SUMMARY OF ALL SP500 UPTRENDS AND CONSOLIDATIONS
THANKS TO YOU ALL-MY PAGEVIEWS SKYROCKETED IN JAN2012,ONE MONTH ALONE is EQUAL TO 6MONTHS OF
PAGEVIEWS!!A BIG THANK YOU
SINCE THIS THREAD "SUMMARY OF ALL SP500 UPTRENDS AND CONSOLIDATIONS" THREAD IS SO POPULAR,THE HIGHEST VIEWERSHIP,I PUT IT IN THE FRONT PAGE
SUMMARY OF ALL SP500 uptrends and consolidations
UPTRENDS-
1. Mostly 10weeks,although some may be 9,11,12.how to recognize?--uptrend "mysteriously" maintained by a diagonal uptrendline connecting the lows of that 10weeks uptrend
2. 1st and last(10th) week always end in surges of aorund 3-6%with the least 1st week gain was 2.7%.The humpy uptrend will "mysteriously" start and end with surges up.
3. If the (X-1)th 10+weeks end below a fibo of the 1576-666 range,THEN the next,Xth, 10+weeks will end AT THAT FIBO.
4. If the (X-1)th 10+weeks end ABOVE a fibo of the 1576-666 range,then the NEXT,Xth, 10+weeks will end AT THE NEXT HIGHER FIBO.
5. Every year's end, at the last trading day of the year,sp500 will end near a fibo of 1576-666 range.
6. Every 10+weeks uptrend will start AFTER a double testing of the diagonal uptrend line formed by the humps from july 13th week 2009.
7. The uptrend in the secular bear market,before breakout 1576, will be a "humpy" ride,whereby i forecast a total of 4 humps to test 1576.
8. After the sp500 breaks out of the 1576 resistance,the diagonal uptrendline will be much sharper than the uptrendline of the 4 humps.
9. The peaks of each hump will occur at AROUND 350-360 POINTS ABOVE THE CORRECTION TESTED FIBONACCI.
10. 2009 REPLICATE 2003,2010 REPLICATE 2004,2011 REPLICATE 2005,SO ON--I mean the closing values and their respective fibo,
CONSOLIDATIONS-CORRECTIONS AND RETRACEMENTS
1. Every correction will have one week of huge plunge about 100points in sp500
2. every Long/HUGE weekly plunge of around 5-8% in the sp500 will be met with a return to the start BEFORE the huge plunge(weekly open) of THAT LONG WEEKLY DOWN CANDLEBODY in 23 to 24 weeks
3. After the peak of each hump has been achieved,there will come a plunge BACK to the fibo of 1576-666 range.---------
eg. 1st hump ended at 1219,near 61.8%,then sp500 plunged back to retest the 38.2%,before the NEXT hump will be formed
eg. 2nd hump peaked at 1370,near the 78.6%,then sp500 plunged back to retest the 50%..so on..
1st correction went to the 38.2%,1013, lowest 1010 and built a base around 1065
-took 24 weeks to reach the open of the HUGE weekly plunge of 120points,week of MAY 3RD 2010
-dropped a total of 210points-2nd week from the top of the 4th 10+weeks uptrend pattern 1217,was the huge weekly plunge
-took 8weeks to hit the lowest point 1010
2nd correction went to 1074 lowest,BUT built a base around the 50% fibo,1120.
-took 23 weeks to reach the open pf the 2nd HUGE weekly plunge of 120points,week of August 1, 2011
-dropped a total of 270points from 1344 and 300points from the HEAD peak 1370
-the huge weekly drop also happened in the 2nd week from the 5th 10+weeks uptrend pattern close peak of 1344.,the LEFT SHOULDER OF THE head and shoulders
-took 9weeks to hit the lowest point 1074
THIS IS THE NEW AND IMPROVISED VERSION OF THE MOST POPULAR POST IN MY BLOG
LET US RECALL THE LIES OF MEDIA OR PEOPLE WHO DON'T KNOW HOW TO EXPLAIN
1)DATA GOOD,COMPANIES EARNINGS GOOD,INDEX DROP= "FACTORED IN" OR "LESSEN STIMULUS HOPES"
2)DATA BAD,COMPANIES EARNINGS BAD,INDEX RISE="INCREASED STIMULUS HOPES"
3)WHEN USA CRISIS CAME,FULL OF CDO SHIT PROBLEM,NO1 KNOWS THERE WILL BE A EUROPE CRISIS IN 2009.THEN CAME EUROPE CRISIS.
4)WHEN EUROPE CRISIS BECOME STALE NEWS,FOCUS SHIFT TO LIBYA GADDAFI TO "EXPLAIN" DROP IN USA MARKETS
5)THEN AFTER GADDAFI NEWS BECAME STALE,THEY SHIFT BACK TO EUROPE AND CHANGE TO "AUSTERITY" SHIT
6)THEN AFTER EURO AUSTERITY NEWS BECOME STALE,THEY SHIFT FOCUS BACK TO USA AND INTRODUCED "FISCAL CLIFF" SHIT JUST BECAUSE BERNANKE MENTIONED FISCAL CLIFF
I "LOVE" THEIR SHIT.EVERYTIME THE STORY BECOMES OLD AND STALE,SOMETHING NEW WILL POP OUT AND THE OLD ONE WILL NEVER BE MENTIONED AGAIN-SINK INTO OBLIVION!!
1ST CDO,LIBYA,AUSTERITY,NOW FISCAL CLIFF.NEXT FUCK YOU!!DID CDO SHIT RESURFACE AGAIN NOW?WHO REMEMBER GADDAFI,LIBYA PROBLEMS SUDDENLY SOLVED FOREVER??
GRANDMOTHER STORY SPINNERS FUCKERS.
