???????
I THINK that should be able to tell you the FULL PICTURE of "CRISES"
REMEMBER my 10th week gains cannot > 1st week gains?

last week closing was 1278 for sp500 hence by today's closing, i project sp500 to be flat,down or up BUT closing not > 1315


look below for proof i posted at friday afternoon,SINGAPORE time.

my prediction yesterday afternoon...and u see tonight closing in U.S. mkt,sp500 1311
highest also 1311

RGIHT ON BELOW 1315!!

did i set a target very far that tonight cant reach???yesterday closing was 1307,i set only 8 points away,and thus did u see the fakeness of the stockmarket to news?
stockmarket is all planned way ahead,and as long as you see thru the pattern,it becomes smooth sailing!!
Is the Fed's Real Target 1,755 for the S&P?
Published: Friday, 4 Feb 2011 | 12:26 PM ET Text Size By: Jeff Cox
CNBC.com Staff Writer


Consider it the Fed’s chicken-or-the-egg dilemma: Do rising stocks drive down unemployment or does lower unemployment drive up stocks?

One view of the relationship between the two suggests that it is the former and not the latter, hence the continuation of the central bank’s easy-money policies.

Nick Colas, chief investment strategist at BNY ConvergEx, has run a comparison and found an interesting relationship that often sees unemployment fall when stocks go up.

The upshot: If the economy does get to Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke’s target of 8 percent unemployment by 2012, that would mean the Standard & Poor’s 500 would have to rise to 1,755—a stunning 35 percent gain from current levels and beyond even the already-bullish prognostications for this year.

“That’s not our price target, but it may just be the Fed’s,” Colas wrote in a note to clients.

On average, a 15 to 20 percent drop in stock prices leads to an increase of 1.2 percentage points in unemployment; a rise of 30-35 percent in stocks usually leads to a 0.4-point drop in unemployment.

If the analysis holds up—and Colas admits that recent history suggests it may not—the implications are staggering, particularly for the central bank’s quantitative easing program.


For one, it would mean that not only is QE3 on the table but also that QE4 and even QE5 are somewhere on the horizon if the Fed wants to keep the recovery rolling. It would mean that Bernanke’s “wealth effect” is in full gear, and that the road to recovery runs straight through the debt markets.

On the other side, the implications for debt- and deficit-cutters aren’t pretty. It would mean that the path to finally driving down unemployment is through the inflated asset prices that low-interest easy-money policies have paved.

But before we get too breathless, let’s look at some caveats.

For one, the relationship between stock market and employment gains has been absent since the recovery from the March 2009 stock market lows and the initial wave of Fed QE. As the Fed expanded its balance sheet by $2 trillion, unemployment has risen from 8.6 percent to Friday’s suspect number of 9.0 percent, while stock prices have nearly doubled.

Also, Colas points out that the correlation to the downside is much stronger than the upside. That is, a drop in stock prices has cut employment more than a rise has seen creation of jobs.

Yet another thing to remember is that for the past five years trying to rely on the Fed to forecast job trends has been like asking a sugar cane farmer in Peru to predict the final score in the Super Bowl. He might get it right, but it likely will be just a lucky guess. So all this talk about 8 percent could end up being little more than throwing darts at a map.

Still, the correlation between the two numbers is about 28 percent—not exactly a lead-pipe cinch but something to consider. The trend does better, though, in more extreme, or “tail” circumstances, such as would be required to get unemployment down to 8 percent in a year.

“[W]e are talking about a 40-year time frame, after all, with everything from wars to tech and housing bubbles in the mix,” Colas notes. “So it is close enough for ‘government work,’ which is, after all, what we’re doing anyway.”

Friday, February 4, 2011

市場經瑋度 黃瑋傑2月 2日 星期三

兔年利是股

虎年最後一個交易日,港股跟隨美股大幅揚升。恆指高開217點,最高見到23923,收報23909,上升426點,升幅1.8%,成交降至432億餘元,半日市已不俗,周二全日市成交也只得551億元。


恆指一舉升回10天和20天移動平均線之上,並形成個島形轉向走勢,但能否企穩10天和20天線之上,仍要在年假後多看兩三天.周初恆指失守50天線,並跌近100天線時,筆者指出無須看得太淡,因為港股先於美股進行調整,而且由1月19日高位24434回落至本周一低位23286,已下跌了1148點,並已調整了先前的年尾升浪的56%。

