SUMMARY OF ALL SP500 UPTRENDS AND CONSOLIDATIONS
THANKS TO YOU ALL-MY PAGEVIEWS SKYROCKETED IN JAN2012,ONE MONTH ALONE is EQUAL TO 6MONTHS OF
PAGEVIEWS!!A BIG THANK YOU
SINCE THIS THREAD "SUMMARY OF ALL SP500 UPTRENDS AND CONSOLIDATIONS" THREAD IS SO POPULAR,THE HIGHEST VIEWERSHIP,I PUT IT IN THE FRONT PAGE
SUMMARY OF ALL SP500 uptrends and consolidations
UPTRENDS-
1. Mostly 10weeks,although some may be 9,11,12.how to recognize?--uptrend "mysteriously" maintained by a diagonal uptrendline connecting the lows of that 10weeks uptrend
2. 1st and last(10th) week always end in surges of aorund 3-6%with the least 1st week gain was 2.7%.The humpy uptrend will "mysteriously" start and end with surges up.
3. If the (X-1)th 10+weeks end below a fibo of the 1576-666 range,THEN the next,Xth, 10+weeks will end AT THAT FIBO.
4. If the (X-1)th 10+weeks end ABOVE a fibo of the 1576-666 range,then the NEXT,Xth, 10+weeks will end AT THE NEXT HIGHER FIBO.
5. Every year's end, at the last trading day of the year,sp500 will end near a fibo of 1576-666 range.
6. Every 10+weeks uptrend will start AFTER a double testing of the diagonal uptrend line formed by the humps from july 13th week 2009.
7. The uptrend in the secular bear market,before breakout 1576, will be a "humpy" ride,whereby i forecast a total of 4 humps to test 1576.
8. After the sp500 breaks out of the 1576 resistance,the diagonal uptrendline will be much sharper than the uptrendline of the 4 humps.
9. The peaks of each hump will occur at AROUND 350-360 POINTS ABOVE THE CORRECTION TESTED FIBONACCI.
10. 2009 REPLICATE 2003,2010 REPLICATE 2004,2011 REPLICATE 2005,SO ON--I mean the closing values and their respective fibo,
CONSOLIDATIONS-CORRECTIONS AND RETRACEMENTS
1. Every correction will have one week of huge plunge about 100points in sp500
2. every Long/HUGE weekly plunge of around 5-8% in the sp500 will be met with a return to the start BEFORE the huge plunge(weekly open) of THAT LONG WEEKLY DOWN CANDLEBODY in 23 to 24 weeks
3. After the peak of each hump has been achieved,there will come a plunge BACK to the fibo of 1576-666 range.---------
eg. 1st hump ended at 1219,near 61.8%,then sp500 plunged back to retest the 38.2%,before the NEXT hump will be formed
eg. 2nd hump peaked at 1370,near the 78.6%,then sp500 plunged back to retest the 50%..so on..
1st correction went to the 38.2%,1013, lowest 1010 and built a base around 1065
-took 24 weeks to reach the open of the HUGE weekly plunge of 120points,week of MAY 3RD 2010
-dropped a total of 210points-2nd week from the top of the 4th 10+weeks uptrend pattern 1217,was the huge weekly plunge
-took 8weeks to hit the lowest point 1010
2nd correction went to 1074 lowest,BUT built a base around the 50% fibo,1120.
-took 23 weeks to reach the open pf the 2nd HUGE weekly plunge of 120points,week of August 1, 2011
-dropped a total of 270points from 1344 and 300points from the HEAD peak 1370
-the huge weekly drop also happened in the 2nd week from the 5th 10+weeks uptrend pattern close peak of 1344.,the LEFT SHOULDER OF THE head and shoulders
-took 9weeks to hit the lowest point 1074
THIS IS THE NEW AND IMPROVISED VERSION OF THE MOST POPULAR POST IN MY BLOG
LET US RECALL THE LIES OF MEDIA OR PEOPLE WHO DON'T KNOW HOW TO EXPLAIN
1)DATA GOOD,COMPANIES EARNINGS GOOD,INDEX DROP= "FACTORED IN" OR "LESSEN STIMULUS HOPES"
2)DATA BAD,COMPANIES EARNINGS BAD,INDEX RISE="INCREASED STIMULUS HOPES"
3)WHEN USA CRISIS CAME,FULL OF CDO SHIT PROBLEM,NO1 KNOWS THERE WILL BE A EUROPE CRISIS IN 2009.THEN CAME EUROPE CRISIS.
