8jan2012-i post you all some past HILARIOUS ANAL-yst recommendations OF now suspended companies

1) http://www.forbes.com/lists/2007/24/markets_07bub_China-Sky-Chemical-Fibre_06P4.html
Asia's 200 Best Under A Billion


China Sky Chemical Fibre

09.27.07, 6:00 PM ET

China, textiles

Latest 12 Months

Sales Operating Income Net Income Market Value

$287 million $90 million $65 million $1,015 million





Latest 12 Months Valuation Three-Year Average

Price/Sales 3.5 Sales Growth 72%

EV/EBITDA 1 7 EPS Growth 62%

Price/Earnings 16

Debt/Equity 0 Return On Equity 40%



China Sky Chemical Fibre Co Ltd. The Group's principal activities are manufacturing chemical fibres, high-end nylon fibres, such as nylon Full Drawn Yarn and nylon High Oriented Yarn. The products are used by manufacturer of textiles and fabrics for making apparels such as high-end sportswear and casual wear, high-end lingerie and undergarments, jackets, pants and silk-like clothing. In addition to the applications in the textile and garment manufacturing industries, the products have also been applied by their customers for other commercial uses in the manufacture of home furnishing articles, such as curtains, table-cloth, upholstery and decorative materials, shoes, bags, luggage, umbrellas, tents, ribbons and nylon webbings. The Group operates in China.
All figures are in U.S. dollars.

Data as of September 7

NA: Not available; NM: Not meaningful.

1Enterprise value (market value of common plus net debt) divided by earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization.

Source: Worldscope via FactSet Research Systems; Forbes

2) Merrill's 'buy' call lifts China Sky 4.5%

 09 October 06 The Business Times by Jean Chua SHARES of China Sky Chemical Fibre went up 4.5 per cent after brokerage Merrill Lynch initiated coverage of the nylon-fibre maker on Friday with a target of $1.82, a 62.5 per cent upside on the current price.




The stock jumped seven cents to open at $1.19 on Friday as Merrill Lynch issued a 'Buy' recommendation on the company.



Analyst Eddy Loh said China Sky, which was trading at 6.3 times forward earnings at $1.12 the day before the report was issued, had a lot of room for growth as the market was vast.



'Nylon fibre consumption in China is expected to continue growing at more than 15 per cent per annum,' Mr Loh wrote.



'As the largest producer, China Sky is well positioned to outpace industry growth by grabbing market share from both foreign imports (sic) and domestic consumption.



'The fact that China still imports one-third of its nylon fibre requirements suggests there is more room for domestic producers such as China Sky to grow.'



China Sky's net profit inched up 3.2 per cent to 87.7 million yuan (S$ 17.6 million) in the second quarter, as revenue grew 4.7 per cent to 315.3 million yuan. Its gross profit stayed flat at 105 million yuan, but costs and expenses fell 39.6 per cent to 5.3 million yuan.



Mr Loh said that the Q2 results were 'disappointing' but on a full-year basis, it estimates that the company can make 490 million yuan on revenue of 1.78 billion yuan this year. Next year, it could make 634 million yuan on sales of 2.29 billion yuan.



Besides the growth of the industry, China Sky could acquire its competitors, which could help it break into new markets, Mr Loh said. 'These prospects have not been factored into our forecast.'



In fact, China Sky has already identified some potential acquisitions and may make an offer in 2007, Mr Loh said.



China Sky is now the largest nylon-fibre producer in China, after it added capacity in June, Mr Loh said. It also has a solid research and development team, and provides good technical support to its customers, the weavers.



The third quarter should be a good one for China Sky, when it may make 50-60 per cent more than it did in the same quarter last year.



There are risks, of course, to China Sky's growth. The company had been able to pass on some of the increase in raw material prices to its customers, but if nylon prices go too high, it might not be able to go on doing so.



Its plans to increase capacity will also mean that it will have negative free cash flow for financial years 2006-2007. 'As China Sky may acquire or invest in new capacities, there may be a risk that free cash flow remains negative for 2008-2009,' Mr Loh wrote.



The company had cash of 300 million yuan at the end of the second quarter.



Other risks include 'unexpected decline in selling prices, developments affecting nylon usage in China and execution failures'.

3)BROKER CALL - Singapore-listed China Sky 'buy' after Q1 results - Kim Eng


13 May 2008

Xinhua Newsfeed



SHANGHAI (XFN-ASIA) - Kim Eng Securities said it maintained its "buy" recommendation and target price of 2.21 sgd for China Sky Chemical Fibre Co, after the company's first quarter earnings fell in line with expectations.



The Singapore-listed company's earnings rose 16 pct to 163.4 mln yuan on higher revenue from increased capacity and lower operating expenses.



But compared to fourth quarter 2007 earnings, profit fell 8.8 pct on a 1.7 pct decrease in revenue.



"We reckon the weaker revenue could be due to seasonality while higher tax rates eroded earnings," Kim Eng said in a note to investors.



(1 usd = 7 yuan, 1.36 sgd)



shburo@xfn.com

4)China Sky, Fibrechem get 'buy' calls
25 October 06 The Business Times UOB-Kay Hian has issued 'buy' calls on chemical fibre manufacturers China Sky Chemical Fibre and Fibrechem Technologies, saying that the two companies are not direct competitors as they cater to different segments of a fast-growing market.




In a research report this month, analyst Chong Mean Phil said Fibrechem makes products such as nylon-polyester bi-component fibre and sea-island short fibre, while China Sky makes high-end products like nylon full drawn yarn (FDY) and nylon high oriented yarn (HOY).



'Nylon is a more expensive chemical fibre than polyester, in terms of both raw materials and products prices,' Mr Chong said. 'We see nylon as a niche product and polyester as a mass market product. Judging from the number of players in the market, the data suggest that the polyester market is a bigger but more competitive and fragmented market.'



'In addition, China is quite self-sufficient in polyester with imports at 2 per cent of domestic production level. In fact, China has become a net exporter of polyester for 2005 and 2006.'



This also means that China Sky is a market leader, with close to 10 per cent market share based on its annual production capacity of 72,000 tonnes. Fibrechem has less than one per cent market share and is just one of the many players in the polyester market, Mr Chong said.



However, Fibrechem is no longer making merely standard polyester fibre, and has moved into producing specialty nylon polyester bi-component fibre and synthetic leather, for which it is market leader.



Bi-component fibre makes up 35 per cent of Fibrechem's revenue, and synthetic leather, 24 per cent.



Mr Chong estimates that earnings per share of both China Sky and Fibrechem have a compound annual growth rate of 30-40 per cent. He said investors could see a higher return on equity for Fibrechem because of a more 'efficient capital structure'.



'This is due to the use of debt or convertibles, which has a lower cost compared to pure equity,' he said. 'China Sky relies solely on equity to fund its operations, and there is certainly room for capital management to achieve a more optimal capital structure.'



China Sky's ROE is seen at 33.4 per cent for 2006 and 31.7 per cent for 2007, while Fibrechem's is seen at 32.8 and 34.2 per cent, respectively.



For China Sky's ROE to improve, it needs to use a lower cost instrument or increase its dividend payout, Mr Chong said.



'Both China Sky and Fibrechem ... serve different markets for different products and, hence, are not in direct competition,' Mr Chong said. 'We believe that the respective market segments are big enough to accommodate these two companies and the opportunities therein are plentiful.'



UOB Kay Hian has a 12-month price target of $1.58 for China Sky and $2.02 for Fibrechem. The stocks closed at $1.28 and $1.62 respectively on Monday.

THEN SUDDENLY

SGX applies for court order on China Sky audit


04:47 AM Jan 07, 2012SINGAPORE - The Singapore Exchange (SGX) has applied for a court order to force textile manufacturer China Sky Chemical Fibre to appoint a special auditor.



The application was made against China Sky and its directors after the S-chip company on Thursday missed a deadline set by the SGX to appoint a special auditor to investigate certain transactions.



"Despite every opportunity offered, China Sky persists in its non-compliance with the directive. SGX, has therefore, escalated the matter to the High Court," the bourse operator said late yesterday.



The SGX had directed China Sky in November to appoint a special auditor to investigate certain financial dealings, including a failed land deal and repairs and maintenance costs.



But in a rare display of defiance by a listed company, China Sky said such a move was unwarranted and that the SGX had not provided the justification for issuing the directive.



The SGX then gave China Sky a final deadline to comply with its directive by Thursday, with the backing of the Monetary Authority of Singapore.



The SGX said in its statement that it has also applied to the High Court to get China Sky to appoint at least two independent directors to replace those who had resigned on Thursday.







MY COMMENTS:--MUCH MORE,JUST GOOGLE AND U WILL FIND MUCH MORE COCK FUCKAMENTALS.I JUST BASED ON ONE LOGIC:IF THESE COMPANIES ARE SO GOOD AS THEY CLAIMED,WHY CANT THEY LIST IN THEIR OWN HOMELAND 1ST BEFORE GOING OVERSEAS??????

ONE SIMPLE QUESTION FROM A THEN 27YEAR OLD MAN,ME, IN 2006 ENABLED ME TO HAVE SUCH VISION THAT I DONT NEED TO WAIT FOR CRISES THEN I WAKE UP.BY THEN IT WILL BE TOO LATE.WHY MATURE ADULTS,MANY ARE MUCH OLDER THAN ME,DONT HAVE THE VISION????????????????????????????????

PLEASE DO QUIT THE STOCKMARKET IF YOU MUST WAIT FOR THINGS TO HAPPEN THEN U SEE THRU.THE STOCKMARKET ISNT FOR YOU.I AM AN ACTIVE TRADER FOR 9YEARS,YET I HAVE NOT EVEN BEEN HIT BY ONE SUSPENDED COMPANY YET NONE FULLTIME TRADERS CAN GET HIT BY NOT ONE,NOT TWO,SOME PEOPLE I KNOW GET HIT BY AT LEAST 5 SUSPENDED COMPANIES.

JUST ASK YOURSELVES WHY.INNOCENT PEOPLE SHOULD NOT ENTER THE STOCKMARKET.INNOCENT PEOPLE WHO BELIEVED THE WORLD BEHAVE TO UNIVERSITY ECONOMIC MODELS,FUCKA-FUNDAMENTALS P/E,DCF VALUATION MODELS,BLAH BLAH SHOULD NOT ENTER THE STOCKMARKET TOO.I AM ABLE TO SURVIVE FOR 9YEARS IN THE TREACHEROUS STOCKMARKET,YET I REMAIN UNSCATHED.LOSE MONEY YES,BUT NOT BECOME ZERO.

I ALSO BOUGHT BEFORE MANY NOW SUSPENDED COMPANIES DURING 2006-2009,WHY I WAS NEVER HIT???????BECAUSE I KNOW THESE CON-PANIES YOU CANT HOLD THEM FOR LONGTERM INVESTING.

I,A 27YEAR OLD GUY IN 2006 EVEN CAN SEE THRU BEFORE ALL THE S-CHIP SCANDALS CAME OUT AFTER 2008.

IF SHARESWIZARD CAN HAVE SUCH VISION,SO CAN YOU.

THANK YOU

7jan2012-WHEN I SAID I DONT KNOW HOW TO APPRECIATE THE SOCIAL DEMOGRAPHICS OF SINGAPORE,I SAID WITH PROOF-BUYING IPOs IS JUST LIKE BUYING LUXURY GOODS.IF YOU HAVE NOT ENOUGH READY SPARECASH,WILL YOU BID FOR IPOs?