唯一料不到的是,美股走勢較想像中強勁,道指周二急升148點,不但重越12000,更創出12050的30個月新高,而且是自2008年中以來首次收於12000點之上。

美股周二急升,主要受供應管理協會製造業數據較預期為佳的利好因素刺激。不過,美國還有其他經濟數據公布,包括新申領失業救濟金人數、生產力、工廠訂單、供應管理協會非製造業指數,以及最重要的非農業職位。所以,道指能否企穩12000之上,仍看這些數據,而港股在下周一能否新年紅盤高開,就要看未來兩天的美股表現。

迎接兔年,筆者也嘗試給大家一隻「利是股」,就是中國平安(2318)。展望今年中國進入加息周期,將有利保險股。而且,去年A股表現令人失望,如果今年急起直追,達到個人的預期目標3400,亦將利好保險股(在進入加息周期初段,股市和利率可以同步上升)。

平保去年業績表現良好,累計規模保費收入同比增長31%。年,平安壽險、平安財險、平安健康險及平安養老險保收入分為1590億、621億、2億和5億元。而附屬平安證券的未經審核淨利潤則為15.85億元,同比增長48%。

其股價由去年11月高位96.25元回落,跌至周三最低位76.4元,已跌去近20元,跌幅超過20%,相信再下跌空間有限。個人預期今年目標最少可見回95元,現價買入,潛在升幅超過20%。

--downloaded from yahoo.com.hk finance section

the sentence in bold means the writer did not expect the us market to surge up this week.i think the writer should read my blog and see how i predict why this week us mkt MUST up--because its simply the LAST,10th week of the upleg
REMEMBER my 10th week gains cannot > 1st week gains?

last week closing was 1278 for sp500 hence by today's closing, i project sp500 to be flat,down or up BUT closing not > 1315
To those who want to learn more from me,i just charge 100sgd per hour for stockmarket advice..but teaching is NEVER my fulltime job,I ONLY DO ON WEEKENDS.

those interested please send me a comment.

thanks

yours sincerely

SHARESWIZARD
CAN U SAY AMEN TO THE SHARESWIZARD?

YESTERDAY SHORTED SUGAR,TONIGHT PLUNGE 10%!!!!!

LOOK AT MY GODLY TIMING!!

AM i NOSTRADAMUS?

Thursday, February 3, 2011

英明智富 2月 2日 星期三
再談「看見別人看不到」
作者: 黃國英 (內容由Quamnet提供)


舊作《值博率煉金術》嘗言:「投資投機,似易實難,源於思考過程,很多時與正常人的思維,剛剛好調轉」,要「看見別人看不到」,才能致富。有些讀者,閱畢仍不明,故再作解釋。



海嘯後,零息加通脹,人的思想、行為,潛移默化。正如陶冬先生所言:「零息,逼良為娼」: 一普通打工仔來函,近日心急如焚,何解?擔心通脹。父母皆退休,積蓄不厚,零息年代,早受打擊。傳媒報章,關於通脹報道,鋪天蓋地,情緒深受牽動,憂心父母生活,終歸無以為計,急問抗通脹良法,冒險亦在所不計。另同事換樓,先沽後買,加班夜歸,幾檯買家,竟在門外守候。叫高市價過成,睇樓十五分鐘,交易立成,快過賣菜。買家甘冒風險,屈指一算,稅前租金回報只四厘多,扣除管理費、差餉、地租、物業稅和利息,實收不足三釐,再扣通脹,回報實為負數。



查實通脹之勢,早已形成多時,國內CPI, 節節上升;人民幣升值,國內輸入日用品、食物價格,水漲船高,不在話下。奇就奇在普羅大眾,到今時今日,才「恍然大悟」。去年三月,已寫過:「未來數年, 會是通脹?還是通縮?這個問題掌握得好,往後幾年的投資回報,才有望理想。」建議買入鈀金及地產,作資產配置。年底,仍不斷呼籲買入房地產基金(REITS),「REITS 即TIPS(通脹掛鈎債券),結果…



普通人永不能低買高沽,只因「眼見方為實」:定要看見「實質」「證據」,如傳媒繪聲繪影、感情洋溢的報道,以及股價、交易量抽升,方「恍然大悟」,繼而急速行動。但到全世界都「恍然大悟」,股價早已全面反映,往往是開到茶靡之時。近例:《頭條日報》越印越厚,廣告益多,不難明白。低位乏人問津,到發現Bolton入股,「都話星島(1105)係好,又破頂,殺呀!」結果$3.17跌到$2.53,捱價不絕。「恍然大悟」一刻,實為最兇險之時。「人人讚好影都無」,其理在此。



