SUMMARY OF ALL SP500 UPTRENDS AND CONSOLIDATIONS




THANKS TO YOU ALL-MY PAGEVIEWS SKYROCKETED IN JAN2012,ONE MONTH ALONE is EQUAL TO 6MONTHS OF

PAGEVIEWS!!A BIG THANK YOU

SINCE THIS THREAD "SUMMARY OF ALL SP500 UPTRENDS AND CONSOLIDATIONS" THREAD IS SO POPULAR,THE HIGHEST VIEWERSHIP,I PUT IT IN THE FRONT PAGE

SUMMARY OF ALL SP500 uptrends and consolidations

UPTRENDS-

1. Mostly 10weeks,although some may be 9,11,12.how to recognize?--uptrend "mysteriously" maintained by a diagonal uptrendline connecting the lows of that 10weeks uptrend

2. 1st and last(10th) week always end in surges of aorund 3-6%with the least 1st week gain was 2.7%.The humpy uptrend will "mysteriously" start and end with surges up.

3. If the (X-1)th 10+weeks end below a fibo of the 1576-666 range,THEN the next,Xth, 10+weeks will end AT THAT FIBO.

4. If the (X-1)th 10+weeks end ABOVE a fibo of the 1576-666 range,then the NEXT,Xth, 10+weeks will end AT THE NEXT HIGHER FIBO.

5. Every year's end, at the last trading day of the year,sp500 will end near a fibo of 1576-666 range.

6. Every 10+weeks uptrend will start AFTER a double testing of the diagonal uptrend line formed by the humps from july 13th week 2009.

7. The uptrend in the secular bear market,before breakout 1576, will be a "humpy" ride,whereby i forecast a total of 4 humps to test 1576.

8. After the sp500 breaks out of the 1576 resistance,the diagonal uptrendline will be much sharper than the uptrendline of the 4 humps.

9. The peaks of each hump will occur at AROUND 350-360 POINTS ABOVE THE CORRECTION TESTED FIBONACCI.

10. 2009 REPLICATE 2003,2010 REPLICATE 2004,2011 REPLICATE 2005,SO ON--I mean the closing values and their respective fibo,

CONSOLIDATIONS-CORRECTIONS AND RETRACEMENTS

1. Every correction will have one week of huge plunge about 100points in sp500

2. every Long/HUGE weekly plunge of around 5-8% in the sp500 will be met with a return to the start BEFORE the huge plunge(weekly open) of THAT LONG WEEKLY DOWN CANDLEBODY in 23 to 24 weeks

3. After the peak of each hump has been achieved,there will come a plunge BACK to the fibo of 1576-666 range.---------

eg. 1st hump ended at 1219,near 61.8%,then sp500 plunged back to retest the 38.2%,before the NEXT hump will be formed

eg. 2nd hump peaked at 1370,near the 78.6%,then sp500 plunged back to retest the 50%..so on..

1st correction went to the 38.2%,1013, lowest 1010 and built a base around 1065

-took 24 weeks to reach the open of the HUGE weekly plunge of 120points,week of MAY 3RD 2010

-dropped a total of 210points-2nd week from the top of the 4th 10+weeks uptrend pattern 1217,was the huge weekly plunge

-took 8weeks to hit the lowest point 1010

2nd correction went to 1074 lowest,BUT built a base around the 50% fibo,1120.

-took 23 weeks to reach the open pf the 2nd HUGE weekly plunge of 120points,week of August 1, 2011

-dropped a total of 270points from 1344 and 300points from the HEAD peak 1370

-the huge weekly drop also happened in the 2nd week from the 5th 10+weeks uptrend pattern close peak of 1344.,the LEFT SHOULDER OF THE head and shoulders

-took 9weeks to hit the lowest point 1074

THIS IS THE NEW AND IMPROVISED VERSION OF THE MOST POPULAR POST IN MY BLOG


LET US RECALL THE LIES OF MEDIA OR PEOPLE WHO DON'T KNOW HOW TO EXPLAIN

1)DATA GOOD,COMPANIES EARNINGS GOOD,INDEX DROP= "FACTORED IN" OR "LESSEN STIMULUS HOPES"

2)DATA BAD,COMPANIES EARNINGS BAD,INDEX RISE="INCREASED STIMULUS HOPES"

3)WHEN USA CRISIS CAME,FULL OF CDO SHIT PROBLEM,NO1 KNOWS THERE WILL BE A EUROPE CRISIS IN 2009.THEN CAME EUROPE CRISIS.

