but before this prophecy comes true,10435 must clear--meaning close above-by this week

THIS ARTICLE SAYS IN SHORT---FUCKING IDIOTS DONT TURN BULLISH AND ENTER, THE RALLY WILL NEVER END!!!
WHY?BECAUSE THE STOCK MARKET IS NEVER CONTROLLED BY FUCKING IDIOTS.IT IS CONTROLLED BY LIFT OPERATORS.FUCKING IDIOTS WHO ONLY WAIT FOR ECONOMY TO RECOVER THEN ENTER TO BUY WILL THEN BE MADE USE FOR SHORTING BY THE LIFT OPERATORS......

downloaded from CNBC WEBSITE

What's Kept the Rally Going? Investor Fear, Not Confidence
Published: Monday, 16 Nov 2009 3:04 PM ET
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By: Jeff CoxCNBC.com
As strange as it might seem, the eight-month-old stock rally may just keep going because so many investors still think it won't last.
Photo: Oliver Quillia for CNBC.com
A trader at the New York Stock Exchange.
Investment advisors say clients continue to view stocks with hesitancy and skepticism—a vestige of the panic that swept through the markets just a year ago. But that fear, ironically, has kept stocks from going up too far, too fast—allowing the market to move gradually higher as investors creep timidly back into stocks.
"We're seeing a lot of evidence that they're buying this rally with a lot of apprehension,"says Richard Sparks, senior analyst at Schaeffer's Investment Research in Cincinnati. "We would interpret that pessimism and apprehension in a positive way."
Jeff CoxStaff WriterCNBC.com
As major indexes continue to reach fresh highs—the crossing Monday of 1100 on the Standard & Poor's 500 marks the latest hurdle—conviction that the rally can keep going builds.
"The buying's not getting out of hand. The more controlled a rally is, the more sustainable it is," says Sparks, who expects small- and mid-cap technology to lead the market. "At least in terms of earnings and the economic numbers that are coming out, I would expect we should see a strong, steady rally to continue through at least year's end."
Market watchers are eyeing a few key milestones coming up as tests for the rest of 2009, a year that began with freefalling stocks and looks to end with a better than 60 percent rally.
This is an options expiration week, which a year ago was bad for the market and saw a sharp drop. But seven of the past 12 options expirations weeks have seen gains.
Also, technicians are looking at S&P 1120 as a key level because it represents a two-thirds rebound off the March lows when the broad-based market gauge hit an intraday low of 666.
Should the market pass both tests, that could give a boost to investors' spirits and pave the way for a solid run to close out the year.

"It is difficult to understand why 10,291 on the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which was the close on November 11, can make people feel better about stocks than 9,802, which was the close on Nov. 4," managers at Al Frank Investment Management, a value-based firm in Laguna Beach, Calif., wrote in an analysis this week.
"Seems logical that the less expensive stocks are, the more attractive they would be, but such is not always the case with fear and greed playing such a huge role in investor sentiment."
Questions over market volume persist, though, as portfolio managers continue to try to protect clients' interests and as much of the trading seems to be driven by institutional influences rather than retail investors.
The lack of volume as well as weak breadth—the measure of gainers over losers—is feeding some fear that a substantial correction looms before the market can continue its path to new highs.
"Current volume patterns are a sign of money shifting from strong hands to weak hands ..." BofA Merrill Lynch said in a research note Monday. "This condition can remain in place for weeks, if not months, causing choppy equity markets. The key message the market is signaling, in our view, is this is a maturing rally, not the early stages of one."
The firm warned that the market could see a correction that would send the S&P to 935, albeit a constructive move that would pave the way to a 1200-1325 range for 2010.
An additional worry is over dollar trends.
The US currency's sharp decline has been seen as the lynchpin of the stock market rally. But some analysts fear that the greenback is approaching a point of diminishing returns where further weakness will start to sap confidence in the market.
"Eventually the dollar's going to get to a level where it's going to be bad for the markets," says Dave Rovelli, managing director of US equity trading at Canaccord Adams.

Rovelli sees that coming should the dollar index (track the gauge here) hit 70—a steep decline considering that the level is currently just above 75. But with government officials showing no indication that strong-dollar policies are forthcoming, the currency's decline at least in some measure is virtually assured.
At least for the moment—and likely through the end of the year—there's little indication anyone is willing to stand in front of the Wall Street freight train.
"The key question at this point is whether new leadership will emerge. Will volume and breadth come to confirm this rally, or are we nearing a near-term peak here?" says Gary Flam, portfolio manager at Bel Air Investment Advisors in Los Angeles.
"At this point it's too early to say the market is topping...I'm being cautious about the market at these levels. I'm not looking to invest heavily and jump into the deep end on the risk perspective. I'm still hanging out in the shallow end."

technicals once again rule!!!

let us see how asia react tomorrow morning...

this is the start of a young bull market..only 7 months old..

average bull market lasts for 43 months,some longer ,some shorter

make full use of this ten year once nonsense--u miss it, u will be ten years older by the next crisis

march 12th 2009--dow rose 3.5percent, mercator rose on march 13th 2009--8.6PERCENT,1c

april 29th, dow rose 2.1percent,mercator rose on april 30th 2cents--13.8percent!!

july 15th,dow rose 3percent,mercator rose on july 14th 4.5cent--16percent

sept 3, dow rose 0.7percent, mercator rose on sept 3rd--2.5c--7.5percent

OCT5TH, dow rose 1.2percent,mercator rose on oct 6th-1.7percent

tomorrow---NOV 10th, 2009--mercator should test minimum 32
IF BREAK OUT 32c, THE RESISTANCE OF THE TRIANGLE,SUCCESSFULLY ON HEAVY VOLUME--MIN TARGET THE HEIGHT OF THE TRIANGLE--20C!!!!!add to 44.5c highest---

64.5C TARGET!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

As yangzijiang will be the 4th time testing 1.07, high chance of breaking it--
next tgt 1.30 fibonnacci

MERCATOR will be definitely be in the chase as it is the BEST shipping stock in performance on the rebound on march 12th, apr 29th, july13th, sept2nd, oct 5th.
32.5c will definitely break and next should be with yang to test 38c

NOL will be still the lousiest of the three.....