SURVEY DONE BY MASTERCARD WORLDWIDE

7jan2012-ANOTHER FUNNY NEWS-thistime from usa!

Investors Continue to Yank Money Out of Stocks


Published: Friday, 6 Jan 2012
1:44 PM ET Text Size By: John Melloy

Executive Producer, Fast Money & Halftime


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Investors yanked money out of U.S. equity mutual funds for a ninth-consecutive week despite a bullish 2012 outlook from Wall Street and a December rally that’s carried over into the New Year.

U.S. funds—not including ETFs —lost $1.1 billion in the week ended Wednesday, according to data from Lipper FMI. This follows a $1.7 billion outflow in the previous week. Investors put money into taxable and municipal bond funds instead, the data showed.

“Trends remained largely intact as we moved into the first week of 2012,” said Daniel Fannon, a financial analyst with Jefferies, who cited the data in a note to clients.

The S&P 500 [.SPX 1277.81 -3.25 (-0.25%) ] began 2012 with a 1.6 percent surge on Tuesday and is up 2 percent for the week. A better-than-expected jobs report added to the bullish tone Friday.


Wall Street strategists, on average, expect the U.S. benchmark to increase by 7 percent this year, according to a consensus calculation by Goldman Sachs. The market seers generally cite a strong domestic economy overshadowing the credit crisis in Europe. But apparently, their retail clients aren’t listening.
The continued outflows mean “folks set a mental level, thinking ‘please God if we ever get to this point, I will take the money and run,’” said Jon Najarian, co-founder of TradeMonster.com. “It also means we could have more people chasing the market higher if this move hits 1300 in the S&P 500.”

The index is up 19 percent from its intraday low for 2011 hit three months ago and was approaching 1282 in trading Friday.

U.S. Stock Funds Have Second-Worst Year


QBy Charles Stein - Jan 6, 2012 1:00 PM GMT+0800
U.S. stock mutual funds that invest in domestic equities had their second-biggest redemptions last year as record market swings sent investors to the perceived safety of bond funds.



Investors pulled an estimated $132 billion from mutual funds that invest in U.S. stocks, the fifth straight year of withdrawals for domestic funds, according to preliminary data from the Investment Company Institute, a Washington-based trade group whose numbers go back to 1984. Withdrawals reached $147 billion in 2008 when the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index fell 37 percent, including dividends.



Withdrawals accelerated in May and June amid concern that weaker European economies would not be able to repay their debts. They peaked in July as Congress debated whether to lift the nation’s debt ceiling. Those events, as well as lingering memories of the 2008 selloff and a subpar U.S. economic recovery, may all have contributed to investor discontent, said Russel Kinnel, director of mutual fund research at Chicago-based Morningstar Inc. interview.



“A lot of people remember they got burned so they are more sensitive to bad news than they were before,” Kinnel said in a telephone interview.



‘Bear the Pain’

Volatility increased in the third quarter as the U.S. lost its AAA credit rating at Standard & Poor’s and concern about the European debt crisis intensified. The S&P 500 moved 2.4 percent (SPX) on average between its intraday lows and highs, the most for any quarter since 2009. The Dow Jones Industrial Average alternated between gains and losses exceeding 400 points on four straight days in August, the longest such streak ever.



“Investors just can’t bear the pain, which sets the stages for an unwillingness to take risk,” said Christopher Blum, chief investment officer for behavioral finance at JPMorgan Asset Management in New York.



The redemptions from domestic stock funds have come from managers who pick equities in an attempt to beat market benchmarks. Actively-managed funds saw withdrawals from 2007 through 2010 while index funds attracted money in each of those years, Morningstar data show. The same pattern held through the first 11 months of 2011.



“People are convinced that active management has failed to deliver,” Geoff Bobroff, a mutual fund consultant based in East Greenwich, Rhode Island, said in a telephone interview.



Leaving Active Funds

Funds that invest in international stocks attracted about $6 billion last year, ICI data show, down from $58 billion in 2010. Taxable bond funds saw an estimated $141 billion in deposits, below the $230 billion they attracted the previous year. Municipal bond funds suffered withdrawals of about $12 billion. In 2010 they had $11 billion in deposits.



The ICI has released monthly flow data through November and weekly numbers through Dec. 28, which may be revised. Final numbers for December will be published at the end of January, according to the ICI.



Domestic equity funds captivated the American public in the 1990s, thanks to a stock market that rose at an annual pace of 18 percent a year and the well-publicized success of stock pickers such as Peter Lynch of Fidelity Investments. Lynch guided Fidelity’s Magellan Fund to gains of 29 percent a year from 1977 to 1990 compared with 15 percent annual returns for the S&P 500 index.



In the past 10 years the S&P 500 returned 2.9 percent annually, including reinvested dividends. Investors suffered double-digit losses in 2001, 2002 and 2008.



Better news on the U.S. economy and a resolution of Europe’s debt problems might inspire investors to begin a return to U.S. stock funds, said Blum. In the meantime those investors could be missing good opportunities.



“There is a risk to not owning equities,” he said.



To contact the reporter on this story: Charles Stein in Boston at cstein@bloomberg.net



To contact the editor responsible for this story: Christian Baumgaertel in Boston at cbaumgaertel@bloomberg.net



MY COMMENTS-YEAH!!ISNT THIS FUNNY?LOOK AT THE TIMING THE AVERAGE RETARD SOLD STOCKS-
 
WHEN DID THE AVERAGE RETARD "EJACULATED" ALL THEIR STOCK HOLDINGS OUT?IN JULY 2011!!!
 
HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA
 
IF THEY HAVE READ MY BLOG,THEY WILL HAVE KNOWN IN FEB/MARCH 2011,I WAS VERY BEARISH AND WAS LOOKING FOR A 20% FALL IN STI AND WORLD MARKETS.DID I WAIT TILL JULY2011 TO "EJACULATE"?DID I WAIT TILL BAD NEWS IS ALL OUT THEN I "EJACULATE" MY STOCK HOLDINGS????
 
I "EJACULATED" ALL MY STOCK HOLDINGS IN FEB2011!!!!!!!HAHAHAHA THIS NEWS IS SO FUNNY.PLEASE READ MY FEB2011 POSTS FOR PROOF I WAS DAMN BEARISH ON THE STOCKMARKETS.I SAID ONLY FOOLS BUY FROM ME IN FEB2011.hahahahahaha
 
THE STOCKMARKET IS THE SAME AS PROPERTY AS BUSINESS.SOMEBODY HAS TO LOSE IN ORDER TO MAKE SOMEBODY WIN.STOCKMARKET,PROPERTY MARKET,BUSINESS MARKETS ARE ALL ZERO SUM GAMES.WAKE UP.RECENTLY SO MANY BOOKSHOPS IN SINGAPORE CLOSE DOWN,EG. BORDERS,PAGEONE.WHY?THE TECHNOLOGY COMPANIES GAIN AT THE EXPENSE OF THE BOOKSTORES BECAUSE NOW THERE ARE E-BOOKS.
 
JUST ASK YOURSELVES THIS SIMPLE QUESTION-WHY ARE WITHDRAWALS SO HUGE,2ND HIGHEST,BEHIND 2008,YET SP500 REMAIN FLAT FOR 2011??WHY???WHO HAS BEEN EATING UP THE "GOODIES"?
THE AVERAGE RETARD HAS ALREADY LEFT THE MARKET,NOW IT IS THE TIME TO PUSH UP,THEN AFTER STOCKMARKET SOARED,THEN THEY WILL RETURN AND BE TIED ANOTHER 20YEARS!!!!then they will complain again.PLEASE DO NOT RE ENTER THE STOCKMARKET AGAIN.

THE AVERAGE RETARD DESERVED TO GET BURNT IN THE STOCKMARKET.PATTERNS,CYCLES REPEAT AND REPEAT BUT AS AN ADULT, A FULLY MATURED ADULT,WHO LIVED SO MANY YEARS ON EARTH YET CAN FAIL TO LEARN REPEATED PATTERNS DESERVE TO LOSE.HOW CAN ANYONE,A FULLY GROWN MATURE ADULT, MISS OUT THAT 2009 EXACT PHOTOCOPY OF 2003,2010 EXACT PHOTOCOPY OF 2004,2011 EXACT PHOTOCOPY OF 2005 IN SP500.

if you cant see thru cycles, PLEASE QUIT THE STOCKMARKET AND NEVER RETURN.the stockmarket DOES NOT need your SMALL money to go up.the stockmarket can go up "ON ITS OWN".
 
TO THOSE WHO SELL IN may/july2011-YOU MUST HAVE BOUGHT SOMEWHERE IN 1999-2000,TIED UP FOR 10+ YEARS,NEVER EARN A SINGLE PROFIT.THEN WHEN SP500 RETURNED TO YOUR SAME 1200s levels,u sell ALL and VOW NEVER TO RETURN TO THE STOCKMARKET. you as an american,you have put warren buffett's teachings to shame!i know warren buffet is not 100% right BUT investing is simply "BUY WHEN MAJORITY IS AFRAID,SELL WHEN MAJORITY ARE GREEDY".
 
IT IS THE SAME AS PROPERTY MARKET.please look at china property now.dead as a mouse.a lot of china people are cursing the property market for making them lose their wealth.WHY IS THAT SO?
 
THE AVERAGE RETARDS WILL ALWAYS BE SUCKED INTO HUGE RISES,GET TIED FOR 10-20YEARS OF FLATTISH OR LOSING MONEY YEARS THEN THEY WILL "EJACULATE" AT LOW OR SAME PRICES THAT THEY BOUGHT 10-20YEARS AGO.this cycle WILL REPEAT because this retard QUIT,THERE COMES THE NEXT RETARD!hahahahaha
 
THANK YOU

7jan2012-haha so funny news!!CHINA COMPANY DEFIES SGX!!CHINA COMPANY SAYS ACCOUNTS BURNT IN FIRE!!HAHA I DONT WAIT TILL THINGS TO HAPPEN THEN I CURSE.I ALREADY KNOW THESE ARE LOUSY COMPANIES WAY BACK IN 2006 BEFORE CRISIS

China Sky fails to meet SGX deadline for special auditor



 Friday 6 January 2012, 7:44 SGT

By Eveline Danubrata



SINGAPORE, Jan 6 (Reuters) - Textile manufacturer China Sky Chemical Fibre has failed to meet a deadline set by Singapore Exchange (SGX) to appoint a special auditor, in a rare display of defiance by a listed company in the city-state.



The SGX directed China Sky in November last year to appoint a special auditor to investigate transactions between the company and its audit committee chairman as well as a failed land acquisition in China, among other issues.



But China Sky said such a move was unwarranted and not in the best interests of the company and its shareholders. The company also released a string of responses to SGX's reprimand, including email exchanges with the bourse.



The SGX then gave China Sky a final deadline Thursday, Jan 5, with the backing of the Monetary Authority of Singapore.



China Sky failed to meet the deadline and instead announced late on Thursday that three independent directors had stepped down with immediate effect due to the non-compliance with SGX's directive.



"I think this is the first time when a company is so belligerent in Singapore," said Kenneth Ng, head of CIMB Research in Singapore said on Thursday before the expiry of SGX's deadline. "An exchange has to be there to protect the interest of minority shareholders."



The Singapore bourse has stepped up its scrutiny of the accounting practices of Singapore-listed Chinese companies, known in the city-state as S-chips, after two waves of accounting problems last year and in 2008, analysts said.



"We do notice that the SGX is more proactive, especially after the recent accounting scandals," said Eric Ong, an analyst at Singapore brokerage Kim Eng.