4)WHEN EUROPE CRISIS BECOME STALE NEWS,FOCUS SHIFT TO LIBYA GADDAFI TO "EXPLAIN" DROP IN USA MARKETS
5)THEN AFTER GADDAFI NEWS BECAME STALE,THEY SHIFT BACK TO EUROPE AND CHANGE TO "AUSTERITY" SHIT
6)THEN AFTER EURO AUSTERITY NEWS BECOME STALE,THEY SHIFT FOCUS BACK TO USA AND INTRODUCED "FISCAL CLIFF" SHIT JUST BECAUSE BERNANKE MENTIONED FISCAL CLIFF
I "LOVE" THEIR SHIT.EVERYTIME THE STORY BECOMES OLD AND STALE,SOMETHING NEW WILL POP OUT AND THE OLD ONE WILL NEVER BE MENTIONED AGAIN-SINK INTO OBLIVION!!
1ST CDO,LIBYA,AUSTERITY,NOW FISCAL CLIFF.NEXT FUCK YOU!!DID CDO SHIT RESURFACE AGAIN NOW?WHO REMEMBER GADDAFI,LIBYA PROBLEMS SUDDENLY SOLVED FOREVER??
GRANDMOTHER STORY SPINNERS FUCKERS.
19th October 2013
NEPTUNE ORIENT LINES ROBOTIC PATTERN
1) BASE
A-
WEEK oF 17 NOVEMBER 2008—0.93
Week of 9 March 2009—0.85
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
3+ MONTHS APART
BETWEEN 1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED +182% IN
1YEAR,1 MONTH, HIT NEAR 2.40 IN APRIL 2010
2) BASE
B-
Week of 22 August 2011—0.98
Week of 21 November 2011---0.995
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
3 MONTHS APART BETWEEN
1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED +53% IN 3
months.HIT 1.515 IN 20 FEBRUARY 2012 WEEK
3) BASE
C-
Week of 23 July 2012—1.05
Week of 19 November 2012---1.05
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
3+ MONTHS APART
BETWEEN 1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED +30% IN 1.5months.HIT
1.36 IN 7 January 2013 WEEK
4) NOW,IT
IS BASE D TIME
Week of 10 June 2013—1.025
Week of 26 August 2013---1.025
DOUBLE BOTTOM HIT
Near 3 MONTHS APART
BETWEEN 1ST AND 2ND BOTTOM
RALLIED ????% by
??????
N.O.L-NEPTUNE ORIENT LINES-N03.SI (WEEKLY CHARTS) YEAR 2006:6 NOVEMBER TO 1ST JAN2007: 1.77 TO 2.20 (+43c) YEAR 2008:17NOVEMBER TO 5JAN2009: 0.84 TO 1.175 (+33.5c) YEAR 2009:2NOVEMBER TO 11JAN2010: 1.51 TO 1.94 (+43c) YEAR 2010:22NOVEMBER TO 3JAN2011: 2.07 TO 2.40 (+33c) YEAR 2011:21NOVEMBER TO 30JAN2012: 0.995 TO 1.43 (+43.5c) YEAR 2012:19NOVEMBER TO 7JAN2013: 1.055 TO 1.36 (+30.5c)
Tuesday, April 27, 2010
April 21, 2010, 4:40 AM EDT
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e-mail this story print this story digg this save to del.icio.us add to Business Exchange By Sophie Leung
April 21 (Bloomberg) -- Hong Kong said it will raise sales taxes on some properties and accelerate government land auctions to prevent a bubble in a real estate market where prices surged 29 percent last year.
The city may raise the stamp duty on homes sold for less than HK$20 million ($2.58 million), Financial Secretary John Tsang told lawmakers today. The average size of loans approved in February in Hong Kong was HK$2.21 million, according to the Hong Kong Monetary Authority.