I REGRETTED NOT DISCOVERING THIS EARLIER

NEW VERDICT:

FIRST: MERCATOR
SECOND: YANGZIJIANG
third:NOL

im once again proven right that NOL is the lousiest SHIPPING COMPANY of the three.

surprisingly, YANGZIJIANG TOO...........!!!!!!!!!!!

mar 12th 2009

yzj from 36c, march 12th to highest april 16th 54.5c--gain of 51.3percent

April 28th 2009

YZJ from april 28th, lowest 43c to highest june 4th 2009, 87.5c--gain of 103.5percent

July13th 2009

YZJ from july 13th lowest 73.5c to aug 27th 2009 highest 1.05--gain of 42.85percent

sept 2nd 2009

YZJ from sept 2nd lowest 96.5 to sept 10th 2009 1.07--gain of 10.89percent

oct 5th 2009

YZJ from oct 5th lowest 91c to oct 15th 2009, 1.07--gain of 17.59percent

I UNRAVEL THE MYSTERY OF THE STOCKMARKET AND I FOUND OUT THAT BOTH NOL AND MERCATOR LIFT OPERATORS ARE THE SAME GROUP

mARCH12TH,2009--BOTH HIT BOTTOM and surge up

NOL--march 12th to april 14th,2009--LOWEST--76.8c to 1.463,gain of 90.5percent

MERCATOR--march 12th to april 16th 2009--lowest 11.5c to highest 17.5c, gain of 52.2percent

verdict:NOL WINS

APRIL 29TH,2009--both hit bottom and surge up--

NOL--april 29th to june 3rd 2009--lowest--1.02 to 1.644 highest,gain of 61.2percent

Mercator--april 6th to june 2nd 2009--lowest--13c to 44.5c highest,WHOPPING gain of 242.3percent

verdict:NOL KENA THRASHED,mercator CLEARLY WINS

JULY 13TH,2009-both hit bottom and surge up--

NOL--july 13th to august 4th RANGE: lowest 1.36 to 1.82 highest:gain--33.9percent

mercator--july 13th to july 27th RANGE:26c lowest to 39.5c highest:gain--51.9percent

verdict--MERCATOR wins again

SEPT 2ND, 2009--BOTH HIT BOTTOM AND WENT UP:

NOL-- sept 2, to sept 9th Range: lowest 1.60 to 1.98 highest, gain--23.75percent

mercator--sept 2nd to sept 4th RANGE: lowest--32.5c to highest 37.5c--gain: 15.4 percent

verdict: NOL wins

oct 5th, 2009--both hit bottom and surge up

NOL--oct5th to oct 15th:Range--lowest 1.61 to highest 1.81 gain--12.4 percent

mercator--oct 5th to oct 20th:range--lowest 29c to highest 34.5c,gain--19percent

verdict:MERCATOR wins

ALTHOUGH THE FORMATIONS ARE DIFFERENT BUT THE DAY BOTH HIT TRENDLINES SURE TO REBOUND FROM THE BOTTOM OF THE TRENDLINE OF THE FORMATIONS...

BOTH HIT ON NOV 5TH,2009,although NOL is slightly higher, about 1c away,0.07percent away from the trendline,BUT IT IS ROUGHLY AT THAT POINT

VERDICT--due to stronger balancesheet for MERCATOR than NOL--mercator wins NOL 3-2, BUT THE MARGINS OF VICTORY clearly surpasses NOL

WATCH FOR THE STRONG REBOUND UP FOR BOTH COMPANIES AT THE SAME TIME---

IT IS COMING VERY SOON..

words said on nov 8th sunday, 2009

YOURS SINCERELY

SHARESWIZARD

may i present to you 3 pieces of kelong evidence from the stock market---hope you enjoy them...min target tonite sp must cross 1065, bullish 1070.OVER.

MONDAYS COMMENT--FUCK THE US MANIPULATORS STINGY SMALL COCK BASTARDS...

everything i predict so acccurate even the drop to fridays lows, but i told myself, THE SMALL COCK BASTARDS CANT BE SO STINGY THAT EVEN A 0.6% GAP ALSO MUST REACH THERE?they are really THAT STINGY..

FUCK THEM A MILLION TIMES.over.

CHART OF THE DAY

what a difference wednesday and friday makes--JUST 7 POINTS!!WHY DONT THEY just MAKE WEDNESDAY CLOSE THERE?

IN SIX WORKING DAYS TIME starting 30th oct 2009, HSI WILL REACH 22600 TO 23600.

HIGHLY RECOMMENDED!!!

plus STI 2.6K i have been aiming for weeks--THIS TIME STI WILL BE TESTING 2.7k FOR THE 4TH TIME WAVE COUNT, AND WILL SMASH IT BY NEXT WEEK!!

CATALYST--FOMC

I HAVE LOADED VERY HEAVILY FOR THIS FIERCE MOVE UPWARDS, i bought 400 lots of HSI CW mbl ecw 091126 AT AVE PX 26C, if tonite US rocket up 2pc, i will add another 200 lots tomorrow morning.OVER. ITS TIME TO WHACK 50K SGD PROFIT!!!i have been waiting for this chance patiently and for weeks!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

WEEKS WITHOUT INCOME!!!!!!!!!!

WHACK THE BLOODY 2.7K

DATED 29TH OCTOBER 2009

These Shipping Stocks Have Room to Run: Maritime Expert
Published: Tuesday, 27 Oct 2009 12:58 PM ET
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By: JeeYeon ParkCNBC News Associate
The Baltic Dry Index, a leading economic indicator used by market insiders to gauge gloobal demand for goods, is up 300 percent, quadrupling in value. Does it have more room to run and what does it say about the overall economy? Doug Mavrinac, head of maritime research at Jeffries, shared his insights.
“The index is a relatively good predictor and indicator of where the economy is,” Mavrinac told CNBC.
“Based on where rates are today, it’s not oversupplied and the increase that we’ve seen today is primarily due to the Chinese importing record levels of iron ore and of coal. So it’s fairly indicative of what’s going on globally.”
Mavrinac said the dry bulk shipping stocks still have more room to run.
“It’s important to make the distinction between the container shipping companies and the dry-bulk shipping companies,” he said.
“The container shipping industry is one where it is plagued by overcapacity…But in the dry-bulk shipping market, it’s a much different market.”
Recommendations:
Mavrinac is “overweight” the Dry Bulk Shipping sector and has a “buy” rating on Diana Shipping
cnbc_comboQuoteMove('popup_DSX_ID0EIGAC15839609');
[DSX 13.68 -0.24 (-1.72%) ]
cnbc_quoteComponent_init_getData("DSX","WSODQ_COMPONENT_DSX_ID0EIGAC15839609","WSODQ","true","ID0EIGAC15839609","off","false","inLineQuote");

