SUMMARY OF ALL SP500 UPTRENDS AND CONSOLIDATIONS




THANKS TO YOU ALL-MY PAGEVIEWS SKYROCKETED IN JAN2012,ONE MONTH ALONE is EQUAL TO 6MONTHS OF

PAGEVIEWS!!A BIG THANK YOU

SINCE THIS THREAD "SUMMARY OF ALL SP500 UPTRENDS AND CONSOLIDATIONS" THREAD IS SO POPULAR,THE HIGHEST VIEWERSHIP,I PUT IT IN THE FRONT PAGE

SUMMARY OF ALL SP500 uptrends and consolidations

UPTRENDS-

1. Mostly 10weeks,although some may be 9,11,12.how to recognize?--uptrend "mysteriously" maintained by a diagonal uptrendline connecting the lows of that 10weeks uptrend

2. 1st and last(10th) week always end in surges of aorund 3-6%with the least 1st week gain was 2.7%.The humpy uptrend will "mysteriously" start and end with surges up.

3. If the (X-1)th 10+weeks end below a fibo of the 1576-666 range,THEN the next,Xth, 10+weeks will end AT THAT FIBO.

4. If the (X-1)th 10+weeks end ABOVE a fibo of the 1576-666 range,then the NEXT,Xth, 10+weeks will end AT THE NEXT HIGHER FIBO.

5. Every year's end, at the last trading day of the year,sp500 will end near a fibo of 1576-666 range.

6. Every 10+weeks uptrend will start AFTER a double testing of the diagonal uptrend line formed by the humps from july 13th week 2009.

7. The uptrend in the secular bear market,before breakout 1576, will be a "humpy" ride,whereby i forecast a total of 4 humps to test 1576.

8. After the sp500 breaks out of the 1576 resistance,the diagonal uptrendline will be much sharper than the uptrendline of the 4 humps.

9. The peaks of each hump will occur at AROUND 350-360 POINTS ABOVE THE CORRECTION TESTED FIBONACCI.

10. 2009 REPLICATE 2003,2010 REPLICATE 2004,2011 REPLICATE 2005,SO ON--I mean the closing values and their respective fibo,

CONSOLIDATIONS-CORRECTIONS AND RETRACEMENTS

1. Every correction will have one week of huge plunge about 100points in sp500

2. every Long/HUGE weekly plunge of around 5-8% in the sp500 will be met with a return to the start BEFORE the huge plunge(weekly open) of THAT LONG WEEKLY DOWN CANDLEBODY in 23 to 24 weeks

3. After the peak of each hump has been achieved,there will come a plunge BACK to the fibo of 1576-666 range.---------

eg. 1st hump ended at 1219,near 61.8%,then sp500 plunged back to retest the 38.2%,before the NEXT hump will be formed

eg. 2nd hump peaked at 1370,near the 78.6%,then sp500 plunged back to retest the 50%..so on..

1st correction went to the 38.2%,1013, lowest 1010 and built a base around 1065

-took 24 weeks to reach the open of the HUGE weekly plunge of 120points,week of MAY 3RD 2010

-dropped a total of 210points-2nd week from the top of the 4th 10+weeks uptrend pattern 1217,was the huge weekly plunge

-took 8weeks to hit the lowest point 1010

2nd correction went to 1074 lowest,BUT built a base around the 50% fibo,1120.

-took 23 weeks to reach the open pf the 2nd HUGE weekly plunge of 120points,week of August 1, 2011

-dropped a total of 270points from 1344 and 300points from the HEAD peak 1370

-the huge weekly drop also happened in the 2nd week from the 5th 10+weeks uptrend pattern close peak of 1344.,the LEFT SHOULDER OF THE head and shoulders

-took 9weeks to hit the lowest point 1074

THIS IS THE NEW AND IMPROVISED VERSION OF THE MOST POPULAR POST IN MY BLOG


LET US RECALL THE LIES OF MEDIA OR PEOPLE WHO DON'T KNOW HOW TO EXPLAIN

1)DATA GOOD,COMPANIES EARNINGS GOOD,INDEX DROP= "FACTORED IN" OR "LESSEN STIMULUS HOPES"

2)DATA BAD,COMPANIES EARNINGS BAD,INDEX RISE="INCREASED STIMULUS HOPES"

3)WHEN USA CRISIS CAME,FULL OF CDO SHIT PROBLEM,NO1 KNOWS THERE WILL BE A EUROPE CRISIS IN 2009.THEN CAME EUROPE CRISIS.