“The government is deeply concerned about the rising trend of property prices,” Tsang said. “I understand the worries of residents about rapidly rising home prices, and I agree that we need to reduce the bubble risk in the property market to avoid any impact on the financial system’s stability and the recovery in the real economy.”
Buying by mainland Chinese and low borrowing costs have driven a 7.4 percent increase in Hong Kong home prices this year, adding to 2009’s advance. The government in February said the stamp duty on homes selling for more than HK$20 million would be raised to 4.25 percent from 3.75 percent as of April 1.
It raised down payments on luxury homes in October. Luxury properties are those that cost at least HK$10 million each or are bigger than 1,000 square feet (92.9 square meters).
“Such mere empty talk is useless in helping to bring home prices down,” Kevin Lai, economist at Daiwa Capital Markets Hong Kong Ltd., said by phone today. “Even if the policy turns real, it won’t help to curb speculation as long as interest rates are kept at a such low level.”
Least Affordable
Hong Kong homes are the least affordable among the world’s major cities and are rapidly becoming less accessible to the residents, according to a study commissioned by the South China Morning Post, the city’s biggest English-language newspaper. The study used international comparisons and Hong Kong government figures, the newspaper said.
The territory had the greatest disparity between rich and poor among Asian cities, according to a 2008 report from the United Nations. The Gini coefficient, which measures wealth inequality, was 0.53, compared with an average of 0.39 for Asia, the report said. A Gini coefficient of zero indicates perfect income equality and 1 reflects perfect inequality.
Two residential sites, one in Kowloon and the other on Hong Kong Island, will be auctioned off in June and July without developers having to indicate interest first to trigger bidding, Tsang said. That would bring to four the total number of sites the government is selling in the coming three months, Tsang said.
Auction System
In Hong Kong, the primary source of land available to property developers is through government auctions. Under the current system, developers must indicate interest in a site on a government list. Once a “trigger price” has been met, the site is auctioned.
The government will change the way it puts sites up for auction, Tsang said in his Feb. 24 budget speech. The government would consider putting sites up for sale even if they haven’t been triggered, he said then.
Hong Kong will hold two land auctions for sites in the New Territories in May with developers triggering the sales.
The city will make about 55,000 new homes available in the next three to four year, Tsang said.
Low mortgage rates and excessive liquidity, coupled with not enough supply are fueling the risk of property-price bubbles, Tsang said.
The 20-year-low mortgage rates won’t be sustained for long as governments around the world wind back stimulus measures, he said. A 3 percent rise in rates would boost monthly mortgage repayments 30 percent, Tsang said, citing a stress test result.
“I urge residents or investors to carefully assess the impact of climbing interest rates on mortgage payments when they consider buying apartments,” Tsang said.
While gains in Hong Kong home prices had “tapered slightly” in recent months, the “increasing risk of a property bubble cannot be ignored,” Tsang said.
The Hong Kong government plans to prevent developers from enticing buyers with inaccurate models of apartments and to scrutinize their sales tactics. Real estate companies should disclose properties sold to their own executives, Secretary for Transport and Housing Eva Cheng said on April 12.
--Editors: Andreea Papuc, Joost Akkermans
To contact the reporter on this story: Sophie Leung in Hong Kong at sleung59@bloomberg.net
IDIOTS WILL FOREVER BE IDIOTS.BUYING PROPERTY AT PEAK IS AKIN TO BUYING AN ILLIQUID STOCK LIKE AUSSINO,ETC. somemore, buying residential properties machiam hk population 20m, as full of 40storey apartments whereas singapore population 5m only with not so many high rise.
IDIOTS SPECULATE RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY WITHOUT THINKING OF SUPPLY,ETC.only low interest rates,etc.MACHIAM THEY DONT NEED LOANS FROM BANKS TO BUY.IT IS VERY OBVIOUS THEY ARE DAMN IDIOTIC AS THEY NEED TO BORROW FROM BANKS YET NOT SCARED OF RISING RATES!!!!
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