, Genco Shipping
cnbc_comboQuoteMove('popup_GNK_ID0EPLAC15839609');
[GNK 20.76 -1.20 (-5.46%) ]
cnbc_quoteComponent_init_getData("GNK","WSODQ_COMPONENT_GNK_ID0EPLAC15839609","WSODQ","true","ID0EPLAC15839609","off","false","inLineQuote");

, and a “hold” rating on Dryships
cnbc_comboQuoteMove('popup_DRYS_ID0EZAAE15839609');
[DRYS 6.37 -0.52 (-7.55%) ]
cnbc_quoteComponent_init_getData("DRYS","WSODQ_COMPONENT_DRYS_ID0EZAAE15839609","WSODQ","true","ID0EZAAE15839609","off","false","inLineQuote");

highly recommended!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

a recap--those who know me before march 2009 will probably have received my messages.mar 18th 2009 was the day i invented ZACK's theory of stockmarket manipulation in a downtrend to identify the market's final bottom.i keep my sms as proof so that those who do not know me then and doubt me, i will show it to you in person.thanks all.

i wonder why the analysts keep on saying that 2700 is safe entry, why not 1455????OR 1500s??
WHY AT THAT TIME NO ONE IS SO BULLISH OTHER THAN ME?
that is because i saw THE SAME TREND IN ALL DOWN TRENDS, namely 1998, 2001, 2003 and now.

THANKS FOR YOUR SUPPORT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

YESTERDAY DROP WAS EXPECTED..it drop out of the diagonal uptrend line but should maintain in that range to 10100--the base of the inverse h and S should provide enough support.

IF IM NOT WRONG, THE US FUTURES ON MONDAY SHOULD BE UP.IF US FUTURES ARE DOWN, IT WILL BE THE USUAL TRICK, US MKT SHOULD OPEN LOWER THEN GO ALL THE WAY UP.

YOURS SINCERELY

look at the KELONGNESS!!!

SP 500 HAS TO SURGE PAST 1120 , BOTH FIB AND THE UPTREND RESISTANCE LINE MERGING TOGETHER, COUPLED WITH STI KELONG HINT OF SO MANY RESISTANCES SO CLOSE TOGETHER MAKES ME HIGHLY CONFIDENT OF A SURGE UP IN ONE DAY OF ABOUT 3 TO 5 PERCENT TO DEMOLISH THESE RESISTANCES ALL AT ONCE.

my darling PINPOINT HEDGE FUND NEWS IN THE MEDIA:

Sept 2009


2 Pinpoint Funds Nominated for 8th AsiaHedge Annual Awards

September 24, 2009


We are pleased to announce that Pinpoint China Fund and Pinpoint Asia Strategies Fund have been nominated for this year’s AsiaHedge awards.


Pinpoint China Fund was nominated in the category of best “China” fund, and Pinpoint Asia Strategies Fund was nominated in the category of best “Multi Strategy” fund. Awards results will be announced on 22nd October in Hong Kong.

While the awards’ nominee and winner selection methodology* is one of many ways to assess hedge fund quality, we appreciate the acknowledgement by AsiaHedge Awards of our funds’ performance over the last year which included some very difficult times. The Pinpoint team are proud of such achievements and continue to do our best to build upon them. We are also very grateful for the continuing support from all our investors.




* - Winners are decided using an established methodology based upon a combination of Sharpe Ratios and returns over the relevant time period. Nominations are decided by those funds that achieve the strongest Sharpe Ratios over the 12 months prior to the event (from October 2008 through the end of September 2009), so long as they also beat the median returns in their relevant peer groups. The eventual winners will be funds which achieve the best returns, as long as they also achieve Sharpe Ratios within 25% of the best of the nominees. All funds wishing to be considered must also have a reputable, independendent third party administrator.