4)WHEN EUROPE CRISIS BECOME STALE NEWS,FOCUS SHIFT TO LIBYA GADDAFI TO "EXPLAIN" DROP IN USA MARKETS

5)THEN AFTER GADDAFI NEWS BECAME STALE,THEY SHIFT BACK TO EUROPE AND CHANGE TO "AUSTERITY" SHIT

6)THEN AFTER EURO AUSTERITY NEWS BECOME STALE,THEY SHIFT FOCUS BACK TO USA AND INTRODUCED "FISCAL CLIFF" SHIT JUST BECAUSE BERNANKE MENTIONED FISCAL CLIFF

I "LOVE" THEIR SHIT.EVERYTIME THE STORY BECOMES OLD AND STALE,SOMETHING NEW WILL POP OUT AND THE OLD ONE WILL NEVER BE MENTIONED AGAIN-SINK INTO OBLIVION!!

1ST CDO,LIBYA,AUSTERITY,NOW FISCAL CLIFF.NEXT FUCK YOU!!DID CDO SHIT RESURFACE AGAIN NOW?WHO REMEMBER GADDAFI,LIBYA PROBLEMS SUDDENLY SOLVED FOREVER??

GRANDMOTHER STORY SPINNERS FUCKERS.


19th October 2013
NEPTUNE ORIENT LINES ROBOTIC PATTERN
1) BASE
A-
WEEK oF 17 NOVEMBER 2008—0.93
Week of 9 March 2009—0.85
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
3+ MONTHS APART
BETWEEN 1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED +182% IN
1YEAR,1 MONTH, HIT NEAR 2.40 IN APRIL 2010
2) BASE
B-
Week of 22 August 2011—0.98
Week of 21 November 2011---0.995
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
3 MONTHS APART BETWEEN
1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED +53% IN 3
months.HIT 1.515 IN 20 FEBRUARY 2012 WEEK





3) BASE
C-
Week of 23 July 2012—1.05
Week of 19 November 2012---1.05
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
3+ MONTHS APART
BETWEEN 1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED +30% IN 1.5months.HIT
1.36 IN 7 January 2013 WEEK

4) NOW,IT
IS BASE D TIME
Week of 10 June 2013—1.025
Week of 26 August 2013---1.025
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
Near 3 MONTHS APART
BETWEEN 1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED ????% by
??????








N.O.L-NEPTUNE ORIENT LINES-N03.SI (WEEKLY CHARTS) YEAR 2006:6 NOVEMBER TO 1ST JAN2007: 1.77 TO 2.20 (+43c) YEAR 2008:17NOVEMBER TO 5JAN2009: 0.84 TO 1.175 (+33.5c) YEAR 2009:2NOVEMBER TO 11JAN2010: 1.51 TO 1.94 (+43c) YEAR 2010:22NOVEMBER TO 3JAN2011: 2.07 TO 2.40 (+33c) YEAR 2011:21NOVEMBER TO 30JAN2012: 0.995 TO 1.43 (+43.5c) YEAR 2012:19NOVEMBER TO 7JAN2013: 1.055 TO 1.36 (+30.5c)



Saturday, September 4, 2010

CHART C:

chart A

CHART B

S&P 500 PE S&P 500 Price S&P 500 Earnings S&P 500 Dividend Yield Interest Rate Inflation more ▼ multpl

Case Shiller National Home Price Index



Chart | Table | CSV |
Current Index: 131.81

January 2010

The Case Shiller Home Price Index is an indicator of U.S. housing prices nationally.