投資高手,必具察覺大趨勢「大風起於萍末」之能力。七四年,日本衰退、石油危機,政府削支,水泥業受創極深。七六年,是川銀藏憑空推論,政府必興土木、創就業、振經濟,水泥必否極泰來。



立收集六億日圓日本水泥,時水泥股可謂「霉到無朋友」,連公司總經理,都不信有此「善長仁翁」,急探聽是川是否別有所圖。是川判定無人能看見未發生之事,悠然買進。年底,新內閣上台,果真大興土木,水泥價量齊升。翌年,是川終大賺五倍離場,高追接貨就輸五成。



「看見別人看不到」,「舉世滔滔都向東,就我一人偏向西」,低位悠然買盡,高位迅速賣出,為是川過人之處。但知易行難,眼光、耐性、注碼調配,缺一不可。吾生有涯,而股無涯,屢錯後,冀求終悟。 (客戶持有星島)

WHAT DOES THE SENTENCE IN BOLD SAYS?

LAYMEN WILL NEVER BUY LOWS BECAUSE THEY OBEY NEWS AND WANT TO SEE RISING,THEN FOLLOW.

BY THEN ITS THE END!

then they will blame EVERYBODY else BUT themselves.

for example, a businessman i talk to can never get it right then oil price goes up DOES NOT MEAN oil stocks MUST go up.

in mar09,i said stckmarket lowest (dont believe me,please see my 09 posts)
WHO BELIEVES ME?some think im crazy.my Fucked up relative told me he wants to wait for safety,willing to forego a premium.BUT HE NEVER EXPECTED THAT the premium will be so huge!! A NEAR 100% RISE IN STI in just 4-5months!

SO FOR

THOSE WHO NOW DONT ENTER,SAY HIGH
+ IN MAR09 LOWEST ALSO DONT ENTER,HAVE 1001 EXCUSES

PLEASE TAKE A VIBRATOR AND ENTER YOURSELF(OR SHOULD I BUY 1 FOR YOU???)
THE STOCKMARKET IS NOT FOR PUSSIES LIKE YOU
(please note:im not saying there will not be any drops,corrections or retracements,BUT STCKMKT IS STILL CHEAP in jan2011

THERE WILL BE an IMPENDING retracement of 6pc starting from next week starting feb 7 2011)
SUMMARY OF MY TRADES

sold silver at 28.4 today,waiting for the drop to 26.

shorted more sugar at 35.60!!HUAT AH!!average price 35!!i love it!!today 36.08 touch the upper resistance trendline AGAIN!!

Wednesday, February 2, 2011

stockmarket is a very funny place

on monday night,usmkt up around 0.7pc,tuesday afternoon,hangseng up only 0.1pc,china up 0.3pc

last nite,usmkt up 1.6pc,today hangseng can up 1.8pc!!!??

TODAY SO CLEAR IT IS A TRAP!! hangseng will reverse pretty soon, tally with sp500 timing at 24.2K VS 1320 in 11th week-12th week of this 6th 10week,next 2 weeks after this week

sti up 0.8pc,hangseng up 1.8pc today make the percentage to supports at 3030 and 22400 same!!--approx 6pc!! from around 24100s hsi,sti 3230

VERY VERY FAKE INDEED!!hahahaha
GONG HEI FATT CHOY TO FELLOW WIZARDS OF MY BLOG!!

24k CLOSING IN HANGSENG IS EXPECTED!!next week is 11th week..be very careful after the new year us mkt drop!!

WHEN RATIOS TALLY,IT WILL HAPPEN!!

but the only concern is will sti break 3120?? when hsi,sp500 test 22.4K and 1220 respectively????

if STI were to break 3120,hangseng and sp500 will have to retest 22.4K-23K and sp500 1200-1250 for the 3rd time!!

After studying sti WEEKLY technicals,sti looks poised to break 3120 ,target 3037,the previous highs april 2010 and august 2010

so what does shareswizard say for the coming month after CNY?