19th October 2013
NEPTUNE ORIENT LINES ROBOTIC PATTERN
1) BASE
A-
WEEK oF 17 NOVEMBER 2008—0.93
Week of 9 March 2009—0.85
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
3+ MONTHS APART
BETWEEN 1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED +182% IN
1YEAR,1 MONTH, HIT NEAR 2.40 IN APRIL 2010
2) BASE
B-
Week of 22 August 2011—0.98
Week of 21 November 2011---0.995
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
3 MONTHS APART BETWEEN
1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED +53% IN 3
months.HIT 1.515 IN 20 FEBRUARY 2012 WEEK
3) BASE
C-
Week of 23 July 2012—1.05
Week of 19 November 2012---1.05
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
3+ MONTHS APART
BETWEEN 1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED +30% IN 1.5months.HIT
1.36 IN 7 January 2013 WEEK
4) NOW,IT
IS BASE D TIME
Week of 10 June 2013—1.025
Week of 26 August 2013---1.025
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
Near 3 MONTHS APART
BETWEEN 1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED ????% by
??????
N.O.L-NEPTUNE ORIENT LINES-N03.SI (WEEKLY CHARTS) YEAR 2006:6 NOVEMBER TO 1ST JAN2007: 1.77 TO 2.20 (+43c) YEAR 2008:17NOVEMBER TO 5JAN2009: 0.84 TO 1.175 (+33.5c) YEAR 2009:2NOVEMBER TO 11JAN2010: 1.51 TO 1.94 (+43c) YEAR 2010:22NOVEMBER TO 3JAN2011: 2.07 TO 2.40 (+33c) YEAR 2011:21NOVEMBER TO 30JAN2012: 0.995 TO 1.43 (+43.5c) YEAR 2012:19NOVEMBER TO 7JAN2013: 1.055 TO 1.36 (+30.5c)
Saturday, March 26, 2011
25mar2011-I SIMPLY DONT UNDERSTAND WHY SINGAPOREANS WONT LISTEN TO ME TO STAY AWAY FROM S-CHIPS!SO MANY WAYS TO RIDE ON CHINA GROWTH-AshareETFs,Hshare
I AM 70% INVESTED IN CHINA,HONGKONG,YET I NEVER BEEN HIT BY EVEN ONE SUSPENDED COMPANY SHIT FOR 8YEARS!!!!these idiots deserved it
Mar 26, 2011
NEWS ANALYSIS
China Gaoxian scandal evokes chilling parallels
Similarities with FerroChina scandal in 2008 a scary reminder to stay vigilant
By Goh Eng Yeow, Senior Correspondent
China Gaoxian founder Cao Xiangbin sold 60 million shares at the point of listing.
IT MAY look like just another S-chip train wreck, but the accounting irregularities raised at textile maker China Gaoxian are far more worrying.
While China Hongxing Sports and Hongwei Technologies, which both reported accounting problems last month, listed more than five years ago, China Gaoxian made its debut only 18 months ago.
This makes this latest S-chip scandal all the more serious, because China Gaoxian listed six months after clean-up measures were implemented following a spate of earlier S-chip irregularities.
As one of the biggest IPOs of 2009, China Gaoxian was supposed to flag an all-clear signal to investors that it was back to business as usual for S-chips.
After all, its independent directors included Mr Philip Chan, a former listings head with the Singapore Exchange.
In January, China Gaoxian rode high on a strong vote of investor confidence to raise $240 million from South Korean investors after getting its stock sponsored as a depository receipt listing in Seoul.
So its trading suspension this week is a big blow to the already tarnished S-chip sector and may sound the death knell for similar fund-raising exercises by other S-chips in Seoul.
It is also worth noting the interesting parallels between China Gaoxian and steel-coil maker FerroChina, which was suspended from trading more than two years ago.
Just to jolt the memory, FerroChina was also riding high with investors when it suddenly closed shop in October 2008, purportedly because banks refused to roll-over its short-term loans.
But as some traders noted, the warning signals had been there for years, if anyone had cared to look.
Company insiders had been whittling down their stakes, selling about 155 million shares, or 18 per cent of the company, between 2005 and 2008.
And as a company purportedly sitting on a huge cash hoard, it had short-term debts of 2.33 billion yuan, with banks taking literally everything - bank deposits, inventories, buildings - as collateral for their loans.
Now take a look at China Gaoxian and one will notice more than a passing resemblance to FerroChina.
The company's 2009 prospectus showed that executive chairman and founder Cao Xiangbin sold 60 million shares at the IPO issue price of 26 cents apiece at the point of listing.
A year later when the lock-up period ended for major shareholders, Carry Luck, a company owned by one Mr Hong Rong Zhi, lost no time in selling out too.
In just two days last September, Carry Luck sold 53 million shares at 19.5 cents apiece and another 25.1 million shares at 19 cents each - both well below the 26-cent listing price.
The sales took Carry Luck's stake to 4.99 per cent from 10.42 per cent.
Another telling sign: the company had raised $78.2 million from its IPO here in 2009 and another $223.8 million from selling 600 million new shares in Seoul in January.
Yet, like FerroChina, it had behaved like a cash-strapped firm, asking customers to pay up in cash and drawing down on its bank credit lines.
It was this contradiction that prompted the SGX to put a query to the company.
In hindsight, investors should have asked why China Gaoxian needed to raise so much cash over such a short period if its growth was self-sustaining. And what happens to that huge sum now? Is it still in the company's coffers?
And shouldn't a question have been asked about the huge sales of China Gaoxian stock by a major shareholder last September, at below the IPO issue price?
It is strange that irregularities could surface at China Gaoxian with FerroChina scandal still fresh in investors' minds. And it is a chilling reminder to all investors to stay vigilant at all times.
engyeow@sph.com.sg
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