AUG 2009
Pinpoint Funds Beat Peers With China Stocks, Bonds (Update1)
Share Email Print A A A
By Bei Hu
Aug. 25 (Bloomberg) -- Pinpoint Investment Advisor Ltd., a hedge fund manager of $560 million, returned as much as four times its Asian peers this year through July with profits from a rebound in Chinese stocks and debt securities.
The $70 million Pinpoint Opportunities Fund, which gained 85 percent in the period, invested about half its assets in convertible and high-yield bonds, including those of Chinese property developers, said Duanmu Yongshan, Pinpoint’s Hong Kong- based chief marketing officer. The $300 million Pinpoint China Fund returned nearly 51 percent in the period, he said.
Stock-focused hedge funds, the hardest hit in Asia amid last year’s market slump, are leading the recovery in 2009. The Eurekahedge Asia Long/Short Equities Hedge Fund Index returned 19 percent this year through July, the best-performing strategy among eight tracked by the Singapore-based data provider. The index fell 22 in 2008, the worst since at least 2000.
“We think fundamentals will play an increasingly more important role relative to liquidity for the second half,” said Duanmu in an interview on Aug. 24.
The China Fund, which targets companies with a market value of more than $2 billion in Greater China, bet on a recovery in Chinese property and banking stocks it bought, he said. He declined to name specific companies.
Falling Volatility
The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, which tracks 43 Chinese companies listed in Hong Kong, rose 48 percent this year after losing 51 percent of its value last year.
The funds’ gains this year showed “the fundamentals-drive approach is still richly rewarded by the market when it is not in a panic mode,” said Duanmu.
The 100-day price volatility of the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index more than halved after reaching its highest in at least nine years in January, Bloomberg data show.
Pinpoint China Fund, led by the company’s Chief Investment Officer Wang Qiang and Huang Yong, lost 35 percent of its net asset value last year, the first annual loss since its June 2005 birth. The Opportunities Fund, started in August 2007 and overseen by Huang and Rubin Jiang, declined 43 percent in 2008, according to investor newsletters. The fund focuses on small- and medium-sized Greater China companies.
“Fundamental-driven research is always relevant, but last year showed people that you cannot rely on fundamentals alone,” said Simon Potter, a Hong Kong-based investment analyst with Triple A Partners Ltd., which provides startup capital and marketing services to hedge funds.
Property, Banking
The China Fund achieved the gains this year with about 50 percent net exposure -- the difference between the amount that funds wager on rising and falling stocks -- said Duanmu. More than half of the fund’s return in the first half was driven by investments in the Chinese property, banking and internet gaming industries, he added.
Pinpoint from November through the first quarter ramped up investments in Chinese property companies, which had been battered last year by the global market rout as well as increased domestic taxes and interest rates to curb overheating in the industry.
“We felt the industry was seriously undervalued,” said Duanmu. “We live in China and could follow regional situation and statistics more closely. We beat the market to it.”
Hong Kong-quoted shares of Sino-Ocean Land Holdings Ltd., Beijing’s largest developer, more than doubled this year after slumping 64 percent in 2008. Shares of Agile Property Holdings Ltd., a Guangzhou-based builder listed in Hong Kong, surged 138 percent this year.
Bonds
The funds started to build up investments in Chinese banking stocks in the first quarter as de-leveraging and market panic forced other investors to sell, Duanmu said. They also brought shares in Chinese internet gaming companies, betting on increasing popularity of their products and services, he said.
Convertible and other bonds accounted for 63 percent of the Opportunities Fund’s investments and 68 percent of profits in the month of June, according to a Pinpoint investor newsletter. The fund had no bond holdings before October 2008, Duanmu said. About half of its convertible bond holdings were issued by Chinese property developers, he added.
JPMorgan’s Asia non-investment grade credit index gained 33 percent this year after last year’s 18 percent decline.
The rally prompted Pinpoint to free investors in the Opportunities Fund from July 1 from a two-year lockup of their investments introduced at the beginning of the year. It also reopened the Opportunities Fund to new investors.
Both funds sold borrowed shares of Chinese building materials makers, such as producers of cement, believing they’re overvalued with an unattractive business model under pressure from increasing competition, Duanmu said.
Pinpoint trimmed its banking and property-related investments in the second quarter after their recent rallies and instead increased investments in consumption-related industries less affected by overall market moves. It also swapped some of its stock holdings for bonds issued by the same companies to protect itself from an equity market correction, Duanmu added.
To contact the reporter on this story: Bei Hu in Hong Kong at bhu5@bloomberg.net Last Updated: August 25, 2009 00:01 EDT

May 2009


Rising China Fund ranked Top 1 by Eurekahedge in 2008
Rising China Fund has been ranked 1st place by Eurekahedge among commodity funds with the yearly net return +70.85%; annualized return +66.80%; andsharpe ratio +2.02 .
Data source: Eurekahedge, Asian hedge fund database as of Jan 30, 2009


April 2009

Pinpoint China Fund Joins Credit Suisse/Tremont Hedge Fund Index

We are pleased to announce that Pinpoint China Fund has been selected to become a constituent fund in the Credit Suisse/Tremont Hedge Fund Index effective April 2009.

Pinpoint China Fund became the second Pinpoint-managed hedge fund, after our Rising China Fund, to be included in this widely recognized industry index. Rigorous reporting standards are required of index member funds, including monthly performance disclosure and audited financial statements.

In addition to being a member of the main hedge fund index, Pinpoint China Fund is also a member of the Credit Suisse/Tremont LEA Index and the Credit Suisse/Tremont LEA Asia Index. Rising China Fund is also a member of the Credit Suisse/Tremont Emerging Markets Index.

This event highlights again the leading position of Pinpoint China Fund among Greater China-focused hedge funds. It also represents another industry recognition of Pinpoint’s sound business practices and success.


HISTORY OF PINPOINT

PinPoint 是一家为高端客户提供一系列选择性（包括Equity 和Commodity）投资产品的优秀资产管理机构。 公司的投资理念是：我们认为金融市场，特别是亚洲市场不是完全有效的。因此我们可以通过深入的研究和合理的分析取得超值回报。我们崇尚价值投资，注重对被投资公司或商品的基本面分析。公司致力于与广大国际投资者一起分享价值投资的成功喜悦。　　我们拥有二十六位专业人员来负责投资组合管理、研究、交易、风险管理及运营。我们的专业人员都在中国或海外（如美国、英国、加拿大等）高等学府受过良好的教育，并且在金融领域拥有丰富的国内和国际实践经验。我们的团队对大中华地区的证券市场和全球商品有着深刻的理解。通过深入的研究和分析，Pinpoint 将致力于打造一个业内排名位于前列，具有出色资产管理能力的资产管理机构。　　　Pinpoint 旗下管理着四支开放式对冲基金—— PINPOINT CHINA FUND, PINPOINT OPPORTUNITIES FUND, RISING CHINA FUND和PINPOINT ASIA STRATEGIES FUND。PINPOINT CHINA FUND于2005年开始运作。主要投资大中华地区具有高成长性、高内在价值的大市值上市公司。2006年，PINPOINT CHINA FUND获得了年度亚洲对冲基金“单一国家”最佳基金奖。2007年再次入围该奖项提名。PINPOINT OPPORTUNITIES FUND于2007年8月开始运作，也主要投资于大中华区的上市公司，更加关注有高成长潜力的中小型公司。RISING CHINA FUND于2007年7月正式运作， 这支对冲基金主要以供需关系变化的研究来投资于商品期货。 2008年，RISING CHINA FUND入围AsiaHedge最佳年度新基金奖提名。PINPOINT ASIA STRATEGIES FUND于2008年3月正式运作，是一支多策略对冲基金，主要投资于亚洲（除日本）的股票市场，商品期货，及货币和债券等　　此外，Pinpoint 还管理着一支私有股权投资基金—— PINPOINT CHINA DIRECT INVESTMENT FUND。