1. there will be a 6pc drop for sp500,hsi,sti to the respective 1220s,22400s,3030s

2.NEXT will come THE 7th 10week upleg for sp500 again which will take sp500 to the NEXT HIGHER FIB of 1576-666 range at 1381,78.6pc.
WHY?
this 6th 10week,ending this friday,4th february 2011 motive will be only to >61.8pc,so judging by all past 10week uplegs:

1st 9week upleg: > 23.6pc
2nd 10week upleg: > 38.2pc
3rd 10week upleg: > 50pc
4th 10week upleg: = 61.8pc
5th 10week upleg: = 61.8pc
6th 10week upleg: SHOULD BE > 61.8pc,around 1320s,UNLESS MADNESS HAPPEN WHICH TAKES SP500 TO 1380 IN THE LAST 3DAYS!something that never has happened in the past 5 10weeks:10th week gains NEVER > 1st week gain(1st week of 6th 10week up 2.9pc)

HENCE whenever a 10week upleg CLOSES > fib,it will go on to NEXT higher fib on the next 10week upleg.

JUDGING BY THE RATIOS TO THE SUPPORT, ALL 3 PARTNERS TALLY,sti,hsi,sp500!!!24000 to 22400 for hsi, 3220-3030 for sti,1320-1220 for sp500

hence i already know what formation will they play...

A HORIZONTAL BAND consolidation for hsi from 24K to 22.4K, sp500 from 1320-1220s and sti will break the 3120,go to 3030s, and will need A DOUBLE RETEST minimum to end the DROP..

AFTER THE SP5000 NEXT 10WEEK UPLEG,7TH 10WEEK UPLEG,

sp500,hsi will have to hover at the 22.4K to 23K ,sp500 at the 1200-1250 region for the THIRD TIME just to wait for sti to ACHIEVE minimum ONE positive divergence at 3030s in weekly charts..

PLEASE NOTE: a + / - 1,2pc DEVIATION from my target of 22400 hsi,3030sti,1230sp500 is very normal for stockmarkets as there will be big drops for the CAPITULATIONS to start.even if hsi go to 22K,sp500 to 1200,sti to 2980,IM STILL NOT WRONG
wah hangseng very fake return to 23800s when sp500 was at 1299 last thursday!!

today hangseng at 23800s,sp500 at 1307!!very similar

the ratio tally man!!

23800s-22400,1400 points,6pc

1320-1230,6pc
this is to celebrate today's viewers of 25 today!!

THANKS FOR ALL YOUR SUPPORT...

Viewers of my blog has been steadily rising in numbers,have INCREASED 10times comparing month on month since i update frequently in june2010

THE MORE YOU SUPPORT ME,THE MORE HARDWORKING I WILL BE IN UPDATING MY BLOG EVERY DAY!!

i love u guys!

P.S. this is not a TABLOID nor a gossip blog,ITS for those who want to see the light of the financial markets and thus economy
ATTENTION FANS!

stockmarket is very easy.
AFTER 7years in the market,stockmarket is a well planned ahead algorithm.U go against it,u LOSE.u go with it, U WIN.

IT'S NOT DESIGNED TO PURPOSELY CAUSE INDIVIDUAL MR. A to lose money on that day.
It's designed to make economic recoveries,booms,dooms,recessions,depressions SO THAT "somebody"(u know who) can scoop "CHEAP stuff".

It's designed to make both longs and shorts from "somebody" able to earn $ by "FORCING" out a recovery to be able to dump to idiots when their jobs are secured and fat bonuses come in, OR a crises to "FORCE" idiots to sell to them 10YEAR once GREAT SALE back due to margin calls,etc.

IT IS VERY SIMPLE...forex,commodity,and stockmarket all go hand in hand...
IM SO PROUD TO SEE THE LIGHT AT AGE 32!!
The TOPIC OF MY LECTURE TODAY date 2nd jan 2011

WHY HANGSENG cannot rise in 9th week when even sp500 rises in 9th and 10th week?

why is this FACT very crucial????

IT TELLS US

1. HANGSENG support at 22.4K is also as crucial as sp500 support at 1230.
Last week,9th week,sp500 went up from 1283 to 1299,on last Thursday,Only to see friday plunge back to 1277.
hangseng 8th week closing was 23876,last thursday was 23779,before last friday when hangseng dropped in afternoon EVEN BEFORE us mkt drop at night---INSIDER INFO?????
OR they use my 10week theory+unable to reach 1346 by last fri closing to sell off 1st?
WHY CANT HANGSENG rally when sp500 up 1.2pc,hangseng even drop 0.5pc...?

tomorrow hangseng will up to about 23620 MAX,sp500 will close this friday at around 1310...

lets see the ratios to hangseng 22.4K and sp500 1230 from current 23620 and sp500 at 1310.
EXACTLY 6PC!!!!