"The SGX has requested for more information after the S-chips released their quarterly results. They also asked the companies to be more transparent."



When asked if the SGX has increased the number of queries on companies' earnings, a spokeswoman said that the bourse issues such queries in discharging its role as "a frontline regulator of listed companies."



"A query by the exchange aims to extract greater disclosure from listed companies where trends and figures may not have been explained in a manner which would allow investors to make informed decisions," the spokeswoman said.



For serious breaches of its rules, SGX will put the case before a disciplinary committee who may reprimand, fine, suspend and/or expel the member, according to its website.



Among the latest examples of accounting irregularities at S-chips, an independent investigation by NTan Corporate Advisory released last December found a total of HK$777 million ($99.9 million) in cash that had been unaccounted for at FibreChem Technologies.



Earlier this week, Sino Techfibre, which makes synthetic leather products, said it had appointed Stone Forest Corporate Advisory to carry out a valuation of the company.



An audit committee said a valuation may help to reconstruct Sino Techfibre's accounts which were lost in a fire. The company had announced last April that a fire at its offices in China had destroyed its books and financial records. (Editing by Rachel Armstrong)

THESE ARE MY COMMENTS:-WHAT DO YOU EXPECT OF SINGAPORE,GUYS?WHY DID I EXPECT FOREIGN COMPANIES WHO COME TO SGX TO LIST,MAJORITY ARE "BLOWN UP" TO BE VERY GOOD?

U JUST THINK WHAT I SAY:COMPANIES COME TO LIST IS TO GET WHAT?MONEY RIGHT?IPO MONEY RIGHT?SINGAPOREANS MAJORITY SALARIES TIED UP WHERE?CPF RIGHT?CAN CPF $ BE USED TO BID IPO?CANNOT RIGHT??THEN WHERE THE BIDDING IPO MONEY COME FROM???READY CASH RIGHT??

WITH MAJORITY SINGAPOREANS' MAJORITY SALARIES TIED UP IN CPF,DO YOU THINK MANY WILL HAVE ENOUGH READY CASH TO BID FOR IPOS?????????VERY GOOD COMPANIES WANT TO GET A FEW BILLIONS IN IPO,NOT A FEW MILLIONS.SO WHO WILL COME TO SINGAPORE TO LIST?-THE LOUSY COMPANIES BUT HAVE TO BE PAINTED TO BE GOOD.

THAT IS WHY I SAID IN MY BLOG LONG LONG TIME AGO THAT ALTHOUGH IM A SINGAPOREAN,I DO NOT KNOW HOW TO APPRECIATE SINGAPORE POPULATION DEMOGRAPHICS,THAT IS WHY I WILL NEVER BUY HIGH END RESIDENTIAL CONDO,APARTMENTS.COMMERCIAL,THEN I WILL CONSIDER AS IT IS A DIFFERENT BALL GAME.

comments from singaporeans in forum:-

 

2 users liked this comment Please sign in to rate this comment up. Please sign in to rate this comment down. 0 users disliked this comment

Yuen 8 hours ago 

"I have previously wrote the SGX about status of China Hongx which has been suspended for some time. Till today have not heard from them.Why isn't atime limit set on them? So many "China" listed companies have discrepencies and got suspended . One wonders why SGX is still allowing those company to list in the SGX - probably to make profits for SGX at the expense of the shareholders."

HELLO YUEN,IF YOU ARE READING MY BLOG NOW.IF SINGAPOREANS ARE CASH RICH,DO YOU THINK WILL HAVE SO MANY FOREIGN CON-PANIES?AFTER THE MALAYSIA SCANDAL LAST TIME,2008 IS THE START OF THE CHINA SCANDALS.

WHY SINGAPORE SGX IS WELL KNOWN TO US,FULLTIME TRADERS, AS A "REJECT","3rd tier" HUB?THOSE WHO CANT LIST IN CHINA HOMELAND,WILL LIST IN HONGKONG.THOSE WHO CANT LIST IN HONGKONG,THEN WILL COME TO SINGAPORE.IT IS A WELL KNOWN FACT THAT HKEX HAS STRICTER LISTING REGULATIONS.WHY???

YUEN,U WANT SGX TO BE STRICTER WITH FOREIGN CON-PANIES?HOW?IF SGX IS AS STRICT AS HKEX(WHERE HKERS ARE MORE CASH RICH,NO 35%CPF,NO 7%GST,NO COE,NO ERP),THEN HAHAHAHA NOBODY WANT TO LIST HERE ALREADY.HAHAHAHA COME ON WAKE UP LAH

THE POPULATION DEMOGRAPHICS OF SINGAPORE IS WRONG IN THE 1ST PLACE.IT IS WELL KNOWN THAT HK IPOS RAISE MUCH MUCH MUCH MORE MONEY THAN SINGAPORE IPOS.

SORRY TO GUYS LIKE YUEN,THIS TREND THAT HK RAISE MUCH MUCH MORE IPO $ THAN SINGAPORE +HKEX HAS STRICTER LISTING REGULATIONS THAN SGX,WILL NEVER CHANGE,UNLESS THE SOCIAL DEMOGRAPHICS OF SINGAPORE CHANGE 1st.

6JAN2012-MANIPULATION PATTERN OF DRYBULKS (WESTERN AND ASIAN)SEE FOR YOURSELVES HOW "COOPERATIVE" WESTERN AND ASIAN SAME SECTOR STOCKS ARE

LETS COMPARE

MARCH 2009 STOCKMARKETS HIT BOTTOM.

TIME WESTERN AND ASIAN DRYBULKS STARTED TO RISE

MARCH 3RD,
DRYS LOWEST WAS 2.72,MAR 3RD 2009
EAGLES LOWEST WAS ALSO ON MARCH 3RD 2009-2.87

OPERATOR 1ST ENTERED MERCATOR ON 23MARCH2009,20DAYS LATER THAN WESTERN DRYBULKS HIT LOWEST.

MARCH 23 2009,DRYSHIPS WAS ALREADY AT 4.95, A RESOUNDING 80% RISE IN 20DAYS.
EAGLE WAS AT 4.19USD,A RESOUNDING 46% RISE IN ALSO 20DAYS.

TIME WESTERN AND ASIAN DRYBULKS HIT PEAK.

MAY 7TH 2009-DRYSHIPS HIT PEAK AT 11.50 USD,A RESOUNDING 325% PROFIT MARGIN!!

MAY7TH 2009-EAGLES HIT PEAK AT 9.40USD,A RESOUNDING 227% PROFIT MARGIN!!

BUT MERCATOR(ASIAN DRYBULK) DIDNT HIT PEAK ON MAY 7TH 2009

MERCATOR HIT PEAK ONLY ON JUNE 3RD 2009-AT 44.5C SGD(I STILL KEEP MY CONTRACTS WITH ME TO SHOW I SOLD 800LOTS,800,000SHARES, AT THE HIGHEST 44.5C.BACK THEN I DIDNT PAY ATTENTION TO THE DRYBULKS MANIPULATION PATTERN.I ONLY KNOW STI WILL REVERSE DOWN AFTER HITTING 2700 FOR THE 1ST TIME)

MERCATOR HIT PEAK ALSO AROUND 20+ DAYS LATER THAN WESTERN DRYBULKS BECAUSE ASIAN DRYBULKS STARTED TO RISE 20DAYS LATER THAN WESTERN COUNTERPARTS.

THIS IS A STORY OF 1ST START 1ST FINISHED.THAT IS WHY WESTERN DRYBULKS "NEEDED " A DOUBLE TOP ALSO ON JUNE 3RD 2009(SAME TIME AS MERCATOR HIT PEAK) TO START TUMBLING DOWN WITH THE ASIAN DRYBULKS)

HOW "COOPERATIVE"!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

WHAT THE FUCK

IF WE APPLY THIS MANIPULATION PATTERN AGAIN,U CAN SEE UP TILL TODAY,ITS THE SAME!!!WESTERN DRYBULKS 1ST STARTED REBOUNDING FROM THEIR LOWEST IN DEC28,2011 DRYS WAS AT 1.98,EAGLE WAS AT 0.88.



PLEASE NOTE:this theory has HIGH CHANCE of repeating IF DRYS AND EAGLE DONT GO BELOW THEIR DEC28 LOWEST,AND BY ADDING 20DAYS TO DEC28,WE KNOW OPERATOR WILL START TO ENTER ASIAN DRYBULKS AT AROUND JAN20s,due to the chinese new year DISRUPTIONS,it may be dragged to early february 2012.

5JAN2012-LOOK AT THE BDI-bdi to go up 6X AS IN PAST 3X TO 9,000,10,000 ON IRAN "FEARS"??HUAT AH!!GREAT EXCUSE!PROFITS COME ROLLING IN!

5JAN2012-HUAT AH!AS I SAID DAYS EARLIER,DRY BULK WILL SOAR SOON.NOW THIS NEWS COMES OUT!!GREAT "EXCUSE"!HUAT HUAT HUAT HUAT HUAT HUAT HUAT HUAT!!!!!!!!

Oil Price Would Skyrocket If Iran Closed the Hormuz Strait




Published: Thursday, 5 Jan 2012
12:38 AM ET Text Size By: Clifford Krauss Twitter

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HOUSTON - If Iran were to follow through with its threat to blockade the Strait of Hormuz, a vital transit route for almost one-fifth of the oil traded globally, the impact would be immediate: Energy analysts say the price of oil would start to soar and could rise 50 percent or more within days.





Atta Kenare
AFP
Getty Images

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An Iranian blockade by means of mining, airstrikes or sabotage is logistically well within Tehran’s military capabilities. But despite rising tensions with the West, including a tentative ban on European imports of Iranian oil announced Wednesday, Iran is unlikely to take such hostile action, according to most Middle East political experts.



United States officials say the Navy’s Fifth Fleet, based in nearby Bahrain, stands ready to defend the shipping route and, if necessary, retaliate militarily against Iran.



Iran’s own shaky economy relies on exporting at least two million barrels of oil a day through the strait, which is the only sea route from the Persian Gulf and “the world’s most important oil choke point,” according to Energy Department analysts.



A blockade would also punish China, Iran’s most important oil customer and a major recipient of Persian Gulf oil. China has invested heavily in Iranian oil fields and has opposed Western efforts to sanction Iran over its nuclear program.



Despite such deterrents to armed confrontation, oil and foreign policy analysts say a miscalculation is possible that could cause an overreaction from one side or the other.





RELATED LINKS

Current DateTime: 09:38:49 04 Jan 2012

LinksList Documentid: 45880947

Can Iran Close the Strait of Hormuz?Iran Oil Tension Boosts Prices: The New Libya?Global Sanctions Against Iran: How They Would Work

“I fear we may be blundering toward a crisis nobody wants,” said Helima Croft, senior geopolitical strategist at Barclays Capital. “There is a peril of engaging in brinksmanship from all sides.”



Various Iranian officials in recent weeks have said they would blockade the strait, which is only 21 miles wide at its narrowest point, if the United States and Europe imposed a tight oil embargo on their country in an effort to thwart its development of nuclear weapons.



That did not stop President Obama from signing legislation last weekend imposing sanctions against Iran’s Central Bank intended to make it more difficult for the country to sell its oil, nor did it dissuade the European Union from moving toward a ban on Iranian oil imports.



Energy analysts say even a partial blockage of the Strait of Hormuz could raise the world price of oil within days by $50 a barrel or more, and that would quickly push the price of a gallon of regular gasoline to well over $4 a gallon. “You would get an international reaction that would not only be high, but irrationally high,” said Lawrence J. Goldstein, a director of the Energy Policy Research Foundation.