The data presented is in nominal (non-inflation-adjusted) dollars. For an inflation-adjusted (and more striking) view see Case Shiller Home Price Index, Inflation Adjusted

The steep decline in US home prices, starting near the end of 2007, is the largest drop since the great depression and the 1930s.

Data is courtesy Robert Shiller, from his book, Irrational Exuberance, and Standard and Poor's, which provides more information on the methodology for calculating the Case Shiller Home Price Idices.

Information is provided 'as is' and solely for informational purposes, not for trading purposes or advice, and may be delayed.

Copyright © 2010 | contact@multpl.com

NOW COMPARE TO THE STOCK MARKET IN NOMINAL TERMS---chart A

we shall track from 1900s- great depression to now to see a similarity in us markets and now

time period 1:1900 to 1930:
us dow jones OUTPERFORM US PROPERTY MARKET 60 TO 300 IN DOW JONES VERSUS A 3 TO 6 PT RISE IN CASE SHILLER

TIME PERIOD 2: 1930 TO 1940
STOCK MARKET RECOVER TO 200 FROM DOWN FROM 300 TO 40.PROPERTY MARKET RECOVER MUCH LESSER THAN DOW---FROM 7 TO 4 THEN TO 5

THIS CLEARLY SHOWS EVEN IN A STOCK MARKET CRISIS 1930, THE STOCK MARKET OUTPERFORM THE PROPERTY MARKET

time period 3:1940-1950
CASE SHILLER rocket from 5 to 11, BUT DOW is flat for a decade!!!!

TIME PERIOD 4:1950-1970
CASE SHILLER IS FLAT BUT DOW UP FROM 300 TO 1000!!!

time period 5:1970-1980

DOW FLAT AT 1000!!!! BUT CASE SHILLER CHEONG 2X!!!

TIME PERIOD 6:1980-2000

GOLDEN PERIOD FOR US!!!
dow up 10 TIMES from 1k to 10k
BUT CASESHILLER UP ONLY 2X!!

TIME PERIOD7:YEAR 2000 TO 2010:
DOW STUCK AT 10K FOR A DECADE!!
BUT HOUSES ARE STILL HIGHER THAN 2000!!

WHAT ARE LESSONS LEARNT?
1.PROPERTY AND STOCK MARKET TAKE TURNS TO CHEONG UP but STOCKMARKET OUTPERFORM PROPERTY IN LONG RUN DUE TO FASTER AND BIGGER RISES CONSISTENTLY OVER A CENTURY!!

2. HANGSENG BEHAVES LIKE DOW JONES STUCK AT 20k FROM 2000 TO 2010 but snp500 is below 2000 highs of 1560 showing weakness in us general economy.dowjones having more overseas business companies eg caterpillar is at the 2k year highs

hence i conclude that hangseng will trade like the dow going back to 32K AND BREAKING IT in the next few years prob 2012 as hangseng hasnt moved much for past 10 years

hsi chart for past 20 years:
http://uk.finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=%5EHSI#chart1:symbol=^hsi;range=my;charttype=candlestick;crosshair=on;ohlcvalues=0;logscale=off;source=undefined

hongkong property prices also at year 1997 levels BUT the difference is that hsi is above year 1997levels but hk property price at 1997highs EVEN AS INTEREST RATES KEEP ON GOING DOWN.SHOWING BUYERS FATIGUE IN PROPERTY.SUPER LOW INTEREST RATES CANT PUSH PROPERTY TO SUPER HIGHS--CHART C

from the dow jones chart,1930s was stckmkt caused ,2007 was housing caused,u superimpose 1930s stckmkt chart to be housing 2010 chart and we know us housing going to be stuck for a long time prob 20 years in the mud, whereas the dow jones with the hangseng in 2012? will break to new highs(due to MNCs,companies deriving their revenues from overseas like china,asia.)as shown by the case shiller in the 1940s

property is like an inferior good,rising much lesser and slower than the stock market overall.
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