Price setters give Pinpoint edge
24/05/2006

Sunny Li's bets on rice liquor and tourism to China's fabled Yellow Mountain have produced a 48 percent return this year, making his US$50 million (HK$390 million) hedge fund the best performer of those that invest in the country.
Li's Pinpoint China Fund outpaced rivals and the nation's stock indexes by focusing on companies with near monopolies and brands that allow them to control prices - and by calling once a week to ensure they stayed that way.
That's important in a country where overinvestment has led to a glut of some products, trapping companies in a cycle of price-cutting, he said.
"The flip side of China's cheap goods is that it's hard for companies to turn market dominance into returns for shareholders," said Li at his office in Hong Kong. "Cutthroat competition among companies means we have to make sure the financial landscape of those we invest in doesn't change."
Finding a winning formula to picking shares is especially important in China, where only about 5 percent of the more than 1,400 stocks have gained over the past five years. Mainland shares listed in Hong Kong, where Li also invests, have done better over the same period. All but three of the 38 so- called H shares in the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index have risen.
While this year's 43 percent rally by the Shanghai Composite Index has made it easier to find performers, the mainland market may fail to hold its gains if history is any guide. The Shanghai Composite has surged 580 points since December 5. The last rally of that size preceded a 14-month, 40 percent rout that ended in July last year. The index is 26 percent below its 2001 peak.
The Shanghai-based Pinpoint China Fund, owned by Pinpoint Asset Management, was ranked the top China hedge fund at the end of last month, said Eurekahedge, a Singapore-based hedge fund research company. It's followed by Dynasty China Mainland Fund, managed by Dynasty Management in Shanghai, and Martin Currie China Hedge Fund, run by Edinburgh-based Martin Currie Investment Management.
"The risks of investing into China's stock market haven't changed much," said Liu Feng, an executive director at Shenzhen-based Century Securities.
"They include financial frauds and regulatory uncertainty. You have to be either local or very familiar with the companies, their products and brands to ensure your investment will pay off."
Li is one of a new generation of former equity brokers who are taking advantage of the growth in hedge funds in China. The amount of money managed by funds located both inside and outside the mainland has grown more than eightfold in the past five years to about US$1.5 billion. The amount is 1.9 percent of the US$80 billion held by Asia Pacific hedge funds.
The Pinpoint fund has more than doubled its return on an investment last June in Huangshan Tourism Development, which has a stranglehold on tourism to the famous mountain in the company's base in Anhui province.
In February, Pinpoint bought Kweichow Moutai, a mainland maker of rice liquor. Shares in the Renhuai, Guizhou- based company, which had advanced 5.8 percent in the previous six months, have almost doubled since the purchase.
Yunnan Baiyao Group has almost doubled since Pinpoint's investment this year. Li said the fund may buy more shares in the Kunming, Yunnan-based company because of its dominant share of the niche market in baiyou, a traditional white powder used to treat wounds.
To hedge against the risk of the A-share market collapsing, Pinpoint is shorting Barclays' iShares Asia Trust Index, a Hong Kong exchange-traded fund that tracks the performance of 50 large-capitalization stocks listed in China. Short selling of yuan-denominated A shares is illegal.
Unlike mutual funds, hedge funds can short sell stocks or use derivatives to improve performance.
In a short trade, investors sell a borrowed security, betting the price will fall and they can buy it back, pocketing the difference. Derivatives such as futures contracts are based on an underlying product, like copper.
Last year, the Shanghai benchmark fell 8.3 percent. Hedge funds that invest in Greater China, which takes in Taiwan and Hong Kong, gained on average 7.2 percent, according to Eurekahedge.
The Pinpoint fund also shorted Hopewell Holdings, which runs one of the busiest toll roads in southern China, after buying shares in toll-road operator Shenzhen Expressway in early March. Shenzhen Expressway has returned 43 percent, while Hopewell Holdings has gained 10 percent this year.
The Shanghai-based fund shunned auto stocks such as Denway Motors, which makes cars in China with Honda Motor, and Brilliance China Automotive Holdings - Bayerische Motoren Werke's partner - as rising competition forced them to cut prices even as sales of vehicles rose.
Pinpoint hasn't always been right. The fund began short selling copper when prices on the London Metal Exchange reached about US$4,800 a metric ton, Li said. Once the contract advanced to about US$6,500 he cut his losses. The metal reached a record US$8,600 a ton on May 11.
Hedge funds investing in the Greater China region returned 24 percent this year through the end of April, three times the average gains for Asia as a whole, according to Eurekahedge.
"We think the China domestic market has just started its bull turn even though it has rallied over 40 percent since the beginning of the year," Li said.
Reforms to convert state-owned shares into tradable stock "will make it one of the most interesting and rewarding markets in the next 10 years." BLOOMBERG

AINT WHAT I SAY COME TRUE AGAIN??
CHECK BELOW FOR PROOF..
I THINK PLEASE DO INTRO MY BLOG FOR MORE WOMEN TO BE MORE SERIOUS IN MONEY MAKING THINGS INSTEAD OF FIGHTING OVER JEALOUSY!!
OH PLEASE!!!

Posted on 02 Jun 2009
'Girl in provocative loose shorts distracts my hubby while he's driving'

A STOMPer's husband was distracted by this girl's skimpy shorts while driving. They were at a Tampines Street junction when they saw the girl. The STOMPer says:"My husband could not concentrate on his driving when we were at the junction of Tampines Street."This young girl was dressed so scantily, and carried a fake LV bag."As the wind blew, her shorts 'opened' and showed her butt in bright daylight, about 12 noon."

I THINK REALLY SERIOUS PROBLEM WITH FEMALES HERE, PLUS THE VIDEO OF A SINGAPOREAN AUNTY FIGHTING WITH A CHINA WOMAN IN BUS OVER WEARING OF SHORT SKIRT

Strange woman with cane strikes women in shorts at Ang Mo Kio market by Beh Yuan Hui Sat, Oct 17, 2009 The Daily Chilli NO short pants on the streets!A sexagenarian has been heading to the streets and caning women who wear short pants.The woman has been seen loitering at the market and hawker centre near some flats in Ang Mo Kio, Singapore.Holding a rotan in her hands, the woman would cane any female in short pants that she came across.The republic's Lianhe Wanbao reported that the sexagenarian would also scold the women as she caned them."Why are you wearing shorts? You must be caned for wearing this," she said in Hokkien.On Thursday, the woman has raised her rotan on a hawker.The hawker, who was annoyed by the old woman's act, had attempted to stop her but was still whipped.Her mother saw this and went to her aid. The mother and daughter managed to stop the old woman and forced her onto the ground.They called the police later.