Just the threat of such a development has helped keep oil prices above $100 a barrel in recent weeks despite a return of Libyan oil to world markets, worries of a European economic downturn and weakening American gasoline demand. Oil prices rose slightly on Wednesday as the political tensions intensified.





MORE FROM NYTIMES.COM



Current DateTime: 09:40:30 04 Jan 2012

LinksList Documentid: 22528753

WorldPoliticsBusiness

American officials have warned Iran against violating international laws that protect commercial shipping in international waters, adding that the Navy would guarantee free sea traffic.



“If the Iranians chose to use their modest navy and antiship missiles to attack allied forces, they would see a probable swift devastation of their naval capability,” said David L. Goldwyn, former State Department coordinator for international energy affairs. “We would take out their frigates.”



More than 85 percent of the oil and most of the natural gas that flows through the strait goes to China, Japan, India, South Korea and other Asian nations. But a blockade would have a ripple effect on global oil prices.



Since Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates all rely on the strait to ship their oil and natural gas exports, a blockade might undermine some of those governments in an already unstable region.






This satellite image shows the Strait of Hormuz, between the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman.

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Analysts say that a crisis over the Strait of Hormuz would most likely bring China and the United States into something of an alliance to restore shipments, although Mr. Goldwyn said China would more likely resort to private diplomacy instead of military force.



Europe and the United States would probably feel the least direct impact because they have strategic oil reserves and could get some Persian Gulf oil through Red Sea pipelines. Saudi Arabia has pipelines that could transport about five million barrels out of the region, while Iraq and the United Arab Emirates also have pipelines with large capacities.



But transportation costs would be higher if the strait were blocked, and several million barrels of oil exports would remain stranded, sending energy prices soaring on global markets.



“To close the Strait of Hormuz would be an act of war against the whole world,” said Sadad Ibrahim Al-Husseini, former head of exploration and development at Saudi Aramco. “You just can’t play with the global economy and assume that nobody is going to react.”



This story originally appeared in The New York Times

5JAN2012-LOOK AT MY HANGSENG CYCLE-VERY ACCURATE.NOW HANGSENG IS BEHAVING TO USA MOVEMENTS,NOT BOTH USA AND CHINA,WHICH LEADS ME TO CONCLUDE AT USA 10WEEKS UP IN END JAN2012,THE UP/DOWN WILL BE DUE TO CHINA-MORE ODDS AT UP THAN DOWN

3jan2012-why idiots cant use their asses to think?

with the sg/hk economy at full throttle in 2010,AND with super low interest rates to buy property,why cant idiots think--
1)what if a financial crisis were to hit asia,will hk/sg have the POLICY "LEEWAY" to tweak interest rates to lessen the crises severity?
2)with inflation so high,surely interest rates must rise to "combat" inflation?
3)why with interest rates lower than 2007 in 2010,why cant hk/sgp (MAJORITY) condominiums rise past their previous highs?why HDB (majority) price has been slowly creeping up?NOTHING TO DO WITH INFLUX OF FOREIGNERS.please go and look at iproperty.com.sg HDB,CONDO pricing charts.HDB PRICES STARTED TO SURGE IN Q2 2010,THE SAME TIME CONDO PRICES STARTED TO COME DOWN.im not talking INDIVIDUAL CONDO PRICES,IM TALKING AVERAGE CONDO PRICES in the whole country.
I CAN SEE COMMENTS THAT ITS THE FOREIGNERS THAT CAUSE HDB PRICES TO GO UP.then why did condo prices start to fall at same time hdb start to surge?SURELY IT CANT BE THAT COINCIDENTAL??

the smart singaporeans are already selling to the foolish singaporeans AND ARE DOWNGRADING TO HDB to PRESERVE THEIR PROFITS,IN EVENT OF A DOWNTURN.SMART PEOPLE DONT NEED LOW INTEREST RATES TO ENTICE THEM INTO BUYING.SMART PEOPLE NEED FOOLISH PEOPLE TO SELL TO.THAT IS WHY DESPITE THE LOW INTEREST RATES,AVERAGE CONDO PRICES CANT SEEM TO EXCEED 2007.

SO GOOD LUCK TO THE HARDCORE CONDO OWNERS,U ALL WONT BE HIT NOW AS SINGAPORE ECONOMY IS STILL HEALTHY,USA STOCKMARKET IS STILL GOING UP IN 2012.BE VERY CAREFUL WHEN SP500 HIT 1900,AND HSI/STI HIT NEAR 2007 MAX.

DONT EVER TELL ME STOCKMARKET HAS NOTHING TO DO WITH PROPERTY.IF U THINK LIKE THAT,YOUR WHOLE LIFE WILL BE FUCKED UP.I QUOTE EVIDENCE TO BACK MY STATEMENTS-

1)IF THE STI DIDNT SURGE NEAR 100% IN 5MONTHS FROM MARCH-AUGUST2009,DO YOU THINK PROPERTY WILL BE STABLE,GOING UP?
2)IF STI DIDNT FALL ONLY 20% (FROM 3300LIKE I SAID),DO YOU THINK THE ECONOMY WILL BE ONLY  "SLOWING DOWN"??

EVERYTHING IS DICTATED BY THE STOCKMARKET 1st,WE FULLTIME TRADERS ALREADY KNOW WHAT IS IN HAND FOR THE ECONOMY IN NEAR FUTURE.

LIKE I SAID 2011-2014 WILL BE THE PRELUDE TO THE ASIAN FINANCIAL CRISES PART2:IT WONT HAPPEN NOW IN 2012.

ASK YOURSELVES-IF THE ECONOMY IN THE FUTURE IS SO GOOD,AND WITH SUCH LOW INTEREST RATES,SHOULD NOT HIGH END CONDO PRICES BE SURGING TO THE ROOF??THE RICH KNOW BETTER THAN THE LAYMEN.

NOTE-I AM NOT INTERESTED IN SINGAPORE HIGH END RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY AS I DONT EVEN WANT TO STAY HERE TILL I DIE NOR I AM ATTRACTED BY THE SINGAPORE POPULATION  DEMOGRAPHICS.I AM ONLY INTERESTED IN SINGAPORE COMMERCIAL SHOPS,AND EVEN SO,I WONT BUY IT TILL THERE IS A FULL BLOWN CRISES.I HAVE BOUGHT 1 COMMERCIAL SHOP IN ORCHARD ROAD IN 2005 AND HAVE SOLD IT.HENCE I WONT TOUCH IT AGAIN.

I AM NOT LIKE THE AVERAGE RETARD BUY IN TIMES OF SOARING PRICES+LOW INTEREST RATES+GOOD ECONOMY.I BOUGHT WHEN COMMERCIAL SHOPS ARE STAGNANT IN 2005.

THERE ARE 4 LEVELS OF PROPERTY PRICING LEVELS
HIGHEST IS-1)GOOD ECONOMY,SUPER LOW RATES
2)GOOD ECONOMY,HIGH RATES
3)BAD ECONOMY,LOW RATES
4)BAD ECONOMY,HIGH RATES.

GOD BLESS THOSE FOOLS WHO RUSH IN AT THE HIGHEST POSSIBLE SCENARIO

REMEMBER MY EARLIER PREDICTED DATES-BY JAN2012 END,SP500 WILL HAVE HIT 1380 SOMEWHERE IN JANUARY.WHY JANUARY END???WHY 1380??

3jan2012-WAH START OF NEW YEAR 2012-VERY AUSPICIOUS START WITH DAX UP 3%!!SP500 IS STILL FORMING THE 3RD BUMP AS I SAID,WITH THIS SURGE IN EUROPE,USMKT SHOULD RISE ABOVE THE 200DAY MA tmr night,asia time.

3JAN2012-I KNOW USA PROPERTY WONT RECOVER SO FAST,LIKE I SAID YEARS AGO.REMEMBER STOCKMARKET 1ST,THEN JOBS THEN PROPERTIES.MAMA MIA--SO MANY MANY GEMS FOR ME TO HANDPICK 10YEARS LATER!!wait for sp500 to break out of 1580 1st then talk ABOUT USA PROPERTIES

http://www.businessinsider.com/the-15-states-with-the-most-underwater-homes-2010-7#idaho-227-of-mortgages-underwater-1

TOP 15 USA STATES WITH UNDERWATER MORTGAGES

15.IDAHO-22.7% MORTGAGES UNDERWATER
14.MARYLAND-22.9%
13.SOUTH DAKOTA-23.8%
12.MISSISIPI-23.8%
11.LOUISIANA-23.8%
10.MAINE-23.8%
9.WYOMING-23.8%
8.WEST VIRGINIA-23.8%
7.VIRGINIA-24.3%
6.GEORGIA-27.8%
5.CALIFORNIA-35.1%
4.MICHIGAN-38.5%
3.FLORIDA-47.8%
2.ARIZONA-51.3%
1.NEVADA-69.9%

3JAN2012-look at end of property era worldwide-source:economist

3JAN2012-THAT IS WHY I SAID-STOCK/PROPERTY ANALYSTS SHOULD NOT GET INTO A JOB BASED ON EDUCATION QUALIFICATIONS ALONE.MANY OF THEM DONT EVEN HAVE INVESTMENT EXPERIENCE.DOES A 1ST CLASS HONOURS GUARANTEE THE ANALYST WILL THINK LIKE AN INVESTOR?MINDSET NEEDS REAL EXPERIENCE NOT DEGREE SCROLL.INVESTMENT ANALYSTS SHOULD HAVE 50% OF ASSETS IN INVESTMENTS BEFORE THEY ARE FIT TO GIVE INVESTMENT ADVICE

2jan2012-RETAIL IDIOTS WILL NEVER UNDERSTAND WARREN BUFFETT'S THEORY ALTHOUGH IT IS SO SIMPLE!

1jan2012-CAN FUCKAMENTALS BE TRUSTED?