4)WHEN EUROPE CRISIS BECOME STALE NEWS,FOCUS SHIFT TO LIBYA GADDAFI TO "EXPLAIN" DROP IN USA MARKETS

5)THEN AFTER GADDAFI NEWS BECAME STALE,THEY SHIFT BACK TO EUROPE AND CHANGE TO "AUSTERITY" SHIT

6)THEN AFTER EURO AUSTERITY NEWS BECOME STALE,THEY SHIFT FOCUS BACK TO USA AND INTRODUCED "FISCAL CLIFF" SHIT JUST BECAUSE BERNANKE MENTIONED FISCAL CLIFF

I "LOVE" THEIR SHIT.EVERYTIME THE STORY BECOMES OLD AND STALE,SOMETHING NEW WILL POP OUT AND THE OLD ONE WILL NEVER BE MENTIONED AGAIN-SINK INTO OBLIVION!!

1ST CDO,LIBYA,AUSTERITY,NOW FISCAL CLIFF.NEXT FUCK YOU!!DID CDO SHIT RESURFACE AGAIN NOW?WHO REMEMBER GADDAFI,LIBYA PROBLEMS SUDDENLY SOLVED FOREVER??

GRANDMOTHER STORY SPINNERS FUCKERS.


19th October 2013
NEPTUNE ORIENT LINES ROBOTIC PATTERN
1) BASE
A-
WEEK oF 17 NOVEMBER 2008—0.93
Week of 9 March 2009—0.85
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
3+ MONTHS APART
BETWEEN 1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED +182% IN
1YEAR,1 MONTH, HIT NEAR 2.40 IN APRIL 2010
2) BASE
B-
Week of 22 August 2011—0.98
Week of 21 November 2011---0.995
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
3 MONTHS APART BETWEEN
1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED +53% IN 3
months.HIT 1.515 IN 20 FEBRUARY 2012 WEEK





3) BASE
C-
Week of 23 July 2012—1.05
Week of 19 November 2012---1.05
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
3+ MONTHS APART
BETWEEN 1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED +30% IN 1.5months.HIT
1.36 IN 7 January 2013 WEEK

4) NOW,IT
IS BASE D TIME
Week of 10 June 2013—1.025
Week of 26 August 2013---1.025
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
Near 3 MONTHS APART
BETWEEN 1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED ????% by
??????








N.O.L-NEPTUNE ORIENT LINES-N03.SI (WEEKLY CHARTS) YEAR 2006:6 NOVEMBER TO 1ST JAN2007: 1.77 TO 2.20 (+43c) YEAR 2008:17NOVEMBER TO 5JAN2009: 0.84 TO 1.175 (+33.5c) YEAR 2009:2NOVEMBER TO 11JAN2010: 1.51 TO 1.94 (+43c) YEAR 2010:22NOVEMBER TO 3JAN2011: 2.07 TO 2.40 (+33c) YEAR 2011:21NOVEMBER TO 30JAN2012: 0.995 TO 1.43 (+43.5c) YEAR 2012:19NOVEMBER TO 7JAN2013: 1.055 TO 1.36 (+30.5c)



Wednesday, March 20, 2013

20th march2013---a very unique and detailed analysis on relationship between bdi and sse

A VERY INTERESTING IDEA PROMPTED ME TO DO INTENSIVE RESEARCH TO INVESTIGATE THE CLOSE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN SHANGHAI COMPOSITE(SSE) AND BALTIC DRY INDEX(BDI)

SSE STARTING VALUE 100 IN YEAR 1991
BDI TAKING THE BASE OF 1986 OF 600+

ALL ARE APPROX VALUES,NOT EXACT

WE TAKE THE PEAKS AND LOWEST POINTS OF BDI AND SSE RESPECTIVELY,AND CALCULATE THE AMOUNT OF UPSIDE SSE HAS PERFORMED SINCE 1991 AND BDI HAS PERFORMED SINCE 1986.