I SINCERELY THINK WOMEN MUST GET THEMSELVES MORE IMMERSED IN SHARES AND BUSINESS TO GET OVER SUCH PETTY ISSUES OF JEALOUSY......

back to boring markets..............................look at the FAILED BREAKOUT..y failed? bounded by the 20 month s.m.a...to have a sharper acceleration upwards by breaking the green resistance line, i expected it to break both the 20 month m.a. and that upwards green line in ONE DAY ONE UPMOVE...BUT ALAS, AS USUAL, the first time meet resistance sure drop..

VERY VERY DISGUSTED.

zacks parking theory is in use again!!!!!!!!!

DJ ASIA FUND POLL: Fund Managers Like China, India, Indonesia (2009/07/30 15:57PM)

By Ellen Sheng
Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES

HONG KONG (Dow Jones)--China, India and Indonesia stock markets remained fund manager favorites during the month of July, as increased optimism about the economic outlook whetted appetite for emerging markets.
International fund managers surveyed by Dow Jones became "overweight" on Asian emerging markets stocks this month, compared with a consensus "neutral" position in June. Managers active in the region are fairly concentrated on China, India, Indonesia, as well as Hong Kong, with other Asian country holdings at "neutral" or "underweight." Weightings reflect managers'' portfolio composition compared with benchmark indexes.
Investors have been warming up to China''s prospects as a growth driver in the Asia Pacific region. Domestic growth in the populous country is being driven by loose monetary policy and bank lending. China''s hefty stimulus packages are also supporting growth.
Encouraged by hiked earnings expectations and other signs, some market houses such as Threadneedle recently raised their expectations for gross domestic product growth this year to 8% from 7%.
"Though the export sector will have to start improving at some stage, China''s market share with certain export sectors has already increased and the government continues to have the means to initiate more stimulus measures should the U.S. recovery be delayed further," said Simon Godfrey, investment specialist for Pan Asia ex-Japan equities at Fortis Investments in Hong Kong.
Sectors poised to benefit from domestic growth such as consumer goods are particularly popular. Despite the market rally so far this year - The Shanghai Composite Index is up 10.38% thus far in July and up nearly 80% for the year - fund managers say valuations are still reasonable as they are below peak levels in 2007.
Hong Kong, as the longtime gateway to China, also remained on fund managers'' screens, though with some caveats.
Hong Kong is "a defensive market overall compared to the rest of Asia," said Fortis'' Godfrey. Large-cap stocks tend to be major banks, property and utilities companies and with a cyclical recovery taking place in the region''s largest economies, there is greater potential elsewhere and in other sectors, particularly consumer stocks, he said.
Like China, fund manager interest in Indian and Indonesian stocks is also a play on optimism about domestic growth.
India''s 2009 GDP growth, expected to be around 6% and 7%, is the second highest in the region and goods and services exports make up a smaller portion of GDP than more developed economies such as Taiwan or Hong Kong. The country''s relatively insulated economy has made investors optimistic about consumer consumption while government-sponsored infrastructure investments is spurring interest in infrastructure.
The Bombay Sensex 30 Index rose about 4.7% in July and is up 57.3% year to date. Given the rally, some fund managers are being more selective. Threadneedle, for instance, says it is underweight India in the near term while Fortis said it has taken some profits in financials and property stocks, which have full valuations after a strong second quarter.
Indonesian stocks, which became a favorite last month, continue to be popular. Fund managers noted that the country''s economy is more domestic driven, rather than export-driven, making it attractive in the current environment.
"Indonesia''s fundamentals continue to improve steadily," noted Invesco, which has been encouraged by the landslide victory of President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono and his mandates to accelerate economic reforms. Moreover, Indonesia remains one of the cheapest markets in the region, the fund manager said.
Equities are back in fund managers'' good graces this month after being trumped by cash and bonds for several months. Managers were "overweight" equities - and particularly emerging markets stocks in July. Managers were only "slightly overweight" bonds and "underweight" cash. Emerging market equity funds and Asia ex-Japan equity funds saw mostly inflows during July, but with some occasional outflows. Global emerging markets equity funds posted big inflows in the third week of July, absorbing a net $1.08 billion, while Asia ex-Japan equity funds raked in US$973 million, according to Boston-based fund tracker EPFR Global.
Each month, Dow Jones Newswires surveys fund managers on portfolio weighting recommendations for the succeeding months, with most looking at a 12-month horizon. This latest survey was taken over the past week. The respondents for this month''s survey were Aberdeen Asset Management, Credit Agricole Asset Management, Fortis Investments, Invesco Ltd., J.P. Morgan Asset Management, ING Asset Management, Mirae Asset Global Investments, Schroder Investment Management Ltd., Standard Life Investments and Threadneedle.
For the survey, each participant was asked to assign recommendations to each asset class. The weightings from each fund manager were then averaged: 0 is neutral, up to +0.5 is slightly overweight, above +0.5 to +1 is overweight, above +1 is very overweight. Meanwhile, 0 to -0.5 is slightly underweight, below -0.5 to -1 is underweight, below -1 is very underweight. OVERALL GLOBAL WEIGHTINGS
July09 June May April March Feb
Cash -0.50 -0.25 0 +0.25 +0.25 0
Bonds +0.25 +0.50 +0.50 +0.50 +0.25 +0.75
Equities +0.50 0 0 0 +0.25 +0.25
Commodities +0.25 +0.25 +0.25 -0.50 0 --

GLOBAL BONDS July09 June May April March Feb
Asia ex-Japan +0.50 +0.50 +0.50 +0.50 +0.25 -0.25
Japan -0.25 -0.25 -0.25 -0.50 0 +0.50
North America -0.25 +0.25 0 -0.50 -0.25 0
Europe 0 +0.25 0 -0.25 +0.25 +0.25
Non-Asian +0.75 +0.50 +0.50 +0.25 +0.25 +0.25
emerging mkts

GLOBAL EQUITIES July09 June May April March Feb
Asia ex-Japan +0.50 0 +0.25 +0.50 +0.25 +0.25
Japan 0 -0.50 -0.25 -0.25 -0.50 0
North America -0.25 0 -0.25 0 +0.25 +0.25
Europe -0.25 +0.25 0 -0.25 0 0
Non-Asian +0.50 +0.25 +0.25 +0.25 0 -0.25
emerging mkts