DRYSHIPS(usa drybulk) FUNDAMENTALS(cut and paste from yahoo.com)

Valuation Measures


Market Cap (intraday)5: 816.79M

Enterprise Value (Dec 31, 2011)3: 4.92B

Trailing P/E (ttm, intraday): 19.23

Forward P/E (fye Dec 31, 2012)1: 3.45

PEG Ratio (5 yr expected)1: -1.35

Price/Sales (ttm): 0.85

Price/Book (mrq): 0.26

Enterprise Value/Revenue (ttm)3: 5.10

Enterprise Value/EBITDA (ttm)6: 9.19



Financial Highlights

Fiscal Year

Fiscal Year Ends: Dec 31

Most Recent Quarter (mrq): Sep 30, 2011



Profitability

Profit Margin (ttm): 3.59%

Operating Margin (ttm): 30.52%



Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (ttm): 2.50%

Return on Equity (ttm): 1.46%



Income Statement

Revenue (ttm): 965.30M

Revenue Per Share (ttm): 2.85

Qtrly Revenue Growth (yoy): 41.00%

Gross Profit (ttm): 832.31M

EBITDA (ttm)6: 535.48M

Net Income Avl to Common (ttm): 25.22M

Diluted EPS:0.10

Qtrly Earnings Growth (yoy): -56.60%



Balance Sheet

Total Cash (mrq): 398.96M

Total Cash Per Share (mrq): 0.98

Total Debt (mrq): 4.50B

Total Debt/Equity (mrq): 113.65

Current Ratio (mrq): 1.06

Book Value Per Share (mrq): 7.87



Cash Flow Statement

Operating Cash Flow (ttm): 432.99M

Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm): -1.90B

MERCATOR(asian drybulk) FUNDAMENTALS

Valuation Measures


Market Cap (intraday)5: 143.99M

Enterprise Value (Dec 31, 2011)3: 384.83M

Trailing P/E (ttm, intraday): 10.45

Forward P/E (fye Mar 31, 2013)1: N/A

PEG Ratio (5 yr expected)1: N/A

Price/Sales (ttm): 0.98

Price/Book (mrq): 0.37

Enterprise Value/Revenue (ttm)3: 2.61

Enterprise Value/EBITDA (ttm)6: 6.58



Financial Highlights

Fiscal Year

Fiscal Year Ends: 31 Mar

Most Recent Quarter (mrq): Sep 30, 2011



Profitability

Profit Margin (ttm): 9.07%

Operating Margin (ttm): 13.59%



Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (ttm): 1.88%

Return on Equity (ttm): 3.45%



Income Statement

Revenue (ttm): 147.36M

Revenue Per Share (ttm): 0.12

Qtrly Revenue Growth (yoy): -16.90%

Gross Profit (ttm): 82.00M

EBITDA (ttm)6: 58.48M

Net Income Avl to Common (ttm): 13.37M

Diluted EPS (ttm): 0.01

Qtrly Earnings Growth (yoy): -83.30%




Balance Sheet

Total Cash (mrq): 17.11M

Total Cash Per Share (mrq): 0.01

Total Debt (mrq): 264.22M

Total Debt/Equity (mrq): 67.49

Current Ratio (mrq): 0.63

Book Value Per Share (mrq): 0.31



Cash Flow Statement

Operating Cash Flow (ttm): 62.02M

Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm): -19.96M

WHY USA DRYBULK CAN CRASH FROM 131USD TO 1.90USD WHEN THE VALUATIONS,PROFITABILITY(EPS,FORWARD P/E,lesser decline in earnings),ARE CLEARLY BETTER THAN ASIAN DRYBULK,MERCATOR(0.76 TO 0.10)??CLEARLY THIS IS A USA "CRISES" WHERE USA WILL EMBARK ON A 16-20YEARS SECULAR BULL MARKET(SP500 BREAK THRU 1580).

HENCE THE LARGER PLUNGE IS "NEEDED" FOR USA DRYBULK SIMPLY BECAUSE USA STOCKMARKET AFTER THE "CRISES" HAS MORE TIME TO GO UP,WHEREAS SG/HK HASN'T A CRISES FOR NEARLY 20YEARS AFTER 1997.ASIAN DRYBULK CANT PLUNGE AS MUCH AS USA DRYBULK DESPITE BEING LOUSIER IN FUNDAMENTALS BECAUSE THIS ALREADY HINT THAT SG/HK WONT START A SECULAR BULL MARKET WITH USA,"NOT ENOUGH TIME" TO PUSH UP TILL THE NEXT ASIAN CRISES PART2.

THAT IS WHY ASIAN DRYBULK LIKE MERCATOR ONLY NEED TO GO UP 7X TO ITS ALLTIME HIGHS(0.77) WHEREAS USA DRYBULK LIKE DRYSHIPS(DESPITE BEING PROFITABLE AND BETTER VALUATIONS) HAVE TO GO UP ABOUT 65X(1.90 TO 131USD).

U JUST ASK YOURSELVES:AINT IT CLEAR WHERE THE NEXT SHOE IS GOING TO DROP?WHY MERCATOR(IN JAN2011)WAS ABOUT 0.30,3X HIGHER THAN ITS MARCH2009 LOWS,BUT DRYSHIPS WAS NEAR ITS MARCH2009 LOWS.

imagine 0.77 drop to 0.10 is serious OR 131usd to 1.90 usd is serious?INDIAN DRYBULK DROP 87% WHEREAS USA DRYBULK DROP 98%!!so from there,the rebound up  to their max is very WIDE,7X COMPARED TO 65X.

1jan2012-could this be the "excuse" to push SSE to my 3000-3200 by april2012?

jan1 2012-MERRY NEW YEAR!shanghai composite chart yearly since 1994

2012-RESOLUTION:if the market is not flattish by end of year,then my upmkt in 2012 will be valid!I WISH I WILL REVERT BACK TO MY 2009 DAYS OF EARNING 350K SGD in one year + MY PAGEVIEWS IN MY BLOG TO EXCEED 10,000.MERRY 2012 EVERYONE

31DEC2011-PLEASE NOTE--

31DEC2011-MY BELOW PREDICTION WILL BE TRUE ONLY IF SSE DOES NOT MAKE A NEW LOW(<2130) by end JAN2012 if that happens,that means SSE will hit 3000,3200 by NOV/DECEMBER 2012,FOLLOW THE ALTERNATING NOV/DEC-APRIL-NOV/DEC-APRIL PATTERN

if that happens,that means SSE will hit 3000,3200 by NOV/DECEMBER 2012,FOLLOW THE ALTERNATING NOV/DEC-APRIL-NOV/DEC-APRIL PATTERN

31dec 2011-HOW CAN STOCKMARKET BE PURE GAMBLING WHEN IT IS SO "WELL PLANNED"?LOOK AT THE AMOUNT OF DROP-CONSISTENTLY SAME!!

30dec2011-TALE OF 3 DRY BULK SHIPPERS-GO FOR DRY BULK SHIPPERS WHICH ARE STILL PROFITABLE AMID BDI PLUNGE 80%

I KNOW DRY BULK SHIPPERS WONT RECOVER SO FAST DUE TO OVERSUPPLY IN SHIPPERS BUT ALL THE DRY BULK SHIPPERS STOCKS HAVE ALREADY FALLEN IN EXCESS OF THE BDI PLUNGE.SO ANY INCREASE IN DRY BULK SHIPPERS STOCKS WILL BE EXPECTED SOON.WAIT FOR THE OPERATOR TO ENTER THE DEAD DRY BULK SHIPPERS 1ST AS YOU DONT KNOW WHEN THEY WILL ENTER(I WILL TEACH U HOW TO SPOT THEIR ENTRY).YOU SURELY DONT WANT YOUR HARD EARNED MONEY TO BE TIED WHEN THEY TAKE THEIR OWN SWEET TIME TO ENTER. POSITIVE DIVERGENCES IN DIFFERENT COUNTRIES SAME INDUSTRY STOCK CHARTS DO NOT GUARANTEE IT WILL GO UP RIGHT NOW.(IT MAY STAY STAGNANT FOR MONTHS)BUT ITS SURE A POWERFUL SIGNAL THAT ENABLED ME TO BUY STOCKS IN MARCH END 2009.I STILL KEEP MY CONTRACTS WITH ME AS PROOF.

28dec2011-I BELIEVE U ALL HAVE EYES TO SEE FOR YOURSLEVES HOW TECHNICAL THE STOCKMARKET IS,HAS IT ANYTHING TO DO WITH NEWS??

23dec2011-I MADE A MISTAKE JUST NOW-THE DATE OF MY POST SHOULD BE DEC23 2011,NOT 2010

23dec 2010-INTERNALS OF HANGSENG

23dec2012-sp500 most likely trend IF 3RD HUMP IS FORMING NOW.but if 1200 breaks,NO 3RD HUMP and a return to 1000 MAX

19th december 2011-SHANGHAI COMPOSITE 3RD WAVE(5WAVE UP) IN 5-3-5 WAVE FORMING

5 WAVE up-THE MEGA BULLRUN TILL 2007, 3WAVE downTHE CORRECTION FROM 2007-2008 5WAVE UP,FROM NOW TILL AROUND 2015(SYNCHRONIZING WITH HANGSENG 32K) in this 5wave up,WE ARE ASSUMING 1.2180S IS THE FINAL LOW,NO MORE THAN THAT AS 0.382 X 1664-3476 = 2356,AS WAVE 2 IN ELLIOTT 5 WAVE UP CANT BE MORE THAN 61,8% OF WAVE1.2180S IS NOT SO FAR AWAY FROM 2350s.BUT IF IT FALLS TO BELOW THE 23.6%,2091,then THE ELLIOT 5WAVE UP PATTERN WILL NOT HAPPEN IN WAVE 3,ELLIOTT THEORY STATES THAT IT WILL BE THE LONGEST WAVE UP,PEAKING AT AROUND 1.618 X 1.8K=2.9K.WE ADD 2.9K TO 2.2K WE WILL GET THE 78.6% FIBO OF 6120-1664 RANGE. WAVE 5 WILL PEAK AT THE SAME HIGHS AS 2007=6120 AND IT WILL BE THE START OF ASIA CRISES.

17dec2011-3RD HUMP IS STILL FORMING IN SP500,WITH SHANGHAI REVERSING,BACK TO 1ST HUMP SCENARIO

LET ME DO THE HONOURS OF SUMMARIZING AGAIN THE SP500 10WEEKS UP PATTERN AND COMBINE WITH SHANGHAI COMPOSITE AND HANGSENG, 1ST 10WEEKS UP PATTERN(DATE MEANS WEEK STARTING DD/MM/YEAR) MAR09 2009-MAY4TH 2009 SP500 +40%(666-930) SSE +27% (2066-2625) HSI +54% (11300-17400) 2ND 10WEEKS UP PATTERN JUL13 2009-SEPT14 2009 SP500 +23% (869-1069) SSE -4.4% (3098-2962) HSI +22% (17700-21600) 3RD 10WEEKS UP PATTERN 2NOV 2009-JAN4 2010 SP500 +10.5% (1036-1144) SSE +6.7% (2995-3196) HSI +3% (21700-22300) 4TH 10WEEKS UP PATTERN FEB15 2010-APRIL19 2010 SP500 +13% (1075-1217) SSE -1.2% (3018-2983) HSI +5% (20200-21200)(ACTUALLY HANGSENG TURNED DOWN IN THE WEEK BEFORE,THE WEEK STARTING APRIL 12TH 2010 AND HAD DROPPED 5% FROM 22300s,HENCE THE GAINS ARE REDUCED BY 5%,initially the gains are +10%.IN LINE WITH SP500) 5th 10WEEKS UP PATTERN august30 2010-NOV1 2010 SP500 +15% (1065-1225) SSE +20% (2610-3129) HSI +20% (20600-24.9K) 6th 10WEEKS UP PATTERN NOV29 2010-FEB14 2011 SP500 +13% (1189-1344) SSE +1% (2871-2899) HSI +3% (22900-23600) ALL TIMINGS(10WEEKS UP,SOMETIMES 9,12 BUT MAJORITY 10)AND VALUES ARE APPROXIMATES. NEXT COMES THE CONSOLIDATIONS OF SP500 1.MAY11 2009-JUL6 2009(2MONTHS) SP500 -5.3%(929-879) SSE +19%(2625-3113) HSI +2% (17.4K-17.7K) 2.SEPT21 2009-0CT26 2009(1MONTH) SP500 -3%(1069-1036) SSE +6.8%(2962-3164) HSI +1% (21600-21750) 3.JAN11 2010-FEB8 2010(1MONTH) SP500 -9%(1144-1044) SSE -5.6%(3196-3018) HSI -9% (22300-20300) 4.APR26 2010-AUG23 2010(4MONTHS) SP500 -13%(1217-1064) SSE -11%(2983-2642) HSI -3+(-5)=-8% (17.4K-17.7K)(HSI ALREADY STARTED COMING DOWN ON WEEK STARTING APR12 2010,5% DOWN 5.NOV8 2010-NOV22 2010(0.5MONTH) SP500 -3%(1225-1189) SSE -8.5%(3129-2871) HSI -8% (24.9K-22.9K) 6.FEB21 2011-NOV21 2011(9MONTHS) SP500 -14%(1343-1158) SSE -16%(2827-2380) HSI -25% (23.6K-17.7K) PLEASE NOTE WHY HANGSENG FELL MORE THAN SHANGHAI AND SP500 BY 10+%??? BECOZ HANGSENG "OWES" THE SHANGHAI COMPOSITE 10+% BY NOT FACTORING IN THE FALL IN THE SHANGHAI COMPOSITE IN THE 2ND 10WEEKS UP IN THE SP500 PERIOD.DURING THAT 2ND 10WEEKS UP,HANGSENG IGNORED THE FALL IN SHANGHAI FROM 3.4K TO 3.1K AS SHANGHAI FELL FROM 3.1K APPROX TO 2962.THIS IS CALLED "PLAYING CATCH UP" STOCKMARKET DONT OCCUR BY LUCK.IT IS UP TO THE INVESTOR OR TRADER TO FIND OUT THE TRUTHS. EVEN IF SP500 3RD HUMP DOES NOT FORM TO 1500-1520 BY NEXT AUGUST2012,SP500 WILL ONLY FALL TO 1000 TO "CREATE" A DOUBLE BOTTOM SAME AS THE EURO CRISIS 2010.THERE WILL NOT BE ANY LONGTERM BEAR MARKET UNTIL 2015-2016.I MEAN BY LONGTERM BEAR ISNT JUST A 30% FALL IN >1YEAR FROM MARCH 2011 COUNTING.