YEAR

1986-BDI LOWEST
1991-SSE STARTED AT 100(LOWEST)

1992-SSE (LOWEST AFTER DROP)-500pts---UP 5X
BDI-LOWEST AFTER DROP-1000pts---UP 66%

SSE OUTPERFORMED BDI BY 3X

mid1994-SSE LOWEST AFTER DROP--333pts---UP 3.3X
BDI--1500--in the middle of uptrend after hitting lowest in 1992--UP 2.5X

SSE OUTPERFORMED BDI BY 1.32X

Mid1995-SSE IN MIDDLE OF UPTREND,AFTER HIT LOWEST IN JULY1994--900--UP 9X
BDI hit peak 2500 points--UP 4X

SSE OUTPERFORMED BDI BY 2.25X

MID1997-sse hit peak 1500--up 15X
BDI 1500,up 2.5x

SSE OUTPERFORMED BDI BY 6X

End1998-SSE HIT LOWEST 1000---UP 10X
BDI 800--UP 30%


SSE OUTPERFORM BDI BY 7.7X

mid 1999-sse break out of 7years secular bear--1500-UP 15X
bdi 1000---up 66%

SSE OUTPERFORMED BDI BY 9X

MID2001-sse hit maximum 2245--up 23X
bdi 1500---up 2.5X

SSE OUTPERFORMED BDI BY 9X

end2001-sse went back retest resistance 1500--up 15x
bdi drop to lowest after uptrend from cycle low-900---up 50%

SSE OUTPERFORMED BDI BY 10X

2003-2004-sse hovered in range of 1000-1500,up 10-15x
bdi hit double top 6000,up 10x

SSE OUTPERFORMED BDI BY 1.5X

mid 2005-start2006--sse drop to lowest 1000-up10x
bdi drop to cycle lowest 2000points-up 3x

SSE OUTPERFORMED BDI BY 3.3X

end 2007-sse highest 6124--up 60X
bdi 12000,up 20x

SSE OUTPERFORMED BDI BY 3X

end2008--sse drop to lowest 1667---up 16x
bdi 700+,bdi up 10+%,

sse outperformed bdi by 15X

mid2009--sse up till 3500---up 35x
bdi up till 4500,up 7x

sse outperformed bdi by 5x

end2012---sse plunged till 1957---up 20x
bdi down till 1986 lowest--unchanged

sse outperformed bdi by 20x

CONCLUSIONS OF MY RESEARCH

(1) SSE OUTPERFORM BDI CANNOT REMAIN IN DOUBLE DIGITS CONSECUTIVELY.

(2)BUT SSE CAN REMAIN IN SINGLE DIGITS CONSECUTIVELY.

(3)SSE OUTPERFORM BDI 20X IN DEC2012 IS THE HIGHEST EVER MEANING IT IS THE LOWEST BDI EVER.

(4)NOW BDI AND SSE TENDS TO HIT PEAK AND BOTTOM TOGETHER AT ROUGHLY THE SAME TIME,SHOWING VERY VERY CLOSE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN BDI AND SSE.

IN SUMMARY,IF DARYL GUPPY'S SHANGHAI COMPOSITE TARGET OF 3500 BY YEAR 2013 END IS TO COME TRUE(HENCE MY END2014,SHANGHAI COMP 6000 TARGET WILL ALSO COME TRUE AS GUPPY'S PREDICTION IS A "SUBSET" OF MINE),THEN SSE WILL BE 35X 1991 STARTING VALUE,AND SINCE BDI HAS TO RETURN TO SINGLE DIGITS,MOST CONSERVATIVE IS 9X SSE OUTPERFORM BDI,THAT MEANS BDI MUST UP NEAR 4X FROM 600s,MEANING 2000-2400s AT THE SAME TIME SHANGHAI COMPOSITE HIT 3500.

BDI AT 2000-2400 WHEN SSE AT 3500(SSE OUTPERFORM BDI BY 9X)BY 2013END IS ALREADY THE MOST CONSERVATIVE ESTIMATE AS THE RATIO SSE OUTPERFORM BDI CAN PLUNGE TO AS LOW AS 2-3X,MEANING BDI CAN RISE TO AS HIGH AS 6000s to 7000s




 
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