ASIAN EQUITIES July09 June May April March Feb
Japan -0.25 -0.50 -0.25 -0.25 -0.50 -0.50
China +0.75 +0.50 +0.50 +0.50 +0.50 +1.25
Hong Kong +0.50 0 +0.25 +0.50 +0.25 +0.25
Taiwan -0.25 -0.50 -0.25 -0.25 -0.25 -0.50
South Korea 0 -0.25 0 -0.25 -0.75 -1.25
Singapore 0 0 -0.25 0 +0.25 +1.00
Indonesia +0.50 +0.50 +0.50 +0.25 +0.25 +0.25
Philippines 0 0 -0.25 0 0 +0.25
Thailand 0 0 0 0 +0.25 +0.25
Malaysia -0.75 -0.50 -0.50 -0.50 -0.50 -1.00
Australia -0.75 -0.25 -0.25 -0.25 -0.50 -1.00
New Zealand -0.50 -0.75 -0.75 -0.50 -0.50 -1.00
India +0.50 +0.75 +0.75 +0.25 +0.50 +1.00

-By Ellen Sheng, Dow Jones Newswires; 852-2832-2336; ellen.sheng@dowjones.com
TALK BACK: We invite readers to send us comments on this or other financial news topics. Please email us at TalkbackAsia@dowjones.com. Readers should include their full names, work or home addresses and telephone numbers for verification purposes. We reserve the right to edit and publish your comments along with your name; we reserve the right not to publish reader comments.
Click here to go to Dow Jones NewsPlus, a web front page of today''s most important business and market news, analysis and commentary: http://www.djnewsplus.com/access/al?rnd=r05JYbuTcqPb0%2F8EHfXgbg%3D%3D. You can use this link on the day this article is published and the following day.

(END) Dow Jones Newswires
July 30, 2009 03:57 ET (07:57 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2009 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.

zacks theory says the more times it tests the resistance, the more likely it will be a successful breakout.WATCH OUT FOR A NASDAQ LED RALLY this week, 27july to july 31st

24th july 2009--why i bought LIANBENG 800 lots, ave px 29.3456c

Cary Huang in Beijing 11 July 2009

Premier Wen Jiabao has ordered efforts be made to support the property and stock markets and carmakers, saying they were crucial to sustaining the economic recovery, at least in the short term. Mr. Wen also said the central bank should keep the credit tap fairly wide open to support big government spending. He made the statements in an internal meeting last month with the economy and finance ministers and executives of big state-owned companies, according to informed sources. This week, the premier warned that the current economic recovery was not built on solid foundations. He held two meetings to consult economic experts and industrial officials on economic policy, Xinhua reported. In the meetings on Tuesday and Thursday, Mr. Wen said that maintaining stable and relatively rapid economic growth was the government’s top priority, the official news agency said. Xinhua said Mr. Wen held the meetings to canvass opinions and seek suggestions regarding economic development. A reliable source quoted Mr. Wen as saying in last month’s meeting that “the government should spare no effort in maintaining the stability of stock and property markets and boosting spending on big items such as homes and cars.” The source said: “The top leadership believes that spending on those big items will be crucial to maintaining economic stability and growth, at least in the short term, in view of the continued global downturn.” The source, who was at the meeting with Mr. Wen, said the authorities would ensure plentiful bank lending and use fiscal measures to support the recovery of key industries because demand for mainland exports was likely to remain weak for some time to come. Mr. Wen acknowledged that such high spending might not be sustainable over the long term. He said that with the economy on the path to recovery, future policies would focus more on addressing medium-term structural problems and on boosting household income and domestic consumption to ensure sustainable growth. The mainland’s two stock exchanges have been the world’s best performers this year. The Shanghai Composite Index rallied 69 per cent in the first six months as improving credit, investment and manufacturing data suggested the government’s 4 trillion yuan (HK$4.54 trillion) stimulus package - announced in November to counter the impact of the global financial crisis and economic downturn - was reviving the mainland economy. Property sales and prices in the mainland have started to recover, driven by pent-up demand and supportive government policies. Property prices in 70 large and medium-sized cities rose 0.2 per cent in June from a year earlier, the first increase in six months, according to results of a survey by the National Development and Reform Commission and National Bureau of Statistics issued yesterday. The mainland surpassed the United States as the world’s biggest vehicle market in the first half of the year. June vehicle sales were up 36.5 per cent from a year earlier, at 1.14 million. That was the second highest on record; in April, 1.15 million were sold. Vehicle sales in the first half of the year reached 6.1 million, up 17.7 per cent from a year earlier, the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers said on Thursday. While there is growing consensus among analysts that the world’s third largest economy is on track to recover, some officials and academics have voiced concern an asset bubble is building up and that inflation may take off. On Tuesday, Zhang Jianhua , head of the People’s Bank of China’s research bureau, said some “fine-tuning” was necessary to prevent asset bubbles, bad-loan risks and a return to high inflation.

july 2nd failed breakout was due to poor market sentiment.as us mkts are approaching supports, mkt sentiment should improve making it a GODSEND chance

verdict:still weak.... close just below 919....918.32..DAMN..

now, must BEG the US side to have GREEN futures, UP in asia trading morning time to see the manipulator's soul... to go past 919, and hopefully 927... I AM VERY UNEASY EVEN IF WITH THIS RALLY BUT STILL INSIDE 927 CANDLE BODY..

OVER...

IF GOT GREEN US FUTURES, THEN BUY SOME, IF NOT, WAIT AND WATCH..

proof of sti up on 15th june--coincides with s shares style of manipulation coincides with shanghai touching last short term guppy mma plus coincides with news of celestial solving bond problems in zaobao---

TIAN SHI DI LI!!!! DONT MISS IT

1st scenario:shanghai composite broke out of downtrend resistance on march 16th 2009

china hongxing, the closest proxy to the shanghai market due to my observations started rising on the day before, march 13th, 2009--friday

shanghai comp in this period from march 16th to march 24th 2009 rose from 2128 to 2369--a rise of about 241 points, about 11pc. china hongxing from march 13th to march 24th rose from 5.5c to 11.5c!!!

if compared from march 16th 2009 to march 24th 2009, hongxing rose 8cents to 11.5c only!!

IT PAYS TO GET IN EARLY...

2nd scenario:

april 2nd to apr 6th 2009, china hongxing rose from 9.5c to 12.5c

shanghai:consolidate in a while , never rise

but from april 8th 2009, hongxing never plunge a lot despite shanghai comp crash from 2439 to 2347 in one day--shanghai composite touch and close on the last shorteterm guppy mma.that is why hongxing never sell off!!!KELONG OR NOT?? they already have a gameplan b4hand!!!