7DEC2011-HOW AMAZING CASE SHILLER GAINS AND HSI GAINS IN 2000-2007 ARE approx SAME 100%!!

CASE SHILLER NOMINAL PRICE INDEX UP FROM 2000-2007 OF 100% APPROXIMATELY,ISNT THAT THE SAME RATE AS HANGSENG,STI UP FROM 2000? how funny the sp500 HIT DOUBLE TOP IN 2007 IS THE SAME TIME CASE SHILLER HIT PEAK,HIGHER THAN 2000PEAK AND ALSO SAME TIME AS ASIA STOCKMARKET HIT PEAK?????????? u add 7/8years(start of 2000 in stockmarket peak to usa property peak in 2007 ) to end of 2007 wont u get 2015/2016 approx in asia property??2015/2016 will be the repeat of 1981-82 whereby sp500 will only plunge 20+% to retest 1580 and bounce up to gain 13-14X JUST LIKE 1982-2000(110 TO 1500) BUT HSI/STI will plunge 70-80+% to CONFIRM SECULAR BEARMARKET started in 2007. HENCE I FIRMLY BELIEVE ASIA PROPERTY WILL BE THE CATALYST TO "CAUSE" ASIA STOCKMARKETS TO CONFIRM THEY HAVE ENTERED SECULAR BEARMARKETS IN 2007. WE TRADERS CAN ONLY CONFIRM A MARKET IS IN SECULAR BEARMARKET ONLY AT THE 2ND TIME IT TESTS THE ALL TIME HIGHS,E.G. IN 2007,SP500 HIT 1580 AND PLUNGE DOWN CONFIRMING USA STOCKMARKET IS IN SECULAR BEAR SINCE YEAR 2000. please refer to case shiller versus sp500 versus hangseng versus sti to confirm what i am saying.

4dec2011-the movements of 3BROTHERS from now to start of secular bull for usa

IN CHRONOLOGICAL ORDER:1.HSI HIT 25K WITH SP500 HIT 1580 AROUND 2014s,sti to hit 3400s.wasting time 2.sp500 breakout of 110 in 1980s,went to 1981 of 140 and also dropping to retest 110 in september 1981.(drop of -20%).hence im calling for a repeat of 1980-1981 whereby sp500 will breakout of 1580 to 1900s,2000(gain of 27%.hangseng will just retest 32k from 25K,sti will go to 4.5K from 3.4K 3.THEN THE ASIA CRISES PART 2 WILL THEN EMERGE WITH SP500 dropping only 20+% to retest 1570s again JUST LIKE SEPTEMBER 1981 BUT HK,SG WILL PLUNGE 70-80%,ASIAN CRISES DEJAVU 4. HSI WILL PLUNGE TO AS LOW AS 6.5K,(-80% from 32K approx)the 1998 dejavu lowest point,sti will follow suit to 800(-80% from 4.5k approx).ASIA WILL THEN BE TRAPPED IN ITS OWN SECULAR BEAR MARKET FOR THE NEXT 16-20YEARS. 5.then from 6.5K hsi,800 in sti,BOTH WILL GO UP TO THEIR 2007 HIGHEST POINT(5-6X) WHEREAS USA will touch 1570 and go up 13-14X(a repeat of 1981-2000 SECULAR BULL MARKET IN USA from sp500 at 110 to 1500). NOW COME THE MOST IMPORTANT QUESTION-WHY HK/SGP WILL GO UP ONLY APPROX HALF OF USA?????(13-14X compared with 6-7X) YOU ALL MUST NOT FORGET HSI,STI DOUBLED in 2000-2007 WHEREAS SP500 WAS STAGNANT THROUGHOUT THESE SECULAR BEAR MARKET YEARS IN THE USA.THAT IS WHY YOU MUST DIVIDE THE GROWTH RATE OF SP500 BY 2 TO DERIVE THE GROWTH RATE OF HSI,STI. STRANGELY, THEY MATCH TO A TEE.SP500 WILL REPEAT 13-14X GAINS FROM 1570 TO 23000,WHEREAS HSI WILL ONLY BOUNCE from 6K,800 6-7X UP TO 35K,STI TO 4.5K I USED PAST TRENDS IN SP500+USA PROPERTY STOCKS BULLISH TREND+HK/SGP PROPERTY STOCKS BEARISH TREND+AN EXACT OF THE 1966-1982 SECULAR BEARMARKET IN SP500(SO FAR TILL 2011 IT LOOKS LIKE A VERY VERY CLOSE REPLICA) TO ANALYSE.I USE BOTH FUNDAMENTALS AND TECHNICALS TO SUPPORT MY VIEW. USA HERE I COME BABY!!

4dec 2011-everything falls into place like jigsaw pieces

from iproperty.com.sg-(they claim to be singapore's no.1 property website) HDB(mass market) started rising only when condos start to go down-i already told people that HDB is a laggard. as u can see for yourselves from that website,GCBs(landed) rose 100% from 60 to 120,condominiums also rose 100% from 70 to 140,HDB WILL LIKEWISE RISE 100% from 100 to 200.hence there is still room for a 10% rise in mass market HDB due to condominiums mood dampened. I DIDNT TALK WITHOUT PROOF-thats why i say asia property crisis will start from the SALARY RICH,ASSET POOR CLASS,THE CONDOMINIUM CLASS.but it wont be anytime soon,as singapore economy is still strong,HDB still hasnt rise to 200+ in the index. MOST IMPORTANTLY, USA FOMC HAS NOT RAISE RATES.ONCE THEY RAISE RATES, IT WILL BE ANOTHER NAIL IN THE COFFIN FOR CONDOMINIUM OWNERS AND MORE WILL DOWNGRADE TO HDB,causing HDB to rise to 200+ in the index.AND THAT WILL BE THE FINALE OF ASIA PROPERTY BOOM AS A WHOLE,starting the asia crises PART 2

4december2011-ANOTHER PROOF TO SUPPORT MY VIEW ASIA RESIDENTIAL WILL BE NEXT SHOE TO DROP IN 2016

let us compare usa property stocks and asia property stocks prices as at 2dec2011 USA industrial/office REITS:BXP:boston properties:2007max:120+,now 94 VS capitalmalls,C38u.si:2007max:4.30s,now 1.80s USA RETAIL REITS:CBL:2007max:50.now 14 VS capitalmalls(also doing retail in singapore,eg. bugis junction,plazasingapura)-C38U.si 2007 max 4.30s, now 1.80s USA RESIDENTIAL REITS:HME:home properties:max 2006:$65,now $54 VS CApitaland C31.si 2007 max:8+,now 2.60s kepland K17.si 2007 max:9.90,now 2.60 CDL,C09.si:2007max:18,now 10 SHK,16.HK:2007 max:170s,now 90s Henderson land:2007max:80,now 38 AN INTERESTING POINT TO NOTE IS USA RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY STOCKS WENT TO 2007HIGHS,THEN DROP DOWN recently(above 2010highs),BUT ASIA RESIDENTIAL STOCKS IN 2010 HIGHS IS MUCH LOWER THAN 2007MAX. USA DIVERSIFIED REITS: CLP-2007max:50,now 19 VS KREIT,keppel reit,2007max:3.50s,now 0.86 AS YOU CAN SEE FOR YOURSELVES ASIA RESIDENTIAL SECTOR STOCKS ARE HARDEST HIT,MUCH MORE THAN USA RESIDENTIAL STOCKS.USA RETAIL REITS AND ASIA RETAIL REITS ARE THE SAME HARD HIT AS BOTH ASIA AND WESTERN ARE FRAUGHT WITH DIFFERENT TROUBLES-ASIA IS SKYHIGH RENTALS BUT USA IS HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT.ANOTHER THING TO NOTE IS RETAIL SHOULD BE THE LAST TO RECOVER AS EMPLOYMENT IS A LAGGARD INDICATOR.

4th december 2011-HOW AMAZING THE RATIOS TELL A STORY!!

REMEMBER MY EARLIER TARGETS OF SP500 GOING TO 1900S,STI 4500, HSI ONLY TO 32K?? what do those ratios mean?? remember hongkong is a property crazy place,much crazier than singapore,PLUS THIER HKD FELL BECAUSE OF USD PEG,causing HK PROPERTIES TO BE WORSE THAN SINGAPORE PROPERTY BUBBLE. lets look at CAPITALAND, a blue chip company listed on SGX,a sti component and compare with sti (ALL VALUES ARE APPROX AS IM LAZY TO CHECK THE EXACT)] STI 2004,2007,2010,NOW----1.7K,3.9K,3K,2.8K VERSUS CAPITALAND 2004,2007,2010,NOW--1.50,8+,4+,2.60 just as i predictED in my previous post,CAPITALAND TO GO BACK TO 2010 MAX,AROUND 4.50S WILL BE THE TIME WHEN STI GO TO 3.9K OR EVEN HIGHER TO 4.5K. WHY 4.5K??? lets see for yourselves how "telling" the ratios are capitaland 2.60s to 4.50s approx 70% HSI 19K to 32K-approx 70% STI 2.7K to 4.5K--approx 70% SP500 1.1K to 1.9K--approx 70% BY JUST THE RATIOS,WE NOW KNOW WHY ASIA PROPERTY STOCKS FIRST PLUNGE MORE THAN MAIN INDEX IN 2011.IT IS JUST TO CREATE SPACE TO RETURN TO 2010 LEVELS. IT ALSO TELLS US WHERE THE NEXT CRISIS WILL COME FROM-from asia property bubble!! I PREDICT WITH FACTS,NOT ANYHOW FEEL,BULLSHIT WITHOUT FACTS.WHEN THINGS HAPPEN SO COINCIDENTALLY--U KNOW IT IS ALL PREMADE,PRE PLANNED BEFOREHAND!! HOW CAN ANYONE BUY EXPENSIVE PROPERTIES WITHOUT LEARNING THE STOCKMARKET FIRST?????????????