PLEASE NOTE:in stockmarket it is very easy to off +/- 1+pc?thus u cant say im wrong when hangseng go to 22k,sp500 to 1200..

2.THUS after knowing the ratios TALLY,im VERY convinced we are in for a 6-8pc RETRACEMENT,not even a CORRECTION in february 2011.

AS TO THE FORMATION OF THE CONSOLIDATION OR RETRACEMENT,ITS UP TO THE OPERATOR ALGORITHM TO SHOW ME some HINTS 1st.

Tuesday, February 1, 2011

POWER OF THE 10TH WEEK OF SP500!!!!!UP NO MATTER WHAT million MAN RIOTS!!be careful of 11th week

CAN NEWS BE TRUSTED??COME ON STOCK MARKET IS BEING PUSHED UP OR DOWN DUE TO PLANNED PATTERNS LONG TIME AGO...BAD,GOOD NEWS WONT CHANGE THE macro PATTERN

NEWS
CNBC: Egyptians Seek Million-Strong March to Oust Mubarak
Published: Tuesday, 1 Feb 2011 | 1:34 AM ET Text Size

BUT FUTURES UP!!!

S&P 500 1month
FUTURES FUTURES FAIR VALUE (+0.22)

1286.12 1285.5 +3.10 1282.62 1285.5 +2.88
UPDATE ON CHINA AFTER CHINESE NEW YEAR!

A banker friend asks me to update on china.

ok.i will do it right now.

shanghai composite SSE always has a "HABIT" of building bases with timing of round number,eg.3,4months

this base started at NOV 15 2010.and since china is closed from 2-8 feb 2010,this push up BEFORE CNY is expected.

It follows a trend to BREAK THE HORIZONTAL BASE resistance upwards at ROUND NUMBER timings.this base the resistance is 2894.

HOW MANY DAYS TO FEB15-22?after deducting the public holidays,im afraid only 5-10working days to push up to 2894.

SCENARIO

1: CHINA BREAK and close above THE DOWNWARD SLOPING RESISTANCE TRENDLINE,2800 right after CNY,and go above 2850,then i PROMISED SSE will test 2894 BY feb 15-22 2011.

2: Today, 1st feb 2011 sse closing is not purely by luck,coincidence.2800 IS THE DOWNWARD RESISTANCE TRENDLINE.if it fails to close above 2800,then im afraid WILL WASTE MORE TIME by going down to 2637 AND THAT WILL BE FINAL low.(of course+/-1pc approx 2600).then the base will take 4 months to even march 15-22 2011

3. If sse goes above 2800 after CNY BUT fails to close above 2850 THEN its also one way down to 2637.

PICK YOUR CHOICE..shareswizard says so at 1st feb 2011..trade at your own risk tolerance.shareswizard says case 3,case 1 more probable.SSE set to break 2800 after CNY but all depends whether it can break 2850
SO FAR ALL MY TRADES ARE DAMN SPOT ON!!

1.SUGAR short at 34.4, 1+mth later, still below 34.4

2. shanghai long at 2697+2720=average 2710s TODAY 2790

3. Silver long at 27.54 LAST WEEK,TODAY 28.4

I NEVER GO IN, GO OUT.I GO IN AT "GOLDEN CHANCES" AND STAY THERE TILL MY TARGET BEEN REACHED
AS I TOLD YOU SO:EGYPT WILL BE A ONE DAY THING IN 10TH WEEK but WILL RETURN in 11th week

CNBC:Markets Recover As Earnings, Deals Overshadow Egypt



prepare for the 10th week

the gains for sp500 in this week will be <2.9pc for the entire week.

dont be tricked to enter.

next week,11th week, sp500 may go higher to 1320s BUT its ready for reversal at ANY day in the 11th week!BE PREPARED!

NOTE:Although sp500 trend is 10weeks upleg,THE max can also be hit in the 11th week.
WHAT TYPE OF FORMATION FOR THE RETRACEMENT,I DONT KNOW YET.

1.It can be a double top at 1320s can revisit in any weeks AFTER the drop in 11th week

2. It can be a flag formation

3. It can be a horizontal band formation like in the resting period 2 and resting period 1

4. It can be ascending wedge

ANYTHING!!BUT the lows of this RETRACEMENT starting at 11th week WILL SOMEHOW "TALLY" with the timing HANGSENG reach 22.5K-23K region

AFTER THE OPERATORS PLAY OUT THE FORMATION,i will then be able to see AFTER much clearer