3rd scenario: april 9th to 16th shanghai rose from 2347 to 2549, gain of 9pc!!!

china hongxingrose from 9.5c to 16c from exactly apr9th to 16th 2009!!!

4th scenario: shanghai touch the 1st guppy long term mma for the 2nd time after it has expanded outwards boldly and rebound strongly on apr 29th to may 11th 2009

from 2401 to 2663, rise of 11 pc!!

china hongxing did the same again---12.5c to 22.5c in the same period!! from apr 29th to may11th 2009..

the rebound in S CHIPS COULD VERY WELL BE THIS COMING MONDAY 15TH JUNE 2009!!!TECHNICAL ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT SHANGHAI TOUCH THE LAST SHORT TERM GUPPY MMA ON FRIDAY, 12th june 2009 plus the following news below will "boost" s share to go up... (taken from channelnewsasia forum market talk postings and an article from zaobao on celestial...)
市场谣传，一家大型中国银行可能成为拯救中资企业天圜营养集团(Celestial NutriFoods)的“白武士”，出资收购后者一批总值2亿3480万元的债券(convertible bonds)。 　　这批债券的提早赎回日昨天到期，天圜营养集团应支付2亿7366万元。集团前天傍晚宣布，无法在昨天的最后期限提早赎回这一批债券，已委任美林远东公司及其他附属公司为独家经纪人，协助公司检讨策略性选择方案，进行重组或回购这一批债券，包括与债券持有人进行洽商。 　　一名市场人士告诉本报，这项传闻已经传了一个月多，至今未获得证实，因此成为防止该龙筹股被大量抛售的阻力。该股在无法提早赎回债券的消息公开后，并没有出现显著的抛压，昨天截至下午四时的跌幅为5.4％。 　　该名市场人士说：“假设传闻属实，这家中国银行在收购后有两个选择，如果直接行使赎回权，逼集团付钱，可能会直接导致破产，但可能性令后人存疑；第二个比较高的可能是进行重组，寻找一个双赢的解决之道。” 　　在2004年来新上市的天圜营养集团，在中国黑龙江省从事大豆食品与饮料产品制造，产品分为三大类：健康饮料(固体或液体)、工业大豆分离蛋白及副产品大豆油。 　　这批可转换债券在2011年6月12日才期满，随着金融危机的爆发，债券持有者选择提早在今年的6月12日行使他们的赎回权利，使公司须拨款以支付赎回所须费用。 　　近几个月，该批债券提早赎回的潜在可能成为市场人士关注的焦点，被不少分析师看成即将引爆的“定时炸弹”。该集团的独立审计师普华古柏(PwC)在3月底公开强调，天圜营养的业绩是以它能经营下去的基础上计算出来的，理由是公司正在与金融机构谈商安排贷款事宜。 　　这家中资企业要是无法为6月12日可能出现的一些可转换债券提早赎回行动取得融资，它恐会面对能否继续经营下去的风险。 　　集团2008财年年报指出，手头上拥有8亿1187万人民币(1亿7241万新元)的现金及近现金。根据该年报，天圜营养因包括面值2亿3500万元的可转换债券以及12亿2931万元人民币(2亿7318万新元)的相关衍生金融产品，集团负债额超过了6352万元人民币(1412万新元)的资产。 以北京为基地的天圜营养集团昨天收报0.18元，下滑2.7％。
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herbalJoined: 25 Nov 2005Posts: 1866
Posted: Sat Jun 13, 2009 12:15 pm Post subject:

If that is true, then it is good news. Probably stretch the loan over a period of 5-10 years? More manageable.
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WhisperainJoined: 02 Jan 2009Posts: 194
Posted: Sat Jun 13, 2009 12:54 pm Post subject:

This is good news! Is that the "white knight" that all have been speculating abt ?
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tessyJoined: 28 Oct 2008Posts: 1236
Posted: Sat Jun 13, 2009 12:56 pm Post subject:

第二个比较高的可能是进行重组，寻找一个双赢的解决之道。 hold tight tight
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ekar0421Joined: 09 Oct 2008Posts: 97
Posted: Sat Jun 13, 2009 2:21 pm Post subject:

Though most of us think that’s just a rumor, but as Chinese said: “No wind, no wave”, I’m confidence that their bond issue will be solved.
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happi2008Joined: 26 Jul 2007Posts: 754
Posted: Sat Jun 13, 2009 2:23 pm Post subject:

ya i agreed and believe what Penguin mention. He was mentioning about annoucement so .... what we now talking is news....... he should know something....
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herbalJoined: 25 Nov 2005Posts: 1866
Posted: Sat Jun 13, 2009 3:55 pm Post subject:

Refinances the CBs into bank loans and repay in stages in span of 5-10 years is the best everyone. Celestial got the potential to become a giant company base on its growth rate.

my comments:

WHEN NEWS AND TECHNICALS ALL POINTING TO THE SAME CONCLUSION, I EXPECT A FIRM RALLY IN S SHARES THIS MONDAY 15TH JUNE 2009...over.

Real-time Indexes
Major
Mainland
Hong Kong
Industries
China

Index
Current Index
Change
Change (%)



Hang Seng Index
18888.59----LOOK AT THE VALUE HSI CLOSE!!!!!!!--YAT FATT FATT FATT FATT???????
+717.59
+3.95%


HSI - Finance
27757.04
+981.98
+3.67%


HSI - Utilities
35956.51
+18.57
+0.05%


HSI - Properties
25802.17
+750.81
+3.00%


HSI - Commerce & Industry
10400.99
+505.22
+5.11%



Hang Seng China Enterprises Index
10937.85
+509.66
+4.89%



Hang Seng China H-Financials Index
14213.09
+661.13
+4.88%



Hang Seng Composite Index
2631.80
+103.64
+4.10%


Last update: 01-06-2009 16:01

Hang Seng China 50 Index
5762.98
+266.58
+4.85%


Hang Seng China AH Premium Index
120.19
-1.20
-0.99%


Last update: 01-06-2009 16:01

mercator tgt 45.5c tomorrow, by next week, if us never plunges, should reach 54.5c!!!!