3rd december2012-CUT AND PASTE FROM CNBC:GUPPY PREDICTION OF SHANGHAI EXACTLY IN LINE WITH WORLD EQUITY REBOUND

Shanghai Index Could Rally to 2,760 After Soft Landing: Charts Published: Tuesday, 29 Nov 2011 | 6:57 PM ET Text Size By: Daryl Guppy A weakening China economy is a further weight on global indexes. The current global fall may have been started by the euro zone collapse but many have looked for resilience in the China economy and China demand to help lift other economies. Some counties like Australia have built an entire economic recovery strategy based on assumptions about continued China growth. The key China question revolves around the ability of the government to manage a soft landing. Although this is seen as evidence of a command economy, and therefore doomed to failure according to some, the policy initiatives are not much different in approach to those used in Europe with government sponsored intervention, and in America, with government sponsored rescue packages. The Shanghai Index[.SSEC 2360.66 -26.20 (-1.1%) ] shows a steady decline towards 2,300. This is a slowly moving downtrend and quite a contrast to the rapid collapses seen in the DOW[.DJIA 12019.42 -0.61 (0%) ], the DAX [.GDAXI 6080.68 44.80 (+0.74%) ] and the FTSE [.FTSE 5552.29 62.95 (+1.15%) ]. This slow downtrend confirms a soft landing for China, although this does not preclude a bump or two. The Shanghai Index is developing a triple bottom rebound pattern. The small double bottom, shown as points A and B, lead to a successful rebound. The height of this pattern is approximately 118 index points. The target for this pattern is calculated by measuring the distance from the lows to the peak of the rally and projecting this value upwards to give a target of 2,548. This target was not achieved because the resistance from the long-term downtrend line was too powerful. The market retreated from the long-term downtrend line. This retreat shows the long-term downtrend line is a very significant resistance feature. In the future, a close above this downtrend line will be a very powerful trend reversal signal. This is a weekly close seen on a weekly chart. The strongest support level is near 2,300. The 2,300 level acted as a support level in 2010 July and as resistance and support in 2009 February and March. A fall and rebound from support near 2,300 creates a triple bottom pattern. Target calculations for a successful triple bottom pattern are calculated using the same method of measuring the height of the central rebound rally. The third rebound point is somewhere near point C. If support near 2,300 is successful, then the distance to the peak of the most recent rally in November at 2,530 is approximately 230 index points. This value is projected above the peak of the rally at 2,530 and gives a long-term target near 2,760. The wider the separation between the rebound lows in the double and triple bottom pattern then stronger the pattern rebound. The first double bottom pattern between points A and B developed over 9 days. This suggested a weak breakout pattern. The time between the first point in the triple bottom pattern at point A and the possible third point in the triple bottom pattern at point C is already more than 7 weeks. This makes the triple bottom pattern much stronger and this increases the potential for a stronger downtrend breakout. The Shanghai Index has the potential to develop a triple bottom reversal pattern within the context of a broad consolidation base. This combination of features suggests a soft landing and a recovery. Daryl Guppy is a trader and author of Trend Trading, The 36 Strategies of the Chinese for Financial Traders –www.guppytraders.com . He is a regular guest on CNBC's Asia Squawk Box. He is a speaker at trading conferences in China, Asia, Australia and Europe. If you would like Daryl to chart a specific stock, commodity or currency, please write to us at ChartingAsia@cnbc.com. We welcome all questions, comments and requests. CNBC assumes no responsibility for any losses, damages or liability whatsoever suffered or incurred by any person, resulting from or attributable to the use of the information published on this site. User is using this information at his/her sole risk. © 2011 CNBC, Inc. All Rights Reserved

IN CHRONOLOGICAL ORDER 1)now,2011 end condominiums sentiment dampened by lending curbs,PROPERTY DEVELOPER STOCKS LIKE CAPITALAND -30%,KEPLAND-50% FROM 2010DEC TILL NOW ALREADY HINTED THE ROAD FORWARD FOR PROPERTY WILL BE DARK AND GLOOMY.those who bought CONDOMINIUMS,SALARY RICH,ASSET POOR,AFTER THE FOMC MAINTAINED LOW RATES WILL ALL BE "BURNT IN THE CAULDRON" when asia stockmarket gets entrenched in its own secular bear market. U THINK CAPITALAND,A BLUE CHIP FALL 30% IN 2011 FOR NO REASON??CAPITALAND-30+%,KEPLAND-50%,STI ONLY -20% HINTS TO U WHERE THE NEXT SHOE WILL DROP 2)us economy is expected to grow faster than asia as JP,MORGAN STANLEY raise USA GDP FORECASTS while asia GDP FORECASTS ARE LOWERED ALREADY GIVE U HINTS THAT THE NEXT SHOE TO DROP WILL BE FROM ASIA. 3)us economy recovers faster than expected,people now instead of flocking to asia,now flock to usa for employment.asia condominiums,NOT the mass market will be experiencing GHOST TOWN STATUS. 4)US FOMC RAISE RATES AFTER ECONOMY RECOVER,PUTTING A DOUBLE WHAMMY ON ASIA CONDOMINUIM OWNERS.hk,sgp CENTRAL BANKS follow FOMC raise rates(whats new?) 5)ASIA CONDOMINIUM OWNERS START TO FEEL THE PINCH AS INTEREST IS INCREASING WITH SOME BUYING MORE THAN 1 PROPERTY FACE THE RISK OF GHOST TOWN(NO RENTAL INCOME). 6)ASIA CONDOMINIUM OWNERS START TO DOWNGRADE TO MASS MARKET HOUSING,EG IN SINGAPORE,MANY WILL START TO BUY HDB FLATS,PUSHING UP HDB PRICES,PUSHING DOWN RENTAL YIELDS(AS NOW GOOD LOCATION HDB RENTAL YIELDS ARE AS HIGH AS 6%!!!) 7)asia stockmarket hit 2007PEAK,and start CRASHING 60-70% WHEREAS USA SP500 AFTER BREAKING OUT OF 1580,WILL GO TO 1900S,BEFORE DROPPING ONLY 30% IN RESPONSE TO ASIA PLUNGE 8)3-6MONTHS LATER,ASIA ECONOMIES FACE THE REALITY OF GDP TURNING NEGATIVE,RECESSIONS LOOMING AND JOB CUTS WILL BE ON THE RISE 9)ASIA CONDOMINIUMS WILL TUMBLE LIKE DOMINOES!!BUNGALOWS AND MASS MARKET WONT BE AS AFFECTED AS CONDOMINIUMS,AS MAJORITY OF CONDOMINIUMS ARE OWNED BY SALARY RICH BUT ASSET POOR PEOPLE. THIS IS MY SCENARIO.LETS SEE WHETHER IT WILL COME TRUE.

3RD HUMP IN SP500 STARTED BUT NEED HSI CONFIRMATION TO DOUBLE CONFIRM

SP500 HAS STARTED THE 3RD HUMP, PREVIOUS 2 HUMPS DURATION: 1ST HUMP:8MONTHS LOWS TO HIGH WEEK STARTING JULY13 2009- WEEK STARTING APRIL 19 2010(8MONTHS,TOTAL POINTS FROM LOWS TO HIGHS:875-1219 TOTAL 350POINTS APPROX 2ND HUMP:9MONTHS FROM LOWS TO HIGHS-WEEK STARTING AUG30 2010 TO WEEK STARTING APRIL 25 2010 (TOTAL 9MONTHS) TOTAL POINTS FROM LOWS TO HIGHS:1040-1370 TOTAL 330POINTS APPROX NOW 3RD HUMP WILL TAKE US TO 1160+(330-350)=1500 BY JULY/AUGUST 2012 PREVIOUS 2 HUMPS STARTED THE 10WEEEKS UPTREND ONLY AFTER FALLING BACK TO ACHIEVE A NEAR DOUBLE BOTTOM FROM THE PREVIOUS LOWS EG.1ST HUMP STARTED AFTER FALLING TO RETEST THE MAY2009 LOWS 2ND HUMP STARTED AFTER FALLING TO nearly RETEST THE WEEK STARTING JUNE 2B 2010 LOWS 3RD HUMP STARTS NOW THIS WEEK,WEEK STARTING 28NOV 2011, AFTER NEAR RETEST AUGUST 2011 LOWS BUT SAYING ALL THESE STILL NEED THE HANGSENG TO "COOPERATE" BY BREAKING OUT OF 20K INVERTED HEAD AND SHOULDERS formation ONLY AFTER HSI BREAK OUT OF 20K SUCCESSFULLY,THEN I DARE TO SAY 100% THAT IT IS THE START OF THE 3RD HUMP TO 1.5K IN SP500!! I AM WAITING FOR CONFIRMATION IN THE HANGSENG OTHERWISE IT WILL BE A ONE WAY DOWN TO CONTINE THE DESCENDING BROADENING WEDGE FORMATION TO 15K

15nov2011-sp500 to hit 1570 early2015,1900 by 2015end to mid2016.difference is asia will START secular bear market,and USA will start a secular bull

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=%5EGSPC&t=my&l=on&z=l&q=l&c=

please observe the 1966-1982 consolidation period in sp500

LOWEST OF 1970S DROP WAS JULY1970 70.0,HENCE WE FIND OUT THAT IN 1966 OCTOBER 72.2(NEAREST)

1974OCTOBER,SP500 HIT LOWEST60.96,lower than 1970july lowest(reminiscent of 2007lowest lower than 2002 lowest)

hence:CONCLUDE:4YEARS TO NEXT LOW

DECEMBER1968-SP500 HIT 109.37 TOP

feb1973-sp500 hit 121.74 top

sept1978-sp500 hit 109

feb1980-sp500 hit 120 and breakout in 1980

conclude:as 1966-1980s 109 was the right and left shoulder max value before the headshoulders failed in 1980,we take 5years from 1968-1973-1978

LETS OBSERVE THE CURRENT CONSOLIDATION BAND
mar2000-sp500 max was 1552

october2007-sp500 max was 1576

lowest was in october 2002 was 768

lowest was in 2009 march was THE INFAMOUS 666

VERY MANIPULATED RIGHT???MARCH2000-OCT 2002(DOWN),OCT2002-OCTOBER2007(UP),OCTOBER2007-MARCH2009(DOWN)

hence we take 768 as the starting value and we see which was the earliest time sp500 hit 768,nov1996,this nov1996 will be treated the cut off point for the HORIZONTAL BAND FORMATION OF A SECULAR BEAR

we see an UNCANNY resemblance with 1966 band

from 768 in nov 1996- 2002october 768 was a total of SIX years,add to 2002,we will approx then get our march 2009 lowest(resembled the 1975 period when it went lower)

hence we evaluate the top:MARCH 2000 1552,OCTOBER2007 1576(SPACING OF 7.5YEARS)ADD THAT 7.5YEARS TO OCTOBER2007,WE WILL GET OCTOBER2014-MARCH2015 WHEN SP500 WILL RETURN TO REVISIT 1570

strange indeed!!!!!!!!!

1966-1980 HIGH TO HIGHS 5-5
lows to lows:4-4

CURRENTLY:sp500 high to highs:7.5-7.5??
lows to lows:6-6

VERY WELL PLANNED!!LOWS ADD 2,TOP ADD APPROX 2

PLUS IF U MULTIPLY 60%TO 19500=31000(19500 TO 31000),YOU WILL FIND OUT THAT SP500 IF MULTIPLIED BY 1.6 FROM 14NOV2011 VALUE WILL GIVE EXACTLY 1900-1940.

EVERYTHING TALLY FOR SP500 TO BREAK 1576 IN 2014-2015,(NOV1980,SP500 HIT 140 AFTER BREAKING OUT OF 120 IN FEB1980,RETESTED 120 IN OCT1982,AND THERE SHE GOES LIKE A ROCKET!!)go to 1900 by 2015 end AND WILL FOLLOW 1980-1982 STYLE OF DROPPING BACK TO RETEST THE BREAKOUT POINT OF 1576

ALL RIGHTS RESERVED

24sept2011-NEXT WEEK-starting 26th sept 2011 will be start of 10weeks up in usmkt and 3 weeks up in hangseng

why i say this?

REASONS:

1)the manipulation pattern in timing(round number) and points same as june 2010 euro "crises".except that some parts are different,eg.the drop FROM TOP TO LOWEST takes 2 months from may 2010 whereas the drop from may2011 takes 3MONTHS.

2)sp500 dropped a total of ard 100points this week to lows of 1114,same as THOSE FOUR WEEKS in july2010 where sp500 dropped from 1129 to 1039

3)STI ,the only developed country stock index is experiencing its FIRST ever 20% BEARMARKET technical definition since march 2009.80% multiply 3312=2650!!!

I SMSed ALL my friends in feb2011-"THOSE WHO BUY FROM ME NOW IN STI 3.2K WILL BE SELLING TO ME IN PANIC AND FEAR AT STI 2650"

4)hangseng pattern about to start 3 weeks up (SAME PATTERN from feb7 2011 to march 17 lowest base formation of 1500points 22500-24000 BUT hsi went lower below the 22500 base to 22123 lowest AND FROM THERE IT STARTED A MEGA 3 WEEKS RALLY TO 24500(A MEGA 2400POINTS RALLY!!)
HISTORY WILL REPEAT AS HANGSENG FOR 24 WEEKS SINCE THE LAST 3 WEEKS RALLY has not had any mega 3 weeks rally.

5)august 2010-sp500 went from 1039 to 1220,SAME as NOW IF U PROJECT UPWARDS:sp500 break out of 1200 will mean 1300 since base is 100points(200points as sp500 in june2010 1010-1220)and the next retracement after USMKT 10weeks up leg is around 40points,will bounce off the 1260 HEAD AND SHOULDERS BREAKDOWN NECKLINE

6)VIX DIDNT GO HIGHER

7)USD INDEX MEET THE TECHNICAL TARGET OF 78+(EXACTLY $2 FROM THE BREAKOUT POINT OF 74-76BASE)

8)now is exactly like the mar09 final bottom.LETS RECALL,mar09-hsi above oct08 lows,sti at oct08lows,sp500 10% lower than oct 08 lows VS now-sti,sp500 AT BASE LOWS 2700 AND 1100 whereas HANGSENG became the culprit to go around 10% lower that the 19300 closing

HANGSENG SHOULD RETEST 21000 THE SAME WAY THAT HANGSENG "BREAK DOWN" FROM 22500 TO GO TO 22100 TO REBOUND STRONGLY TO 24K IN FEB-APRIL 2011

MEGA TIP:1)enter monday morning BUT wait for FRIDAY NONSENSE(as hangseng collapse(mean retrace much of week's gains or make week negative) at either 10am,or 3pm friday for SIX consecutive fridays starting aug19 2011

2)CHECK FOR HSI NEXT WEEK CANDLEBODY(weekly candlebody MUST HAVE >400 POINTS TO COMMENCE START OF A NEW LEG UP IN HSI AND USMKT)

please note:candlebody DOESNT INCLUDE MONDAY GAP UP AMOUNT

EVERYTHING MATCHES TO A TEE

I PROVIDE 8 FACTS AND NOT JUST "FEELINGS".IM ALWAYS PROUD TO BE A PROFESSIONAL FULLTIME TRADER

hsi 3weeks up pattern

1)dec 27 2010 hsi open to week starting 10th january 2011 close total:1730 points

BUT TOTAL GAINS FROM last friday before week starting was only 1450

candlebody respective was 482,551,568

2)week starting march 21-week starting 4april:open to close:total 1995

TOTAL GAINS ARE: 2096

CANDLEBODY was 758,687,479

so from 19582 will hsi embark on THE THIRD 3WEEKS consecutive up pattern??

u add approx 1500-2000 points gain that will give us the all important channel breakdown resistsance line at 21000-21500

so far these last 3 weeks starting

1.august 15 2011-hsi open 20056,went up +450 points in first 3 days(WEEKLY CANDLEBODY)only to see hsi collapsing down 1100 points in 2 days to end down for the week.

2.aug 22 2011-hsi went up (WEEKLY CANDLEBODY)+450 points from monday open to friday morning 19919 only to see hsi collapsing in friday afternoon.

3. WEEK STARTING aug29 2011-hsi went up +1092 points from monday open to thursday highest before lunch BUT same tumbled on LATER PART OF THE WEEK (thursday afternoon +friday)and closed only+330 candlebody for the week.

THREE SUCH WEIRD TIMING,ALL IN LATER PART OF THE WEEK PLUS ALL 3 TIMES MUST TUMBLE DOWN TO "ENSURE" NO WEEKS IN THE 3 MOST RECENT WEEKS END WITH A >400PTS(AS IN THE PAST TWO 3CONSEC UP WEEKS) CANDLEBODY

SO FAKE AND THIS MANIPULATION PATTERN ENSURES STOCKMARKET IS NOTHING BUT PATTERNS,DIFFERENT NEWS IN THESE 3 WEEKS BUT IN THE END SAME REACTION EVERY WEEK--CANT BE PURELY COINCIDENTAL,right?

SHARESWIZARD SPEAKS AGAIN-FROM SHORT TO LONG

im back...as usual my targets came true..

why im going long from short now?

1.vix always has "wellplanned" time cycle of 1year 3months for top to the next top.vix weakness is seen on last friday when usmkt drop 1+% but vix only went up 0.89%

2. usd chart shows weakness

3. goldsilver chart shows well support at 45.usmkt has already plunged near 20% from 1370 peak BUT goldsilver ratio unable to go beyond 45.

4. sp500 has 2 humps that are "wellplanned"-both 350points.a)from 870-1220 b)from 1010-1370 NEXT should be 1100-1450

5. THIS PLUNGE IS NOT DUE TO RECESSION FEARS,ETC.IF U BELIEVE IN NEWS U ARE A TOTAL MORON.this plunge is simply there BECAUSE STI HASNT HAD A 20% CORRECTION SINCE MARCH2009.proof-in this coming week,sti will go lower to 2650 WHILE HANGSENG,sp500 will just return to their same lows,18900,1100.

THE WIZARD HAS SPOKEN--dated 20th august 2011

17th june 2011-targets next week sti2920,hsi 21350,sp500 1220

armageddon is here!!!colon cleansing,detox is here!!

27th may 2011-DIARY OF SHARESWIZARD-MANIPULATION PATTERN

MANIPULATION PATTERN--

WHY WAS HSI UP IN AFTERNOON ON VERY LOW VOLUME BUT USMKT AT NIGHT SHOOT UP?

PSYCHOLOGY:
AFTER the 488 point plunge in the hsi,IDIOTS ARE PETRIFIED of sudden plunge,so ANY GAP UPS "planned by the operator" will be seen as chances to escape from the mkt.TODAY HSI GAPPED UP ON LOW VOLUME WAS TO ABSORB THE IDIOTS' STOCKS WHILE MAINTAINING THE UPTREND OF THE HANGSENG.

ANY BLINDMEN CAN SEE THAT HANGSENG IS SUPER OVERSOLD AND WILL HAVE A SUPER MEGA 3 WEEKS NONSTOP RALLY VERY SOON.
condition:
1.sp500 MUST close between 1333-1337 BY FRIDAY,27MAY 2011 night(4am singapore time)

24th may 2011-hsi touch my 22700..tomorrow tgt buy cw june expiry if..

1)tonight usmkt reverse all losses

2)tomorrow hsi touch 22500 and go up..

3)if u want safer,then wait for hsi up 500pts in 1 week as the STARTING week of the 3 weeks up trend to enter.(but of coz higher)

19th may 2011- YOU SEE WHAT I SAY ON 17TH MAY 2011.DID IT COME TRUE??

stockmarkets are so PREDICTABLE

MY EIGHT YEARS IN THE STOCKMARKET NEVER FAIL ME

17th may 2011--recap 10weeks upleg theory in USmkts with hsi

will hangseng follow sp500 in last week,10th week?

1.1st 10week ending week,9th week-week starting may4th 2009-sp500 rallied 6percent,hangseng rallied 12percent BECAUSE SHANGHAI RALLIED 6PC (hk=shanghai+sp500),hk,shanghai,us all up

2.2nd 10week ending week,10th week-week starting sept 14 2009-hangseng up 2pc, sp500 up 2.5pc,SHANGHAI DOWN 1PC (hk=sp500+shanghai),shanghai down;us,hk UP

3.3rd 10week ending week,10th week-week starting jan4 2010-sp up 2.6pc,hangseng up 2pc,SHANGHAI DOWN 2PC(no relation)

4,4th 10week ending week,10th week-week starting apr19 2010-sp up 2pc,hangseng down 3pc,SHANGHAI DOWN 5PC (hk=shanghai+sp500),shanghai down;us,hk up

5.5th 10week ending week,10th week-week starting nov1 2010-sp up 3.6pc,hangseng up 7.7pc,SHANGHAI UP 5pc (hk=shanghai+sp500),shanghai,hk,sp500 all up

6.6th 10week ending week,12th week-week starting feb14th 2011(6th 10weeks upleg was actually a 12weeks upleg)-sp500 up 13%,hangseng up 3.3% only, shanghai up 2% (no relation)

7th 10weeks is just in the process-so far,starting from week starting mar21 2011-8weeks have passed,sp500 up 3.9%,hsi up 2.2%,shanghai down 2%(as of closing values of 17th may for asia,16th may for usmkt)

MY ANALYSIS:

HENCE IF 7th 10WEEKS upleg ending target is 1381 + the formula of hk=shanghai + sp500 is believed to continue in last 2 weeks of the 7th 10weeks upleg,then the 7th 10weeks upleg gains will be sp500-up 7.8%,hsi up6.3%,shanghai down 2%

HENCE MY TARGET OF HSI AT 23800-24000 STAND WITH SP500 AT 1381 AT THE END OF THE 10TH WEEK OF THE 7TH 10WEEKS UPLEG

NOTE ALL FIGURES AND FORMULAS ARE APPROXIMATE,NOT EXACT

14th may 2011-OH MY GOD!!7TH 10WEEKS upleg has STARTED ON MAR21 2011,tgt 1381

now 8th weeks of the 10weeks upleg has already past us.I APOLOGISE FOR REALISING THIS SO LATE!!!!the stckmkt operators are very cunning indeed,they change the pattern of this 7th 10weeks upleg a little bit-details i cant disclose,i can only disclose to people who pay me.I DIDNT DISCOVER UNTIL TODAY 14th may 2011

Fact 1:2 weeks up,2weeks down BUT the 2weeks down will be contained in the 2nd week up CANDLEBODY--repeated 2X since mar21 2011

Fact 2:the duration of each hump is COINCIDENTALLY same about 1 mth each to reach the support trendline

Fact3:the projection of the 1st hump is 60 points up,2nd hump is 50 points,3rd hump---40?????tgt 1380,78.6% fibo of 1576-666

11th may2011-as i said b4 usmkt no 1.5% to 2% plunge before sp500 hit 1381

we are indeed sailing to 1381,as predicted weeks ago.short at sp500 1381,hsi 24000,sti 3240